Weather

Rain/Snow in the Metro

February 12th, 2015 at 5:01 pm by under Weather

Rain started falling in Williamsburg and Gloucester around 2:30 PM and it quickly transitioned to a rain/snow mix by 2:45 PM.

We’ve had several viewers sending in pictures from the Peninsula showing light snow accumulations on grass and decks:

If you want to send us your reports, pictures, or videos, feel free to email us at: REPORTIT@WAVY.COM

As temperatures continue to drop, cities across the metro will see rain mixing with snow as well:

Super Doppler 10 Radar

Super Doppler 10 Radar

This snow comes at a very inconvenient time because it’s right in the middle of your evening commute, but the good news is, the snow won’t last too long.  Expect light accumulations on the grass and cars, but not much on the roads.  The rain/snow will start to taper off after 7 PM.  As the precip moves out, the clouds will follow suit, so you can expect clearing skies overnight.

Here’s the problem:

Black Ice Possible

Black Ice Possible

With mainly clear skies overnight, temperatures will plummet into the low-20s by Friday morning.  Even though temperatures will be in the low-20s tomorrow morning, the wind will make it feel even colder – wind chills will be in the single digits and teens!  Some of the puddles may freeze, so be aware of icy spots on the roads!  Expect plenty of sunshine, but not much of a warm up – temperatures are only expected to top out near 30°.

-Meteorologist Ashley Baylor


Rain, Snow, And Very Cold!

February 12th, 2015 at 8:31 am by under Weather

We’ll be pretty busy in the weather center today.  Not only will we be tracking some crazy up-and-down temperatures, but we also have a shot at seeing a rain/snow mix this evening.  That’s in the short-term.  In the long-term we have a deep freeze on the way.  Let’s talk about it.

This morning we had a lot of sunshine.  Skies were clear and temps started to warm from near 30 to the mid 30s.  We have southwest winds at 5-10mph.  These will increase to 10-15mph and will help to raise the temperatures today.  An area of high pressure that is offshore is allowing for the clear skies and warming winds.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Through the early afternoon we’ll warm up to near 50 degrees. It will be pretty nice out.  Some models suggest we’ll even get into the low 50s with 4os north of the metro.  Meanwhile a strong cold front will be moving in from the west.  This will head into Hampton Roads, and will start dropping the temps by the mid-afternoon.  We’ll drop to the mid 40s by 3pm. Then we’ll drop to the 30s by 5-7pm.  Scattered rain showers will turn into scattered rain and snow showers between 4 and 7pm.  Here is what our Future Trak model looks like at 6 o’clock.  It shows the precipitation (blue is snow, green is rain) as well as the air temperatures:

Future Trak (6pm)

Future Trak (6pm)

Please note that the green and blue actually overlap representing a mix of the two.  The temperatures will drop a little more through the evening, but temps will stay above freezing most of the time. Here is the wider view of Futre Trak at 7pm:

Future Trak (7pm)

Future Trak (7pm)

The scattered mix will turn into mainly snow showers between 7 and 9pm.  They will push into North Carolina during that time. We’ll dry out shortly after.  Again with the air temperatures mostly above freezing during the period, we’ll see a lot of melting this evening.  Ground temperatures are above freezing as well.  There will probably be some light accumulations on vehicles and decks.  There may be a dusting on some grassy spots, but the roads should be ok.  There may be a few slick spots on the bridges and overpasses as a lot of the water freezes/refreezes overnight.  Otherwise we’ll dry out, and we’ll stay dry through all of Friday.

Tomorrow morning will be rough.  We’ll start the day with temps in the teens and 20s.  Winds will be out of the northwest at 10-20mph with higher gusts. So winds chills will be near zero.  We won’t warm up much through the day. Highs will only be in the low 30s.  We will warm up a little on Saturday.  Highs will be in the low 40s.  Then a second cold front will move through Saturday night.  We may see a few flurries then.  On Sunday we’ll start out in the low 20s.  Highs will only be in the upper 20s.  We’ll see lows in the teens Monday morning.  Then highs will only rise to near 30.  Holy Brrr Batman!  There is a chance for rain on Tuesday with some milder temperatures.

The details may change for this evening as it will all be highly local.  (neighborhood to neighborhood).  So check back for updates.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 


50s, Snowflakes, Arctic Blast

February 11th, 2015 at 5:34 pm by under Weather

So if you have been waiting for a warm-up, tomorrow is your day. Highs will be around 50°. It’s a slight warm-up and it will only last for a few hours, but it is a warm-up none the less. :)
We will likely see our high temperatures right around the Noon hour before the cold front moves through the region. Once the front moves through the region, our winds will shift more out of the northwest and pick up between 10-20mph. Colder air will move in and we will drop into the 30s by the early evening.

Thursday's Temperature Forecast

Thursday’s Temperature Forecast

There is a pocket of energy in the mid levels of the atmosphere that may provide enough lift for scattered rain and snow showers to develop across the region between 3-8 PM. Any snow that falls from the sky should not stick to the ground since temperatures will still be above freezing at that point and ground temperatures are in the mid to upper 30s. If the snow comes down heavy enough, it may overcome the ground temperatures to leave a dusting on grassy surfaces in very isolated locations. But the chance of this happening is low. Sorry snow lovers!

Future Trak at 7 PM

Future Trak at 7 PM Thursday

Friday will be much colder behind the front. Temperatures will start off in the 20s, but with the wind, it will FEEL more like the single digits. Highs will only reach the lower 30s by Friday afternoon. We will be in-between systems Saturday, so temperatures will rise a little bit more into the lower 40s. I know…what a warm-up! Then the ARCTIC cold front will blast through Hampton Roads Saturday night. We will have another chance for light snow showers/flurries Saturday night as well. We will see the coldest weather since January 8th, maybe even the coldest weather of the season, on Sunday. Temperatures will drop into the teens and lower 20s Sunday morning. If you live in an inland area, then you may want to drip your faucets before bed Saturday night to be safe. High temperatures will only be in the mid to upper 20s Sunday afternoon. Everyone will need to drip their faucets Sunday night into Monday because low temperatures will drop into the teens area wide.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Arctic Blast And A February Typhoon.

February 11th, 2015 at 9:11 am by under Weather

After the mess of rain, wind, cold, and wintry mix yesterday; we’ll see improving weather today.  The low that caused the mess is heading out to sea.  High pressure is building in from the west.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

I’ve seen this a lot this Winter…Even though the low pulls out, the high that builds-in still creates a strong breeze. So during the early morning hours there were still some wind gusts up to 30mph near the shore.  Those winds have died down since I got in.  They shouldn’t be too bad today. They will be out of the north at 10-15mph with higher gusts this morning.  We’ll see retreating clouds this afternoon.  Highs will be in the upper 30s to low 40s.

By tomorrow the high will already be moving offshore.  We’ll see southerly winds which will boost the high temperatures to near 50.  However, a very strong cold front will move through in the evening.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

We’ll see a few showers ahead of the front in the late afternoon. As the front moves in, the temperatures will crash to the 30s.  This will allow for a brief window where the scattered rain showers will turn into scattered light snow showers.  Some models only have flurries.  So keep that in mind.  Also the window looks very small.  (From about 4-7pm).  Here is what Future Trak shows for that time:

Future Trak (5pm Thur.)

Future Trak (5pm Thur.)

Our model mainly shows a wintry mix.  Surprise…surprise.  No matter what falls, I can’t see anything sticking. The ground temperatures will be well above freezing, and the surface temperatures will be just above freezing.  So unless it comes down heavy. It won’t stick to anything.  Maybe some vehicles and decks, but that’s even an outside chance.  This is expected to dry up by 8pm.

By Friday night lows will drop down to the upper teens and low 20s. Then we’ll only rise to the low 30s Friday afternoon. Skies will be partly sunny.  We’ll warm up a bit next Saturday ahead of the next cold punch.  We could see a few flurries Saturday evening as that next front moves through.  If the Thursday night cold punch is a jab, then the Saturday night cold punch will be an uppercut.  We’ll see lows drop to the teens Saturday night.  Then highs will only be in the mid-upper 20s Sunday and Monday.  We’ll see lows in the low/mid teens Sunday night/Monday morning.  Whoa.  We’ll warm up just a bit on Tuesday.  Get ready for the big temp drop!

In another part of the world, there is news of a February Typhoon.  It is Typhoon Higos east of Guam.  It is the most unlikely time of year for a typhoon, yet one is/was out there.  It doesn’t look like it will cause too many problems.  Here is one article with some recent info: Typhoon Higos. This system has been tracked by the Japan Meteorological Agency.

Also in world news… There is a long-term problem in the north.  The annual dog sled races in the Yukon are being threatened by Global Warming.  Keeping in mind that Boston is having one of their snowiest Winters on record, the Yukon has shown signs of warming over the last few decades.  While a warmup may sound like good thing. It actually creates dangerous conditions for the mushers.  Here is an article with more information: Dog Sled Races Threatened by Warming.  

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Rain Ends, Cold/Wind Continue

February 10th, 2015 at 6:13 pm by under Weather

What a rainy, cold and windy day across Hampton Roads! It was one of those days where you just didn’t want to go outside. And if you were outside long enough, the wind may have turned your umbrella inside out. I hate when that happens! Rain totals ranged anywhere from 0.25″-1″ over the past 24 hours. This is about a half inch below the average for the month of February.

24-Hour Rain Totals

24-Hour Rain Totals

Thankfully the rain is ending across the region. But the wind will stay up overnight, which will help dry out the roads and sidewalks. So I don’t think ice will be a problem tonight or tomorrow. Just use extra caution when traveling over bridges and overpasses. Winds speeds should range between 15-25mph with gusts up to 35mph overnight and early Wednesday morning. Notice that winds could be a little stronger along the coastline.

Forecast Wind Speed

Forecast Wind Speeds – 7 AM Wednesday

The strong northerly wind is pushing the water down the Bay. This could lead to minor tidal flooding for the Southside Hampton Roads cities during the next high tide cycle, which is around 1:30 AM. If you live in an area that typically sees tidal flooding, be sure to move your car before heading to bed tonight.

Sewells Point Tides

Sewells Point Tides

Temperatures will drop into the lower 30s overnight, but when you factor in the wind, it will FEEL more like the teens. Make sure the kids are covered from head to toe as they head out to the bus stop tomorrow morning. Winds will finally come down tomorrow afternoon. Wednesday’s forecast is looking a little bit better…lots of sunshine in the afternoon and highs in the upper 30s. The best day of the week will be Thursday when temperatures will be around 50°. Don’t expect that nice weather to last because a strong cold front will move in Thursday afternoon. It could spark off scattered rain/snow showers Thursday night.

Future Trak at 7 PM Thursday

Future Trak at 7 PM Thursday

No accumulation is expected, but if you’re lucky, you may see some light snow falling from the sky. Highs drop into the lower 30s on Friday. Then get ready for an ARCTIC BLAST Saturday night into Sunday. Sunday could be the coldest day of the season with lows in the teens and highs in the mid to upper 20s. The coldest day so far this season was January 8th, when the official high temperature was 25° at the Norfolk Airport. Make sure you are prepared for the bitter cold this weekend!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 


What A Mess!

February 10th, 2015 at 8:17 am by under Weather

While the system that is impacting our region isn’t the biggest/baddest storm.  It is having a lot of minor-moderate effects.  Rain has been going for much of the overnight (as expected).  However, this morning we developed a wintry mix over parts of the area.

Morning Radar

Morning Radar

There were a few reports of sleet, but I didn’t see too many reports of snow nor freezing rain.   Basically a weak but sizable area of low pressure is moving offshore, and that is causing our precipitation.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Most cities saw cold rain. We’ve picked up about a half inch of rain so far.  Temperatures were in the mid-upper 30s with a few low 30s inland and on the Eastern Shore.  Through the day the rain chances will taper off, but a spotty shower may hang on until the evening.  Temperatures will be stuck.  We’ll only rise to the upper 30s with a few 40s.   Winds will be very strong.  We’ll see them run at 15-25mph out of the north/northeast.  Gusts will be up to 35mph.  Especially near the shore. We’ll probably have a couple gusts to 40mph.  Due to the strong winds we do have a chance for minor tidal flooding today and tonight.  Tides will run about 1-2 feet above normal.  The problem is that the waves are also high over the ocean.  Waves are running 8-12ft offshore and about 6-8ft near shore.  High tide will be a little before and after the noon hour.  Also around midnight tonight.  If you live along the Outer Banks, then prepare for some overwash.  It is likely to happen.  So be careful driving there today.

Tomorrow the weather will be much quieter.  We’ll have fair skies with more clouds along the coast.  Winds won’t be as strong as today.  They will be out of the north at about 10-20mph.  High temperatures will only be in the upper 30s with some 40s inland.  We’ll warm up a little bit on Thursday to the upper 40s.  This will be ahead of the next cold front.  The Thursday front will be the beginning of an Arctic Outbreak.  We are talking frigid weather even for here.  Highs will be in the low 30s on Friday.  Then we’ll be in the upper 30s on Saturday with lows in the 20s.  Doesn’t sound too terrible does it?  Well the second push of cold air arrives Saturday night.  So we’ll drop down to the teens then.  We’ll only see highs in the mid-upper 20s Sunday into Monday.  Maybe even in the low/mid 20s one of those days.  Lows will be in the teens and almost single digits.  Most of that period looks dry, but we’ll probably see flurries Thursday night, and we may see some over the weekend too.  The cold air is definitely there, but it is mainly a dry/cold airmass.  Sorry snow lovers.

Before I go… I saw this article about something that isn’t tied to weather exactly, but it is tied to nature and the environment.  Apparently, millions and millions of monarch butterflies have disappeared over the last 30 years. The article ties the reason mostly to pesticides.  Here’s the article: Monarch butterflies disappear.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Hello Backdoor Cold Front!

February 9th, 2015 at 1:14 pm by under Weather

So…temperatures are all over the place this midday thanks to a backdoor cold front. This front was stationary across the Maryland Eastern Shore earlier this morning. The other cold front that we have been talking about is still west of Richmond. So why is there such a large difference in temperatures? Well that stationary front is clearly on the move and dropping from northeast to southwest across the region. Here is the approximate location of the front as I write this blog (12:45 PM).

12:45 PM Temperatures

12:45 PM Temperatures

I know I told you yesterday we were going to see another warm day today. And we did! Temperatures were in the upper 50s/lower 60s earlier this morning. Some spots are in the 70s right now. But temperatures dropped a little bit sooner than expected. We thought the stationary front would have remained stationary and stayed off to our north. Obviously that did not happen. Computer models have a very tough time picking up on these small features. But these small features can have a big impact on the way people dress for the day. Winds have picked up behind the backdoor cold front out of the northeast at 10-15mph. Expect falling temperatures throughout the rest of the afternoon. Temperatures will fall into the 40s north, 40s/50s metro and 60s North Carolina over the next few hours.

The actual cold front will move in tonight bringing the chance for scattered showers across the region.

Future Trak at 8 PM

Future Trak at 8 PM

Rain will continue overnight and into tomorrow morning. Tuesday will be colder and windy! Temperatures will hover in the 30s all day long and with a strong northerly wind howling at 20-30mph, it will feel more like the 20s!

I am making some changes to the forecast, so catch the latest updates on WAVY News 10 at 4 PM.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Trampoline Temperatures And California’s Droughtflood.

February 9th, 2015 at 8:46 am by under Weather

Wow!  You have to appreciate a day like yesterday.  Highs were near 70 over most of the region.  Skies were mostly sunny.  It was dreamy.  Especially since there wasn’t a lot of humidity.  Today will be a transition day.  Then we’ll see the deep freeze by the end of the week.  We are already seeing more clouds than yesterday.  Skies were mostly cloudy this morning with temps in the 40s and 50s.   The lovely area of high pressure that brought us Sunday sunshine is pushing offshore.  Clouds are steadily streaming in behind it.  We will see a lot of clouds today, but there will be a few breaks.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

There was a stationary front near the Eastern Shore.  It will be cooler over there today.  However, the bigger cold front won’t move through until the late afternoon/early evening.  We’ll see some scattered showers start up ahead of the front this afternoon.  High temps will be in the 70s south, mid-upper 60s in the metro, and upper 50s to low 60s north of the metro.  It will be cooler on the Eastern Shore and Northern Neck with some low 50s there.  Maybe even upper 40s.  During the evening the scattered showers will increase.  We could even see some isolated thunderstorms as the front passes.  Overnight the rain chances will increase.  Lows will drop to the upper 30s tonight.  The rain will continue into tomorrow morning.  The low will slowly push offshore.  Rain will probably linger through midday.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

It will be much cooler tomorrow. Highs will be in the low 40s.  Also it will be very windy.  Winds will be from the northwest at 10-20mph with gusts up to 30mph.  Here we go again! We’ll stay cool on Wednesday (low 40s), then we’ll warm up to near 50 on Thursday.  HOWEVER…

Friday…The computer models are showing some of the coldest air that I’ve seen so far this year moving into the region.  At this time it looks to me like we’ll see highs in the upper 20s to low 30s, and it’s possible that we’ll only see low/mid 20s for highs.  Lows will be in the teens and I wouldn’t be surprised if some inland locations drop to the single digits.  It’s still a bit early, and temps might moderate before we get there.  Regardless, the warm air from this last weekend will definitely be looong gooone.

There has been a lot of snow in the northeast states.  It’s been in the headlines quite a bit.  It has been rough lately for many folks who have just tried get around.  The snow continues up there today (see sat/rad map above).

Meanwhile California has had an interesting scenario lately.  They are in both an extreme drought with extreme floods.  Huh?  While northern parts of the state have been getting hit with flooding rain. The drought still looms for most of the state.  They have had some rain in the southern half of the state, but it will take much more to alleviate the current drought:

U.S. Drought Monitor forWest

Extreme/Exceptional Drought In California (NOAA)

Here’s more info on the recent rain/flooding: California Flood.   So much for California Dreamin.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


One More Warm Day!

February 8th, 2015 at 9:09 pm by under Weather

How about those 60s and 70s today?! Lots of you posted pictures of how you spent your Sunday outside on our Facebook page. Thanks for sharing your pictures with us!

Sunday HIghs

Sunday Highs

Days like today get me excited for the spring time. But, we are only in the second week of February, so we have 6 more weeks of winter left. January and February are the typically the coldest months of the year. So you can’t expect these nice warm days to last for too long. We have one more warm day before the colder weather returns. Clouds will be on the increase tonight out ahead of our next storm system. Temperatures will only drop into the upper 40s by Monday morning thanks to the increase in cloud cover and the persistent southwesterly breeze running between 10-15mph. There may be a little bit of sunshine tomorrow morning, but I wouldn’t count on much. Our next cold front won’t move in until Monday evening, so most of the day will be spent out ahead of the front. That means we will stay warm with the help of our southwesterly winds. Since it will be cloudy tomorrow, it won’t be as warm as today, but highs will still rise into the lower 60s. Scattered rain could move in anytime after 12 PM, but will likely push in after 3 PM, so the first half of the day will be dry.

Future Trak at 3 PM Monday

Future Trak at 3 PM Monday

Rain will increase in coverage Monday night and continue into Tuesday morning.

Future Trak at 7 AM Tuesday

Future Trak at 7 AM Tuesday

We will dry out by Tuesday afternoon, but it will turn much colder. Temperatures will start off in the 40s Tuesday morning and then drop into the upper 30s by the evening. The wind will be howling out of the north at 15-25mph, making it feel more like the 20s!

Temperatures are going to be all over the place this week. Our next strong Arctic cold front will move in Thursday. We may even see flurries/snow showers develop across some coastal areas late Thursday/early Friday. Stay tuned!

Notice that it will get much COLDER by the end of the week and into this upcoming weekend.

Temperature Trend

Temperature Trend

Grab the light jacket and the umbrella before heading out Monday morning!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Lobstahs and Pineapples

February 7th, 2015 at 10:22 am by under Weather

Both are very tasty, but have absolutely nothing to do with this blog.

Confused?  Well….keep reading, I think you’ll get the gist..

It’s going to be a gorgeous weekend in Hampton Roads – we’ll have plenty of sunshine Saturday and Sunday with highs ranging from the mid-50s to the mid-60s!

Weekend Forecast

Weekend Forecast

ZzZZzZzZzz….wake me when something happens!

Other parts of the country would be begging for this forecast!

There’s snow business like snow business in New England!  Most of the Northeast already has 1-3 feet of snow on the ground, and it will continue to pile up over the next 3 days!  This time around, New Englanders and lobstahs won’t be dealing one huge storm that dumps several inches in one day.  A stalled front, coupled with plenty of moisture, and a wave of low pressure will drop 10-18 inches of snow across New England through Tuesday.  At this rate, Boston will have snow piles until July..which is probably when the kiddos will get out of school because of all of the make-up snow days!

More Snow For New England

More Snow For New England

As Bill Belichick would say, “on to San Francisco”!  (Okay, I know he said Cincinnati, but Cincinnati isn’t in this blog!)

Water, water everywhere in the Pacific Northwest!  Northern California, Oregon, and Washington will be dealing with torrential rain and wind.  The “Pineapple Express” is set to drop up to 10 inches of rain through Monday.  If you’ve never heard of the “Pineapple Express”, think of it as an atmospheric river of moisture that brings rain and wind to the Pacific coast.  With so much rain in a short amount of time, mudslides are possible.

Torrential Rain in the Northwest

Torrential Rain in the Northwest

I know it doesn’t look like much rain in the picture, but this was taken when there was a bit of a lull in the action.

Since it’s going to be so beautiful here, hopefully you’ll have a chance to get out and enjoy it!  Just remember, when it comes to temperatures in February, what goes up, must come down.  (Hint: look at Friday on our 7-Day forecast.)

-Meteorologist Ashley Baylor