Weather

Steady Weather Improvement And Golf & Climate

September 10th, 2014 at 8:36 am by under Weather

The weather has been steadily improving in the region, but it isn’t too rosy just yet.  When I came into work I ran into a bunch of drizzle and light showers.  This continued on until about 7am.  The area of low pressure that caused the bad weather has moved offshore, but a moist marine layer has been pushing in from the northeast.  As the low continues to push away, high pressure will build in from the northwest.

Today's Forecast Map

Today’s Forecast Map

We’ll dry things out and get more sunshine as we go into the midday and the afternoon.  Highs will be in the low 80s with a few upper 70s near the shore.  The wind is out of the north/northeast.  It won’t be as strong as the past 24 hours.  It was pretty breezy yesterday afternoon as the low began to depart.  With the recent winds and full moon there has been some minor tidal flooding.  This was on top of (or really underneath) the flooding from the recent rain.  The tide at Sewell’s Point made it up to 4.6′/4.7′ over the last 2 tide cycles.  This morning the tide will rise to about 4.4′.  That is just below the threshold for minor tidal flooding.  So it is more in the nuisance category.  After that the tide will drop further.

Tide Forecast (Sewell's Pt.)

Tide Forecast (Sewell’s Pt.)

By tomorrow high pressure will shift to the southeast.  This will allow for more southerly winds.  It will stay close enough to provide for some nice weather.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

The southerly winds will boost the temperatures into the upper 80s to low 90s.  A cold front will then move into the region by tomorrow night.  This will create a return of some scattered showers and storms.  Unlike the last system, this next one will move through the region.  So no flooding is expected.  However, it is forecast to stall out to our south.  So showers will linger on Saturday.  At least we’ll be cool again.  Highs in the 70s Friday through Sunday.

I found this article about how the U.S. Golf Association has been trying to find a more efficient lawn.  One that can especially handle a warmer climate.  Here is the article: Golf courses and climate. There is a lot of input into golf courses across the country.  So any increase in efficiency/heat tolerance will have a big impact.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Tidal Flooding Still Possible Tonight

September 9th, 2014 at 6:15 pm by under Weather

The rain has finally ended for the most part across Hampton Roads, other than a few spotty light showers. There are still a lot of dark clouds on Tower Cam 10, but thankfully no rain!

Tower Cam 10

Tower Cam 10

Thank you to everyone for sending in your rain totals by email, Facebook or Twitter. These totals help give us ground truth. The National Weather Service in Wakefield created the graphic below with the help of your rain totals to show where the heaviest rain fell. There is a legend at the bottom of the graphic explaining what each color means. The heaviest rain fell over parts of Isle of Wight County, Portsmouth, Chesapeake, Norfolk, Newport News, Hampton and Virginia Beach. The highest total I have seen was in Smithfield where the report was over 12 inches of rain in a 24-hour period. WOW!

Rain Totals

Even though the rain has ended, we could still see tidal flooding tonight during high tide at 10:15. Tides have been running higher than normal because of our persistent northeasterly and easterly wind and because of the full moon last night. Water levels at Sewells Point peaked at 4.7 feet earlier this morning. The threshold for minor tidal flooding is at 4.5 feet. Minor tidal flooding will be possible again tonight because water levels are forecast to be right around that threshold. Keep that in mind if you live in a flood prone area. Move your car to higher ground.

Sewells Point Water Levels

Sewells Point Forecast Water Levels

Nuisance tidal flooding is still possible Wednesday and Thursday during high tide as water levels stay elevated, but below the threshold for minor tidal flooding.

Wednesday is looking much drier. We should start off with the clouds in the morning, but then transition to a mix of sun and clouds during the afternoon. A stray coastal shower is possible, but chances are very low.

Chief Meteorologist Don Slater will have another update on the tides coming up on WAVY News 10 at 10 on FOX43 and WAVY News 10 at 11.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Flooding Continues

September 9th, 2014 at 8:34 am by under Weather

Wow! Some of the heaviest rain that I’ve seen in years has recently fallen in the region.  It has been pretty wild.  This is one example of the flooding that was out there:

Portsmouth Flooding

Portsmouth Flooding

This photo was sent in from Sam Butler in Portsmouth.  We had a lot of flooding from yesterday.  There was really bad flooding in many parts of Portsmouth.  A group of kids had to be boated out of a daycare in the Churchland area.  That really hits home because my own kids used to go there.  There were a couple of other cities that saw similar flooding.  Last night the rain did not stop, but it did let up.  However, it re-intensified this morning.
This was the radar earlier this morning.

Heavy Rain This Morning

Heavy Rain This Morning

Note the heavy downpours over Newport News, Smithfield, and Norfolk.  It was heavy in Portsmouth, but then that moved east.  Some of the areas that had flooding yesterday probably didn’t go down much.  So the rain all added up.  Up to the time of this writing many cities saw 4-6 inches.  Chesapeake had over 7 inches.  That is within 24 hours and in some cases most of it fell in 3 hours.

24 Hour Rain Totals

24 Hour Rain Totals

I saw 2 reports of over 10″.  One was a National Weather Service employee near Smithfield.  He/She had 12.21″.  The other report was a viewer in Virginia Beach.  Hard to believe some of these totals.

On top of the rain that is falling, the tide is also expected to rise.  Now the tidal flooding should only be about a foot to a foot and a half above normal.  That’s not bad, and is considered nuisance tidal flooding.  However, with the tide coming up that will stop the drains from being effective.  So we could see some more street flooding over some cities that are prone to tidal flooding.  Especially Norfolk, Portsmouth, and parts of the Peninsula.  The main cause for the rain is a weak area of low pressure that is tracking northeast along a stationary front.

Weak Low Along A Front

Weak Low Along A Front

Deep moisture wrapped around this low as it came up from the south.  The low is slowly edging out to sea.  As it pushes away the rain will become more scattered.  This is what Future Trak shows for this afternoon at 3pm.

Future Trak 3pm

Future Trak 3pm

The rain will keep decreasing through tonight.  Tomorrow the low will keep edging away offshore.  However, some models have it throwing some spotty showers back to the west.  So we could see some spotty/light showers.  Overall though we’ll dry out Wednesday and Thursday.  Highs will be in the 80s.  Then a cold front will move through the region on Friday.  This will produce some more scattered showers and storms.  Although it shouldn’t be nearly as heavy as the last 24 hours.  Stay tuned for updates, and drive safe today.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Flooding Across Hampton Roads

September 8th, 2014 at 7:22 pm by under Weather

It has been a busy afternoon with all of the reports of flooding coming in across the Hampton Roads cities. The heavy rain hit at the worst time, from 1-6 PM, because it impacted the commute home from work and school. Check out the WAVY slideshow of all of the photos of flooding sent into our newsroom. Here are the rain totals so far as of 7 PM. These totals will continue to rise even more tonight.

Rain Totals Forecast

Rain Totals

Rain Totals

Keep in mind that the heaviest rain may not always fall where there is a rain gauge. In fact, a National Weather Service employee, reported over 10 inches of rain near the MMBT. That was the highest total of the day! Many of you reported between 4-6 inches of rain in Norfolk, Portsmouth, Virginia Beach, northern Suffolk, northern Chesapeake, Hampton, Newport News and Isle of Wight County. Other areas saw much less rain. Rain will continue tonight and heavy rain is still possible. We are concerned about the additional rain tonight because it will be falling during high tide which is at 9:25 PM at Sewells Point.

Future Trak at 9 PM

Future Trak at 9 PM Tonight

Tides will be running higher than normal tonight due to the northeasterly winds and the full moon. With the water levels approaching the minor flooding threshold and the rain still coming down, we could see additional street flooding near coastal areas. Here is the forecast for Sewells Point, which is a good benchmark for the Southside and the Peninsula.

Forecast Water Levels

Forecast Water Levels

Water levels will peak tonight and then come down, but stay elevated Tuesday and Wednesday. Nuisance tidal flooding will be possible during periods of high tide Tuesday and Wednesday. We are tracking an area of low pressure that will move north through North Carolina and Virginia tomorrow. Rain is likely in the morning, so prepare for another messy morning commute.

Future Trak at 7 AM Tuesday

Future Trak at 7 AM Tuesday

Rain will become more scattered in the afternoon as the low pushes away from us. Then we are looking at a drier day on Wednesday. Chief Meteorologist Don Slater will have another update coming up on WAVY News 10 at 11.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Afternoon Update: Heavy Rain Continues

September 8th, 2014 at 2:14 pm by under Weather

Here is just a quick afternoon update to Jeremy’s previous blog. The National Weather Service has issued a Flood Watch for all of the counties highlighted in green until Tuesday morning.

Flood Watch

Flood Watch Until Tuesday Morning

Many areas have already picked up between 2-3 inches of rain. Some reports are coming in of 4-5 inches already and we are not done yet. We are getting many reports of street flooding. Here is a photo taken at the Virginia Beach Oceanfront by Paula. If you have any photos of flooding, please send them to reportit@wavy.com.

Virginia Beach Street Flooding

Virginia Beach Street Flooding

Very heavy rain has been falling across Newport News, Hampton, Portsmouth and Norfolk over the past 2 hours. This heavy rain is slowly pushing east toward Virginia Beach. Expect the evening commute to be a messy one. Leave yourself extra time to get where you need to go tonight. Heavy rain will reduce visibilities and cause ponding on the roads. Make sure you don’t drive through a flooded road. Turn around!

Future Trak at 5 PM

Future Trak at 5 PM

Full update is coming up on WAVY News 10 at 4 PM.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Heavy Rain Moving Into The Region

September 8th, 2014 at 9:04 am by under Weather

The sentiment from many of my weather watchers recently is that we all need some rain in the region with only a few exceptions.  Some of them haven’t needed any for the entire Summer as they have had ample, I.E. Greg in Currituck.  Just over the past 2 weeks he has changed his tune.  Well, now the rain is moving in.   Last night there wasn’t much out there, but it really picked up between 5 and 8 am.  This caused many problems with traffic during the morning commute.  Here was the view from Super Doppler 10 this morning:

Super Doppler 10

Super Doppler 10

Over the weekend a cold front moved through the region. This caused a few scattered showers, but it also push the heat to our south.  At least on Sunday.  Now the front is sitting to our south.  A weak area of low pressure is forming and pushing north into the front.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

There is some deep/rich moisture south of this boundary.  It is all slowly going to push north through the day.  So we have a high chance for rain.  This is NOT like rain events during the past couple of months.  No chance for a few pop up showers and storms.  No hit-or-miss showers and storms.  No!  This is the real deal.  Widespread rain for everybody, and a few areas of heavy rain to boot.  Here is what Future Trak looks like at 3pm this afternoon:

Future Trak (3pm)

Future Trak (3pm)

There will be ponding on the roads and probably some street flooding as well.  Due to the clouds and rain, the temperatures will stay in the 70s today.  The rain will continue into tonight, but it should break up a little bit.  Then the rain will continue into tomorrow.  At least the models are backing off the rain a little bit for Tuesday.  So as the low slowly pushes away, then we’ll see scattered showers on the back side.  Today the rain chances are 80–90%.  Tomorrow it should be more in the way of 50-60%.  It will taper off to just a few showers late in the day.  Highs will again be in the 70s.  We’ll dry out on Wednesday and Thursday.  Highs will be in the 80s.

For rain totals we are looking at a solid 2-4″ of rain.  There may even be a few spots of 5″ or more.  That will likely lead to some localized flooding.

Rainfall Totals Forecast

Rainfall Totals Forecast

Stay tuned for updates to this.

If we don’t get flooding from the rain, then we may see some from the wind.  Winds will be persistent from the northeast over the next couple of days.  It will generally run at 5-15mph with higher gusts near the shore.  This and the full moon will lead to some nuisance-type tidal flooding.  It will come up about 1-1.5ft above normal.  So no big problems are expected, but it will rise in those typical areas that see the higher tide-waters.

Next weekend we’ll see some more changes.  There will be scattered showers and storms along a big cold front on Friday.  That front will cool us down next weekend.  We’ll see high in the low/mid 70s on Saturday and Sunday.  Lows will probably drop to the 50s and low 60s.  It will feel great for the Fall-lovers.  That same cold air may bring some snow to a few cities in the northern part of the Midwest.  Way too early to drop down here though.

Before I go.  There is one disturbance over in the eastern Atlantic that may develop into a tropical depression or storm over the next few days.  It is coming out of the Cape Verde area, and is moving west.  Stay tuned for updates, but it is way out there at this time.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Rainy, Cloudy Start To The Week

September 7th, 2014 at 9:03 pm by under Weather

It was a cloudy, dreary day with some on and off rain, mostly in the morning for Virginia. Heavy rain fell across the Eastern Shore last night and early this morning. Melfa picked up 1.38 inches and Wallops Island picked up 1.79 inches just over a period of several hours. We were significantly cooler than yesterday with highs in the upper 70s to around 80°. Another round of storms fired up along the Outer Banks this afternoon as the cold front was moving southward. These storms produced heavy rain and dumped a good 1.7 inches of rain in Manteo. One of the storms even produced a waterspout over the Pamlico Sound. This photo was taken by Gerry in Waves, just south of Rodanthe.

Waterspout

Waterspout near Waves, NC

Showers are possible across eastern North Carolina and the Outer Banks tonight. The rain will slowly push northward overnight. Rain should become more widespread by 7:00 AM Monday. Our latest hi-resolution computer model shows a wet morning commute for most folks. Make sure the kids pack their rain jacket/umbrella for school in the morning.

Future Trak at 7 AM

Future Trak at 7 AM Monday

The red and yellow colors show pockets of heavy rain. Showers will be slow moving and we will have plenty of moisture to work with, so heavy rain will be the main threat. Heavy rain could lead to some localized street flooding. There may be a few breaks in the rain here and there, but I wouldn’t count on a lot.

Future Trak at 5 PM

Future Trak at 5 PM Monday

The evening commute could be even worse, especially if some roads/low lying areas are flooded. An area of low pressure will ride along that stationary front located in North Carolina keeping the chance for rain in the forecast on Tuesday. Rain should be more scattered on Tuesday because the low will be pushing away from us. Forecast rain totals should range from 2-3 inches on average with a few higher totals possible, mainly in areas that see heavy rain for a long period of time. Behind the front, winds are blowing out of the northeast. With strong northeasterly winds and a full moon coming up tomorrow night, tides will be running higher than normal. Nuisance tidal flooding will be possible Monday through Wednesday during times of high tide. See graphic below for times and forecast water levels.

Sewells Point Tides

Sewells Point Tides

Water levels should stay below the threshold for minor tidal flooding for now, but things could still change. Water levels will be the highest Wednesday morning and then should come down on Thursday. We dry out Wednesday and Thursday before another round of storms arrives late Thursday night into Friday. At least the cooler weather has returned! Highs will be in the upper 70s to around 80°  Monday through Wednesday. Have a great week! Don’t forget the umbrella!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 

 

 


Rainy Days Ahead

September 6th, 2014 at 10:11 pm by under Weather

High temperatures reached the lower 90s today, but it felt more like the upper 90s and triple digits when you factored in the humidity.

Saturday Highs

Saturday High Temperatures

Are you ready for some heat relief? I know I am! We are tracking a cold front out to our west that will move in overnight and bring us a better chance for rain and cooler weather for your Sunday. Highs tomorrow should be about 10-15 degrees cooler than today. Here is the cold front at 8 PM. Notice all of the showers and storms developing out ahead of it.

Cold Front Location at 8 PM

Cold Front Location at 8 PM

We could see a few showers after midnight across our northern counties, but most of the rain should push in early Sunday morning. Here is our Future Trak at 9 AM Sunday morning. Make sure you bring the umbrella with you to your Sunday church services.

Future Trak at 9 AM

Future Trak at 9 AM Sunday

Rain showers should become more scattered during the afternoon, so tomorrow shouldn’t be a total washout. But it will be cloudy, cooler and breezy at times with highs in the upper 70s to around 80°. Here are Sunday’s rain chances.

Rain Chances

Sunday’s Rain Chances

The cold front will stall out Monday and Tuesday and an area of low pressure will ride along that boundary keeping rain chances in the forecast. High temperatures will be kept down into the upper 70s to around 80° over the next few days.  Average high temperature is 82° this time of year.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Hot and Humid Today, Much Cooler Tomorrow

September 6th, 2014 at 8:48 am by under Weather

The heat is on again today with high temperatures climbing to the 90s this afternoon. We will see a mix of sunshine and clouds for most of the day. This afternoon, we may see a popup shower.

Popup Storms Possible Today

Popup Storms Possible Today

Starting at around 2pm, scattered showers will develop across North Carolina. These will be slow moving so anything that does develop can produce some heavy rainfall. A few of these showers may move across Hampton Roads as well. If you have outdoor plans, I’d keep them. Just remember to wear sunscreen and drink plenty of water. The heat index will be over 95 degrees this afternoon. Some bigger changes are coming up which means more rainfall for us.

Cooler Air Coming Tomorrow

Cooler Air Coming Tomorrow

We will see a big drop in temperatures tomorrow with the passage of that cold front near Ohio. That will mean highs will settle back in the 70s with a strong northeast wind developing. That NE wind may bring up the tides a bit by Tuesday. As the cold front passes us by it will stall out near Hatteras. A new area of low pressure will form along it which will keep us rainy Monday and Tuesday morning.

The tropics remain quiet for now with no new storms expected to develop over the weekend.

Enjoy your weekend!

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson

 


Heavy Rain Yesterday. Cool Down This Weekend.

September 5th, 2014 at 8:35 am by under Weather

It was really coming down over parts of Virginia Beach yesterday.  We had several reports of street flooding in the region.  This is how it looked to Tracey Minnich near the Virginia Beach courthouse:

Street Flooding

Street Flooding

The rain came down heavy there, but it wasn’t as heavy in other areas.  Here are the 24 hour rain totals for the region.

24 Hour Rain Totals

24 Hour Rain Totals

Notice that the airport in Newport News had 0.0″.  I did have a weather watcher in Yorktown(Scott) say that he only had 0.1″.  So that could be correct.  Don Roberts said he did get some rain at this house on the Peninsula, but he didn’t give any amounts.  Now there was definitely a lot of humidity in the region.  However, there was also a stationary front nearby.  This helped to create the showers and storms.  Today that front has fallen apart.  So while we are calling for some scattered showers and storms today, there should be less coverage than yesterday.

Today's Forecast

Today’s Forecast

Temperatures will heat up to near 90, but it will feel like the low/mid 90s with the heat index.   Winds will be out of the south/southwest at 5-10mph.

Tomorrow a cold front will approach the region.  It won’t make it into Hampton Roads until tomorrow evening.  So we’ll heat up again out ahead of it.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

We’ll rise up to the low 90s, and it will be humid again with dew points in the low-mid 70s.  Folks that have been hoping for a cool-down will get their wish on Sunday.  The front will move through Saturday night into Sunday.  This will create a good chance for showers and storms.  I’ll wait to forecast rain amounts though as the computer models tend to lower the coverage as the rain gets closer to the area.  Highs will be in the upper 70s to near 80.  The front will get hung up just to our south on Monday.  So we’ll hold onto the coolness with more rain in the forecast.  Through next week we will heat up again.  Highs will rise to the upper 80s by Thursday.  By next weekend, the models are showing a BIG cool down.  How cool?  Highs in the low 70s maybe.  Possible lows in the 50s.  Maybe….maybe some lows in the 40s inland, but that may be a stretch.  A possible frost over parts of the Midwest.  It’s still early though. So stay tuned.

The tropics are pretty quiet for now.  Well, the Atlantic anyway.  Have a good weekend.  Hampton Bay Days is happening.  The NASCAR race in Richmond should be happening, but that could be pretty stormy.  Also, I’ll be down at Mount Trashmore for the “Out Of The Darkness” walk for suicide prevention on Saturday.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler