While we have had rain recently, it has mostly been on the light side. It has also been very scattered. Today we’ll change all that with widespread rain in the region. It had already started by the early morning. There was a stream of heavy rain from just west of our region stretching back down to Atlanta, GA.
Rain will continue on and off today as moisture pushes in from the south and southwest. The surface winds will be out of the southeast at about 10-20mph. A warm front is forecast to move through the region later today. This will allow for some late day warming. Temps will rise to the upper 60s to near 70 this afternoon/evening. Winds will be from the southeast at 10-20mph. We will see some thunderstorms this afternoon, but the chance for severe weather is questionable. The Storm Prediction Center has put our region in a slight risk for today. Mostly for strong straight-lined winds. However, we will see clouds all day with barely a break. So the instability is not going to be that high. There will be some strong upper level winds to our west, but they won’t be as strong here until late tonight. The rotation in the atmosphere (helicity) is decent. So it’s possible that a weak/isolated tornado may form over parts of northeast North Carolina where it will be a little warmer and more humid. Stay tuned for updates on that. Either way, rain will continue until the front moves through after midnight. Then we’ll hold on to some scattered showers through early tomorrow. The front will get hung up just offshore, and the moisture will linger for a while behind it.
We are looking at a good 1-2 inches of rain for the entire region. Perhaps a bit less over northeast North Carolina. We have had a brief dry spell lately. So Norfolk is 0.67″ below average for the month and down 0.76″ for the year. Wallops Island is down 0.57″ for the month, and they are 1.65″ below the average for the year. Again, I don’t believe snow is factored into those numbers. Either way we could use a little rain for the growing season.
By tomorrow afternoon we will dry out. The upper level part of the system will move through on Wednesday. This could give us a couple of sprinkles. Highs will be in the 50s. Then we are looking good going into the weekend. Highs will be in the 60s and 70s and it will be dry through Sunday.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler