Snow in November? It’s not unheard of. The earliest snow statistic that I saw for Norfolk was 0.3″ on November 11th in 1987. I thought I saw a statistic that said there was an earlier snow in the 1960s, but I can’t find that statistic. Back in 1891 on November 29th there was a whopping 6.7″ of snow. We did have a melting snow on November 21st 2008. I had a couple of reports of some light snow even into Virginia Beach. That was the most recent, but it didn’t accumulate in Norfolk where the records are kept. So we do have a little snow in our regional forecast, but it will likely be a melting mix. Let’s talk about it…
There is a powerful cold front over the Midwest and northern Plains this morning. It has been producing snow showers across parts of Minnesota and Wisconsin.
Meanwhile we have a large area of high pressure here. We are under a dry and cooler airmass today. A weak cold front moved through the region last night and dropped our temperatures. So today we are looking at lots of sunshine and highs in the mid-upper 50s.
Tomorrow the strong cold front will make its way down into southeast Virginia. This will happen early in the day. Temperatures will top off in the upper 40s late in the morning. Then they will quickly drop to the upper 30s by the end of the day. Winds will be strong and out of the north. Now with these types of setups you typically dry up a lot of the moisture. So we aren’t expecting much. Here is our computer model Future Trak at 3pm:
In the above picture green is rain, purple is mix, and blue is snow. There is a mix under the blue that is showing up as darker blue. So basically there will be a large area of mix. We have another version of our model that runs off of the RPM model (another high-resolution model). It is actually drying everything up before it gets here except for a few flakes north and west of the metro:
So all-in-all it is going to be tough to get snow in here, but I do think there will be a brief mix. Air temperatures near the surface will be above freezing. They will be in the mid-upper 30s. Also, the ground temperatures are in the 50s. So nothing should stick except for possibly a few decks and trees. Everything else will melt or dry up. There is one potential problem though. Some of this could fall during the evening commute. Even a few flurries during that time could cause some slow downs as people like to enjoy the view. So that is something that we’ll keep you updated on. No matter what falls we are going to be much colder Tuesday into Thursday. Lows will be in the low 30s Wednesday and Thursday mornings in the metro. Probably in the 20s inland. The high temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday will only be in the 40s. It’s an early blast of cold air. Seems like we’ll keep getting these periodically for the next couple of weeks.
Typhoon Haiyan has weakened and moved into China. The storm is wrapping up, but the reports will keep coming in: Typhoon Haiyan update.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler