Weather

A Slight Drying In Your Future?

June 26th, 2014 at 8:04 am by under Weather

Today I feel like a medicine commercial.   You know… the ones where the person says all of the possible side effects from the advertised medicine.  Today is partly cloudy with highs in the upper 80s to near 90.  Please note…(Some folks will feel a general discomfort with the humidity this morning. Then there will be a slightly drier feeling this afternoon.  Some folks will still feel a discomfort with the heat.  A slight breeze out of the northwest may help to alleviate discomfort….and bloating).  : ) 

There has been some rain over the last 24 hours, but not everyone saw it.  Here was the view yesterday afternoon around 4pm in the afternoon.

Few Showers Yesterday

Few Showers Yesterday

There were also some showers last night which were out ahead of a wind-shift line.  That line moved into the region this morning.  It started to turn the winds out of the northwest.  There is a also a weak cool front right behind it that will slowly push through today.  The effect won’t be much cooling, but the air will slowly dry out.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

As both boundaries come together and settle over northeast North Carolina they will try to kick-off some isolated showers and/or thunderstorms in that area.  It’s not a high chance, but a few will see showers.

Today's Rain Chances

Today’s Rain Chances

Tomorrow the boundary will drift around near the region.  So we’ll see a few showers and storms pop up in the afternoon. This time we could see them in Virginia as well as North Carolina.  The chance for rain is about 30%.  Over the weekend I have a slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm each day with highs in the 80s.  There will be a better chance for rain just to our west.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Scattered Showers and Storms

June 25th, 2014 at 8:47 am by under Weather

It’s a pretty simple blog today.  We have hot/humid conditions in the region, and it is going to lead to some scattered showers and storms.  It’s interesting because recently it’s felt like we’ve had a lot of rain.  However, we are still below average for rain.  Norfolk International Airport has had 1.91″ of rain so far this month.  That is actually 1.5″ below the average.  However,  we are up 1.10″ for the year.  We didn’t see too much rain earlier this morning, but then the scattered showers started popping up around 7:30am.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

One major factor in the rain formation is the high humidity.  Dew points have risen into the low 70s.

Regional Dew Points

Regional Dew Points

Another factor is that the area of high pressure is breaking down. Plus, temperatures were already in the upper 70s to near 80.  So expect an increasing chance for rain today.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be going with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s.

Future Trak 3 PM

Future Trak 3 PM

Winds will be southerly at 8-12mph.

By tonight a lot of the rain will disperse.  We’ll see partly cloudy skies with lows in the low 70s.  A weak cold front will move through the region tomorrow.  It will dry out southeast Virginia, but it may spark a few showers or storms over northeast North Carolina.  Highs will still be in the upper 80s, but it will be a little drier in the region.  Winds will be out of the northwest.

We’ll see a few showers late Friday.  Then it looks like a slight chance for a shower or storm for Saturday and Sunday.  The models still show a lot of rain for the region Saturday and Sunday, but mostly just west of the viewing area.  So stay tuned a fine-tuning of the weekend forecast.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Rising Humidity, Rip Currents, And Lightning Strikes…OH MY!

June 24th, 2014 at 9:18 am by under Weather

While the title of the blog sounds menacing (sorry), this blog is mostly about safety when rip currents and lightning happen.  More on that in a moment.  First let’s talk about the forecast.

We started off with a great morning.  The sun was shining, humidity was still low, and temperatures were in the 60s and 70s.  It was beautiful. However, I did notice some showers to our southeast and our southwest.  They seemed to be starting to close-in.

Satelite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Yesterday we had the strong easterly breeze which kept things nice and cool and comfortable.  Today the wind will be shifting more out of the southeast.  It will run at about 5-10mph with a bit stronger breeze near the shore.  Due to the wind-shift, temperatures will rise to the mid-upper 80s.  Humidity will also be rising through the day.  A warm front will move into the region as well.  This will aid in warming the temperatures.

Today's Forecast

Today’s Forecast

The front may spark a few isolated showers and thunderstorms this afternoon.  It won’t be a high chance, but here is the general outline of where I expect those few showers:

Today's Rain Chances

Today’s Rain Chances

We may have to extend it north just a bit during the midday update.

Tomorrow and Thursday we’ll be on the warmer side of the front.  Highs will be in the upper 80s to low 90s.  Humidity will be up.  We’ll see scattered showers and storms each afternoon.  However, the models are still very indecisive about rain chances for the weekend.  For now I have a chance, but not a high one, for each day.  Stay tuned. There will be changes.

Ok…now let’s talk about the other two topics.  We had some water rescues at the beaches yesterday.  Life guards put up red flags as the waters were very choppy.  This was due to the strong easterly winds over the ocean.  Even though the winds are shifting, the waves are still up a bit today.  There is a moderate threat for rip currents, and there may be be a high threat.  So use caution if you are swimming.  Some of the lifeguards may not let you get into the water above your thighs.  If you do swim away from a lifeguard, then use a lot of caution.  Also, keep a close on the kids playing in the water.  Remember, a rip current is a fast moving stream of water that will push a swimmer or object out away from the beach.  It may or may not be seen from the beach or even in the water.  If the water pushes you out, then swim parallel to the shore.  Then swim back in where the current is weaker.

Rip Current Warning Sign

Rip Currents (NOAA)

Here is more information from NOAA about the subject. Rip Currents.

On top of that, this is lightning safety week.  A friend of mine on facebook posted this great link to another NOAA site.  It talks about the different ways that people can be struck by lightning.  It was the best explanation of this topic that I have ever seen.  Granted the pictures are a bit cartoony, but they are a great visual aid which is kid-friendly.  There are 5 different types of strikes described in the article.

Here is the link: Lightning Strikes.  Lightning kills an average of 51 people per year.  The best thing you can do during a thunderstorm is to get indoors.  If you don’t have a good shelter, then you can also see safety in your vehicle.  Be safe out there.  We will see thunderstorms back in the forecast this week.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 


Summer Is Here

June 22nd, 2014 at 9:13 pm by under Weather

Summer officially began Saturday morning at 6:51 AM, but it didn’t really feel like summer this weekend. It felt more like summer last week when we saw highs in the mid to upper 90s! Highs on Saturday were in the low to mid 80s and today we saw highs around 80°. Average high this time of year is 86°.

Sunday Highs

Sunday Highs

Monday will be dry and we will see more sunshine with highs in the lower 80s with low humidity. The weather pattern is going to be somewhat similar to the pattern we saw last week. The difference is that the ridge of high pressure will not be as amplified, which means it will not be as strong as last week. Therefore, high temperatures by the middle of the week will be in the upper 80s and lower 90s, not the mid to upper 90s.

Weather Pattern

Weather Pattern

Since the ridge of high pressure will not be as strong, it will flatten out by the middle of the week allowing upper level disturbances to pass through the region. The chance for summertime afternoon storms will go up starting on Wednesday. These storms will likely be diurnally driven, meaning that they will be driven by daytime heating. We are not looking at any washouts this week. Here are the rain chances.

Rain Chances This Week

Rain Chances This Week

Hope you all have a good week!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Light Rain This Morning, Dry By The Afternoon

June 22nd, 2014 at 9:00 am by under Weather

A small line of showers is moving across Hampton Roads this morning. Earlier this morning, when I was forecasting, I saw the showers with Super Doppler 10 near Richmond and they were moving east. When I looked at the early runs of computer models they suggested that we would stay dry. As you can see that was not the case. That easterly movement allowed the showers to move in to NE N.C.

Future Trak @ 9am

Future Trak @ 9am

Future Trak @ 11am

Future Trak @ 11am

During the newscasts I estimated that these showers were moving around 15-20mph to the south east. Future trak is now doing a better job tracking the rain. As we go past midday, we should see those showers along the state line dissipate. The line of showers near Richmond will clear out by this evening. We all have a chance to see more sunshine this evening as an area of high pressure moves in from the northeast.

Sunny with Highs near 80 tomorrow.

Sunny with Highs near 80 tomorrow.

It will be pleasant tomorrow, temperatures near the water should be in the upper-70s in the afternoon.

Enjoy your Sunday

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson

 


More Thunderstorms Possible Today

June 21st, 2014 at 9:01 am by under Weather

Scattered showers were present across our area early this morning. Rain totals overnight and up until 9am were around 0.5″ for many cities except Williamsburg which has already received 1.27″. Today we will see mostly cloudy skies and a cool onshore breeze. That will keep most of our temperatures in the low 80s today.

Slight Risk for Severe Weather (Damaging Wind Gusts Possible)

Slight Risk for Severe Weather (Damaging Wind Gusts Possible)

This evening some thunderstorms may develop in the warm sector which is across NE N.C. In this area high temperatures will be in the upper-80s which could allow for the development of stronger storm complexes. These storms may contain damaging wind gusts and periods of heavy rainfall. The threat for hail and tornadoes remains low for this evening. The time frame for thunderstorm development looks to be after 3pm.

Future Trak @ 3pm

Future Trak @ 3pm

Future Trak @ 6pm

Future Trak @ 6pm

Those pockets of green just inland will be the potential strong thunderstorms for this evening. These will be the areas with the higher values of CAPE (potential energy for strong thunderstorms) and also Shear (Change in wind speed with height.)  Notice how areas in Virginia stay dry? That will be mostly be because of the onshore cooler marine air keeping the air stable this afternoon. By tomorrow, dry air should filter in from the north which will dry us out for the afternoon. Highs should be near 80 on Sunday.

Today is the first day of summer! Today the sun came up at 5:46am and sets at 8:27pm giving us 14 hours and 41 minutes of daylight.

Beach Forecast

Onshore winds will create a ENE windswell with short period 2-3ft waves. Waist high sets are likely the best that we will see by tomorrow. The rip current threat is moderate today.

 

Enjoy your weekend!

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson

 


Rough Weather Thursday. Cooler Weather Ahead.

June 20th, 2014 at 8:29 am by under Weather

The weather was a rough ride for some folks last night.  Heavy rain and gusty winds were widespread.  Speaking of rough ride…Look at this photo of the clouds at the edge of the storms over Water Country USA:

Clouds Over Water Country

Clouds Over Water Country

This was a very low shelf cloud that had a lot of cloud debris below it.  I love this photo because it shows the depth and perspective of the storm.  The heavy rain produced very strong winds.  There were reports of winds over 60mph in the region.  Mostly over Chesapeake and Virginia Beach. (Yellow dots below):

Storm Reports

Storm Reports

There was damage.  This is one photo of some at the Chesapeake Regional Airport.

Damage At Chesapeake Reg. Airport

Damage At Chesapeake Reg. Airport

Here is another photo of some damage in Virginia Beach.  A playset was totally smashed apart as it hit a fence.  This was from Eric Quarles.

Smashed Playset

Smashed Playset

Finally, there is one more interesting photo.  I’ve seen trees uprooted before, but look how tall the root structure is compared this the gentleman in front of it.

Roots From Overturned Tree

Roots From Overturned Tree

That photo was from Linda Allen in Chesapeake.  There are more photos on our webpage.  Here’s the link: Photo slideshow.

We also had heavy rain.  I didn’t get the report from southern Virginia Beach, but most folks had about a half inch of rain.  I would bet that several areas had 1-2″.

24 Hour Rain Totals

24 Hour Rain Totals

The front that caused the mess is to our south today.  However, some moisture and a few showers are lingering behind.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

The front will bring us much cooler temperatures into the region.  Highs yesterday were in the mid-upper 90s.  Today we’ll have highs in the low/mid 80s.  There are plenty of clouds around this morning.  We’ll go between partly to mostly cloudy skies through the afternoon.  There will be some isolated showers, but it won’t be anything like yesterday.  Winds will be from the northeast at 8-12mph.  This will help to keep the temps down as well.

Tonight the front will put the brakes on, and try to drift north a bit.  This will give us some scattered showers.  The front will stall out near Hampton Roads tomorrow as a weak area of low pressure moves along the boundary.  This will bring us scattered showers and storms for at least the first half of Saturday.  A few showers and storms will try to linger into the afternoon, but the chances will decrease.  Highs will be in the low 80s.  Then Sunday looks good as the front passes to our south again.  Skies will be partly cloudy.  Highs will be in the low 80s.  We’ll be dry through next Tuesday.  Have a good weekend.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Severe Storms Move Across Hampton Roads

June 19th, 2014 at 8:13 pm by under Weather

What a night of strong storms for the Hampton Roads cities. Especially for the cities of Chesapeake and Virginia Beach which saw the strongest storms. Throughout the evening we were getting small hail reports (nickel sized and smaller) and also reports of damaging wind gusts near 60mph.

Yellow Dots are 60mph Wind Gusts

Yellow Dots are 60mph Wind Gusts

As the storms were moving over these areas, over 1,000 lightning strikes occurred within a 5 minute time span. The hail may have helped to create some of those lightning strikes. The one thing I observed is that the strongest wind gusts were not always ahead of the thunderstorms, this time the strongest gusts were within the storm itself! What was happening were wet microbursts. Think of it like this; when you have heavy rainfall, that rain drags down the surrounding air with it. As the rain and air begins to rush down towards the surface it hits the ground. Since the rain is heavy, it just collects on the ground, but the air will move outward and create those straight-line wind gusts.

Lightning From the James River

Lightning From the James River

Tree Down from Virginia Beach

Tree Down from Virginia Beach

Looking ahead for the rest of the evening, brief periods of heavy rain is still going to be possible. The strongest thunderstorms are now over though for the majority of our area.

Future Trak

Future Trak @ 10pm

A few thunderstorms will remain around 10pm for NE N.C. Otherwise we should be looking quieter tomorrow with a few scattered showers and highs near 82 degrees. Remember, if you have pictures send them in to us at reportit@wavy.com

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson

 


Thunderstorms Later Today

June 19th, 2014 at 10:06 am by under Weather

We may have some strong/severe storms across our area this afternoon as a new cold front moves from north to south. The front is going to move through around sunset, so it is still going to be hot and humid again today. Highs will be between 95 and 100 degrees today. Heat Index values will be over 100°.

Slight Risk Today

Slight Risk Today

The Storm Prediction Center has included our area in a Slight Risk today. The risks are for damaging wind gusts and hail. Tornadoes are also possible but not as likely. The timing for these storms will be in the afternoon.

Future Trak @ 5pm

Future Trak @ 5pm

A few storms may develop ahead of the cold front as early as 3pm. Most of the storms will arrive this evening after 5pm. Damaging Wind Gusts and Hail will be possible, tornadoes and flooding risks are low for today. As we go throughout the day our temperatures in the atmosphere will allow for high amounts of CAPE, or the measurment of potential energy in the atmosphere. The key thing today is how much shear will we get? If we have high amounts of wind shear, then we will have stronger storms. Remember, shear is the wind speed at different heights in the atmosphere. If the wind is calm at the ground and 50mph at 10,000ft, then there are high amounts of shear.

Wind Shear

Wind Shear Graphic  (Credit: University of Reading)

Keep your eyes on the sky this afternoon for developing storms.

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson


Middle Of A June Heat Wave

June 18th, 2014 at 8:57 am by under Weather

We are in the middle of a June heatwave.  It is relatively small, but it is still packing some heat.  (Pun intended).  look at the high temperatures from yesterday:

Highs Yesterday

Highs Yesterday

We almost hit 100 in Williamsburg.  The heat index was over 100 in several cities.  We did have a few showers and storms which cooled down a couple of cities, but they were isolated to scattered.  Today we’ll see much of the same, but probably even less storms.  Temperatures will be 1-3 degrees hotter.  We’ll have a lot of sunshine thanks to the large area of high pressure near the region.

Today's Forecast

Today’s Forecast

Winds were actually up just a bit this morning.  They were southwest at 5-15mph.  However, the winds likely won’t stay up through the afternoon.  High temps will rise to the mid-upper 9s with a couple of inland cities (like Williamsburg) hitting 100 degrees.  The record in Norfolk is 99, and we are forecasting a high of 97 there.  When you combine the humidity, it will feel like 100-105 degrees in many of our cities.  That will be the heat index aka the (feels like temperature).  An isolated shower or storm may form to cool you down, but the rain chance is very small.  So here are a couple of tips to beat the heat.

1.  Drink plenty of fluids.  Especially water.  Try to avoid sodas and sugary drinks.  Also avoid alcohol.

2.  Wear light-weight/light-colored clothing.  It reflects most of the light, and stops it from absorbing into the material thereby creating heat.  It actually works.  Try it for yourself.

3.  Take plenty of breaks in the shade.  Especially if you work outside for a long period of time.

4.  If your A.C. doesn’t work too well, then you can head to a public place.  The library, the mall, and many places of worship are places to go to cool down.

5.  If your A.C. is out, then at least try to use a fan.  The breeze helps to speed up evaporation from the body, thereby cooling you down.  It can also help to circulate the air in your home.

6.  Close the curtains.  Light getting into the home turns into heat. So keep it out by closing the blinds and the curtains.

7.  Save the outdoor jobs and workouts until the evening or another day.

8.  Check on the elderly and the very young children.  Their bodies typically don’t deal with the heat very well.

Keep an eye out for heat illnesses like heat cramps, heat exhaustion, or even heat stroke. 

There will be a few showers overnight. Lows will be in the 70s.  Tomorrow we’ll see much of the same. However, late in the day the cold front to the north will make it close to the northern part of our viewing area.  So there will be some scattered showers and storms moving in from Maryland ahead of the front Thursday afternoon and evening.  Before the storms arrive we’ll see high temperatures in the mid 90s with upper 90s again in the south.  The afternoon storms should help to cool things down, but it could create a few downpours as well.  The front will likely stall out over the region during the weekend.  Therefore we’ll see a chance for rain each day.  At least that should keep the temperatures in the 80s for highs.  However, the humidity will not be much lower.

Temperature Forecast

Temperature Forecast

If you think we have it bad with the heat, then keep this in mind… In India there is a terrible heat wave that has been going on for over a week.  There have been over 150 deaths so far. The high temperature in Delhi has been over 110 for seven days.  Here is the story: Indian Heat Wave.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler