The sentiment from many of my weather watchers recently is that we all need some rain in the region with only a few exceptions. Some of them haven’t needed any for the entire Summer as they have had ample, I.E. Greg in Currituck. Just over the past 2 weeks he has changed his tune. Well, now the rain is moving in. Last night there wasn’t much out there, but it really picked up between 5 and 8 am. This caused many problems with traffic during the morning commute. Here was the view from Super Doppler 10 this morning:
Super Doppler 10
Over the weekend a cold front moved through the region. This caused a few scattered showers, but it also push the heat to our south. At least on Sunday. Now the front is sitting to our south. A weak area of low pressure is forming and pushing north into the front.
There is some deep/rich moisture south of this boundary. It is all slowly going to push north through the day. So we have a high chance for rain. This is NOT like rain events during the past couple of months. No chance for a few pop up showers and storms. No hit-or-miss showers and storms. No! This is the real deal. Widespread rain for everybody, and a few areas of heavy rain to boot. Here is what Future Trak looks like at 3pm this afternoon:
Future Trak (3pm)
There will be ponding on the roads and probably some street flooding as well. Due to the clouds and rain, the temperatures will stay in the 70s today. The rain will continue into tonight, but it should break up a little bit. Then the rain will continue into tomorrow. At least the models are backing off the rain a little bit for Tuesday. So as the low slowly pushes away, then we’ll see scattered showers on the back side. Today the rain chances are 80–90%. Tomorrow it should be more in the way of 50-60%. It will taper off to just a few showers late in the day. Highs will again be in the 70s. We’ll dry out on Wednesday and Thursday. Highs will be in the 80s.
For rain totals we are looking at a solid 2-4″ of rain. There may even be a few spots of 5″ or more. That will likely lead to some localized flooding.
Rainfall Totals Forecast
Stay tuned for updates to this.
If we don’t get flooding from the rain, then we may see some from the wind. Winds will be persistent from the northeast over the next couple of days. It will generally run at 5-15mph with higher gusts near the shore. This and the full moon will lead to some nuisance-type tidal flooding. It will come up about 1-1.5ft above normal. So no big problems are expected, but it will rise in those typical areas that see the higher tide-waters.
Next weekend we’ll see some more changes. There will be scattered showers and storms along a big cold front on Friday. That front will cool us down next weekend. We’ll see high in the low/mid 70s on Saturday and Sunday. Lows will probably drop to the 50s and low 60s. It will feel great for the Fall-lovers. That same cold air may bring some snow to a few cities in the northern part of the Midwest. Way too early to drop down here though.
Before I go. There is one disturbance over in the eastern Atlantic that may develop into a tropical depression or storm over the next few days. It is coming out of the Cape Verde area, and is moving west. Stay tuned for updates, but it is way out there at this time.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler