Hopefully you enjoyed the 60s this weekend, because we are in for some big changes across Hampton Roads. A cold front is moving through the region tonight, so we will be a good 20 degrees COLDER by Monday afternoon. So make sure you find that winter coat because you will need it tomorrow and for most of the week. We had a few light showers push through earlier this evening, but all of the rain has ended. Another round of rain will move in after midnight tonight and we will see widespread showers Monday at 7:00 AM.
Future Trak at 7 AM Monday
Rain is still widespread by midday, but there will be a few more breaks in the rain. This will be the trend into the afternoon. Rain should become more scattered.
Future Trak at 12 PM Monday
This will be a CHILLY rain since temperatures will be hovering in the mid 40s for most of the day. Winds will be blowing out of the NE at 10-15mph, so that will make it feel even COLDER! We will likely see our high temperatures just after midnight tonight since temperatures should be in the lower 50s by then. Temperatures will then slowly fall throughout the day, so don’t expect a warm-up by the afternoon.
Monday Forecast Temperatures
Showers will continue Monday night into Tuesday, but the rain will be hit or miss. An upper level disturbance will be moving through the region on Tuesday. This energy could spark off a few more showers across Hampton Roads. This is where the forecast gets interesting. The GFS model and European model only have a few rain showers developing Tuesday afternoon. These models show some drier air pushing into the mid levels of the atmosphere and show a weaker system overall, hence why their solutions only show a few light showers.
Future Trak at 4 PM Tuesday
The NAM model is completely different. The NAM has a wetter solution overall and has the rain changing over to a rain/snow mix Tuesday afternoon/evening north of the metro. Another version of Future Trak has this solution. Keep in mind that this is the outlier right now! IF this model verifies, then we wouldn’t expect any accumulation because ground temperatures are still in the 40s and surface temperatures would be above freezing into the upper 30s and lower 40s at this time.
Future Trak at 1 PM Tuesday (Different Scenario)
Most other models show rain and very little rain on Tuesday. So we will continue to watch the trends tomorrow. Rain totals should range from 0.5″-1″ between now and Tuesday afternoon. Big story is still going to be the COLD! Highs will only be in the mid 40s on Tuesday and lower 40s on Wednesday. Temperatures will be hovering in the lower 30s most of Wednesday night, so make sure you are bundled up if you plan on attending any outdoor New Year’s Eve celebrations.
11 PM Update: The new NAM model came in a a little bit drier and not as cold. The new model run is just showing scattered rain showers, no more rain/snow mix. Looks like this model could finally be trending toward the GFS and Euro solutions. Stay tuned!
-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona