There is some good news and bad news in the forecast. The good news is that we will be a lot milder for temperatures over the next few days. The bad news is that the chance for rain looks to continue into the weekend. This morning there were already some scattered showers in the region. A cold front was slowly pushing south through Washington D.C.
The front will settle into the region today. Between that, the clouds, and the rain the temperatures will be held down. We’ll be in the low/mid 80s with a few upper 70s possible north of the metro. So it will be very nice to get a break from the heat. Keep in mind that the humidity will still be up through. That will help the showers to form this afternoon. Winds will be variable at 5-10mph. Scattered showers and storms will increase between the mid afternoon into the evening.
There will be some thunderstorms, but the chance for severe weather looks low. The strength of any storms really depends on how thick the clouds stay through the afternoon. They are very thick this morning. There should be ample cloud cover through the day, but it may break up in a few places.
The cold front will become stationary right over our region tomorrow. This will continue our rain chances.
Expect on and off showers tomorrow. There may be a decent stretch of time in-between showers. That will depend on where the front actually sets up shop though.
Our Future Trak model focuses the showers more south, but the other models (NAM, GFS) spread the rain over the entire area. They also show a weak area of low pressure that will form along the front. This could help to enhance the rainfall. Also an upper level trough will also aid in making rain. High temps will again be held down into the low/mid 80s.
The front will still lie over the region into Saturday. This will give us some more scattered showers and storms. However, the models do kick out the low. So it’s possible that there will be less coverage. The models are not in good agreement on when the rain chances will drop on Saturday. Midday? Afternoon? Evening? But they do show a decrease at some point on Saturday. For now I’m only calling for some spotty showers for Saturday evening. So I’m (slightly) optimistic about no rain during the fireworks, but not overly. Stay tuned for updates.
Some scattered showers will linger into Sunday and Monday, but the chances should be much lower for those days. I’m thinking isolated to scattered showers and storms for those days. Highs will be in the mid 80s.
Another feature in the atmosphere lately has been some unusual redness. It has affected sunsets, sunrises, and the color of the moon. This is what I’m talking about:
Take a look at that moon! It was very red shortly after moonrise. The reason for the extra redness is actually due to some wildfires in Canada. The smoke from these wildfires has traveled about 2,000 miles into our region.
This will not affect conditions at the surface. It is up tens of thousands of feet. The smoke/ash creates more diffusioin of the light. This aids in enhancing the red colors. Hopefully, the clouds break for a bit so that we can witness some more beautiful images.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler