Weather

No Snoozin’ Through This!

April 9th, 2015 at 7:47 am by under Weather

Mother Nature didn’t let you hit that snooze button this morning – we were tracking heavy downpours along with thunder and lightning across Hampton Roads!

Super Doppler 10 Radar - 6:30 AM

Super Doppler 10 Radar – 6:30 AM

The rain will taper off around 9 AM.  Even though the wet weather will move out, the clouds will drag their heels, so expect mostly cloudy skies through Noon with temperatures only warming into the mid-50s.

Future Trak Forecast 12 PM

Future Trak Forecast 12 PM

There will be a few more peeks of sunshine by your evening commute – expect a mix of sun and clouds with temperatures around 60°.  We’ll have partly cloudy skies overnight into Friday morning.  Temperatures will initially drop into the upper-50s this evening, then rise into the low-60s by tomorrow morning thanks to winds turning out of the south.

Future Trak Forecast 7 AM - Friday

Future Trak Forecast 7 AM – Friday

No rain is expected for the first half of your Friday, but another round of showers and storms will develop during the late afternoon hours.  With a brisk southwest breeze tomorrow, temperatures will warm into the low-80s and dewpoints will hover in the low-60s, so you’ll feel a little bit of stickiness in the air.

Temperatures - Friday Afternoon

Temperatures – Friday Afternoon

The heat, humidity, and a passing cold front will fuel the development of some late day showers and storms tomorrow.  After 5 PM, a line of showers and thunderstorms will develop across Hampton Roads, so this could affect your outdoor plans.

Future Trak Forecast 7 PM - Friday

Future Trak Forecast 7 PM – Friday

With this cold front, I can’t rule out some isolated strong to severe thunderstorms.  There will be a slight risk for isolated severe storms across several mid-Atlantic states:

Severe Storm Threat - Friday

Severe Storm Threat – Friday

*IF* we see any severe storms develop, the primary threats will be strong winds, hail, and heavy downpours that could lead to some street flooding.  We’ll certainly keep an eye on things over the next 36 hours.  IF any severe thunderstorm warnings are issued, we’ll let you know on-air and online at WAVY.com!

-Meteorologist Ashley Baylor


Tracking Rain, A Cold Front, Falling Temperatures

April 8th, 2015 at 9:16 am by under Weather

It has been a busy morning in the Super Doppler 10 Weather Center. Grab the umbrella this morning and the pack the jacket for the afternoon. Here’s why…I’m tracking rain showers that continue to develop across the region. Here is what the satellite and radar looked like around 8 AM. There were even some heavy downpours and a few isolated storms across North Carolina.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar – 8:10 AM

Best chance for rain will be this morning. Rain should gradually taper off by the late morning and early afternoon hours. We will keep a slight chance for an isolated shower in the forecast this afternoon for areas south of the front, which will be across North Carolina.

Today's Rain Chances

Today’s Rain Chances

Temperatures are going to be all over the place, thanks to a back door cold front sliding in from the northeast. Once the front moves through your region, winds will shift from southwest to northeast and temperatures will drop. Almost everyone was in the 60s this morning ahead of the front. Now temperatures are mixed as that front slowly moves across the Southside. Once the front moves through your city, expect temperatures to drop into the 40s and 50s.

9 AM Temperatures

9 AM Temperatures

Today is one of those days where it is hard to put one temperature on the 7-day forecast because there will be a large difference in temperatures across the region. The metro area will see temperatures in the 50s and 60s this afternoon. The Middle Peninsula, Northern Neck and the Eastern Shore will see temperatures in the 50s later today and our North Carolina counties will see highs in the 70s. Most locations will drop into the 50s by 3 PM with the warmer weather confined to some of our inland counties across the Southside and North Carolina.

3 PM Temperatures

3 PM Forecast Temperatures

Thursday should be a drier day overall with highs in the mid 60s. There is a slight chance for an isolated shower tomorrow, but most locations will stay dry. Get ready for a big warm-up on Friday! Highs will be around 80°. We are tracking a large storm system out west that will bring the potential for severe weather to the Central Plains and the Tennessee River Valley today and tomorrow. That same storm system will bring a cold front into Hampton Roads Friday night. With temperatures in the 80s and moisture levels on the rise, there will be a chance for storms ahead of the cold front Friday afternoon and Friday evening across our region. Some of these storms could turn strong to severe. Severe weather season is upon us…so stay tuned!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Dodging Some Showers

April 7th, 2015 at 8:16 am by under Weather

I’m tracking light rain moving across Hampton Roads this Tuesday morning. Some of you may have a wet morning commute, while others stay dry. Rain will be hit or miss, so grab the umbrella just in case. No need for the jacket, since temperatures are in the 60s. Here is what the radar looked like at 7 AM.

7 AM Radar Snapshot

7 AM Radar Snapshot

The rain is being sparked by a mid level disturbance moving across the region, which is why the rain is scattered in nature. I think the activity will wind down this afternoon, so don’t expect the rain to last all day long. Here is what our Future Trak computer model has at 12 PM.

Future Trak at 12 PM

Future Trak at 12 PM

Best chances for rain today will be in the morning and then again in the evening as another disturbance crosses the area. Can’t rule out an isolated shower, but I think most of the afternoon will be rain-free. That will be the best time for the kids to get outside and enjoy the warm weather. Despite the chance for rain and the clouds, highs should still rise into the mid 70s

Rain Chances Today

Rain Chances Today

Any rain that falls should be on the light side and totals should be less than 0.25 inches. Believe it or not, we do need the rain because we are about 2 inches below average for the year so far. Pollen forecast is moderate to high today. Main pollens will be tree pollen (maple, cedar, juniper, birch). Remember that you need moderate to heavy rain for a few days in a row to wash the pollen out of the air. Light rain only helps the trees, flowers and grasses bloom/grow quicker, so having light rain in the forecast usually makes conditions worse for allergy sufferers.

Rain showers should re-develop tonight and continue tomorrow as a cold front slowly moves southward across the region.

Future Trak at 12 PM Wednesday

Future Trak at 12 PM Wednesday

There is going to be a large difference in temperatures tomorrow thanks to that cold front. Areas in the metro will see highs in the 60s. Places in North Carolina will be in the 70s and areas north of the metro will only see highs in the 50s.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 


Spring Break Week

April 6th, 2015 at 7:28 am by under Weather

I hope you and your family had a great Easter!  Clearly, Mother Nature was in a good mood since we had bright, blue skies with highs in the mid to upper-60s!

It’s going to be a nice, warm day across Hampton Roads.  (Nice and warm..two words I love to use!)  We will be tracking more of a mix of sun and clouds today, but with a decent amount of sunshine and a light southerly breeze, temperatures will manage to warm into the mid-70s.

Future Trak Forecast 12 PM

Future Trak Forecast 12 PM

Our average high for this time of year is 65°, so we’ll be running about 10-degrees above average.

Our radar and Mother Nature’s mood ring will start to turn more green on Tuesday.  Overnight, we’ll gradually see increasing clouds, so by the time you head out the door tomorrow morning, we’ll have mostly cloudy skies with temperatures in the mid-50s.

Future Trak Forecast 7 AM Tuesday

Future Trak Forecast 7 AM Tuesday

Even though we won’t see showers tomorrow morning, we will start to see a few scattered showers during the afternoon, so I would grab an umbrella as you head out the door.  We will be tracking more clouds than sunshine tomorrow, but I can’t rule out a few peeks of blue sky.  (Those peeks will be few and far between..)  After 3 PM, we’ll see some scattered showers moving in from the west.

Future Trak Forecast 5 PM Tuesday

Future Trak Forecast 5 PM Tuesday

Since these will be hit or miss style showers, I wouldn’t cancel any outdoor plans – instead, keep a close eye on the radar!  You can download our Super Doppler 10 Weather App to your smartphone, so you can check the radar anytime you need to!  Wink wink..

Tuesday will not be the only chance we have for showers this week..

Rain Chances - Next 5 Days

Rain Chances – Next 5 Days

You can see we’ll be tracking a chance for showers Wednesday and Thursday as well, but no day looks like a wash out!  Now here’s the thing – even though we’ll have more clouds and a few showers over the next few days, that will not affect temperatures.

Temperatures - Next 5 Days

Temperatures – Next 5 Days

Highs will be in the mid-70s Tuesday and Wednesday.  The mercury will drop back in to the low-60s on Thursday, but I don’t consider that a significant cool down.  Notice that cool down will be very brief – by Friday, temperatures will be back in the upper-70s, near 80°!

-Meteorologist Ashley Baylor


Warmer, But Wetter This Week

April 5th, 2015 at 8:04 pm by under Weather

Happy Easter everyone! I hope you were able to celebrate with family and friends. It was a chilly start this morning with temperatures in the 30s, but we quickly warmed up into the 60s by the afternoon as expected.

Virginia Beach Temperatures

Virginia Beach Temperatures

High clouds are already moving into the region, so it won’t be as cold tonight. Lows will drop into the mid to upper 40s by Monday morning. Monday will be warm and dry with highs in the lower 70s. Then the weather pattern becomes more unsettled. Right now it doesn’t look like any day this week will be a complete wash-out. Rain will be hit or miss, so you may see rain one day and not the next day. Best advice is to keep the umbrella close by!

This Week's Rain Chances

This Week’s Rain Chances

The jet stream is going to flatten out for the first half of the week. This means we won’t have any big storm systems heading our way until late Friday into Saturday. Instead, we will be tracking small mid and upper level disturbances that are going to move across Virginia and North Carolina Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. These disturbances could spark off scattered rain showers, but without a focal point for the activity, the rain will be very hit or miss. We may even see a few isolated thunderstorms develop too as temperatures rise and moisture levels increase. With a flatter jet stream, we won’t see as many ups and downs in the temperatures this week. The coolest day will be Thursday behind a cold front. Then we warm up again on Friday before a stronger cold front moves in next weekend.

Forecast Highs This Week

Forecast Highs This Week

Enjoy the warmer weather and keep the umbrella with you this week!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 


Lions, and Tigers, and Bunnies….and Beers!

April 4th, 2015 at 9:06 am by under Weather

If you were up around 5-7 AM, then you noticed it was a warm start to the day with temperatures in the upper-60s to low-70s.  That’s about as warm as it’s going to get today..

Temperatures - 6 AM

Temperatures – 6 AM

As a cold front moved through Hampton Roads, that caused the wind to shift out of the northwest.  As soon as the wind shifted, temperatures started to drop.  Even though we will have plenty of sunshine this afternoon, temperatures will hold steady in the low-60s thanks to that northwest breeze.

Saturday Planner

Saturday Planner

Obviously, it won’t be as warm as it was on Friday, but at least it’s going to be nice and seasonable!  I always say, give or take 3° – that’s your seasonable range.

Temperatures will stay seasonable through Easter Sunday.  With bright, blue skies in the forecast tomorrow, expect highs in the mid-60s.. we may even see some upper-60s on our temperature map!  By the way, since it is going to be sunny and mild tomorrow, make sure you collect ALL of the eggs if you’re doing an outdoor Easter egg hunt.  Chocolate and heat don’t mix and certainly, hard boiled eggs and heat don’t mix!!  Bleeeeeeech!

Easter Weekend

Easter Weekend

If you were enjoying those warmer temperatures, you won’t have to wait long before highs are back in the 70s!

Temperatures - Next 5 Days

Temperatures – Next 5 Days

For the first half of next week, we’ll have highs in the low-70s, so not bad for anyone that will be on Spring Break!  Unfortunately, I can’t guarantee a completely dry week..

Rain Chances - Next 5 Days

Rain Chances – Next 5 Days

Our weather pattern will turn slightly unsettled next week.  Monday will be nice and dry with a mix of sun and clouds, but there will be a chance for a few showers Tuesday and Wednesday.  Don’t get me wrong – we are not tracking any wash out days, but there will be an occasional drink of water..

Speaking of an occasional drink..

Lions, and tigers, and BEERS..oh my!  The Hampton Roads Beer Fest will be taking place at the Virginia Zoo in Norfolk today!  There will be two 3-hour sessions where you can sample over 75 craft beers – 1 to 4 PM and 5:30 to 8:30 PM!

Happy Easter everyone!

-Meteorologist Ashley Baylor


The Pattern Changes

April 3rd, 2015 at 7:19 am by under Weather

Finally! Our long-term weather pattern is changing.  Instead of a huge dip in the jetsream and cold temperatures over the eastern U.S., we now have a flatter/warmer pattern.  Today we’ll warm up nicely.  Highs are going to hit near 80 degrees.  High pressure is in control, but there is a stationary front to our north.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

This setup will do several things for our weather.  With the high offshore and the front to the north there will be some strong southwest winds between them today.  Remember pressure is typically lower along a front.  So there is a difference in the pressure over us today.  So the winds will run at 10-20mph out of the southwest with gusts up to 30mph.  Small craft advisories will be in effect for boaters.  Also, there will be quite a bit of rain showers along the front moving to the east.  As they move into the high, most of them should fall apart.  However, a couple of spotty showers may survive into our viewing area. So there are low-end rain chances for us today. I’d say about 20-25%.  By the evening the front will become a cold front and head towards Hampton Roads.  It won’t get here until very late tonight/early tomorrow morning.  This will increase the rain chances a bit.  Then tomorrow morning as the front swings through, we’ll see some scattered showers.  They should taper off by the late morning.  Temps will not drop much tonight due to the front timing.  Then tomorrow the winds will turn out of the northwest.  So temps will pretty much hold in the low 60s.  We will dry out in the afternoon.

Easter is still looking good.  We’ll see temps in the 40s in the morning and sunshine.  Should be good for Easter egg hunts and services.  Then the afternoon will be sunny with highs in the mid 60s.  We’ll see the warmer pattern continue into next week. Highs will be in the 70s for many days.  There will be some rain around next Wednesday/Thursday.

Have a good weekend.  Enjoy the warmer weather.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Frosty Morning, Then A Quick Warmup!

April 2nd, 2015 at 7:47 am by under Weather

This morning was rather cold for early April.  The winds went calm last night.  Plus we had clear skies in the region.  This let the temperatures fall to the low 30s in several cities.

Temps This Morning

Temps This Morning

We have some very dry air in place today. Dew points are in the low 30s.  Maybe even a few upper 20s.  That is bone-dry for this time of year!

Regional Dew Points

Regional Dew Points

Winds will pick up out of the south today.  High pressure is centered offshore, but will be close enough to produce a lot of sunshine.  A warm front was approaching from the west.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

All of these ingredients will help to create rapid warming today.  It will be very similar to Tuesday’s weather.  Temps will rise into the upper 60s to near 70 degrees this afternoon. Dress in layers.  We won’t cool down too much tonight.  Winds will stay up out of the south and dew points will rise a bit.  So lows will be in the 50s.  Tomorrow we’ll leap frog from the morning temps up to 80 degrees for a high.  We’ll see partly cloudy skies.  Rain should hold off until the evening.  Winds will be very strong out of the south/southwest.  They will run at 15-25mph with gusts up to 30mph.  This will also aid in the warming.

A cold front will move through the area Friday night.  This will bring some scattered showers into Hampton Roads.  The rain will continue into Saturday morning, but it should clear out by the afternoon. Highs will be near 60 on Saturday.   We are still looking good for Easter Sunday.  Lows will be near 40.  Highs will be in the low 60s with sunshine.

Before I go…You’ve probably heard about the update in California about the recent drought.  The governor has issued mandatory restrictions on water usage across the state.  This is historic.  Here is an article with more information on the subject: California Drought And Water Restrictions.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 


It’s HOT out! APRIL FOOLS!

April 1st, 2015 at 7:46 am by under Weather

Yesterday was great.  We had a lot of sunshine with highs in the upper 60s to near 70.  I did the annual first cutting of the grass during the afternoon.  It was awesome!  The weather…not the grass.  A little breezy, but nice.  Last night a cold front swiped through the area.  This brought a couple of quick/spotty showers.  They moved out as fast as they moved in.  It probably didn’t even add up to a tenth of an inch.  So by this morning they were well south of the area along with the cold front.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

So we’ll be cooler today with highs in the mid 50s.  Winds will be breezy out of the north at 10-20mph.  They may let up a little this afternoon.  Some inland locations will likely rise to near 60 degrees.  Tomorrow the high pressure system swings offshore, a warm front will lift through the region, and winds will turn out of the south.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

High temps will be in the upper 60s to near 70.  The nice weather will resume.  By Friday temps will keep rising.  We’ll get into the upper 70s.  Clouds will build on Friday, but the rain should hold off until the evening.  Scattered showers will move in by Friday night and will continue into Saturday morning.  High temps will drop to near 60 on Saturday.  Luckily on Sunday we’ll see a lot of sunshine. Highs will be in the low 60s.   It will be a little cool in the morning for services and Easter egg hunts (low/mid 40s),  but it shouldn’t be anything that a light jacket won’t fix.

The pollen is worse today.  I’m really starting to feel it now.  The allergy medicines are increasing along with the pollen.  It should be in full force by the weekend into next week.  The pollen really starts to collect when the pine trees let it go.  For now some of the lighter pollen will start to collect.  The yellow cars will start to show up over the next couple of weeks.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Could It Be? Warm & Dry At The Same Time?

March 31st, 2015 at 8:15 am by under Weather

Yep!  Warm and dry on the same day.  How bout that? We haven’t had too much of that lately.  This morning it was sunny, but it was also pretty chilly.  Here was the view from our tower cam in Virginia Beach:

Tower Cam

Tower Cam

Temps managed to drop to the low/mid 30s inland with upper 30s elsewhere.  This time of year, when you have a lot of dry air,  you can really warm up the temps during the afternoons; and you can cool them down quite a bit at night.  Basically in very dry air the solar energy goes directly into heating the air.  Whereas in humid air more of the energy is used up to try and warm the air and the water vapor.  So today high pressure and dry air will provide for plenty of sunshine.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Southwest winds will pick up at 10-20mph.  This will also contribute to the rapid warming.  So highs will aim for the upper 60s to near 70.  This will be a 30+ rise in temps compared to the morning lows.  We’ll stay dry through the whole day.  Many will probably take advantage and mow their lawns.  By 9pm tonight the cold front that currently is in the Midwest will drop into our region.  We’ll see some spotty showers, but it shouldn’t add up to much.  It should only be a tenth of an inch at most.  That’s good news because a lot of farmer fields and sports fields need to dry out.  I’ve heard many games and practices have been cancelled over the past month due to the weather and the wet fields.  Oddly enough…I looked up the latest rainfall totals.  Norfolk International Airport has had 3.57″ of rain this month.  That is actually 0.88″ below average.  Plus we are down 1.22″ for the year.  That is shocking, but…Keep in mind that we had a surplus when you factor in the snow from February.  Plus, there has been a lot of days with rain, but there weren’t too many days where the rain was heavy.

Tomorrow we will be dry, but quite a bit cooler. Highs will be in the low/mid 50s.  Temps may even be cooler near the shore.  Winds will be out of the north at about 10-20mph.  Then by Thursday we’ll already warm up again. Highs will be back in the upper 60s.  By Friday we’ll warm up even more.  Highs will be in the mid-upper 70s.  However, some rain showers will move in late Friday into Saturday.  We are still looking dry for Easter Sunday.  After a cool morning temps will warm to near 60 in the afternoon.

By the way…the pollen is up today.  It is about an 7 or 8 out of 10.  It’s starting to affect me a little.  I just put in some allergy eye drops.  When it gets pretty bad, then I’ll do my annual how to beat the pollen blog.  Probably in the next couple of weeks.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler