Over the last couple of days the computer models showed an area of low pressure that would head towards the region today. They stubbornly kept disagreeing as to how much rain we would get and as to how organized the low would be. Now they agree that there is a high chance for rain, and that the low is fairly organized. As of this writing, the low was located just northeast of Charlotte, NC.
There is some mid level energy in the atmosphere that will run through our region along with the surface low. This will enhance the rainfall, and it will create the chance for thunderstorms this afternoon. It’s interesting because we will actually be pretty cool today. Winds are out of the east at 10-15mph. So that is a cool onshore breeze. With the clouds and rain on top of the breeze, our temps in Hampton Roads will only be in the upper 60s to low 70s for highs. So we are pretty much looking at rain showers with a few thunderstorms. However, the stationary front will try to nudge north a bit. So a few cities in North Carolina could reach up to 80 degrees. Most likely towards Ahoskie, Edenton, and Hertford NC. That is why there will be a higher chance for thunderstorms there. There may even be some isolated severe weather. Rain will continue into the evening hours. It could slow things down for the evening commute.
The low will start to push out between 7-9pm. The rain will taper off through the time. Winds will turn northwest behind the low. We could see a few gusts up to 20mph. Then we’ll dry out through the overnight hours.
We could see about a half inch up to an inch of rain. There will be some cities that will get over 1.5″ of rain between this morning and this evening.
Following this rain, we will see some great weather. We’ll have dry conditions between Friday and Monday. Highs will be in the low/mid 70s Friday and Saturday. Upper 70s on Sunday. Then we’ll have some 80s on Monday for Memorial Day. It will be awesome for outdoor events and services.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler