January 7th, 2015 at 8:50 am by Jeremy Wheeler under Weather
I thought about whether or not I should use the word brutal for this blast of cold air that’s on the way. While the temps themselves may not be brutal, the wind chills will be. It’s interesting that we are talking about brutal cold, but yet we aren’t likely to break a record low in the next couple of days. Huh?… Yep! I’ll be more specific in a moment. First off lets talk about what’s happening in the short-term. We had clouds this morning with a little sun peaking through. In fact… we had one of the most gorgeous shots on tower cam that I’ve ever seen due to the cloud setup. Take a look.
Temperatures were in the low/mid 30s. The winds were very light. I tried to warn people to not be fooled though as the temperatures were expected to drop today and the winds would quickly strengthen. There were no big weather systems near our region, but a large area of high pressure was building over the central U.S. This will be the biggest player in our weather over the next 36 hours.
The low in the northeast is weak, but won’t move much. The high to the west will build to very strong levels. It will get up to about 1036 mb (millibars). We are at about 1014 mb right now. The increasing pressure gradient (difference in value over a certain distance) will force the winds to increase. By this afternoon we’ll see winds out of the northwest at 15-25mph. Gusts will be up to about 35mph. Then tonight we could see some gusts up to 40mph. Cold air advecting in will force temperatures to drop to the teens overnight.
Forecast Low Temps
These numbers are model-based. So we could get a little lower near the coast. Either way it will be cold enough for pipes to freeze. So drip the faucets tonight. Only a slow drip is needed. Especially if your pipes are along an outer wall. Also bring in the pets that have been outside lately. Even the big dogs will be affected by this cold. Now, I mentioned that it will be cold but not record-setting. The record low for tomorrow morning at Norfolk is 13 set back in 1970. Temps are forecast to be in the upper teens there. If the winds would drop, then we might make a run for the record, but winds are expected to stay up. We could see some gusts to 30mph tomorrow morning. The area of high pressure will build in close enough to lighten the winds a bit tomorrow. They will stay up out of the northwest at about 10-20mph, but will gradually weaken. We could see some higher gusts near the shore in the morning. Skies will be mostly sunny. There may be a few Bay effect flurries over on the Eastern Shore, but otherwise it will be dry. High temperatures will only rise to the mid-upper 20s with a few 30s from Virginia Beach southward.
Forecast Temps Thursday
The winds will die down Thursday night. Temps will drop to the 20s. Then we’ll warm up to the low 40s Friday afternoon with fair skies. We’ll stay chilly this weekend, but it won’t be as cold. Highs will be in the upper 30s to low 40s. The rain has been pushed back from Sunday to Monday. So there’s some good news. We’ll probably get into the 50s on Monday….Heat wave!
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler
January 6th, 2015 at 10:55 pm by Don Slater under Uncategorized, Weather
You know your own house better than anyone. And you probably know how exposed your pipes might be affected by temperatures in the teens. Take precautions, if need be!
The colder temperatures start moving in on Wednesday afternoon…and it’ll be at its coldest on Thursday morning.
January 6th, 2015 at 10:47 pm by Don Slater under Uncategorized, Weather
By around Wednesday noon, the wind will likely increase and the temperatures should drop throughout the rest of the day and continue into Thursday morning. Winds should drop off during the day on Thursday, but the cold air will be in place! Highs on Thursday afternoon only around 25.
January 6th, 2015 at 8:40 am by Jeremy Wheeler under Weather
The super cold air is on the way, but today some of us were treated to a couple of snow flurries. It wasn’t much, but we had some isolated flakes falling from James City county to the Eastern Shore.
Flurries On Radar
Otherwise it was dry and chilly this morning. There was a weak upper level disturbance that was just north of our region. This was causing snow from Washington D.C. over to New York City.
This disturbance is quickly moving east. The whole region will dry out over the next few hours. We’ll see more sunshine this afternoon with highs in the upper 40s in Hampton Roads. Winds will be light and variable. The really cold air will start gaining strength tonight into tomorrow. Locally we’ll drop to the 30s tonight. Then tomorrow temps will either hold in the 30s, or they may even drop a bit.
Winds will pick up out of the west at 10-20mph with higher gusts. We could see a few flurries tomorrow as the winds pick up, but overall we are looking dry. Then the temps get really cold. Very strong high pressure will build in from the west. This will increase the winds as they turn more out of the north. These winds will let the cold air pour into the region. So lows will drop to the teens by Thursday morning. It will be in the 20s near the shore.
Future Trak Temps (Thursday AM)
With the winds up and the temps down it will feel like zero degrees with the wind chills. This will be dangerous for those that have to wait for buses and for anyone that works outside. We’ll have sunshine Thursday afternoon, but the high temperatures will only rise to the mid-upper 20s. Wow! Then we’ll drop back to the teens by Friday morning. This will be the time to drip the faucets. Not just the inland locations, but even cities near the shore. By Friday afternoon we should warm up a bit. Highs will rise back to the low 40s. We’ll see 40s over the weekend with a chance for rain coming back by Sunday.
With all of this cold air talk, it’s interesting to read about Alaska. Lately Anchorage has been very warm. Some folks up there are wondering where their Winter is. This is becoming a long term trend. This article from the LA Times talks about how it never got below freezing there during all of 2014. Warmth In Anchorage.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler
January 5th, 2015 at 10:54 pm by Don Slater under Uncategorized, Weather
We’ll get colder and colder!
Thursday is likely to be the coldest day since January 29th of last year. Morning wind chills are likely to be in the single digits.
January 5th, 2015 at 8:45 am by Jeremy Wheeler under Weather
Alright….I’m back from my trip to Illinois. It was a nice trip, and we got to see lots of family. It was pretty cold up there, but this is the first time that I took the trip during Winter and didn’t see one flake of snow. Some years I’ve seen at least a couple of flurries or some melted snow on the road. This year…nada. In fact many up there were wondering where their Winter went. It did snow right after we left, but it wasn’t much. One morning we woke up and the temperature was one degree. Then we get back here and the highs yesterday hit the mid 70s. Whaaa?? Now my body is out of whack! I took down my Christmas decorations in my shorts. It was pretty nice out yesterday afternoon, but it felt weird. Then the cold front moved through yesterday evening, and revved up the winds for a while. Now the winds have settled down. We had about a half inch of rain in the region (overall), but now the rain has moved out.
This morning the temps weren’t too bad, though they were dropping. Temps were in the 50s when I got in. Now they have dropped to the 40s. The cold front has already moved offshore.
There were some clouds around, but clearing has moved in from the west. We’ll stay in the 40s today with a couple of 50s here or there. Winds will be out of the west/northwest. Tonight we’ll see an upper level trough move into the region. So the clouds will increase a little bit. There may be some snow up towards Washington D.C., but not here. At most we could get a flurry towards Reedville or Chincoteague. Tomorrow we’ll see highs in the 40s again with partly cloudy skies. There will be more clouds to the north and there is a weak chance for a sprinkle or flurry north of the metro.
By Tuesday night/early Wednesday there will be another cold front moving through Hampton Roads. This will be the edge of the Arctic blast coming in from the Midwest. So highs will be in the mid 30s on Wednesday. We’ll drop to the teens by Thursday morning. Then we’ll only see highs in the upper 20s Thursday afternoon. The average high is 48 degrees for this time of year. We’ll warm up a bit then by Friday. Highs will return to the 40s. Oh boy!
While the overall forecast looks dry, I wouldn’t be surprised if a few flurries or sprinkles sneak into the forecast this week. Stay tuned for updates.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler
January 4th, 2015 at 8:35 pm by Tiffany Savona WAVY under Weather
You can say goodbye to the 70s we saw today, because it is going to get MUCH colder this week. We were only 3 degrees off from tying the record high at Norfolk International Airport today. The record is 78 set back in 2004.
Rain has been very scattered today and most areas have only picked up about a tenth of an inch so far. Some areas in North Carolina picked up anywhere from 0.5″-1.5″ thanks to the heavy rain that moved through early this morning.
I’m tracking a cold front that will move into Hampton Roads before midnight tonight. A line of showers may develop along the cold front. Future Trak has this batch of rain moving in between 9-11 PM this evening. The line of rain won’t last very long and the rain should end before midnight.
Future Trak at 9 PM
Winds have been strong tonight out of the south and southwest ranging from 15-25mph. Once the front moves in, winds will pick up a little bit more out of the west and northwest. Gusts could reach 30-35mph at times. These breezy northwest winds will usher in much cooler air, dropping temperatures into the lower 40s by tomorrow morning. Some inland spots may see lows in the upper 30s.
Colder on Monday!
Our high temperature for the day will be recorded right around midnight when temperatures will be in the 50s. Temperatures will only rise into the mid to upper 40s by the afternoon, which is a good 30° colder than today. It will stay chilly on Tuesday with highs in the mid to upper 40s. Average high this time of year is 48°. Then an arctic front will move in late Tuesday/early Wednesday bringing in the coldest air of the season so far. Highs will drop into the mid 30s on Wednesday. Thursday will be even colder with highs in the 20s and lows in the teens! We haven’t seen temperatures this low since last January. Make sure you are prepared for the COLD weather!
-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona
January 4th, 2015 at 9:10 am by Jeff Edmondson WAVY under Weather
Well, the warm and humid air has finally arrived in our area. Temperatures will climb to the 70-75 degree mark this afternoon. We won’t be able to get outside and enjoy much of it because we will see high chances for rain most of the day.
Future Trak @ 11am
Thunderstorms Possible This Evening
A few scattered strong thunderstorms may develop of a cold front moving across our area later today and tonight (After 3pm). These storms could bring heavy rain and damaging wind gusts. The storm prediction center still has our area in a marginal risk of storms for today.
Severe Threat Index
Heavy rain may come down at times, this could cause temporary flooding to small streams and low lying areas. Stay tuned this afternoon for updates if any watches or warnings are issued.
Do you have the WAVY Weather App? It can send weather alerts to your phone and you can check radar anytime you want too.
Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson
January 3rd, 2015 at 9:38 pm by Tiffany Savona WAVY under Weather
A Dense Fog Advisory has been issued for most of the region until early Sunday morning. Watch out for visibilities below 1/4 of a mile. If driving, leave plenty of distance between the vehicle in front of you and reduce your speed. Even though this advisory does not include the Eastern Shore and Middle Peninsula, I still think we will see widespread fog in these areas too. So be careful out there!
Dense Fog Advisory
The fog has developed in areas north of the warm front where winds are calm. Once the warm front moves through your area, the wind will pick and start to get rid of some of the fog. There will probably be some fog around tomorrow morning, but with the winds increasing, I don’t think visibilities will be as low as what they are right now.
9:00 PM Visibilities
Temperatures will be rising overnight once a warm front moves through the region. Temperatures will be in the 50s around midnight and then jump into the lower 60s early Sunday morning. Near record warmth is possible on Sunday as high temperatures rise into the mid 70s. The record high at Norfolk International Airport tomorrow is 78° set back in 2004. Winds will be strong out of the southwest at 15-25mph with gusts up to 30mph at times. So it will be a warm and breezy day. A few showers will be possible Sunday morning, but there is a better chance for rain during the afternoon.
Future Trak at 9 AM Sunday
A line of showers and storms will develop way out ahead of our next cold front anytime between 3-7 PM. Some of the storms may be strong with damaging winds gusts and heavy downpours as the main threats.
Future Trak at 5 PM
We may see a little break in the action before more rain moves in along the actual cold front Sunday night.
Future Trak at 9 PM
Most of the rain will come to an end by midnight and the clouds will begin to clear out from north to south across the region. Much colder air will move in from the northwest and temperatures will drop into the 40s by Monday morning. Highs will only be in the mid to upper 40s Monday afternoon, which is a good 30 degree temperatures drop in just 24-hours. Rain totals should average between 0.25″- 0.5″, but could be higher in areas that see a storm or heavy downpour.
The coldest air of the season will arrive Wednesday into Thursday. Highs will drop into the 20s on Thursday! Make sure you are prepared!
-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona
January 3rd, 2015 at 8:43 am by Jeff Edmondson WAVY under Weather
I hope you haven’t packed away the shorts and sandals yet. We are just beginning to see the warmer air move in from the south. This warm air is coming from a large storm system in the Midwest which will bring us light rain today and thunderstorms tomorrow.
Light showers and cloudy skies are associated with warm fronts. We’ll see the majority of the rain this morning. Future Trak is still keeping us slightly wet this afternoon.
Afternoon Sprinkles/Showers Possible
Tonight the sprinkles/showers should taper off. Low temperatures will be around 57 degrees tonight, remember this is a strong warm pool of air moving in to the area, that should keep our temperatures mild and increasing tonight. By tomorrow morning we should have temperatures in the 50s and 60s.
Evening Thunderstorms Sunday
Future Trak isn’t picking up on the line of showers I am expecting to see tomorrow. That cold front will drop our temperatures from the 70s to the 40s by tomorrow night! Some of the thunderstorms may be strong. The Storm Prediction Center has parts of our area in a marginal risk for severe weather. We will keep an eye on it as we get closer.
After the front moves through our highs will be in the 40s for a couple of days, later next week another cold front will move through which will drop our highs to the 20s by Thursday!
Enjoy your weekend,
Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson