Weather

A Rainy Saturday, Less Rain Tomorrow

April 19th, 2014 at 8:56 am by under Weather

The cool temperatures are going to stick around for our Easter weekend across the area. Today we will see highs near 57 degrees. Tomorrow, temperatures will be near 60. Along with the cool temperatures; there will be a strong northeast wind.

Between Low & High Pressure

Between Low & High Pressure

In between both of these areas of low and high pressure exists a tight pressure gradient. That tight gradient will keep our wind speeds high with winds around 10-15mph today. Tomorrow the wind will be even stronger at 15-20mph and gusts easily over 30mph. As the storm gets closer, it will run out of rainfall.

For today, we are starting the day with plenty of rain:

Rain Moves Back South this afternoon

Rain Moves Back South this afternoon

The rain is going to break apart and retreat back to the south this afternoon. Across the Peninsula, Eastern Shore and areas north you will see mostly cloudy skies late this afternoon. For the Southside Hampton Roads cities and North Carolina, rain will taper off during the afternoon and early evening.

AM Sprinkles Possible on Easter

AM Sprinkles Possible on Easter

Any kids going on their annual Easter egg hunt, or those special sunrise services that are outdoors tomorrow morning may be a little soggy due to the incoming sprinkles for our area. I believe we will see the dry air win around midday and in the afternoon which should  keep up with mostly cloudy skies for our Easter Sunday.

Easter Forecast

Easter Forecast

In to Monday and Tuesday (Earth Day) we will see more sunshine with highs getting close to 70 degrees again.

Enjoy your Easter weekend.

-Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson

 


Some Rain For Easter Weekend

April 18th, 2014 at 7:35 am by under Weather

Temperatures are a bit warmer this morning. Readings have mostly been in the 40s. Across the Eastern Shore, temperatures were a little cooler with lows near 39 degrees in Melfa and towards Cape Charles this morning.

Morning Low Temps

Morning Low Temps

This afternoon, thick clouds will continue to rule our skies. A little sunshine is possible, that could allow high temperatures to climb to the mid-50s.

The rain will start to move in late tonight, and begin likely after midnight. The best chance for showers will be tomorrow morning across the Hampton Roads cities.

Future Trak @ 7am

Future Trak @ 7am

In to the afternoon, the rain will begin to scatter a bit more, and mostly be centered over NE NC. Across Virginia Saturday night, we will see cloudy skies with a continues northeast wind. There is a small chance that the rain could continue on Easter Sunday in North Carolina.

Easter Forecast

Easter Forecast

Easter Sunday should be a little warmer with highs near 63 degrees. Monday and Tuesday next week will be the warmest as we should have highs near 70.

Enjoy your Easter Weekend!

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson


Still Cool Today, Slow Warming Trend Begins

April 17th, 2014 at 9:41 am by under Weather

Today we are going to see high temperatures in the 50s, still cool for this time of year. The average high for today is 68. Remember, it is spring, a transition season, so the cold spell that we are in now is not unusual.

Northeast Flow

Northeast Flow

Winds will remain out of the northeast today and going in to the weekend, with that wind it will keep our temperatures cooler than normal. I am also expecting some extra cloud cover for tonight, this will keep our lows in the 40s. At the same time, the clouds will also keep us cool with highs in the mid-50s again tomorrow.

Rain Possible Tomorrow

Rain Possible Tomorrow

Scattered Showers will begin to push in late tomorrow afternoon and in to the evening. There is still some uncertainty in how long the rain will last. The GFS model keeps us wet all day Saturday. The Euro has us cloudy and dry with showers possible for the OBX. I will keep an eye on the models during the rest of the day and look for trends. Regardless, Easter Sunday looks dry with highs near 63 degrees.

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson


Winter Has Returned For A Day Plus Storm Recap

April 16th, 2014 at 9:24 am by under Weather

Wow! Feels more like winter outside this morning. It was cold enough for me to need to turn on the heat in my car on my ride into work. Check out the low temperatures across the region this morning. The record low in Norfolk is 33° set back in 1943. We didn’t break the record, but we were close. Wind chill values were in the 20s!

Lows This Morning

Lows This Morning

All of this cold air rushed in behind a powerful cold front that moved through Hampton Roads last night. Once the front moved in, wind speeds picked up and temperatures dropped a good 20-30 degrees in less than an hour. Check out these peak wind gusts recorded last night.

Peak Wind Gusts Overnight

Peak Wind Gusts Overnight

Wind speeds along the Lower Chesapeake Bay ranged from 60-70mph. The strong winds pushed a large ship aground near Shore Drive in Virginia Beach. Read the full story here on wavy.com. Wind damage was also reported in a Virginia Beach neighborhood. A tree fell onto a fence and two cars. Rain totals were also quite impressive. Most locations saw between 1.5-2 inches of rain with some areas seeing more than that. Now we are above average for the month of April and for the year so far.

24-Hour Rain Totals

24-Hour Rain Totals

The wind is going to stay up all day long. Future Trak has our sustained wind speeds ranging from 10-20mph with gusts up to 35mph this afternoon.

Future Trak Wind Speeds

Future Trak Wind Speeds

The pollen count will be on the rise today, thanks to the wind. I have the pollen forecast at a medium level today. Hopefully you enjoyed some allergy relief yesterday. Even though we will see plenty of sunshine this afternoon, highs will only reach the upper 40s. Some 50° readings will be possible for inland locations. We will see a gradual warm-up over the next few days. Highs in the 50s Thursday and Friday with 60s in the forecast this weekend.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Midday Update: Severe Weather Threat Going Down

April 15th, 2014 at 1:47 pm by under Weather

The severe weather threat for Hampton Roads has gone down significantly. We saw a lot of rain this morning, which cooled and stabilized the atmosphere. I talked about this being a possibility in my previous blog. Check out the rain totals from this morning.

Rain Totals So Far

Rain Totals So Far

The Storm Prediction Center has taken Virginia and North Carolina out of the slight risk area for severe weather because of the rain we saw earlier. Computer models did not do a very good job on picking up on the heavy rain this morning, therefore they over estimated the amount of instability we would have this afternoon. We still expect a line of showers and storms to develop ahead of the cold front between 4-8 PM.  This is the latest Future Trak computer model at 6 PM, so the evening commute is going to be a messy one.

Future Trak at 5 PM

Future Trak at 6 PM

Once the cold front moves in, temperatures will drop a good 10-15 degrees in one hour. Winds will pick up out of the north at 25-35 mph with gusts up to 40-45mph. Cooler air will rush in, causing temperatures to drop into the low to mid 30s by Wednesday morning. The National Weather Service has upgraded the Freeze Watch to a Freeze Warning for our northern and inland areas. This warning now includes the entire Peninsula. If you live in any of these counties, make sure you cover or bring inside any sensitive vegetation. Temperatures are expected to drop to around 32°, if not below freezing, for a few hours early Wednesday morning.

Freeze Warning

Freeze Warning

Keep in mind that wind chills values will likely be in the 20s early Wednesday morning, so make sure you take that winter coat back out of the closet. Chief Meteorologist Don Slater will have a full update coming up on WAVY News 10 at 4, 5 and 6 PM.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Tuesday’s Severe Weather Threat

April 15th, 2014 at 9:29 am by under Weather

Before, we get to the severe weather threat today, I want to show a picture of the Lunar Eclipse. If you were lucky, like me, there may have been enough breaks in the clouds for you to see the moon.  Stephen Gagnon captured this beautiful picture in Carrollton this morning.

Lunar Eclipse

Lunar Eclipse Early This Morning

We are tracking a strong cold front that will move through Hampton Roads early this evening. Before the front moves in, a line of showers and storms will develop. Some of these storms could turn strong to severe. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted our entire area in a slight risk for severe weather this afternoon.

Today's Severe Weather Threat

Today’s Severe Weather Threat

The main severe weather threats will be heavy rain and damaging winds in excess of 60mph. Tornado threat is low, but not zero. If we see an area of low pressure develop along the front, we could see an enhanced tornado threat just south of the low. One computer model has the low developing across NE North Carolina, while another model has the low developing across SE Virginia. A couple other models do not have an area of low pressure developing at all. This is something we will be watching for this afternoon. Keep in mind that if we see more rain this morning, then the severe weather threat will be lower. If we see more sunshine, then the severe weather threat will be going up this afternoon. The window for seeing severe weather will be between 3-9 PM, ahead of the cold front. The line of showers and storms should move through the metro area around 4-7 PM. This means we are looking at a messy evening commute. Any thunderstorm that can develop ahead of the front could be strong to severe. Here is what our Future Trak computer model has at 5 PM.

Future Trak at 5 PM

Future Trak at 5 PM

Once the front clears the area, the severe threat will be gone. But the rain will continue behind the front and the rain could be heavy at times. Here is what our Future Trak model has at 9 PM.

Future Trak at 9 PM

Future Trak at 9 PM

Winds will turn northerly behind the front and increase in speed. Look for sustained wind speeds between 25-35 mph with gusts ranging from 40-45mph overnight. Much colder air will filter in and temperatures will drop into the mid 30s by Wednesday morning. Wind chill values will be in the 20s!!! Welcome back winter! Future Trak Temperatures has lows around 32° for our northern and western counties with mid 30s everywhere else. Record low for Norfolk Airport is 33° set back in 1943, so we will be close.

Wednesday AM Lows

Wednesday AM Lows

The National Weather Service issued a Freeze Watch in effect for all counties highlighted in blue. These areas could see temperatures dip below 32° for a couple of hours overnight.

Freeze Watch

Freeze Watch

If you live in these areas, make sure you bring any potted plants indoors and/or cover any sensitive vegetation.

Good news for all of the allergy sufferers…the pollen forecast is LOW today due to the rain and the wind. The heavy rain should really knock down the pollen count today. I will be tracking the potential for strong to severe storms this afternoon. Stay with wavy.com for the latest.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 

 

 


Thunderstorms Are Possible Tomorrow

April 14th, 2014 at 9:54 am by under Weather

Today is looking like a great day, we will see partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the 70s. As the area of low pressure gets closer, our wind speeds will increase. Today we will see winds from the south at 15-20mph. Gusts could reach 30mph today. Tonight, along with the winds, temperatures will stay mild with lows in the 60s. Now, lets talk about the rain chances. We’ll stay dry today, but tonight scattered showers will be possible ahead of the storm system. Tomorrow morning, we will also see a chance for scattered showers. If we can stay cloudy and cool, then our severe weather chances will remain low. If we see sunshine, then the threat will increase.

Future Trak @ 1pm

Future Trak @ 1pm

The storms will stay off to our west around midday tomorrow.

Future Trak @ 6pm

Future Trak @ 6pm

Storm Chances

Storm Chances

Going in to tomorrow evening, the cold front will sweep through the area with temperatures going from the 70s to the 30s by Wednesday morning. This strong cold front may be able to produce strong storms that could create damaging wind gusts and hail.

Behind the line of storms we will be colder with highs in the 50s on Wednesday.

 

Tetrad of Lunar Eclipses Begins Tonight

The first of four lunar eclipses begins tonight, sadly the forecast looks to be cloudy, but it still may be worth a shot to get up and see it:

Lunar Eclipse

Lunar Eclipse

There are three more coming up. The scientists at NASA put together a great video about how rare a tetrad is:

 

-Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson

 

 

 


Warm Start To The Week!

April 13th, 2014 at 9:25 pm by under Weather

Wow! What a beautiful weekend! Check out the high temperatures recorded this afternoon. Record high in Norfolk was 88 degrees set back in 1977, so we were only 5 degrees shy of tying the record high today.

Highs This Afternoon

Highs This Afternoon

The warm weather will continue tomorrow. Temperatures will not be quite as high as today because we should see more cloud cover. Highs should reach the mid to upper 70s Monday afternoon.

Monday Forecast Highs

Monday Forecast Highs

We are tracking a strong cold front that will move in on Tuesday. This cold front is the cause of the severe weather in the Central Plains tonight. It is even cold enough for snow on the back side of this system. Temperatures are in the 30s in Iowa, Nebraska, Minnesota and Colorado!

Satellite/Radar at 9 PM

Satellite/Radar at 9 PM

We may see a few showers late Monday night and early Tuesday morning, but the bulk of the precipitation won’t move in until late Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening. Future Trak has a line of showers and storms moving through Hampton Roads between 4-9 PM.

Future Trak at 5 PM

Future Trak at 5 PM

Some of these storms could turn strong to severe. The Storm Prediction Center has already highlighted the Southside and North Carolina in a Slight Risk for severe weather on Tuesday.

Tuesday's Severe Weather Risk

Tuesday’s Severe Weather Risk

This is where the most instability will be Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening. This doesn’t mean we won’t see any thunderstorms develop across the Peninsula, Middle Peninsula or Eastern Shore. The slight risk area just shows where the highest chance for severe weather will be on Tuesday. The main threat with the line of storms will be damaging winds. The tornado threat is low right now, but not out of the question. There will be a lot of wind shear in the atmosphere, so storms will be able to rotate. If an area of low pressure develops along the front, then we could see an enhanced tornado threat just south of the low. Some computer models have an area of low pressure developing across North Carolina Tuesday afternoon, whereas others do not. If we see more rain in the morning, then the severe threat will not be as high in the afternoon. As you can see, there are still a lot of “ifs” out there right now. I just want to let you know that the potential for strong to severe storms exists Tuesday afternoon/evening. Stay tuned for the latest.

Tune into WAVY News 10 at 10 on FOX43 and WAVY News 10 at 11 tonight for an updated forecast. Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson will have another update on WAVY News 10 Today starting at 4:30 AM. Have a good night!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


A Dry & Sunny Weekend Ahead

April 12th, 2014 at 9:18 am by under Weather

While we will see more sunshine again today, a weak cold front has passed through Hampton Roads. This cold front will influence the winds to be out of the easterly direction in to the afternoon. High temperatures should still be above average though:

Cool Breeze Today

Cool Breeze Today, Highs: 66-75 degrees today.

That warm front will move through tomorrow which will bring us back to the upper 70s and 80s for our Sunday. Typically when there is a front in our area we see rainfall, this time we will stay dry with only a few clouds.

Pollen Index for the Weekend

Pollen Index for the Weekend

If you didn’t see Jeremy’s annual pollen blog, you should check that out HERE.

Allergy LogoThe only pollen count in our region is in Richmond, sadly there are no known locations across Tidewater that perform a daily pollen count. The latest count shows that Tree Pollen and Mold Spore are the biggest sources of allergies. Credit: Allergy Partners of Richmond.

 

The next chance for rain is coming up on Tuesday, enjoy your weekend!

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson


Nice April Weekend!

April 11th, 2014 at 7:48 am by under Weather

We have a great weekend ahead in terms of weather.  Today is looking good with highs in the upper 70s and a few 80s inland.  It will even be warmer near the shore today due to the stronger southwest breeze.  It will be blowing at 10-15mph with gusts up to 25mph.

Today's Forecast

Today’s Forecast

Highs will be in the upper 70s with a few 80s inland.  Skies will be partly sunny.  Nice!  You’ll notice that cold front on the map above.  Well, don’t worry…It will move down our way tomorrow, but it will also fall apart as it does so.  The winds will change though.  So highs will be more in the upper 60s.  There’s about a 5-10% chance for a shower, but I wouldn’t bet on it.  Overall tomorrow is mild and dry.  Then on Sunday we are looking good.  The heat will resume.  Highs will be back in the mid-upper 70s.  Skies will be partly sunny.  We’ll see a repeat on Monday.

The next decent chance for rain will be next Tuesday.  Showers and some thunderstorms will be likely across the region.  That will be a bona-fide cold front.  It will drop our highs to the 50s by next Wednesday.  That will be the same front that will bring some April snow to parts of the Midwest and Northeast.  No snow here.  We’ll be too warm.

In national news the house of representatives just passed a bill that will essentially reorganize some of NOAA’s resources and combine it with the National Weather Service. Here is the article:  Weather Bill

Have a great weekend!

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler