Weather

Warm St. Patty’s Day!

March 17th, 2015 at 8:03 am by under Weather

Enjoy it while you can.  We are going to have one more warm day, and then it will get much cooler around here.  This morning we started so warm that I heard birds chirping at 3:30 in the morning.  It was nice.  This time of year is very nice for several reasons.  When it warms up you still don’t get the high humidity, and the insects still aren’t out in full force.  Also, it’s still a little early for the pollen to come out.  Plus, you can get away without running the A.C. or heat for a couple of weeks.  Longer if the weather cooperates.

So yes… We are looking at a nice warm St. Patrick’s Day.   With a mix of sun and clouds and a southwest breeze at 10-15mph we’ll warm temps up to the upper 70s.  There will be a few 80s inland, but it will still be cooler near the shore.  (60s/70s).  The breeze should be enough to push back any sea breeze.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

There is a cold front to our north.  It will try to move in during the evening.  This may kick off a stray shower, but the odds are low.  We’ll be mostly dry over the next 48 hours.  Tomorrow the cold front will drop as far south as South Carolina.  We’ll be cold and dry behind it.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

Winds will run out of the north at 10-20mph.  So highs will only be in the upper 40s.  That will be about a 30 degree drop in temps in a 24 hour period.  By Wednesday night low temperatures will drop back to the low 30s.  This is important as many plants and flowers are starting to bud and maybe even bloom.  So we may have to start protecting the sensitive plants with these cold shots over the next couple of weeks.

On Thursday an area of low pressure will move into the region.  It will run into a pretty chilly airmass.  Now it will be too warm here for snow, but a wintry mix of sleet and snow will be possible over parts of central and northern Virginia. Again, this is on Thursday.  It would likely melt, but keep it in mind if you are traveling or commuting.  Locally we’ll see rain showers on and off from late Thursday into Friday.  Highs will be in the 40s on Thursday and near 50 on Friday.  The low will push out by Friday evening.  High pressure will settle in for the weekend.  However, we will get another surge of cooler air Sunday into Monday.  It might be a while before we see a long stretch of warm weather.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Warm 2 days. Cyclone Pam.

March 16th, 2015 at 8:39 am by under Weather

Meteorologist Tiffany Savona did a good blog last night about the weak earthquake in Virginia and the record snow in Boston.  I just wanted to add a couple of quick topics.  Tropical cyclone (hurricane) Pam has caused major destruction over the island of Vanuatu, as well other parts of Oceania.  It was on the level of a strong category 4 hurricane with some winds gusting up to 190mph.  This was one of the strongest hurricanes in the Pacific since typhoon Haiyan in 2013.  There will be more reports about Pam’s damage coming in over the next couple of days.  Here is one of the latest reports: Cyclone Pam.

Locally, we’ll see some nice weather around here.  It will be another mild day with highs in the upper 60s to around 70. It will be another one of those days where it is cooler near the shore and warmer inland.  We do have some strips of clouds coming in from the northwest, but they should thin out at times today.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

High pressure is centered to our southwest, but it reaches into our region.  Winds will be light and southwest.  This could allow for a sea-breeze to form today.  However, tomorrow we’ll have a stronger atmospheric breeze out of the west/southwest.  This should push the warmth to the shore.  That’s why I’m calling for mid 70s in the forecast for St. Patrick’s Day.  Skies will be partly cloudy.  Nice!

A cold front will move through the region Tuesday night.  This could bring a few showers, but it will also drop the temps quite a bit.  So we’ll only see highs in the upper 40s on Wednesday and Thursday.  Youch!  Not the deep freeze, but far below the average high temperature of 58.

We’ll see some rain move in again late Thursday into Friday as an area of low pressure moves into the region.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Earthquake, Record Snow, Warm Weather

March 15th, 2015 at 9:10 pm by under Weather

The U.S. Geological Survey says a magnitude 2.8 earthquake struck around 3 AM. The epicenter was about 6 miles south of Louisa, which is a town northwest of Richmond.

Louisa Earthquake

Louisa Earthquake

This was a minor quake, but some people did feel the shaking. No injuries or damage have been reported. One interesting note…this recent earthquake was very close to the epicenter of the magnitude 5.8 earthquake back in August of 2011. Major damage and several injuries were reported in Mineral, a town in Louisa County, which was closest to the epicenter. The 2011 earthquake also caused damage to the Washington Monument in DC. Louisa County falls within the Central Virginia Seismic Zone. This seismic zone has many known faults and many unknown faults, so it’s always difficult to determine what fault caused an earthquake in Virginia. Most of the earthquakes reported in Virginia are minor.

As the title suggests…onto Record SNOW! As of 7 PM, an additional 2.9″ of snow fell in Boston. Boston has now broken the record for the SNOWIEST SEASON EVER WITH 108.6″ OF SNOW SO FAR!

Boston Breaks Record For Snowiest Season EVER

Boston Breaks Record For Snowiest Season EVER

Now…how about more on our local weather. Well…all is quiet and warm for now. It was a sunny, but breezy Sunday. Some winds gusts were over 30mph. Wind speeds should come down tonight. With clear conditions and light winds, temperatures will drop into the upper 30s to around 40°. It will be a chilly start to your Monday, but we will warm up quickly. Highs will be in the upper 60s with some lower 70s inland Monday afternoon. Tuesday will be even warmer out ahead of our next cold front. It will feel more like May with highs in the mid 70s. I wouldn’t be surprised if we see a couple of inland spots hit 80°. A strong cold front will move through Hampton Roads Tuesday evening. The front may spark off an isolated shower, but most locations will stay dry. Temperatures will drop a good 20-25 degrees on Wednesday. Highs will only be in the 40s and lows will be in the 30s!

Temperature Trend

Temperature Trend

Our next storm system will bring rain chances back to the forecast Thursday afternoon. Rain looks to continue for most of the day on Friday too. Spring is right around the corner! Spring officially begins at 6:45 PM Friday. Don’t put away the winter coat just yet, because you will need it later this week, especially in the mornings.

Have a good week!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 

 


Pi Day, Sunny Sunday Ahead!

March 14th, 2015 at 8:39 pm by under Weather

Happy Pi Day everyone! This year, Pi Day is extra special, because all of the digits in today’s date match the number Pi. Pi (represented by the Greek letter omega) is the ratio of the circumference of a circle to its diameter. Pi is an infinite number, which means it never ends or repeats. For simple mathematical calculations, pi is usually rounded to 3.14. At precisely, 9:26:53 tonight, even more digits will match pi! I think Deanna and I will celebrate by eating some pie at that exact time. :)

Happy Pi Day!

Happy Pi Day!

Now what does pi have to do with weather….well…pi is used in mathematical calculations. And you have to study a lot of math and science to become a meteorologist. So… now onto the weather. Rain has ended across Hampton Roads. Most locations saw anywhere from 0.5 to 1 inch of rain. That puts us right on track for the month of March with a total of 1.74 inches of rain.

Today's Rain Totals

Today’s Rain Totals

We are going to hold onto a slight chance for a few more light showers before midnight. A weak cold front (wind shift line) is going to move through the region before midnight and some of the hi-resolution models have more showers developing between 9 PM-12 AM. If the rain develops, it will be very light and scattered, so I think many places will stay dry. Expect partial clearing overnight with low temperatures dropping into the upper 40s and lower 50s.

Sunday will be a few degrees cooler overall and much drier. Highs will be around 60° with some mid 60s possible across some inland areas. The weather is looking great for the  One City Marathon in Newport News. Just a little bit chilly in the morning, then warming up nicely by the late morning hours. The humidity levels will be much lower compared to what we saw today, which is great news for everyone participating in these events. Good luck to all the runners out there!

One City Marathon Forecast

One City Marathon Forecast – Newport News

The warm weather will continue Monday and Tuesday with highs in the mid 60s. Spring officially begins Friday, March 20th at 6:45 PM.  But we can’t say we are done with the colder weather just yet because we are looking at another big cool down by the end of the week. A strong cold front will move into Hampton Roads Tuesday night and bring much colder air back to the region. Highs will drop into the upper 40s and lows will plummet into the 30s Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. Rain chances will go back up Thursday and Friday as our next storm system moves into the region.

Enjoy the rest of your weekend!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Showin’ A Little Green

March 14th, 2015 at 9:37 am by under Weather

At least the radar is looking festive today..showing a little green!

Don’t let the thought of soggy shamrocks keep you from going to the St. Patrick’s Day Parade in Ocean View..just bring an umbrella, a jacket with a hood, or at least a big green poncho!

St. Patrick's Day Parade

St. Patrick’s Day Parade

Temperatures will be in the upper-50s, near 60° for the duration of the parade.  The wind will pick up out of the southwest this afternoon, so temperatures will eventually top out in the mid-60s.

Don’t expect steady rain from start to finish today, instead, we’ll be tracking on and off showers.  Between 1-4 PM, we may see some pockets of moderate rain along with an isolated thunderstorm or two.  I don’t anticipate any strong or severe storms.  (There is a marginal threat of a few isolated strong storms farther south, primarily between mainland Dare County through Myrtle Beach, into Savannah, Georgia.)

Future Trak 3 PM

Future Trak 3 PM

Intermittent showers will continue through this evening, so once again, if you’re going to be out, I would grab an umbrella!

Future Trak 7 PM

Future Trak 7 PM

The wet weather will taper off around Midnight.  The clouds will gradually clear out overnight, so by the time you wake up Sunday morning, we’ll have plenty of sunshine with temperatures starting in the upper-40s, near 50°.

If you’re going to be running in the One City Marathon tomorrow, you’ll have perfect running weather (or at least what I would assume is perfect running weather)..

One City Marathon

One City Marathon

Not too hot, not too cold – it’ll be a great day for any and all outdoor activities!

Right now, we are tracking a mainly dry week ahead – no more rain until next Friday, but as we know, things can change between now and then..

-Meteorologist Ashley Baylor


Shamrocks and Pi

March 13th, 2015 at 6:07 pm by under Weather

In the spirit of St. Patrick’s Day, the radar is showing some green..

We’ll be tracking scattered showers as we continue through the evening hours.  Key word – scattered – at times you’ll need an umbrella, and other times we’ll be dry.  It’s just one of those situations where you want to keep an umbrella on standby.

Future Trak 9 PM

Future Trak 9 PM

The rain should be pretty light overnight, so at least we won’t have to deal with heavy downpours waking us up.  (I can’t speak for other 3 AM shenanigans..)

You can see our Future Trak Forecast shows light showers at 7 o’clock Saturday morning.  Whether you’re getting up to go to the Ocean View St. Patrick’s Day Parade, walking the dog, or taking the kids to baseball practice, make sure you bring an umbrella or at least a jacket with a hood!  (Forgive me if you don’t see me in the St. Patty’s Day spirit tomorrow morning….green screen..green clothes..it doesn’t really work!)

Future Trak 7 AM Saturday

Future Trak 7 AM Saturday

Intermittent showers will continue through Noon tomorrow, but don’t let that keep you from going to the parade!  Despite the wet weather, it’ll be rather mild thanks to a brisk southwest breeze.

St. Patrick's Parade

St. Patrick’s Parade

Future Trak 12 PM Saturday

Future Trak 12 PM Saturday

During some of those dry periods, I can’t rule out a few peeks of sunshine.  But here’s the problem with the sun – the sun will actually destabilize the atmosphere and cause more showers and storms to develop.  It’s quite possible that we’ll see some showers and isolated thunderstorms during the late afternoon/evening hours.  I don’t anticipate any severe storms in Hampton Roads, but there’s an outside chance that there could be an isolated strong storm in North Carolina.

By Sunday morning, we’ll be back under the sunshine with temperatures starting near 50°.  Sunday will be a great day for outdoor activities – a mix of sun and clouds with highs in the mid to upper-50s!  By the way, if you will be running in the One City Marathon in Newport News on Sunday, here’s what you can expect:

One City Marathon

One City Marathon

I’m not an avid runner, but I would say that’s perfect running weather – not too hot, not too cold!

It looks like our weather pattern will stay pretty quiet next week – our next chance of showers will hold off until Thursday.

In the meantime, I’m going to keep my favorite St. Patty’s Day song on repeat:

I might also enjoy some Pi….riiiiiight around 9:26:53 AM.  (Get it?)

March 14, 2015 at 9:26:53 AM = 3.141592653

Catch you later!

-Meteorologist Ashley Baylor


A Green Radar For St. Patrick’s Day?

March 13th, 2015 at 8:11 am by under Weather
Tower Cam

Tower Cam

It was a beautiful morning, but a cold morning.  At least by March’s standards.  We had lows in the mid 30s in the metro, but it dropped to the upper 20s to low 30s in our inland sections.  I mentioned that folks should bring in their potted plants in yesterday’s blog.  Hopefully, they did.  We will have a lot of sunshine this morning, but clouds will build-in through the afternoon.  High pressure is retreating off to our northeast, and showers were slowly moving towards us from the southwest.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

As the showers move east they will encounter some pretty dry air.  So they should fall apart as they move into central Virginia/North Carolina.   With the strong March sun, temperatures should get a chance to warm up quite a bit.  Highs will be in the mid 50s with a few 60s inland.  There will be a breeze out of the northeast, but it will be light.  So temps will be cooler near the shore, but the coolness should stay close to the shoreline.  We’ll probably see a few sprinkles by this evening.  Then scattered showers will arrive between 7 and 10pm.

Future Trak (9pm)

Future Trak (9pm)

Scattered showers will continue overnight into tomorrow morning.  Now the models go back and forth a bit as to whether or not there will be a break in the rain around mid-morning Saturday.  However, I think they are basically saying that there will be passing showers throughout the morning. Having said that…here is what the latest update from Future Trak shows at 10am.

Future Trak (10am Saturday)

Future Trak (10am Saturday)

This will impact the St. Patrick’s Day parade in Ocean View, Norfolk.  So take the umbrella.  At least it will be warm. (60s).  Scattered showers will continue on and off through the day. We’ll have a steady breeze out of the south at 10-20mph.  High temps will reach 70 degrees, and it will be humid.  Because of this there may be a few thunderstorms in the afternoon.  We’ll be east of the cold front and south of the warm front.  This is known as the warm sector.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

The cold front will arrive by tomorrow evening.  This will create one last line of showers after 8pm until midnight.  Then we’ll dry things out.  We’ll see drier weather on Sunday with gradually clearing skies.  Highs will be in the upper 50s.  It should be pretty nice.  Then we have something very rare here (at least lately).  A long stretch of dry/quiet/mild weather.  Dun dun duhhhhh.  Highs will be in the 50s and 60s between Monday to Wednesday with a mix of sun and clouds.   Love it!

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Soggy Shamrocks and Shenanigans

March 12th, 2015 at 5:44 pm by under Weather

I’m sorry, but the Floridian weather belongs with the palm trees and pelicans..we’ll get our share of heat and humidity soon enough!  Despite the fact it was 15° to 20° cooler than it was on Wednesday, it was still nice and seasonable today!

Friday will be another seasonable day, (our average high is 57°) but it won’t be as bright all day.  We’ll start with sunshine tomorrow morning, but expect more of a mix of sun and clouds by Noon.  Mostly cloudy skies will take over by 3 PM as the kiddos head home from school.

Future Trak 3 PM Friday

Future Trak 3 PM Friday

Most of your Friday will be dry, so I wouldn’t bother bringing an umbrella to work or school.  After 7 PM, we will start to see scattered showers spreading across Hampton Roads.  If you’re going to be out Friday evening, then yes, I would bring the umbrella along for the ride!

Future Trak 7 PM Friday

Future Trak 7 PM Friday

It won’t be a deluge from start to finish – expect on and off showers from Friday night through Saturday.  Right now, as much as I hate to say this, it looks like it’ll be soggy for the St. Patrick’s Day Parade in Ocean View.

Future Trak 7 AM Saturday

Future Trak 7 AM Saturday

The parade will go from 10 AM until 12:30 PM.  I wouldn’t let the wet weather keep you from going to the parade – just make sure you have an umbrella, a hood, or at least a big green hat to stay dry!  There is a silver lining: you won’t have to stand on mounds of snow or wear 100 layers to stay warm!  It’s actually going to be warm on Saturday thanks to a southwest breeze!

St. Patrick's Day Parade

St. Patrick’s Day Parade

I’m optimistic that things will start to dry up through the afternoon.

Sunday will be a great day for outdoor activities – expect a mix of sun and clouds with highs in the upper-50s, near 60°.

So far, it looks like most of next week will be dry with highs ranging from the mid-50s to low-60s.

Carry on!

-Meteorologist Ashley Baylor


Cool/Fresh Air. Ahh!

March 12th, 2015 at 8:34 am by under Weather

It’s nice this time of year when we get a batch of fresh/dry air moving into the region.  It was warm yesterday, but the humidity was up.  The cold front moved through yesterday evening.  It caused widespread rain showers, but the temperatures didn’t drop too much at first.  Now the front is south of Cape Hatteras, NC.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Temps did drop this morning to the mid 40s.  There were a few 30s inland.  Through the day we’ll have high pressure building in from the west.  We’ll see a lot of sunshine.  However, the winds will be coming in out of the north/northeast at 10-15mph. With the water temperatures near 40 degrees, it will keep the air cooler near the shore.  So highs will be in the upper 40s there.  Meanwhile inland locations will see some mid-upper 50s.

Tonight we will return to some cold air.  Skies will be clear with light northeasterly winds.  so lows will drop down to the low/mid 30s.  Many folks have probably put some potted plants back outside recently with the warmer weather.  If that is the case, then you should bring your plants back inside tonight.  We could drop to the freezing mark in several cities. Especially inland locations.

Through the day on Friday we’ll see increasing clouds.  We probably won’t see rain until the evening, but a spotty shower is possible inland by the late afternoon.  Highs will be in the low/mid 50s.  A warm front will lift into the region by Friday night.  So temps will warm by the evening.  Also we’ll see rain showers increase.  Rain will fall across most of the area from Friday night into Saturday morning.  The timing is important.  A lot of people are starting to have outdoor events on the weekend.  One big event Saturday morning is the St. Patrick’s Day parade in Ocean View, Norfolk.  At this time it looks like it will be wet for the parade.  It’s possible that the scattered showers will miss the Ocean View area (or yours), but at this time there is a pretty decent chance for rain.

Future Trak (Saturday Morning)

Future Trak (Saturday Morning)

The showers should break up a bit by Saturday afternoon.  Although some of the latest updates keep the rain going until Saturday evening now.  Either way it will be pretty warm with highs near 70.  A cold front will move through by Saturday evening.  This will cool things down for Sunday.  It won’t be too bad though.  Highs will be in the upper 50s.  Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy.  We’ll see mild/dry weather for the first half of next week.  Nice!

Oh by the way….we picked up about a quarter to a half an inch of rain in the region in the last 24 hours.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Stubborn Showers

March 11th, 2015 at 5:16 pm by under Weather

It almost felt Floridian out there this morning!  By Noon, we had temperatures in the 70s with dewpoints in the 60s!

High Temperatures Wednesday

High Temperatures Wednesday

As winds started to shift out of the north, temperatures started to drop.  By 4 PM, we were tracking light rain and fog across Hampton Roads, so you can see what that did to temperatures.  (Can you tell a cold front has been here?)

Temperatures Wed. 4 PM

Temperatures Wed. 4 PM

You can see the fog was pretty thick, this was a Skycam shot of the Lynnhaven Inlet around 5 PM.

Lynnhaven Inlet Wed. 5 PM

Lynnhaven Inlet Wed. 5 PM

This line of rain is taking its sweet time to push through the region, so we’ll be tracking scattered showers through 9 PM.

Future Trak 9 PM

Future Trak 9 PM

After 9 PM, the wet weather will move out and the clouds will follow.  Overnight, skies will clear out, so by the time you head out the door Thursday morning, we’ll have sunshine with temperatures starting near 40°.

Future Trak Thu. 7 AM

Future Trak Thu. 7 AM

Expect plenty of sunshine on Thursday.  There will be a slight northwest breeze tomorrow, so that’s why it’ll be much cooler with highs only near 50.  At least we won’t have to talk about highs dropping into the 20s and 30s..  I think we can handle 50°.
We’ll start with mostly sunny skies Friday morning, but clouds will fill in through the afternoon as our next storm system approaches.  Most of your Friday will be dry – I don’t expect any rain to develop until after your evening commute.
Light to moderate rain will fall from Friday night through Saturday.  This rain comes at a very inconvenient time since the Ocean View St. Patrick’s Parade is scheduled to start at 10 AM.  Don’t let the showers put a damper on your plans – I’m sure it’ll still be a blast!

Ocean View St. Patrick's Parade

Ocean View St. Patrick’s Parade

Hey, Ireland is often socked in with clouds and showers..doesn’t seem to bother them!  Shamrocks and shenanigans for all!

-Meteorologist Ashley Baylor