Weather

Middle Of A June Heat Wave

June 18th, 2014 at 8:57 am by under Weather

We are in the middle of a June heatwave.  It is relatively small, but it is still packing some heat.  (Pun intended).  look at the high temperatures from yesterday:

Highs Yesterday

Highs Yesterday

We almost hit 100 in Williamsburg.  The heat index was over 100 in several cities.  We did have a few showers and storms which cooled down a couple of cities, but they were isolated to scattered.  Today we’ll see much of the same, but probably even less storms.  Temperatures will be 1-3 degrees hotter.  We’ll have a lot of sunshine thanks to the large area of high pressure near the region.

Today's Forecast

Today’s Forecast

Winds were actually up just a bit this morning.  They were southwest at 5-15mph.  However, the winds likely won’t stay up through the afternoon.  High temps will rise to the mid-upper 9s with a couple of inland cities (like Williamsburg) hitting 100 degrees.  The record in Norfolk is 99, and we are forecasting a high of 97 there.  When you combine the humidity, it will feel like 100-105 degrees in many of our cities.  That will be the heat index aka the (feels like temperature).  An isolated shower or storm may form to cool you down, but the rain chance is very small.  So here are a couple of tips to beat the heat.

1.  Drink plenty of fluids.  Especially water.  Try to avoid sodas and sugary drinks.  Also avoid alcohol.

2.  Wear light-weight/light-colored clothing.  It reflects most of the light, and stops it from absorbing into the material thereby creating heat.  It actually works.  Try it for yourself.

3.  Take plenty of breaks in the shade.  Especially if you work outside for a long period of time.

4.  If your A.C. doesn’t work too well, then you can head to a public place.  The library, the mall, and many places of worship are places to go to cool down.

5.  If your A.C. is out, then at least try to use a fan.  The breeze helps to speed up evaporation from the body, thereby cooling you down.  It can also help to circulate the air in your home.

6.  Close the curtains.  Light getting into the home turns into heat. So keep it out by closing the blinds and the curtains.

7.  Save the outdoor jobs and workouts until the evening or another day.

8.  Check on the elderly and the very young children.  Their bodies typically don’t deal with the heat very well.

Keep an eye out for heat illnesses like heat cramps, heat exhaustion, or even heat stroke. 

There will be a few showers overnight. Lows will be in the 70s.  Tomorrow we’ll see much of the same. However, late in the day the cold front to the north will make it close to the northern part of our viewing area.  So there will be some scattered showers and storms moving in from Maryland ahead of the front Thursday afternoon and evening.  Before the storms arrive we’ll see high temperatures in the mid 90s with upper 90s again in the south.  The afternoon storms should help to cool things down, but it could create a few downpours as well.  The front will likely stall out over the region during the weekend.  Therefore we’ll see a chance for rain each day.  At least that should keep the temperatures in the 80s for highs.  However, the humidity will not be much lower.

Temperature Forecast

Temperature Forecast

If you think we have it bad with the heat, then keep this in mind… In India there is a terrible heat wave that has been going on for over a week.  There have been over 150 deaths so far. The high temperature in Delhi has been over 110 for seven days.  Here is the story: Indian Heat Wave.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Midwest Tornadoes, And Our Heat Has Arrived!

June 17th, 2014 at 8:45 am by under Weather

Before I get to our developing local weather, I wanted to take a moment to talk about the Midwest tornadoes.  There were 26 reports of tornadoes yesterday from Nebraska to Wisconsin.

Storm Reports

Storm Reports

There was one set of tornadoes in particular that have made the national headlines.  At one point there were two tornadoes that formed near each other.  This happens often, but it is rare for two strong tornadoes to be so close together and to track together for so long.  According to the report there has been at least one death, and a large portion of a town was destroyed.  Here is the main story:  Deadly Nebraska Tornadoes.

We are not expecting severe weather in our forecast.  However, we will have another problem…heat.  Yesterday we were in the upper 80s to low 90s.  My wife and I both commented that it was already really hot and humid.  So the upcoming days are going to be rough.  Today an area of high pressure is drifting to our southeast.  This is developing into a late Summer weather pattern called the Bermuda High.

Heat Building In

Heat Building In

That is when a large area of high pressure sets up to our southwest and typically reaches to the island of Bermuda.  This setup pumps in the heat from the west and southwest.  So today we’ll have a surface wind out of the southwest at about 10mph.  Temperatures will rise to the low/mid 90s.  The heat index will rise into the upper 90s to near 100 degrees.  So if you get in the sun today for a while, you will be in danger of getting heat cramps or heatstroke.  Be sure to drink plenty of fluids.  Take breaks if you are working outside.  Plus, wear light-weight/light-colored clothing.  An isolated shower or storm this afternoon may cool you down briefly, but the chance for rain is rather low. Tomorrow we’ll see much of the same, but temperatures will be worse.  As high pressure strengthens, we’ll see even more sunshine and for a longer time.  So highs are currently forecast to be in the mid-upper 90s.  It’s possible we could go with full upper 90s across the board.  Stay tuned!  Here’s the forecast temperatures for the next 4 days.

 

Temperature Forecast

Temperature Forecast

Notice how tomorrow’s forecast has crept closer to the record of 99 degrees.  We could easily get closer.  As we go through the week, we will likely hold on to the humidity, but the heat shouldn’t be as bad.  That will hinge upon how many clouds and storms stay within the area.  We may not cool down much this weekend.  Highs will be in the upper 80s, and they may even be in the 90s.  Get ready for the heat.  It is mostly dangerous when you underestimate it. I’ll have an update tomorrow morning.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Get Ready For The Heat

June 16th, 2014 at 8:29 am by under Weather

Sometimes folks that are searching for NBA results may accidentally drift over to this blog.  Especially when they are searching for terms like the Miami “Heat”.  It’s ironic that they just lost the finals, because the real heat is going to be making a comeback this week.  At least over the eastern United States.  Today we are in transition.  We’ll be going from the nice, dry, and mild weekend to a hot, humid, and stormy week.  At least today has a nice big area of high pressure around.  So while the heat and humidity begin to build, we should stay rain-free during the day.  Highs will rise to the upper 80s with some low 90s inland.  Winds will be West/southwest at 10mph.  A stray shower may move in by this evening coming in from the west.  As we progress through the next 3-4 days the weather pattern will amplify.  Basically the jetstream will dip more (trough) in the west and rise northward (ridge) in the east.

Ridge-Trough Pattern

Ridge-Trough Pattern

This will allow the heat and humidity to build.  So by the time we get to Wednesday we are talking about highs in the mid 90s and a heat index at or above 100 degrees.  Here are the forecast high temps for the next few days.  They are compared to each day’s record high (red) as well as the average high (yellow).

High Temps VS Records

High Temps VS Records

At this time it looks like we’ll be shy of the record on Wednesday, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we increase the forecast before we get there.  So stay tuned!  Again…even if we don’t break any records, we will still see a rough heat index.  So get ready.   The ridge will break down by the end of the week.  So we’ll see a higher chance for rain by Thursday and Friday.  While I appreciate the recent rains, I am hoping that we don’t continue with the occasional flooding that we’ve seen recently.  Norfolk is now up 1.74″ above average for the month.  We were down over an inch just before last week.  My weather watcher, Brian in Smithfield, had 4.08″ of rain so far this month, and the month is only half over.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Enjoy It For Now!

June 15th, 2014 at 7:45 am by under Weather

Happy Father’s Day to all the dads out there!  It is shaping up to be another great weekend.  We’ve seen a lot of sunshine so far thanks to a large area of high pressure building in.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

The sunshine will continue into the afternoon. We’ll have a northeast wind at about 8-12mph.  Highs will be near 80 along the shore with mid 80s inland.  Tomorrow the winds will be more southerly. So highs will rise to the upper 80s with a few 90s inland.  The humidity will start to increase, but it will kick into high gear by Tuesday.  So with highs in the low 90s and dew points in the 60s, we’ll return to a pattern of scattered showers and storms in the afternoons.  In fact one of the days (most likely Wednesday) we could see some mid-upper 90s.  An upper level ridge will build-in to create that pattern.  The pattern won’t change much through Friday, except that the ridge won’t be as strong.  So the chance for storms will increase.

So enjoy this nice weather today all you dads out there.  The boating forecast looks good.  Northeast winds at 10-15mph.  High tide is between 11am and noon today.  Seas will be about 2-3 feet.  The beach forecast looks pretty good, but there is a moderate threat for rip currents.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Rain-Free Weekend Ahead

June 14th, 2014 at 9:10 am by under Weather

The rain is gone and the clouds will be clearing out this afternoon. Therefore our string of nice weather on the weekends continues! But it was a stormy night last night across the region. Check out the radar snapshot from 9 PM.

Radar at 9 PM Friday

Radar at 9 PM Friday

Heavy rain was falling just south of the state line in North Carolina and a line of thunderstorms was moving across the Peninsula and onto the Southside. This heavy rain prompted a Flash Flood Warning for Gates, Camden and Pasquotank Counties in North Carolina. There were multiple reports of flash flooding in Gates County including Daniels Road and Route 158. Most of the heavy rain fell in areas without sensors to record the rain. Heaviest rain fell just south of the state line into North Carolina. Rainfall totals are estimated by radar, so these numbers could be off a little bit, but at least the placement of the heavy rain is correct. If you have a rain total, please add it to the comments below.

Rain Estimates

24- Hour Rain Estimates

We received lots of photos of this scary looking cloud last night. This picture was taken by Mark Miller in Suffolk.

Shelf Cloud in Suffolk - Mark Miller

Shelf Cloud in Suffolk – Mark Miller

This is what we call a shelf cloud and it has nothing to do with tornadoes. This cloud is the leading edge of a thunderstorm, also known as a gust front. In a thunderstorm, rain-cooled air descends rapidly toward the ground, hits the ground and then spreads out. This cool, dense air collides with the warm, moist air ahead of the storm and forces it to rise. The air rises and then condenses forming this shelf looking cloud. The shelf cloud is often the leading edge of strong damaging winds within a storm.

There was also a report of lightning striking a home in Toano. To go along with the stormy weather, we had a full moon last night. AND….it was Friday the 13th! Suffolk Fence took this photo last night of the eerie looking sky and full moon. The next time a full moon will fall on Friday the 13th will be in 2049…that is 35 years from now. Wow!

Full Moon Friday the 13th

Full Moon on Friday the 13th

We will not have bad luck with the weather this weekend at all. Cold front is moving across North Carolina this morning.

Cooler & Drier Today

Cooler & Drier Today

A cooler and drier airmass will be moving in behind the front. High pressure will keep our winds out of the north today between 10-15mph. Dew point readings started off in the mid/upper 60s early this morning, but should drop into the mid/upper 50s this afternoon.  That means we are looking at much less humidity during the day today. I think that is the best part of this weekend forecast.

Tower Cam 10

Tower Cam 10

We are starting off with a lot of clouds this morning, but the clouds will clear out by early this afternoon, giving way to lots of sunshine for most of us. Clouds will linger across North Carolina for much of the day. Look for highs in the lower 80s. Average high this time of year is 83°. Lows tonight will drop down into the mid 60s with low 60s possible for inland spots. Tomorrow is Father’s Day and the forecast is looking terrific!

Father's Day Forecast

Father’s Day Forecast

Enjoy your weekend and Happy early Father’s Day to all the Dads out there!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Humidity & Rain Linger, Nice Weekend Ahead.

June 13th, 2014 at 8:43 am by under Weather

Prepare to chop through the humidity today.  Yep, that’s right.  It’s so thick, that you’ll have to get a machete and chop your way into work.  Okay, so I may be exaggerating a little bit, but take a look at our tower cam.

Tower Cam

Tower Cam

The humidity was very thick.  There was some patchy fog and low clouds around.  Some of this humidity was from the recent southerly flow.  It was enhanced though by all of the rain that fell yesterday.  Here are some rain totals for the region:

24 Hour Rain Totals

24 Hour Rain Totals

Brian in Smithfield had 3.24″ of rain yesterday.  Greg in Currituck had 0.7″.  Norfolk International Airport had 0.92″.  Even with that we are still down 0.58″ below normal for the month.  Finally, Mike in Whaleyville reported 5″ for the last 2 days.  Wow!  We sure needed it, but it came down a little too soon yesterday in several cities.  We did have a nice break from the rain between last night and this morning. The bulk of the rain had pushed north towards New York, but we are not done just yet.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

After the heating resumes we’ll see scattered showers and storms form in the region this afternoon.  Winds will be southerly at 8-12mph.  We’ll see highs in the mid-upper 80s.  Though it will feel like the 90s with the heat index.

Today's Forecast

Today’s Forecast

By this evening the showers and storms should decrease in coverage.  I know there will be some graduations out there.  I’m calling for at least a 30% chance for scattered showers and storms from 5pm until 8pm.  So that is pretty hit-and-miss.   There won’t be much rain overnight, but an isolated area of showers is forecast over northeast North Carolin and near the state border.  This will last through tomorrow morning, then we will dry out through the day.  Winds will be northerly at 10-15mph behind the cold front.  Highs will be near 80 degrees tomorrow, and the humidity will steadily drop through the afternoon.  We’ll be nice and dry on Sunday with highs in the low 80s.  Should be good for Father’s Day.  Should be good weather too for the MOCA’s art show in Virginia Beach and also for the CHKD runwalk at Town Point park on Saturday.  Whatever you do this weekend have a good one!

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Heavy Rain

June 12th, 2014 at 12:43 pm by under Weather

Heavy downpours moved through the region earlier.  The brief deluge flooded out some streets in Hampton Roads as drainage systems had a tough time keeping up.

Flooding On Shore Drive

Flooding On Shore Drive

That photo was sent in by Paula Matis in Virginia Beach.  We had a lot of reports of street flooding.  The area of heavy rain started out in Chesapeake, Portsmouth, and Norfolk.  Then it moved to Hampton and Virginia Beach.

Heavy Rain Earlier

Heavy Rain Earlier

The area really needed some rain.  So in the end it will be a good thing despite a couple of flooded vehicles.  Here are the 24 hour rain totals so far:

24 Hour Rain Totals

24 Hour Rain Totals

Scattered showers and storms will continue into the afternoon.  The rain has cooled our temperatures, so I don’t anticipate severe weather.  However, we could still see some heavy rain.  For more on the longer range forecast you can read my previous blog: Blog from this morning.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Let It Rain!

June 12th, 2014 at 8:44 am by under Weather

Finally, we got some rain over parts of the area.  It wasn’t everywhere yesterday, but some heavy rain fell over many of our inland locations.  Here was the view at 5pm:

Storms From Yesterday

Storms From Yesterday

The inland locations picked up about a half inch of rain, but it was only sprinkles near the coast.

24 Hour Rain Totals

24 Hour Rain Totals

My weather watcher, Mike in Whaleyville, said he picked up over 2″.  I had some very light rain at my house.  Jan in Reedville had a nice 0,8″.  She was grateful. The storms formed as a back door cold front moved in during the early afternoon. That stabilized cities near the coast, and that’s why there wasn’t as much rain there.  The boundary has since lifted north as a warm front and the super moist flow out of the south has resumed.  So today we will see a higher chance for rain along with more clouds.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Due to the clouds and fog, temperatures should only rise to the mid 80s. This after starting with temps in the mid-upper 70s.  Dew points are in the low 70s.  That is almost tropical.  Our winds today will be out of the southeast at 8-12mph.  By tonight the rain should taper off.  There will only be a few spotty showers.  Tomorrow we’ll see more clouds, showers, and storms.  However, the models back off of the rain later in the day.  The upper level trough should have moved through by that time.  So we should begin to dry out a bit.  After a stray shower very early on Saturday morning, we should see some nice weather for the rest of the day.  That’s a new trend from the recent computer models.  Sunday is looking good for Father’s Day.  We’ll see partly sunny skies this weekend with highs in the 80s.  I’ve dried out Monday’s forecast, but some scattered afternoon thunderstorms will continue Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Some Strong Storms Possible Tonight

June 11th, 2014 at 4:37 pm by under Weather

A few strong storms have developed across Hampton Roads. As of the time I am writing the blog. (At 4:25pm) The only warning was for Sussex and Surry. The majority of the storms will just produce lightening and thunder, but others may be strong enough to produce hail and damaging wind gusts.

Watch Until 10pm

Watch Until 10pm (Includes Portsmouth, but not Virginia Beach)

Hail From Corapeake

Hail From Corapeake

What is causing this is a backdoor front, basically a front coming from the north east (versus the west). The marine air is going to keep the atmosphere stable in areas that are close enough to the water. Remember, the watch goes until 10pm.

Storm Threats

Storm Threats

Slow moving thunderstorms can also cause minor flooding. Most of this has been happening further inland towards Richmond, but that threat could impact our area as well. Keep an eye on Super Doppler 10.

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson

 


Storms Leave Me Hanging

June 11th, 2014 at 9:04 am by under Weather

Did you ever put your hand out for a high five to someone, and they didn’t lift a finger thereby leaving you hanging?   That’s how I felt yesterday when I looked at the radar.  Hangin… The afternoon storms that I called for just did not form.  Not a one.  There were some storms in the evening though.  Maybe they were just late.  My weather watcher Scott in Yorktown had another half inch of rain.  Then early this morning we had some more showers and storms form in the same place that they formed yesterday morning.  Northeast North Carolina up to southern Virgina Beach and Chesapeake.

Radar This Morning

Radar This Morning

The rain subsided by 8:30am, but our radar estimated 1-2 inches of rain fell near Knots Island, NC.  There is still a pretty big system over the Midwest.  There was a strong southerly flow ahead of it.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Basically the eastern 1/3rd of the country is hot and humid with an exception to some of the northeast states.  Locally we will heat up again into the low/mid 90s.  With the dew points (humidity) in the upper 60s to low 70s it will feel like the upper 90s in some areas with the heat index.  The wind will be out of the southeast at 8-12mph.  So there won’t be much help from a breeze.

Tomorrow a  lot of the clouds and showers to our west will push east.  So we’ll see a lot more clouds and a higher chance for rain in Hampton Roads.  I put the chance for rain this afternoon at 30-40%.  Here is our Future Trak model at 3pm today:

Future Trak (3pm)

Future Trak (3pm)

Tomorrow I put the chance up to 50-60%.  We’ll see much of the same for Friday.  Since there will be more clouds and showers in the region, the temperatures shouldn’t be as hot.  However, with all the humidity around you won’t really notice a drop of a couple degrees.  On Saturday we’ll see a few showers early.  Then we should be dry on Sunday, but some models (IE European model) show a slight chance for rain.  I’m optimistic for now.

In national news, there has been a recent study from several universities (including my alma mater) about male versus female hurricanes and their impact.  Apparently there has been an uproar over the findings.  Here is an article that talks about the article and some responses.  male VS female hurricane names.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler