Some folks are saying “finally! We have some warmth coming back into the forecast”. This morning was especially warm (for this time of year) with temps starting in the 40s inland and 50s in the metro. However, we did also have a lot of clouds around the region. There’s no big weather systems around, but there’s lots of moisture in the mid levels of the atmosphere. So we will continue to see a lot of clouds today. In fact we’ll see a few sprinkles around this morning. One good thing about today is that there will be much less wind. Winds will run out of the east at about 5-10mph. There might be a few stronger gusts near the shore, but it still won’t be as bad as the last 3 days. They may even turn a little southeast late in the day. So with all of those factors in place our high temperatures will rise up to the upper 50s to low 60s, and skies will remain mostly cloudy.
Overnight we will still have a lot of clouds and our winds will be light and southeast. So the low temperatures will only drop to near 50 or even to the low 50s. This will give us a nice warm start to the day tomorrow. We’ll still have the clouds Friday, but high temperatures will rise to the mid 60s. Some models are even advertising some upper 60s to near 70 inland. Up to that point we won’t have any rain. However, some scattered showers will try to push into the region by Friday night. More scattered showers will push into our area by Saturday morning. This will be ahead of the next cold front. And let me tell you…this next cold front is a doozy! Saturday will start off mild with the scattered light showers. Then more rain showers will move in with the cold front during the afternoon. Temps will probably be able to rise up into the upper 50s before the front arrives. The really cold air though won’t surge in until Saturday night:
Our Future Trak model has rain along the front during the mid afternoon. The cold air will be well behind the moisture. So sorry…no snow this time snow lovers. The good news is that the models generally agree on pushing the rain south by 6-8pm:
So at this point it is good news for the Grand Illumination in Norfolk and Virginia Beach. I am calling for a couple of leftover sprinkles at the time (Saturday evening). At least at the start of the festivities. But the rain should pass south of the area as the evening goes on. Suffolk’s Illumination is on Friday. So it should be fine. Hollydazzle (on the Peninsula) comes in December.
By Sunday we’ll dry things out. Highs will only be in the low 40s, and it will be windy again. We’ll see lows in the 20s by Monday morning. We’ll stay cold through Monday night. We are expecting highs back in the 50s from Tuesday through Thanksgiving. However, we are also expecting rain in the entire region for Wednesday. That will hamper travel whether if it’s by planes, trains, or automobiles. Well, maybe not so much trains. We are forecast to dry out by Thanksgiving.
We are still following the latest on tropical storm Melissa. It is over the eastern Atlantic ocean on an easterly course. It will likely become non-tropical or “extratropical” in the next 24 hours. It is on track to head towards Portugal, but as a pretty weak system.
by the way, check out Don Slater’s previous blog if you get a chance. He did an an interview with a relative who just came back from the International Space Station.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler