Weather

Thunderstorms Are Possible Tomorrow

April 14th, 2014 at 9:54 am by under Weather

Today is looking like a great day, we will see partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the 70s. As the area of low pressure gets closer, our wind speeds will increase. Today we will see winds from the south at 15-20mph. Gusts could reach 30mph today. Tonight, along with the winds, temperatures will stay mild with lows in the 60s. Now, lets talk about the rain chances. We’ll stay dry today, but tonight scattered showers will be possible ahead of the storm system. Tomorrow morning, we will also see a chance for scattered showers. If we can stay cloudy and cool, then our severe weather chances will remain low. If we see sunshine, then the threat will increase.

Future Trak @ 1pm

Future Trak @ 1pm

The storms will stay off to our west around midday tomorrow.

Future Trak @ 6pm

Future Trak @ 6pm

Storm Chances

Storm Chances

Going in to tomorrow evening, the cold front will sweep through the area with temperatures going from the 70s to the 30s by Wednesday morning. This strong cold front may be able to produce strong storms that could create damaging wind gusts and hail.

Behind the line of storms we will be colder with highs in the 50s on Wednesday.

 

Tetrad of Lunar Eclipses Begins Tonight

The first of four lunar eclipses begins tonight, sadly the forecast looks to be cloudy, but it still may be worth a shot to get up and see it:

Lunar Eclipse

Lunar Eclipse

There are three more coming up. The scientists at NASA put together a great video about how rare a tetrad is:

 

-Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson

 

 

 


Warm Start To The Week!

April 13th, 2014 at 9:25 pm by under Weather

Wow! What a beautiful weekend! Check out the high temperatures recorded this afternoon. Record high in Norfolk was 88 degrees set back in 1977, so we were only 5 degrees shy of tying the record high today.

Highs This Afternoon

Highs This Afternoon

The warm weather will continue tomorrow. Temperatures will not be quite as high as today because we should see more cloud cover. Highs should reach the mid to upper 70s Monday afternoon.

Monday Forecast Highs

Monday Forecast Highs

We are tracking a strong cold front that will move in on Tuesday. This cold front is the cause of the severe weather in the Central Plains tonight. It is even cold enough for snow on the back side of this system. Temperatures are in the 30s in Iowa, Nebraska, Minnesota and Colorado!

Satellite/Radar at 9 PM

Satellite/Radar at 9 PM

We may see a few showers late Monday night and early Tuesday morning, but the bulk of the precipitation won’t move in until late Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening. Future Trak has a line of showers and storms moving through Hampton Roads between 4-9 PM.

Future Trak at 5 PM

Future Trak at 5 PM

Some of these storms could turn strong to severe. The Storm Prediction Center has already highlighted the Southside and North Carolina in a Slight Risk for severe weather on Tuesday.

Tuesday's Severe Weather Risk

Tuesday’s Severe Weather Risk

This is where the most instability will be Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening. This doesn’t mean we won’t see any thunderstorms develop across the Peninsula, Middle Peninsula or Eastern Shore. The slight risk area just shows where the highest chance for severe weather will be on Tuesday. The main threat with the line of storms will be damaging winds. The tornado threat is low right now, but not out of the question. There will be a lot of wind shear in the atmosphere, so storms will be able to rotate. If an area of low pressure develops along the front, then we could see an enhanced tornado threat just south of the low. Some computer models have an area of low pressure developing across North Carolina Tuesday afternoon, whereas others do not. If we see more rain in the morning, then the severe threat will not be as high in the afternoon. As you can see, there are still a lot of “ifs” out there right now. I just want to let you know that the potential for strong to severe storms exists Tuesday afternoon/evening. Stay tuned for the latest.

Tune into WAVY News 10 at 10 on FOX43 and WAVY News 10 at 11 tonight for an updated forecast. Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson will have another update on WAVY News 10 Today starting at 4:30 AM. Have a good night!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


A Dry & Sunny Weekend Ahead

April 12th, 2014 at 9:18 am by under Weather

While we will see more sunshine again today, a weak cold front has passed through Hampton Roads. This cold front will influence the winds to be out of the easterly direction in to the afternoon. High temperatures should still be above average though:

Cool Breeze Today

Cool Breeze Today, Highs: 66-75 degrees today.

That warm front will move through tomorrow which will bring us back to the upper 70s and 80s for our Sunday. Typically when there is a front in our area we see rainfall, this time we will stay dry with only a few clouds.

Pollen Index for the Weekend

Pollen Index for the Weekend

If you didn’t see Jeremy’s annual pollen blog, you should check that out HERE.

Allergy LogoThe only pollen count in our region is in Richmond, sadly there are no known locations across Tidewater that perform a daily pollen count. The latest count shows that Tree Pollen and Mold Spore are the biggest sources of allergies. Credit: Allergy Partners of Richmond.

 

The next chance for rain is coming up on Tuesday, enjoy your weekend!

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson


Nice April Weekend!

April 11th, 2014 at 7:48 am by under Weather

We have a great weekend ahead in terms of weather.  Today is looking good with highs in the upper 70s and a few 80s inland.  It will even be warmer near the shore today due to the stronger southwest breeze.  It will be blowing at 10-15mph with gusts up to 25mph.

Today's Forecast

Today’s Forecast

Highs will be in the upper 70s with a few 80s inland.  Skies will be partly sunny.  Nice!  You’ll notice that cold front on the map above.  Well, don’t worry…It will move down our way tomorrow, but it will also fall apart as it does so.  The winds will change though.  So highs will be more in the upper 60s.  There’s about a 5-10% chance for a shower, but I wouldn’t bet on it.  Overall tomorrow is mild and dry.  Then on Sunday we are looking good.  The heat will resume.  Highs will be back in the mid-upper 70s.  Skies will be partly sunny.  We’ll see a repeat on Monday.

The next decent chance for rain will be next Tuesday.  Showers and some thunderstorms will be likely across the region.  That will be a bona-fide cold front.  It will drop our highs to the 50s by next Wednesday.  That will be the same front that will bring some April snow to parts of the Midwest and Northeast.  No snow here.  We’ll be too warm.

In national news the house of representatives just passed a bill that will essentially reorganize some of NOAA’s resources and combine it with the National Weather Service. Here is the article:  Weather Bill

Have a great weekend!

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


The Annual Pollen Blog (Jeremy Style)

April 10th, 2014 at 9:07 am by under Weather

The local forecast is nice and quiet.  Not just for today, but for the next couple of days.  So I thought today would be a good time to do my annual blog about pollen.

Pollen Forecast

Pollen Forecast

This year has been interesting as it has been a very cold Winter as well as a chilly start to the Spring.  Because of this folks have been varying as to how much they have been affected.  For instance my allergies still haven’t been too bad up to this point.  It has started to increase over the last week, but it still hasn’t been full blown.  By about this time last year the pollen was off the charts.  I did ask how people were doing on my facebook page, and the response was interesting.  Some people have claimed that this year has been much worse than others.  Many more have said that this year hasn’t been too bad.  I think it boils down to this:  Due to the cooler weather the pollen types have been more staggered.  Some of the trees have been pollinating for weeks.  So if you allergic to specific trees, then it may have hit you a little harder so far.  However, the grass and some other trees like maple have had a slower start.  While some specific tree pollens have been high, the overall pollen hasn’t been too high yet.  A lot of the grass will probably start to seed by next if it hasn’t already.  Then the grass pollen will increase.  Also we just had a good amount of rain between Monday and Tuesday.  So the trees are really ramping up this week.  Ragweed is more of a Fall allergen.  So I don’t expect that to contribute.  Mold has also been high as we have had a lot of cold weather and moisture between January and mid-March.  Hopefully that decreases with the upcoming drier weather.

As some of you may already know, I am one of the millions of Americans that are affected by seasonal allergies every year..  The impacts for people can range from a few sniffles up to an extreme case where a person has to go to the hospital.  Basically as the length of day increases and the temperatures increase, the trees release their pollen so that they can get the seeds to germinate and sprout.  As the soil temperatures get warmer the vegetation becomes more active.  Eventually in the Spring, the grass pollen and plants also starts to contribute.

Along with pollen from vegetation, people can be allergic to all kinds of things.  Pets, dust, certain foods, and even some insects are examples. (Ewww)   The problem is that during this time of year many different allergens are coming at you from all directions.  For example you could have a mild allergy to mold that lasts through the year, and then that might combine with a seasonal allergy to oak pollen.  There are a lot of ways to try to combat those allergies.  Here are some tips:

1.  Clean often!  Vacuum your home a couple of times a week.  Sweeping will likely not help as the pollen grains are so tiny.  You should also dust often to get that pollen and dust off of the surfaces.  You can also vacuum out your air vents if you want to try to go the extra mile.  But the payoff may not last long as more pollen will re-enter the air ducts quickly.   Don’t forget to clean or change the filter in your vacuum cleaner.

2.  Keep your windows closed.  This goes for your home and your car.  Homes are not air tight, and pollen also drifts in as you open your doors.  So keep the house closed up as much as possible.  Window screens may help block a little of the larger pollen, but overall it is small enough to fit right through the mesh.

3.  You should run your air conditioner or even just your fan on your A.C.  Your unit should have a filter on it that will help take out some of the pollen.  You should change the filter a couple of times a month if you have bad allergies.  Changing it about once a month is normal.  There are special filters that block even small particles. They are the denser ones that are typically more expensive, but I’ve had A.C. repairmen tell me that those are not good for some units as it reduces the flow.  If you want to try it, then call up and ask a specialist.  You should also get your cabin air filter for your vehicle changed if you haven’t for a while.  Warning… it can get a little pricey, and not all vehicles have cabin filters.

4.  There are many small/medium plug-in air filter systems for your home.  They are designed to help clear the air in one or two rooms.  Be careful though.  Some are very expensive, and some do not work that well at all.  Some have filters that you can re-use and clean, but there are others that you have to buy.  So do your homework.  I’ve had 3 different filters in the past and all have been disappointments, but there are other folks that swear by them.

5.  Wash your bedding often.  If you don’t want to keep doing laundry during the week, you can use or buy another set.  Then just swap it out until you have time to wash again.  The pillow cases are the most important.  So maybe just swap those out.  Wash the items in hot water to kill dust mites if you can.  Careful!  Some delicate fabrics can’t be washed in hot water.

6.  There are many over the counter medications to help with allergies.  Products with antihistamines will help.  There are nasal sprays which can help to either clear sinuses and/or medicate the nasal area.  There are eye drops that help with itchy red eyes.  I have one with an antihistamine in it that really helps, but it does sting a little at first.  Finally, there are many pills that you can also buy.  Read the instructions carefully.  There are some that can make you very drowsy.  Many medications are not to be used for young children.  If you do have young ones that are really suffering, then call your pediatrician.  You can also go so far as to get tested for allergies.  I got tested, and found that I was allergic to several things.  Just know though that the process involves numerous tiny shots.  And I mean numerous.  The doctor has several prescriptions that can help.  It’s also possible to get special allergy shots for the really bad sufferers.  There are new medications coming out all the time. Check with your doctor or pharmacist to see if they are right for you.

7.  Even if you are not allergic to your pets, their fur can still collect pollen from trees, dust, etc.  So it’s good to groom your pets.  Believe it or not, house pets can also suffer from allergies.  So monitor them if they become overly itchy this time of year.

8.  There are food allergies (i.e. nuts/shellfish), however there are also some foods that can act as mild allergens that can cross-react with the pollen.  Bananas and some melons, for instance, can impact your allergies.  Keep in mind that even if you are fine during the year, it can be a small addition to the seasonal allergens this time of year.  Here’s a great link to a site that lists some of the foods and allergies:  Food List

9.  Dry clothes indoors.  It may help with energy consumption, but drying clothes on a clothesline will be a pollen magnet during the next few weeks.

10.  You may have cleaned your floors and carpets, but you’ll continue to track in pollen unless you clean off your doorsteps, patios, and walkways.  I recommend a hose as a broom will stir up the dust/pollen.

11.  Some folks have recommended eating local honey during the year.  They say that it helps the body build up an immunity to pollen.  I did try it last year, and it didn’t seem to work.  Maybe it finally kicked in this year.  (I doubt it)> There are some who swear by it.  It might be a little late this year, but it’s a thought for next year.

Pollen is a complicated thing to forecast.  It is based on the temperatures, pressure, humidity, rainfall, soil temperatures, etc.  Also pollen can blow in from other source regions.  Rain can wash out pollen, but only if it lasts for a long period of time.  I’ve actually noticed that trees and plants love to get water.  So they will sometimes launch heavy pollen several hours after a rain shower.  It’s even tougher in this area as there are no proxy data.  To my knowledge there is no group or department that takes the local pollen count.  Some local health departments used to take a reading, but they stopped due to budget cuts and/or other reasons.  The closest readings are in Richmond and Raleigh.  So I use myself and others as a barometer on many days.  Also the proximity to water can make a difference.  (There are no trees over the ocean). The forecast today is a 9 out of 10.  Good luck with the allergies this season, and feel free to comment with your own tips below.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Almost There!

April 9th, 2014 at 8:07 am by under Weather

The nice weather is coming.  It’s on our doorstep…  It’s just around the bend… It’s been trying to head our way.  We just have one more day until the really nice weather.  Don’t get me wrong through.  Today actually won’t be too bad.  We have had a couple of spotty showers in the region this morning, and we will see some isolated light showers or sprinkles this evening.  These are not from a big weather system.  Rather one is just a small wind shift line.  The evening showers will come from an upper level trough.  Here were the light showers this morning:

Few Showers This Morning

Few Showers This Morning

They moved southeast and basically fell apart.  Most of today will be partly cloudy with highs in the low 60s.  Winds will be light and northerly.  So it will be cooler near the shore.  By the evening a few of those sprinkles will try to come around.  I put the chance of rain between 20 and 30%.

Future Trak (5pm)

Future Trak (5pm)

Tonight all of this goes away.  We’ll dry out and cool down to the mid 40s.  Then tomorrow…Mostly sunny and highs near 70.  That is perfect weather for this area for this time of year.  Following that, we’ll see dry weather and highs in the 70s all the way through the weekend.  The next chance for rain will be next Tuesday.

Tomorrow I will write a blog about this year’s pollen.  To me this seems like it has been a very different year in terms of allergy misery.  Stay tuned.  The pollen forecast is a 9 out of 10 today.

One final note…. It’s not meteorological, but astronomical.  The planet Mars, Earth, and the sun will have a special alignment tonight.  Here’s the story with more details.  Cosmic Alignment.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Nice Weather Soon

April 8th, 2014 at 8:49 am by under Weather

We’ve seen some active weather in the region recently.  Yesterday there were scattered showers and thunderstorms in our area.  There were even 2 tornadoes reported over northeast North Carolina.  Here was the radar signature of the tornado that moved over Bellhaven, NC.

Hook Echo On Radar

Hook Echo On Radar

This is a good example of a hook echo.  It looks just like a hook from above as the winds are twisting counterclockwise around the tornado.  There was some damage in and near that city.

Today we started with just some scattered light rain showers, but that was about it.  So far we’ve picked up about 1″ of rain on average.  Here were some of the rain totals from the last 24 hours:

24 Hour Rain Totals

24 Hour Rain Totals

Most of my weather watchers had about 1″ of rain, however, Don in Toano had 1.75″.  Mike in Whaleyville said that his land was just drying out before this recent rain fell.  Greg in Currituck is hoping for a dry stretch of weather so he can start working in the fields.

The scattered showers will continue through the noon hour.  The cold front will have moved through most of Hampton Roads by that point. The showers will be more isolated behind the front this afternoon.

Today's Forecast

Today’s Forecast

By the late afternoon/early evening we will dry out and clear up a bit.  Winds will turn from out of the southwest to out of the west at 10-15mph with a few gusts to 25mph.  Temperatures will hold steady.  They’ll stay in the upper 60s to low 70s.  By the time we get to this evening it should be pretty nice outside, but it will be cooling to the upper 50s to low 60s.

Tomorrow we’ll have high pressure build in at the surface.  However, an upper level trough will swing through the region during the afternoon.  This will create (what I think) is a few sprinkles.  Some models are calling for a few rain showers, but I believe anything that falls will be very light and very spotty.  It will be cooler with a light northerly wind.  Highs will be near 60.

After that we are looking good.  We’ll see dry weather Thursday through next Monday. Highs will mostly be in the 70s.  I can’t wait.

The pollen took a break over the last 24 hours due to the rain, but it will build back a bit this afternoon and tomorrow.  It will be pretty heavy by the end of the week.

By the way our local waters have been running very cool compared to average.  With the recent warming the Chesapeake Bay has been slowly warming into the low/mid 50s.  The ocean temperatures are also slowly warming.  Can’t wait until it gets into the 60s.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Quick Midday Update

April 7th, 2014 at 1:21 pm by under Weather

This is just a quick midday update. Meteorologist Jeremy Wheeler wrote a much more detailed weather blog this morning. Rain has become more widespread this midday and will continue through the afternoon and evening. Heavier pockets of rain are located across some of our westernmost counties right now, but are moving northeast. The heavy rain near Emporia will be in the metro around between 2-3 PM.

Super Doppler 10 Radar - 1 PM

Super Doppler 10 Radar – 1 PM

We are tracking a warm front which has just moved into Portsmouth around 1 PM. Lots of fog developed on Tower Cam 10 due to the increase in moisture. Temperature and dew point readings will rise when the front moves into your area.

Hello Warm Front

Hello Warm Front

Warm Front Lifting North

Warm Front Lifting North

The Storm Prediction Center has shifted the area under a Slight Risk for severe weather this afternoon/evening a little bit farther south.

Slight Risk Area

Slight Risk Area

This seems more reasonable, because these areas will be south of the warm front for a longer period of time. Southside Virginia and Northeastern North Carolina will have the greatest chances for seeing strong to severe storms later this afternoon/evening. We are not thinking this will be widespread event. Any strong to severe storm should be very isolated. The main severe weather threat will be gusty winds. We can’t rule out the possibility of an isolated tornado across North Carolina, due to the high amount of wind shear in the atmosphere. But, overall, the tornado threat is very low. Our latest Future Trak model has widespread rain through the evening commute with more gaps in the precipitation this evening.

Future Trak at 3 PM

Future Trak at 3 PM

I will have another update on WAVY News 10 starting at 4 PM and Chief Meteorologist Don Slater will be on WAVY News 10 at 5, 5:30 and 6 PM. Remember you can always track the rain on Super Doppler 10 radar on wavy.com. Stay tuned!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


First Big April Shower

April 7th, 2014 at 9:28 am by under Weather

While we have had rain recently, it has mostly been on the light side.  It has also been very scattered.  Today we’ll change all that with widespread rain in the region.  It had already started by the early morning.  There was a stream of heavy rain from just west of our region stretching back down to Atlanta, GA.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Rain will continue on and off today as moisture pushes in from the south and southwest.  The surface winds will be out of the southeast at about 10-20mph.  A warm front is forecast to move through the region later today.  This will allow for some late day warming.  Temps will rise to the upper 60s to near 70 this afternoon/evening.  Winds will be from the southeast at 10-20mph.  We will see some thunderstorms this afternoon, but the chance for severe weather is questionable.  The Storm Prediction Center has put our region in a slight risk for today.  Mostly for strong straight-lined winds.  However, we will see clouds all day with barely a break.  So the instability is not going to be that high.  There will be some strong upper level winds to our west, but they won’t be as strong here until late tonight.  The rotation in the atmosphere (helicity) is decent.  So it’s possible that a weak/isolated tornado may form over parts of northeast North Carolina where it will be a little warmer and more humid.  Stay tuned for updates on that.   Either way, rain will continue until the front moves through after midnight.  Then we’ll hold on to some scattered showers through early tomorrow.  The front will get hung up just offshore, and the moisture will linger for a while behind it.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

We are looking at a good 1-2 inches of rain for the entire region.  Perhaps a bit less over northeast North Carolina.  We have had a brief dry spell lately.  So Norfolk is 0.67″ below average for the month and down 0.76″ for the year.  Wallops Island is down 0.57″ for the month, and they are 1.65″ below the average for the year.  Again, I don’t believe snow is factored into those numbers.  Either way we could use a little rain for the growing season.

By tomorrow afternoon we will dry out.  The upper level part of the system will move through on Wednesday.  This could give us a couple of sprinkles.  Highs will be in the 50s.  Then we are looking good going into the weekend. Highs will be in the 60s and 70s and it will be dry through Sunday.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 


Wet Start To The Work Week

April 6th, 2014 at 9:19 pm by under Weather

It is going to be a wet start to the week, but at least we had nice weather over the weekend. The clouds have already moved in and should thicken up tonight ahead of the rain. All of the rain and thunderstorm activity is located to our south right now.

Satellite/Radar at 8 PM

Satellite/Radar at 8 PM Sunday

This stationary front is going to lift northward as a warm front tonight. That means the warm air and the moisture will be lifting northward as well, heading in our direction. Severe weather is possible tonight across Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama. These areas will be just south of the warm front and closest to that area of low pressure which is tracking east. Our Future Trak model has the rain pushing in anytime after 5 AM. The rain should be scattered around 7 AM for your morning commute, so it may not be raining at every location at that time.

Future Trak at 7 AM Monday

Future Trak at 7 AM Monday

Rain becomes even more widespread by 12 PM. A warm front will move northward through the region tomorrow afternoon. This warm front will bring in warm air and an increase in moisture. Once the warm front moves in, temperatures will really start to rise, even though it will be raining.

Future Trak at 5 PM Monday

Future Trak at 5 PM Monday

With warmer air, an increase in moisture and a lot of wind shear, we may see a few thunderstorms develop during the late afternoon and evening hours. Best chance for storms will be across Southside Virginia and North Carolina where we will have slightly warmer air. I think the chance for severe weather across Hampton Roads is going to be on the low end. We will have the warm air in place with temperatures in the upper 60s and lower 70s. However, we are going to be lacking some moisture at the surface. Dew point temperatures are forecast to reach the upper 50s, maybe 60 degrees. We like to see dew point readings well into the 60s if we are talking about the potential for stronger storms. The rain and the clouds should keep the instability down. The best lift or energy associated with this storm system won’t move in until after sunset, which is not the most favorable time frame for severe storms. I am not completely ruling out the chance for stronger storms. There may be one or two that can get going with all of the wind shear in place, especially out in front of the cold front. But, at this time, it doesn’t look like we will have a good chance for severe weather. Stay tuned for any changes.

We may see a few breaks in the rain during the early evening hours before another round of heavier rain moves into the region. Thunderstorm chances will be increasing late Monday night before the cold front moves through Hampton Roads. Future Trak has a line of scattered showers and storms at this time.

Future Trak at 12 AM Tuesday

Future Trak at 12 AM Tuesday

The cold front will move in Tuesday morning. Computer models have changed their tune a little bit regarding the ending time of the rain. Now it looks like the rain will linger into Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening for coastal areas. The front should stall offshore, but an area of low pressure will develop along it. An upper level trough will still be located overhead, so we will have plenty of moisture to work with on Tuesday. Therefore, rain will stay in the forecast through Tuesday night. Check out the forecast rain totals through Tuesday night.

Monday-Tuesday Rain Totals

Monday-Tuesday Rain Totals

Rain totals should average anywhere between 1-1.5 inches of rain. Some areas that see heavier rain/thunderstorms could see totals up to 2 inches, maybe more. Norfolk Airport is now 0.75 inches below average for the year, so we do need a dose of some healthy rain.

I will have another update on WAVY News 10 at 10 on FOX43 and WAVY News 10 at 11. Make sure you tune into WAVY News 10 Today starting at 4:30 AM. Meteorologist Jeremy Wheeler will be tracking the rain for you on Super Doppler 10 Live Radar. Don’t forget the umbrella!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona