Weather

More Clouds and Warming This Weekend

January 2nd, 2015 at 8:37 am by under Weather

The large storm system that brought snow to California and freezing rain to Texas is moving our way today. We could see a few sprinkles from this storm system today as it moves closer to the area.

Weather Pattern

Weather Pattern

Over the next few days that warm front is going to surge from the Gulf Of Mexico all the way past New York City. This will give us a blast of warmer temperatures by Sunday. Between then and now we will see some light rain. The best timing for rain will be tonight and tomorrow morning.

Future Trak @ 7am Saturday

Future Trak @ 7am Saturday

It looks like Saturday afternoon should be dry. Temperatures will be near 52 tomorrow. On Sunday, some rain is possible in the morning. The heavy rain and thunderstorms are likely in the afternoon as a strong cold front moves in to our area. That front will drop the temperatures from the 70s to the 40s by Monday. Strong storms may develop ahead of that front.

Stay tuned for updates!

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson

 


More Sunshine For New Year’s Eve

December 31st, 2014 at 7:49 am by under Weather

We will see a few clouds this morning, giving way to sunshine into midday and this afternoon. Our temperatures will make a slow warm up to the low-40s today. Here is a fun fact, it was warmer in Alaska this morning than it is in Hampton Roads.

Alaska Temps

Alaska Temps

The reason this is happening is because of a large trough in the jetstream over the lower-48 brought the coldest air from Northern Canada down into our area. With the colder temperatures we will stay dry.

For the year we had over 50 inches of precipitation (Rain & melted snow) That is above normal for Hampton Roads.

Rain Map

Rain

We will see dry weather today and tomorrow with sunny skies. We will see more clouds by Friday. Then, temperatures will be in the 50s for highs.

Happy New Year!


Rain/Snow Possible?!?!

December 30th, 2014 at 8:36 am by under Weather

We are waking up to another cloudy and rainy morning across the region, but it is not going to be as wet as yesterday. Here is the view out of Tower Cam 10 this morning.

Tower Cam 10

Tower Cam 10

Showers developed early this morning thanks to an upper level disturbance moving across the region. But it took a little while for the rain to reach the ground because of the dry air at the surface. This is important because evaporation is a cooling process, so this will help cool the atmosphere even more. There were even a few reports of sleet pellets mixing in across the Peninsula and the Southside. The light rain/drizzle will continue on and off this morning and into the afternoon. Rain totals will be less than one tenth of an inch. Here is what our Future Trak model has at 12 PM.

Future Trak at 12 PM Today

Future Trak at 12 PM Today

Since temperatures will be dropping throughout the day, we could see a rain/snow mix from the Peninsula northward from the late morning into the early afternoon. If we do see any snow, it will be on the light side and we are not expecting any accumulation.

Rain/Snow Mix Possible

Rain/Snow Mix Possible

Temperatures will be falling today, so here is the forecast. Keep in mind that winds will be strong out of the northeast today, so it will feel even colder!

Forecast Temperatures Today

Forecast Temperatures Today

Rain should come to an end early this evening and the clouds will finally begin to clear out across the region. Wednesday is going to be drier, but the coldest day of the week with highs around 40°. If you plan on attending any outdoor New Year’s Eve celebrations, then you better bundle up!  Temperatures will be hovering in the low to mid 30s most of the night.

Holiday Forecast

Holiday Forecast

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Rain Likely Almost All Day

December 29th, 2014 at 9:57 am by under Weather

We started this morning with a solid area of rain across our area. Temperatures will be in the low-40s for the remainder of the day. This area of rain is coming in from our southwest.

Rain All Morning

Rain All Morning

This rain is developing along a cold front which moved through earlier this morning.

Cold Front Cross Section

Cold Front Cross Section

This is what a cold front really is, its a wedge of colder air. Yesterday we had highs in the 60s. Today that warm/moist air is rising above the wedge of colder air. That rising motion is the reason we are seeing rain across our area. As the front moves further to the south we’ll see the rain taper off this evening.

Scattered PM Showers

Scattered PM Showers

We’ll see more rain tonight, but the rain won’t be as heavy. Temperatures should drop to the 30s tonight. Tomorrow we could see more drizzle and light rain. There is a small chance for flurries tomorrow afternoon as the colder air keeps moving in from the north. These flurries are mostly likely to occur north of Gloucester. No accumulations are expected.

Stay Dry!

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson

 


Much Colder This Week!

December 28th, 2014 at 9:05 pm by under Weather

Hopefully you enjoyed the 60s this weekend, because we are in for some big changes across Hampton Roads. A cold front is moving through the region tonight, so we will be a good 20 degrees COLDER by Monday afternoon. So make sure you find that winter coat because you will need it tomorrow and for most of the week. We had a few light showers push through earlier this evening, but all of the rain has ended. Another round of rain will move in after midnight tonight and we will see widespread showers Monday at 7:00 AM.

Future Trak at 7 AM

Future Trak at 7 AM Monday

Rain is still widespread by midday, but there will be a few more breaks in the rain. This will be the trend into the afternoon. Rain should become more scattered.

Future Trak at 12 PM

Future Trak at 12 PM Monday

This will be a CHILLY rain since temperatures will be hovering in the mid 40s for most of the day. Winds will be blowing out of the NE at 10-15mph, so that will make it feel even COLDER! We will likely see our high temperatures just after midnight tonight since temperatures should be in the lower 50s by then. Temperatures will then slowly fall throughout the day, so don’t expect a warm-up by the afternoon.

Monday Forecast Temperatures

Monday Forecast Temperatures

Showers will continue Monday night into Tuesday, but the rain will be hit or miss. An upper level disturbance will be moving through the region on Tuesday. This energy could spark off a few more showers across Hampton Roads. This is where the forecast gets interesting. The GFS model and European model only have a few rain showers developing Tuesday afternoon. These models show some drier air pushing into the mid levels of the atmosphere and show a weaker system overall, hence why their solutions only show a few light showers.

Future Trak at 4 PM

Future Trak at 4 PM Tuesday

The NAM model is completely different. The NAM has a wetter solution overall and has the rain changing over to a rain/snow mix Tuesday afternoon/evening north of the metro. Another version of Future Trak has this solution. Keep in mind that this is the outlier right now! IF this model verifies, then we wouldn’t expect any accumulation because ground temperatures are still in the 40s and surface temperatures would be above freezing into the upper 30s and lower 40s at this time.

Future Trak at 1 PM Tuesday

Future Trak at 1 PM Tuesday (Different Scenario)

Most other models show rain and very little rain on Tuesday. So we will continue to watch the trends tomorrow. Rain totals should range from 0.5″-1″ between now and Tuesday afternoon. Big story is still going to be the COLD! Highs will only be in the mid 40s on Tuesday and lower 40s on Wednesday. Temperatures will be hovering in the lower 30s most of Wednesday night, so make sure you are bundled up if you plan on attending any outdoor New Year’s Eve celebrations.

11 PM Update: The new NAM model came in a a little bit drier and not as cold. The new model run is just showing scattered rain showers, no more rain/snow mix. Looks like this model could finally be trending toward the GFS and Euro solutions. Stay tuned!

 

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 

 


Goodbye Warm, Dry Weather!

December 27th, 2014 at 8:52 pm by under Weather

You can say goodbye to the warm and dry weather because rain will move in starting tomorrow. Tomorrow will also be the last warm day for a while. The high level clouds moved in late this afternoon and helped create a beautiful sunset across Hampton Roads. Check out this beautiful shot from Jodi Lewis in Saxis (Eastern Shore).

Tonight's Sunset

Tonight’s Sunset

If you were outside today, you may have seen a sundog. A sundog is a bright side on either side of the sun. These spots form as sunlight is bent when traveling through cirrus clouds, which are made of ice crystals. Dianna sent this picture into reportit@wavy.com

Sundog in Chesapeake

Sundog in Chesapeake

Don’t get used to the warm, dry weather because the weather is going to change starting tomorrow. Our next storm system will bring us an increase in clouds tonight. It looks like most of the morning will be dry, but by the late morning hours, showers will develop and move into Hampton Roads. Rain should be on the light side as rain totals should only range between 0.1″-0.25″ on Sunday.

Future Trak at 2 PM

Future Trak at 2 PM Sunday

Rain will be scattered tomorrow, so there will be plenty of breaks in the rain. It will still be warm with highs in the upper 50s, since the cold front won’t move through the region until late Sunday night. Rain will become more widespread late Sunday into Monday morning behind the cold front.

Future Trak at 12 AM

Future Trak at 12 AM Monday

Colder air will move in behind the front and drop highs into the upper 40s Monday afternoon. Average high this time of year is 49°. Then it gets even colder Tuesday and Wednesday as highs drop into the low to mid 40s. It will be cold, but dry for New Year’s Eve, with temperatures hovering around the freezing mark for evening celebrations.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Sunny And Warm Today, Rain Tomorrow

December 27th, 2014 at 8:51 am by under Weather

We will see an abundance of sunshine today along with warmer temperatures. Highs should be in the 50s to maybe 60s this afternoon.

Changing Weather Tomorrow

Changing Weather Tomorrow

That area of rain and cloud cover in the Midwest will move closer to Hampton Roads tomorrow as a cold front moves into our area. Scattered showers are possible late morning and in the afternoon. Rain totals should be around 0.10″

A Few Showers Tomorrow

A Few Showers Tomorrow

Temperatures should still be near 59 tomorrow with a southwest wind. On Monday more rain is likely as the cold front moves through. Another 0.50″ is expected. We will see more sunshine then by next week Wednesday.

Surf Report:

A few of you may have gotten a new wetsuit or board for Christmas, here is the report for today.

Surf Forecast

Surf Forecast

The swell peaks tomorrow with 3ft waves and offshore winds.

Enjoy your weekend!

 

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson


Warmer Weather This Weekend

December 26th, 2014 at 8:53 am by under Weather

After seeing temperatures in the 30s and patchy frost this morning, get ready for a nice warm-up this afternoon. High temperatures will rise into the mid 50s with lots of sunshine today. I think you will just need a light jacket if you plan on returning any Christmas gifts this afternoon. Here is your shopping forecast.

Post Christmas Shopping Forecast

Post Christmas Shopping Forecast

High pressure will remain in control today and tomorrow keeping us dry for now. We will warm up even more on Saturday and Sunday out ahead of our next cold front as the jet stream remains to our north.

Saturday Set-up

Saturday Set-up

Highs on Saturday will be in the upper 50s to around 60 degrees, which is about 10 degrees above the average for this time of year. So get outside and enjoy some of the fresh air!

Saturday Forecast Temperatures

Saturday Forecast Temperatures

Rain chances return to the forecast on Sunday as our next storm system moves into the region. It will still be warm with temperatures in the upper 50s since the cold front won’t move in until Sunday night/Monday morning. Scattered showers will be possible on and off during the day on Sunday. The computer models are in disagreement with the timing of the rain, so we will have to fine tune the forecast later today and tomorrow. It doesn’t look like a wash-out and rain chances should range between 0.25″-0.75″.

Kwanzaa begins today, so Happy Kwanzaa to anyone who is celebrating!

For all of you wondering who saw a White Christmas, here you go! This is a map of the current snow depth across the nation. Sorry to make all of you snow lovers jealous. The official definition of a White Christmas is at least one inch of snow on the ground at 7 AM Christmas morning.

Current Snow Depth

Current Snow Depth

Have a great weekend everyone!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Christmas Eve Update

December 24th, 2014 at 8:55 pm by under Weather

It has been an unseasonably WARM and WET Christmas Eve across Hampton Roads.  Check out today’s high temperatures and the rain totals so far.

Christmas Eve Highs

Christmas Eve Highs

Norfolk got up to 70°, so we did not break the previous record high of 75° set back in 1891. Rain totals range from 1-2 inches on average and some spots have seen totals close to 3 inches, which now puts us above average for the month of December.

Rain Totals

Luckily we did see a break in the rain this evening. The rain should actually increase in coverage around midnight as our cold front gets closer to Hampton Roads.

Cold Front at 9 PM

Cold Front at 9 PM

Scattered showers will develop out ahead of the front and a line of heavy rain and possible storms will develop right along the front.

Future Trak at 1 AM

Future Trak at 1 AM Thursday

If we see any storms develop, then it will most likely be across the Southside and North Carolina where temperature and dew point readings are the highest. Heavy rain and damaging wind gusts will be the main threat with any storm that can develop. Showers will continue into Thursday morning, but all of the rain should be offshore by 8 AM.

Future Trak at 4 AM

Future Trak at 4 AM Thursday

We will start off Christmas morning with a lot of clouds, but then the clouds will clear out giving way to lots of sunshine by the afternoon. Winds will be strong in the morning ranging from 10-20mph, but then calm down during the afternoon and range between 5-10mph. We are not going to cool down much behind the front because we will have a westerly and northwesterly wind tomorrow, which usually helps us warm up. Drier air will move in, so the humidity levels will be dropping. Temperatures will gradually fall throughout the day starting in the upper 50s/lower 60s in the morning and ending up in the mid 50s late in the day.

zSpecial

The average high on Christmas Day is 50°, so it will be a mild Christmas this year. Check out these records for the warmest Christmas, coldest Christmas and snowiest Christmas at the Norfolk International Airport.

Christmas Climatology

Christmas Climatology

Merry Christmas everyone! Enjoy your time with family and friends. :)

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 

 


So This Is Christmas…Eve…Weather?

December 24th, 2014 at 8:37 am by under Weather

If you are confused by the title, then let me explain. It is a play off of a famous Christmas song by John Lennon “Happy Christmas”.   The opening of the song goes ” So This Is Christmas”.  And this weather that we have today is not in sync with the holiday.  Let’s start with this morning.  We had areas of fog and temperatures warming into the upper 50s to low 60s.  It was also raining over much of the area.

Morning Radar

Morning Radar

The rain was really picking along I-95, and it was all moving east.  A warm front was lifting up from the south.  As it did, it started to dissipate the fog.  This front was connected to a large area of low pressure in the Midwest.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

The center of the system is over Illinois, but it is a large area of low pressure.  It is helping to create many of the rain showers that you see on the map above.  A cold front was passing through the Southeast.  There is a very warm/humid airmass ahead of that boundary.   So today we’ll see on and off rain showers.

Future Trak (Noon Today)

Future Trak (Noon Today)

Winds will be out of the south at 10-20mph.  Despite lots of clouds and rain, the high temperatures will rise to the low/mid 70s.  The record high for today at Norfolk International Airport is 75 degrees (1891).  We may reach that temperature today.  With the warmth and humidity there will be some fuel for thunderstorms.  This will occur during the afternoon and evening.  While they will be scattered in nature, it’s possible that some storms will have heavy rain and strong gusty winds.  An isolated severe thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out.  So this will be possible anytime between the mid-afternoon into the late evening hours.  Especially if we see some peeks of sunshine.  Then the chance for a few stronger storms will increase.

Future Trak (7PM)

Future Trak (7PM)

The cold front will move through sometime around midnight.  Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible until then.  A few showers will try to linger into tomorrow morning between 1 and 5am. Luckily we’ll dry out shortly after that.  We actually will see a pretty nice day tomorrow overall. After the early morning showers we’ll dry out and eventually clear out.  We’ll see a westerly breeze through the day.  High temperatures will be cooler, but it will still be pretty mild. They’ll rise to the upper 50s to low 60s.

We’ll see nice weather Friday and Saturday as highs pressure builds in.  Then another system will drive rain into the region late Sunday into Monday and Tuesday.  It will be very cold in the Midwest, but we’ll be in the area of milder weather in the Southeast.  This setup could let a coastal low form next week, but the models aren’t showing much for now.  Stay tuned!

Be careful driving across the region today.  Have a safe and fun holiday.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler