We did have the rain yesterday, but luckily we didn’t have any severe weather in the region. A pocket of drier air in the mid levels and lots of clouds helped to limit the bad weather in the region. The rain totals weren’t too bad. We had about 3/4″ up to 1″ from the Peninsula northward with 0.25″ to about 0.5″ for the Southside, Eastern Shore, and northeast North Carolina.
Another reason that we probably didn’t see strong storms was that the cold front moved way out ahead of the upper level low. Today that will play a part in our forecast. For instance…this morning we had a lot of sunshine and cooler temperatures behind the front. The rain had pushed well offshore. Other than some patchy light fog it was a nice morning. However, the upper level low still hasn’t passed through yet. It is off to our west.
So as the upper level pocket of energy moves into Hampton Roads this afternoon we’ll see the clouds increase, and a couple of sprinkles will form. Highs will be in the low/mid 70s. By tomorrow this system will push out to sea. So we’ll have lots of sunshine. However, the winds will be more northerly. So we’ll hold onto the highs in the low 70s. Another weak upper level low will move through on Saturday, but it only looks to increase the clouds for now. Then more sunshine on Sunday. Highs will be in the 70s on Saturday, but cooler air will surge into the region on Sunday. So highs will be in the 60s Sunday through Tuesday.
Speaking of cooler weather…. The Winter forecast is still up in the air a bit. (No pun intended) However, there are some signs that it really could be as snowy and wintry as some sources are suggesting. One big indicator for the Winter forecast is the amount of snowpack over Siberia. Yep, the geographic area over Asia. There is more and more research on how snowpack in Siberia is linked to U.S. snowfall through teleconnections. Here is a new article with an update on the current snowpack, and the possible effects it could have on global weather. Siberia Snowpack. This is not the only thing to watch, but signs are pointing to a colder snowier Winter at this point. We’ll see what happens in October.
Last, but not least… Hurricane Gonzalo is still a major hurricane. It went up to category 4 (winds of 130-156mph) status yesterday. Then it went back down last night to a cat 3. This morning the 5 am update came in very early. At that time the National Hurricane Center upgraded the storm to a category 4 again. What happened was that the eye went under an eyewall replacement cycle. It even disappeared on satellite, but then came back this morning.
The storm was over 500 miles SSW of Bermuda and was moving north. Sustained winds were at 140mph. The hurricane is forecast to head straight towards Bermuda in the next 36 hours. This is terrible news for the island. In fact it is currently forecast to move over Bermuda as a major hurricane on Friday. Damaging winds and possible flooding are forecast for the region along with high waves. This could be the most destructive storm to hit there since hurricane Fabian in 2003. Stay tuned for updates.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler