Weather

Local Cold, But A Hot U.S.

February 6th, 2015 at 8:05 am by under Weather

Yesterday was rough!  I picked up my daughter from daycare in the evening.  Whoa!  It was in the 30s and winds were howling.  Wind chills were in the teens and 20s.  When the wind hit my face it reminded me of Illinois Winters.  At least the winds have died down since then.  However, the temps this morning were frigid.  It was in the teens and 20s area-wide.

Morning Temps

Morning Temps

While there was a big surge of cold air lately, we should keep in mind that we are on the edge of this cold surge.  It will impact us today, but it will be really cold in the northeast states.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

With the high in place now, we’ll see a lot of sunshine and also light/variable winds.  High temps this afternoon will rise to near 40.  Now the cold air in the northeast is an exception.  Across a huge chunk of the rest of the country there is some very warm air in place.  Take a look at the highs over other parts of the U.S.

Forecast High Temps

Forecast High Temps

Warm air stretches all the way to California.  That warmth will slide into Hampton Roads over the next couple of days.  We’ll see highs in the mid 50s tomorrow with fair skies.  Winds will be southerly.  Then we’ll warm up to near 60 on Sunday with partly cloudy skies.  Now I wouldn’t be surprised to see us warm up even more on Sunday based off of what I’m seeing out to the west.  Mid 60s?  70?  Let’s not get too ahead of ourselves, but it will definitely be a nice and warmer weekend.  Highs will be in the 50s on Monday.  Maybe near 60.  There will be some showers though.  Then it will get colder on Tuesday and Wednesday.  I had 30s in the forecast for those days yesterday.  Now I’m calling for highs in the low 40s.  Could it be that Chesapeake Chuck was on to something?  ?   ?   ?

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Seeing Polar Bears?

February 5th, 2015 at 6:04 pm by under Weather

When you have polar bears nosing through your trash, you know it’s COLD outside!

Okay, okay, no one really has polar bears pawing through their trash, but you get my point..

Believe it or not – we started off with temperatures in the 50s early Thursday morning, but a brisk northerly breeze caused the mercury to gradually fall through the day.  With temperatures in the 30s and winds blowing at 15-25 MPH, it feels more like it’s in the 20s this evening!

Wind Chills Thursday Evening

Wind Chills Thursday Evening

Wind Chills Thursday Evening

It’s possible that some pipes may freeze overnight, so if you’re concerned, slow drip your indoor and outdoor pipes.

To Prevent Frozen Pipes

To Prevent Frozen Pipes

It’s going to be frigid by Friday morning!  As you head out to work or school, make sure you are wearing warm layers, a hat, mittens, and scarf..especially for the kiddos that have to wait at the bus stop!  Even though it won’t be as windy tomorrow morning, there will be just enough of a breeze that it’ll feel like it’s in the low-teens and single digits!

Friday Morning Temp vs. Wind Chill

Friday Morning Temp vs. Wind Chill

We’ll put this cold weather in our rear view mirror by this weekend – expect highs back in the mid-50s for Saturday and Sunday!

-Meteorologist Ashley Baylor

 

 


2 Seasons In 1 Day

February 5th, 2015 at 8:21 am by under Weather

(Update on the winds.  See below).

Today is a tale of 2 seasons.  This morning it felt like late Fall.  We had some rain showers over the southern half of the viewing area.  Temperatures were in the mid-upper 40s.  However, cold/wintry air was not far away.  While we enjoyed some mildness, you could see the temps in the teens and 20s over western Maryland and West Virginia.  At least on this map.

Regional Temperatures

Regional Temperatures

At the time of this writing the winds had starting shifting out of the northwest in Hampton Roads.  A strong cold front was moving through the region.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

As the wind picks up out of the north/northwest the temperatures will keep dropping.  We’ll be in the mid 30s during the lunch hour.  By this afternoon temps will drop to the low/mid 30s.  Winds will be out of the north at 10-20mph.  We’ll see some gusts to 25mph and a few gusts to 30 are possible. 

(UPDATE: winds have increased more than this morning’s forecast.  Winds have been gusting up to 35mph with a few gusts over 40mph near the oceanfront.  Shouldn’t cause a lot of damage, but a few branches may fall. )

Wind chills will be in the 20s.  Behind the front there will be a small line of clouds.  There will probably be some flurries with that.  That will be around between 11am until 2pm.  Then the cold winds over the Chesapeake Bay will create some Bay Streamers.  These are long clouds that are created by the cold winds over the warmer waters.  A few flurries are possible from this effect through the evening.  That would occur over parts of the Southside.  Even though it will be colder, no flakes will stick.  The ground temps are in the 40s, and the surface air temperatures will be above freezing.  If you run around with a huge net and catch some of the flakes, then you may be able to make a micro-sized snow man.  Good luck!

By this evening dry air will take over.  Overnight we’ll have clear skies.  Winds will still be out of the north at 10-15mph .  Despite the breeze, most temperatures will drop to the teens and 20s.  This will create wind chills in the single digits.  It would be a good night to let the faucets drip as temperatures will be below freezing for a long duration.  Tomorrow we’ll see lots of sunshine, but temperatures will only rise up to the upper 30s.

We’ll warm things up for the weekend. Highs will be in the 50s both days.  We’ll have sunshine on Saturday with clouds on Sunday.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Tracking Rain, Flurries & Cold/Windy Conditions

February 4th, 2015 at 5:25 pm by under Weather

Thursday’s forecast is going to be a mixed bag…we will be tracking the chance for rain, flurries, and cold/windy conditions. So today we are at the top of the hill on our roller coaster ride of temperatures. Highs today were in the mid to upper 50s, but get ready for some big changes! We are tracking a strong cold front to our west.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

This cold front is going to merge with an area of low pressure which hasn’t developed yet. This low will develop off the coast of the Carolinas tonight and pass just east of Hampton Roads tomorrow morning. The low will help drive in moisture, so rain is possible for our southern zones after midnight tonight into tomorrow morning. The precipitation will fall as ALL rain because temperatures will be hovering in the 40s.

Future Trak at 5 AM Thursday

Future Trak at 5 AM Thursday

The best chance for rain early Thursday morning will be across the Southside and North Carolina.

Thursday Rain Chances

Thursday Morning Rain Chances

All of the rain will move out by 7-8 AM, so some of you may have a wet morning commute, while others will be dry. Colder air will move in Thursday morning behind the front, so temperatures will be falling throughout the day.

Thursday's Falling Temperatures

Thursday’s Falling Temperatures

Winds will pick up out of the north and range between 15-25mph with gusts up to 30mph at times. That means that it will feel more like the 20s tomorrow afternoon when you factor in the wind. The moisture will be gone by the time the colder air moves into Hampton Roads, so the chance for flurries is very low. If we do see any flurries, then it would be around midday. Keep in mind that almost all computer models keep us dry. So if you are lucky, you may see a few snowflakes falling from the sky early tomorrow afternoon. It will get downright COLD Thursday night. Clouds will clear out and the winds will subside, so temperatures will drop into the upper teens by Friday morning. You may need to drip your faucets if your pipes are threatened. Friday will stay cold with highs only in the upper 30s. Then we will see another warm-up this weekend with highs back in the 50s.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 

 


Bouncing Temps/Flurries! Plus.. Bad Snow Effects?

February 4th, 2015 at 8:32 am by under Weather

I’ll warn you (snowlovers mostly) right off the bat that the word snow in the headline is about some general snow articles.  We could see some flurries tomorrow, but there’s no big snow anytime soon.  Ahem.  That said, let’s go into the forecast first.

Today we started off with sunshine and cold temps.  They had actually warmed a couple of degrees before the sun came up.  Then, a little after sunrise, temps started to shoot up.  An area of high pressure is nudging offshore.  This is allowing for south winds to develop.  They will run at 10-15mph today.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

So get ready to enjoy some nice weather this afternoon.  Highs will be in the low/mid 50s.  Clouds will increase a little this afternoon, but they will increase a lot tonight.  We’ll see a few showers after midnight. Especially south and east.  Lows will be in the mid 30s.  The rain showers will be around early tomorrow morning.  The highest chance for rain will be over northeast North Carolina to the Southside.  In the above map there is a cold front over Illinois today.  That front will make a beeline for Hampton Roads.  It will move in by late tomorrow morning.  It will produce some scattered snow showers over Western Virginia, but these should dry up as they move southeast.  So Hampton Roads is looking at some flurries during the midday into the early afternoon.

Future Trak (Noon Thu)

Future Trak (Noon Thu)

Some models don’t even show this, but it seems like every system that has moved through the region over the last couple of months has been wetter than forecast.  So I wouldn’t even be surprised if a couple of light snow showers try to develop.  Temps will be falling from the upper 30s to the low/mid 30s during the afternoon.  So any snow that does try to fall will melt.  The winds will pick up out of the north.  They will run at 10-20mph with gusts up to 25mph.  This will let the cold air surge into the region.  So low temps will be near 20 Thursday night.  There will probably be some teens inland. Then highs will only be in the mid-upper 30s on Friday.  We’ll be dry through the weekend with temps warming to the 50s (Saturday and Sunday).  Then rain will move in Sunday night into Monday.  It looks like that will be mostly rain, but stay tuned.

Ok so now onto the “bad snow effects”.  I ran across 2 articles which frankly have me a little nervous for employees and students in the future.  The first is about how one school in Minnesota is using technology to create a “no more snow days” system.  Think about that.  No more going out in the snow to play when big snows arrive.  No more chilling out and playing video games all day.  Instead kids will go to school…at home.  How depressing.  Here is the article: No More Snow Days?

Another more frightening thought is that some businesses may not pay for snow days.  I never even thought that was an option.  However, this article talks about what businesses are allowed to do and are not allowed to do when closing for severe weather.  Here is the article: To Pay or Not to Pay.

Both articles are from Entrepreneur.com. Hopefully, there will be some good third options for some of these scenarios.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


From Severe Winds To Severe Cold

February 3rd, 2015 at 8:49 am by under Weather

The weather got pretty wild around midday yesterday.  A strong cold front moved into the region and plowed through Hampton Roads.   We had reports of trees and branches down from Surry to Virginia Beach.  There were also some reports on the Peninsula.

24 Hour Storm Reports

24 Hour Storm Reports

Basically the front itself was a focus for the winds.  That wasn’t the only cause though.  There were some very strong upper level winds.  Also there was some clearing during the mid morning. This allowed the surface temperatures to get into the low/mid 60s.  So there was a little instability along with strong upper level support.  Meteorologists Don Slater did a weather blog about a water spout yesterday in the region.  Also meteorologist Tiffany Savona did a blog about the storms and the damage.  Most of the region had about a quarter to a half an inch of rain.

Today we are back to Winter….Big Time!  In fact some of our temperatures this morning started 35-40 degrees colder than yesterday morning.  Here is what the 24 hour temperature change map looked like:

24 Hour Temperature Change

24 Hour Temperature Change

And so our temperatures started in the 20s almost area-wide. This was right on with the forecast.

Morning Temperatures

Morning Temperatures

The cold front is well offshore now.  We are under the influence of a very cold/dry airmass.  High pressure is moving in from the west.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Today the winds will be variable at about 8-12mph.  We’ll see a lot of sunshine.  However, temperatures won’t get a chance to warm up.  We’ll only see highs in the mid-upper 30s.  (Yesterday Norfolk reached 61).  Youch!

Tonight we’ll still have mostly clear skies. Winds will try to brush up out of the south.  They won’t be strong, but they may be enough to let the temps rise a couple of degrees before sunrise.  Before that happens, we’ll bottom out in the 20s.  Through tomorrow we’ll see fair skies and winds out of the south.  So we’ll manage to warm up to the……..drumroll……………50s.  Yep low 50s.  Then another cold front will move through on Thursday.  Now this will be different from yesterday’s cold front.  It will still be a surge of cold air, but there won’t the warm surge out ahead of it.  Also, this time there will be a weak offshore low that will bring up some moisture (key word..some).  The models still vary greatly as to how much moisture gets into the region.  Our Future Trak model was completely dry this morning (for Thursday).  So I didn’t even use it.  The NAM model is very dry with a few scattered showers during the day, and then a few flurries or a light snow shower in the evening.  The GFS model is very dry with only a few showers over the Outer Banks and then a few flurries in the evening.  So overall the models aren’t showing too much with the Thursday system.  As usual, the forecast may change, but I think we’ll looking at a low-impact system at this time.  Even if there is a little snow, then it would likely melt as surface temperatures will be above freezing.

Snow lovers have been getting a little testy lately.  They are running out of time for their big snow.  At least that’s how they see it.  Remember though we still have all of February to get through.  There’s plenty of cold air to our north and a building snowpack in the Midwest and Northeast.  So don’t count it out just yet.  Of course if Chesapeake Chuck has his way, then Spring is right around the corner.

Chesapeake Chuck

Chesapeake Chuck

He did not see his shadow yesterday at the Virginia Living Museum. So Spring should arrive….soon.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Waterspout In North Carolina Earlier Today

February 2nd, 2015 at 11:10 pm by under Uncategorized, Weather

Here’s a link to a waterspout today over the Pasquotank River in North Carolina. A big thank you to Justin Creef!


Monday Update: Heavy Rain & Damaging Winds

February 2nd, 2015 at 2:07 pm by under Weather

Wow! That line of damaging winds and heavy rain was the actual cold front moving across the region. We knew the cold front could bring in some gusty winds, but we didn’t expect to see damage across Hampton Roads. Jeremy and I stayed on-air until 1:30 this afternoon because this line of strong winds and heavy rain had a history of producing wind damage across the region. Now things are calming down across the region. The wind will stay up and temperatures will begin to drop this afternoon. All of the blue dots below show wind damage reports and we have more coming in as I write this blog. The wind damage reports were mainly power outages and trees downed/uprooted. But we did get one report of a chimney that fell.

Storm Reports

Storm Reports

I captured this awesome picture of the strong wind and heavy rain blowing across the James River Bridge earlier.

James River Bridge

James River Bridge

Check out this picture Jim sent into reportit@wavy.com . It is the calm before the front moved across the Eastern Shore. I can’t tell from this picture, but it kinda looks like a ragged shelf cloud. Click on this link to see more damage photos on wavy.com.

Front Moving Onto The Eastern Shore

Front Moving Onto The Eastern Shore

I captured winds gusts that were reported across the metro just after 1 PM. Highest wind gust I saw was in Virginia Beach where winds got up to 64mph.

Wind Gusts Around 1 PM

Wind Gusts Around 1 PM

The threat for any damaging wind gusts and severe weather is now gone, but the rain will continue on and off this afternoon. Rain will be light and should end by 5 PM. It will stay windy this afternoon with winds howling out of the northwest at 15-25 mph with gusts up to 30 mph at times. This cold wind will drive temperatures down into the 30s by 7 PM.

Forecast Temperatures

Forecast Temperatures at 7 PM

Please send any damage reports or pictures to reportit@wavy.com. Thank you! A full update is coming up on WAVY News 10 beginning at 4 PM.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Temperature Blitz, Plus Chesapeake Chuck!

February 2nd, 2015 at 8:14 am by under Weather

Keeping in-line with the Super Bowl…temperatures are going to be a big blitz in the next 24 hours.  At least we’ll see them coming, unlike the last play of the Seahawks last night.   : )

This morning I came into work with widespread rain and warm temperatures.  We started the day with temps in the mid 50s and light to moderate rain.

AM Radar

AM Radar

With the warm temps and some upper level energy it’s possible that we could see a few thunderstorms later this morning.  A huge system is impacting much of the eastern 1/3rd of the United States.  There has been record snow in the Midwest and more snow in the northeast.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

The cold air was locked up in the northeast states, but it also has poured out of the Midwest into the southeast behind the cold front.  That cold air is headed our way.  We’ll see huge swings in temperatures.  We’ll warm up to near 60 by the late morning and midday hours.  Winds will be out of the south at 15-25mph with gusts to 35mph. Especially near the shore.  As the cold front swings through, then the winds will flip out of the west, and they will maintain their strength.  Temperatures will begin to fall. We’ll be in the upper 40s this afternoon and low 40s by this evening.  The rain will end by the early afternoon, and we’ll continue to dry out through the evening.  Tonight temperatures will plummet.  Low temps will bottom out in the 20s with some 30s near the shore.  Wow!  There could be some patchy black ice, but it should be minimal as the wind should dry out many roads before the cold really sets in.

Tomorrow we’ll only see highs in the mid-upper 30s.  Winds will be much lighter and variable.  Plus we’ll see lots of sunshine.  But temps will struggle to reach the upper 30s.  THEN…we’ll warm up again on Wednesday. Only to drop to the 30s again by Thursday.

High Temp Forecast

High Temp Forecast

Today will be too warm for any wintry weather except for a few sleet pellets at the end.  However, we could see a wintry mix or rain, sleet, and snow on Thursday morning.  It will be up to the timing of the precipitation.  Temps are expected to be above freezing in the afternoon, but they will be in the low 30s during the morning.  Stay tuned. We’ll be cold again on Friday with highs only in the low/mid 30s.  Then we’ll be up to near 50 by next Sunday.

For the long term forecast….Punxatawny Phil did see his shadow this morning. So he claims 6 more weeks of Winter.  The local groundhog “Chesapeake Chuck” will have his prediction today at the Virginia Living Museum in Newport News.  I’ll be up there at noon to examine the local prognosticator’s forecast.  Come on out, but bring your umbrella if you do.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Temperature Roller Coaster

January 31st, 2015 at 9:05 am by under Weather

There’s one thing to remember with the weather – it could always be worse!

We woke up to some cold temperatures this morning and even colder wind chills!  Even though temperatures started off in the 20s, that pesky northwest breeze made it feel like it was in the teens!  I’m sure even the dogs didn’t want to go out in this weather!

Saturday Morning Wind Chills

Saturday Morning Wind Chills

Saturday Morning Wind Chills

Saturday Morning Wind Chills

Here’s where the “it could be worse” part comes in – most of the Northeast woke up to minus signs on their temperature maps!

Saturday morning wind chills in the Northeast:
Albany, NY: -19°
Springfield, MA: -15°
Hartford, CT: -14°
Boston, MA: -9°
New York, NY: -3°

And by the way, the New England is expecting another major snow storm on Monday..

 

We will be on a temperature roller coaster over the next seven days.  Today, we will be stuck with highs in the mid to upper-30s, but with winds turning out of the southwest tomorrow, temperatures will be back in the more seasonable upper-40s.  The clouds will have the upper hand on Sunday as our next storm system approaches, but most of the day will be dry.

Monday will be interesting – we’ll be tracking rain through the first half of the day with temperatures warming into the mid-50s by Noon.  As the storm pulls away Monday afternoon, the winds will turn back out of the northwest causing the mercury to gradually drop into the low-40s by your evening commute.  It’s possible that we could see some raindrops mix in with some snowflakes as this storm wraps up, but little to no accumulation expected.

We’ll be back under mostly sunny skies on Tuesday, but expect a chilly afternoon with highs in the mid-30s.

Then it’s back up with roller coaster we go on Wednesday – plenty of sunshine with highs near 50°!

7 Day Forecast

7 Day Forecast

This 7-Day has had more flip flops then Waikiki..

Enjoy the mild days while we have them!

- Meteorologist Ashley Baylor