Weather

Runners, Pirates, and Baklava

May 29th, 2015 at 7:47 am by under Weather

No surprises here – it’s going to be another very warm and humid day!  (I know surprises can be good, but they’re usually not good in the weather department..)

Another day you’ll want to make sure you:

  1.  Stay well-hydrated.
  2. Wear light-colored clothes that reflect the sunshine.
  3.  Spend time in shaded or air-conditioned areas.
  4.  Make sure the pets don’t stay out long and certainly don’t leave them in hot locked cars!

With the searing heat and humidity, it’ll be a great beach day!

Beach Forecast - Today

Beach Forecast – Today

Waves will be a little higher along the Outer Banks.  There will be a moderate risk for rip currents along OBX, but a low risk for rip currents from Virginia Beach to Hampton.  That onshore breeze will feel nice and refreshing along the coastline!

We’ll be tracking plenty of sunshine this afternoon, so if you’re going to spend a lot of time outside, make sure you slather on the sunscreen!  Temperatures will warm into the mid-80s, while dewpoints will be in the mid to upper-60s.

Dewpoint Forecast - Next 4 Days

Dewpoint Forecast – Next 4 Days

No breaks in the humidity for the next 4 days – dewpoints will stay in the mid-60s, so it will be uncomfortable for many people to spend extended time outdoors.  It’ll take a minute and a half, but we’ll finally feel some relief by early next week.

Temperature Trend - Next 5 Days

Temperature Trend – Next 5 Days

Highs will drop back into the seasonable 70s Monday and Tuesday, but there is a trade off!  Both days will feature scattered showers and thunderstorms, but it’s a small price to pay for more comfortable conditions.. and not to mention, our lawns and gardens are starting to look at little crispy!

Some great events going on across Hampton Roads this weekend:

Patriot Running Festival

Patriot Running Festival

The 5K is this evening at 6:30, you’ll definitely need to drink plenty of water since it’ll still be very warm and humid.  The 8K starts tomorrow at 7 AM – expect mostly sunny skies with temperatures in the upper-60s.  The mercury will be in the mid-70s by the time the Kids Fun Run starts at 9 AM.  Sunday is the half marathon and it’s going to be another very warm and humid day.  None of these conditions are ideal for runners, so be careful in this hot and humid weather!

Blackbeard Pirate Festival

Blackbeard Pirate Festival

Patriotic Festival

Patriotic Festival

Greek Festival

Greek Festival

All of these weekend events can be found on our new lifestyle website, hrScene.com!

By the way, you can find our new Super Doppler 10 Hurricane Guide in Farm Fresh stores across Hampton Roads and North Carolina!  We will be signing these guides in stores over the next two weekends – you see Chief Meteorologist Don Slater at the Farm Fresh on E. Little Creek Rd. in Norfolk from 11-2 tomorrow and I will be at the Farm Fresh store at 683 Hughes Blvd. in Elizabeth City from 12-2!

-Meteorologist Ashley Baylor


Hangin’ Tough

May 28th, 2015 at 7:14 am by under Weather

Thursdays are tough – you’re so close to the weekend, yet you still have to get through today and tomorrow..

Apparently, some of our weather computers already checked out for the weekend….3 computers froze on me this morning!!  In the 8+ years I’ve been in this business, that’s a first!

I digress..

Hopefully, your Thursday will be a lot smoother!  It’s going to be another very warm and humid day across Hampton Roads and North Carolina!  We’ll be tracking a mix of sun and clouds through the morning, but a few more clouds will fill in later on.  This afternoon, we’ll see partly sunny skies along with a chance for some hit or miss style showers and thunderstorms.  You can see our Future Trak Forecast picks up on a few splashes of green around evening commute time:

Future Trak Forecast - 5 PM

Future Trak Forecast – 5 PM

I want to emphasize that these will be isolated thundershowers, so not everyone will be tagged with the raindrops!  If you have outdoor plans this afternoon or this evening, just keep a close eye on the radar!  Any storms that develop should be pretty tame, I don’t anticipate any strong or severe storms….all of the severe weather will stay in New England and the Midwest.

As I said, it’s going to be very warm and quite humid, so it might be a nice day for the beach!  Any excuse to jump in the water to cool off, right?

Beach Forecast

Beach Forecast

Even though we’ll have quite a few clouds out there, the UV index will still be high, so make sure you wear at least SPF 30 today!  (Believe it or not, you can still get a sunburn even when it’s cloudy!)  The rip current risk will be low.

Things will dry out nicely for Friday and Saturday – expect plenty of sunshine with highs in the low to mid-80s.  We’ll get rid of the clouds, but we won’t be able to shake the high levels of humidity.

Dewpoint Forecast - Next 4 Days

Dewpoint Forecast – Next 4 Days

The dewpoint determines how comfortable or uncomfortable it feels outside.  When you have dewpoints in the mid-60s, like we expect over the next few days, you’re talking about a very humid, very uncomfortable airmass.  On days like this:

  1. Stay well-hydrated
  2. Wear light-colored clothes that reflect the sunshine.
  3. Spend time in the shade or air-conditioned areas.
  4. PLEASE make sure the pets don’t stay out long and don’t leave them in hot, locked cars!

-Meteorologist Ashley Baylor


Rain Chance Update, Indian Heat Wave.

May 27th, 2015 at 8:29 am by under Weather

Yesterday saw some pretty good weather outside.  High pressure provided fair skies in the region. It was warm and humid, but when the breeze blew it felt pretty good.  Especially if you were in the shade.  However, today the humidity has increased.  This morning we had a wave of clouds move through the region.  Then they started to break up during the mid-morning.  High pressure was slowly drifting farther away.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

The moisture has increased in the lower and upper levels.  Dew points have risen into the mid-upper 60s.

Dew Point Temps

Dew Point Temps

So we’ll see a mix of sun and clouds through the afternoon.  Scattered showers and storms will form then.  I’m calling for a 30-40% chance for showers with a few thunderstorms.  Here is what Future Trak shows for the afternoon:

Future Trak (3pm)

Future Trak (3pm)

Yesterday it looked like we would get isolated showers today with higher chances for rain on Thursday.  The models reversed that trend a bit last night.  Part of that is because the boundary that was supposed to move closer to us tomorrow will probably fall apart before it moves close.  The other part is that the moisture has increased quite a bit today.  We’ll see.  I still have a chance for scattered showers and storms tomorrow.  Just slightly less.  (30-40% today, 30% tomorrow).

Either way, both days will be very warm and humid.  Highs will stay in the 80s.  By Friday things look to settle a bit.  Highs will still be in the 80s with only a stray shower or storm.  Then high pressure will build back into the region on Saturday.  So we’ll see partly cloudy skies.  By Sunday I am expecting a cold front to approach the region.  This will give us the highest chances for rain in the next few days.  The front will linger on Monday.  So the rain will linger as well.  I don’t mind because I am planting some patches of grass seed, and I need some rain.  Also, it’s good for the gardens.  Though I know that some folks in North Carolina don’t need any rain right now.

I mentioned the Houston flooding in yesterday’s blog.  It is still pretty bad there today as the rivers swell.  However, you may not have heard about the deadly heatwave in India.  It has killed over 1,000 people so far.  It is pretty rough over there as some temperatures are over 115 degrees (F).   Here is an article with more information.  Deadly Indian Heat Wave.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 


Lookin Good Here!

May 26th, 2015 at 7:19 am by under Weather

Well… I got back from a trip to Illinois yesterday, and I got to enjoy some of the nice weekend weather.  I was up there for my high school friends’ birthdays as well as my sister’s triplets’ birthdays.  It was fun, but I am worn out.  Anyway, the nice weather will continue today.

Tower Cam

Tower Cam

We have a nice/large area of high pressure in the region.  This will bring us fair skies today.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

We are in a bit of a stuck pattern again.  Seems like that has been the norm over the last 2-3 years.  For us that means that we’ll see warm weather continue through the week as the high slowly drifts offshore.  However, as that happens we’ll eventually develop a few thunderstorms in the afternoons.  There may be a little better chance for scattered thunderstorms on Thursday as the above cold front approaches from the west.  It won’t move through, but it could stall out to our west or just become a trough of low pressure.

Meanwhile, the bigger story is the flooding that this pattern has produced over Texas and the deep south.  It has been rough for them lately.  Just yesterday there was severe flooding in the Houston area.  Here is a link to the story: Houston Flooding.  There was also a lot of flooding in other parts of Texas.  Texas flooding.

I don’t see anything like that in our forecast, but our moisture will be increasing.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


No Rain on our Parades

May 25th, 2015 at 7:14 am by under Weather

Our service men and women deserve a beautiful day and it’s going to be nothing short of gorgeous across Hampton Roads and North Carolina!  It’ll be a bright and comfortable day for all of the parades and commemoration ceremonies that will be going on across the region.

Here’s what you can expect if you’re heading to the Memorial Day parade in Portsmouth:

Memorial Day Parade

Memorial Day Parade

The parade will start at 10 AM along High Street.  Temperatures will be in the mid to upper-70s for the duration of the parade – couldn’t ask for a better forecast!

Whether you’re heading to the parade, the beach, or the zoo, make sure you stay well-hydrated and wear plenty of sunscreen!  The UV index is very high today, so you’ll want to wear at least SPF 30 and re-apply throughout the day!  On warm days like this, you’ll also want wear light-colored clothes that reflect the sunshine and spend time in shaded areas.  Most importantly, don’t leave the pets outside very long and certainly don’t leave them in locked cars!

Here’s a look at your beach forecast:

Virginia Beach Forecast

Virginia Beach Forecast

Nags Head Forecast

Nags Head Forecast

Buckroe Beach Forecast

Buckroe Beach Forecast

The beach umbrella is a must today, just so you get some shade from that hot sun….and also, to make sure you don’t look like a boiled lobster at the end of the day!  There is a low risk for rip currents out there, but you always want to be careful when going in the water.

Dewpoints will be in the mid-50s today, so it will feel quite comfortable!  We’ll turn up the heat and humidity a little more heading into the middle of the week.

Dewpoint Forecast - Next 4 Days

Dewpoint Forecast – Next 4 Days

Dewpoints will be in the low-60s tomorrow, so you’ll feel a little more stickiness in the air, but it’ll definitely feel hot and muggy Wednesday and Thursday.  Most of the week will be dry, but there will be a slight (and I mean very slight) chance for an isolated shower or two Wednesday afternoon.  Expect a better chance for some scattered showers and storms Thursday afternoon.

We are approaching the start of hurricane season, so it’s fitting that Virginia’s Hurricane Preparedness Sales Tax Holiday starts today and runs through Sunday, May 31st.  You won’t have to pay sales tax on items for your hurricane ready kit, including certain types of batteries, flashlights, bottled water, first-aid kits, coolers, NOAA weather radios, and portable generators.

Be sure to pick up one of our Super Doppler 10 Hurricane Ready Guides.  They will be available in Farm Fresh stores across Hampton Roads and northeast North Carolina.  The Super Doppler weather team will be signing in Farm Fresh stores in Virginia Beach, Norfolk, and Elizabeth City, NC over the next two weekends!

A huge thank you to all of the men and women in the military for your service to our country on this Memorial Day!
-Meteorologist Ashley Baylor


Warm & Dry For Memorial Day

May 24th, 2015 at 9:11 pm by under Weather

What a great weekend it has been across Hampton Roads and North Carolina! Perfect weather to hit the beach, spend some time at the pool or attend any of the area’s local events. We are going to crank up the heat a little bit more for Memorial Day. Here is your hour-by-hour forecast.

Memorial Day Forecast

Memorial Day Forecast

There are plenty of Memorial Day parades and ceremonies scheduled for tomorrow. Most take place during the late morning hours when temperatures will be hovering in the 70s. Make sure you drink plenty of water and be sure to wear the sunscreen if y0u plan to be outside for a few hours. With Memorial Day being the unofficial start to summer, many of you may hit the beach tomorrow.

Monday's Beach Forecast

Monday’s Beach Forecast

The UV index is forecast to be very high…so the sunscreen is a must! And don’t forget to reapply throughout the day. Waves should range around 1 foot for Virginia Beach and 1-2 feet for the Outer Banks. We are going to have a southwest breeze tomorrow, which is a warm breeze. Today, we had a southeast breeze, a cool breeze, because the wind was blowing over the cooler ocean water. Expect it to feel warmer along the beaches tomorrow. The rip current risk is low, but rip currents can occur at ANY time. Best advice is to ALWAYS swim near a lifeguard. If you do get caught in a rip current, the most important thing to remember is NOT TO PANIC. Signal to a life guard that you need help or start swimming parallel to the shore to get out of the current.

The warm and dry weather will continue for the next few days thanks to a ridge of high pressure over the East Coast.

Weather Pattern

Weather Pattern

The area of high pressure will keep the jet stream to our north, keeping any storm systems away from us. We will also see temperatures in the 80s, which is well above average. This high will begin to shift east and weaken by the middle of the week. As the high weakens, that will allow several mid and upper level disturbances to move across the region. Scattered showers and storms will be possible Thursday afternoon and Friday afternoon. We are not looking at a wash-out either day, just hit or miss showers and storms during the peak heating hours of the day. Our moisture levels will also be increasing throughout the week, so expect the humidity to increase a little bit more Tuesday and Wednesday.

In the national news…many cities in Texas and Oklahoma have seen severe weather and flash flooding, which has led to many evacuations, over the past 24-hours. Some areas between San Antonio and Austin have received over 8 inches of rain!!! This much rain in a short amount of time has caused the Blanco River to reach record levels. An estimated 350 homes are underwater at this point. These same areas across Texas and Oklahoma will have to brace for another round of severe weather on Memorial Day.

*Reminder* We are about a week away from the official start of the Atlantic Hurricane Season.  Virginia’s Hurricane Preparedness Sales Tax Holiday begins tomorrow and lasts through May 31! That means you won’t have to pay sales tax on items for your hurricane ready kit. It’s time to go shopping…make sure you are prepared this year.

Have a safe Memorial Day and always remember the true meaning of the holiday. Thank you to all of those servicemen and servicewomen who have made the ultimate sacrifice while fighting for our country. And I always want to thank those who are currently serving too.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 


Perfection!

May 23rd, 2015 at 8:29 am by under Weather

I’m writing this at 7:45 AM..watching live video of the 1st Street Jetty in Virginia Beach….and there are quite a few people already out enjoying this beautiful start to the weekend!  With high pressure in control all weekend, it’ll be tough to find various adjectives to describe this gorgeous weather!

Today, we’ll enjoy sunny skies, but temperatures will be a few degrees below average.  With cooler air in place, temperatures will only top out in the upper-60s, near 70°.  Even though it’s going to be cool, just remember that the UV index will remain high, so make sure you slather on the SPF if you plan on spending time outdoors!  (I would recommend at least SPF 30.)

Heading to the beach today?

Virginia Beach Forecast

Virginia Beach Forecast

Nags Head Forecast

Nags Head Forecast

There will be a moderate risk for rip currents from Virginia Beach all the way to Nags Head, NC, so if you’re not a strong swimmer, you may want to stay close to a lifeguard tower!

If you’re not feelin’ the beach today, you can check out the Pungo Strawberry Festival in the Pungo section of Virginia Beach:

Pungo Strawberry Festival

Pungo Strawberry Festival

I hear the strawberries are really good this year!

We also have the Umoja Festival going on all weekend in Portsmouth!  All Memorial Day weekend events can be found on our new lifestyle website, hrScene.com!

As I said, temperatures will be running slightly below average today, but with a shift in the wind direction, temperatures will be about 10-degrees warmer tomorrow.  By Memorial Day, expect highs back in the low-80s!  Not only will it be dry and mild this weekend, but we’ll also have very comfortable levels of humidity.  I don’t think you could ask for a nicer weekend, and certainly, our servicemen and women deserve a beautiful weekend!

Memorial Day Weekend

Memorial Day Weekend

We’ll turn up the heat and humidity a little bit by the middle of next week, but it won’t feel like a tropical rainforest..  So far, no raindrops in our 7-Day Forecast, so you’ll need to water the lawns and gardens yourself..

Have a nice, safe Memorial Day weekend!

-Meteorologist Ashley Baylor


Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

May 22nd, 2015 at 7:35 am by under Weather

The timing is working out well for this weekend.  Yesterday there were heavy downpours as an area of low pressure moved through the region.

Radar Yesterday

Radar Yesterday

The rain was very heavy, and it added up in the rain gauges.  Here are some of the rain totals for the area:

24 Hour Rain Totals

24 Hour Rain Totals

My weather watcher Doris on the Eastern Shore had 1.25″ of rain.  Donna in Blackwater (southern Virginia Beach) had 2.3″.  Meanwhile Greg in Currituck NC did not need rain.  Luckily he only had 0.2″.  That system is outta heeere today.  It is way out over the ocean.  High pressure is building in from the northwest.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Winds will be out of the north/northwest at 10-15mph.  We’ll be very dry today and for the next 2 days.  Highs will be in the mid 70s.  There will be lots of sunshine.  Tonight a weak cool front will move through the area.  There won’t be any precipitation with it.  However, tomorrow we’ll be a little cool behind that system.  Highs will only be in the upper 60s to low 7os. The average high temperature for this time of year is in the upper 70s.  As high pressure sits over the region and drifts around Sunday into Monday we’ll warm up.  Highs will be in the upper 70s on Sunday with fair skies.  We’ll be in the low 80s for Memorial Day itself.  It will be good for fun and for memorial services.  That will be the better day to head to any pools or beaches.  Just watch for the crowds.  Have a great weekend!

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Rainy Thursday With Some Storms

May 21st, 2015 at 8:32 am by under Weather

Over the last couple of days the computer models showed an area of low pressure that would head towards the region today.  They stubbornly kept disagreeing as to how much rain we would get and as to how organized the low would be.  Now they agree that there is a high chance for rain, and that the low is fairly organized.  As of this writing, the low was located just northeast of Charlotte, NC.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

There is some mid level energy in the atmosphere that will run through our region along with the surface low.  This will enhance the rainfall, and it will create the chance for thunderstorms this afternoon. It’s interesting because we will actually be pretty cool today.  Winds are out of the east at 10-15mph.  So that is a cool onshore breeze.  With the clouds and rain on top of the breeze, our temps in Hampton Roads will only be in the upper 60s to low 70s for highs.  So we are pretty much looking at rain showers with a few thunderstorms.  However, the stationary front will try to nudge north a bit.  So a few cities in North Carolina could reach up to 80 degrees.  Most likely towards Ahoskie, Edenton, and Hertford NC.  That is why there will be a higher chance for thunderstorms there.  There may even be some isolated severe weather.  Rain will continue into the evening hours.  It could slow things down for the evening commute.

Future Trak (5pm)

Future Trak (5pm)

The low will start to push out between 7-9pm.  The rain will taper off through the time.  Winds will turn northwest behind the low.  We could see a few gusts up to 20mph.  Then we’ll dry out through the overnight hours.

We could see about a half inch up to an inch of rain.  There will be some cities that will get over 1.5″ of rain between this morning and this evening.

Ran Totals Forecast

Ran Totals Forecast

Following this rain, we will see some great weather.  We’ll have dry conditions between Friday and Monday. Highs will be in the low/mid 70s Friday and Saturday.  Upper 70s on Sunday.  Then we’ll have some 80s on Monday for Memorial Day. It will be awesome for outdoor events and services.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 


Coolness…No…Not The Fonz!

May 20th, 2015 at 8:46 am by under Weather

It’s been a long time since I’ve seen an episode, but the blog title is a throwback to the old “Happy Days” series with the main character called the “Fonz” or Arthur Fonzarelli.  He was always a very cool character.  I miss the old TV shows as they really focused on dramatic and human stories with really good characters.  Even in the sitcoms.  I don’t believe there is as much of that in today’s television. There are exceptions.  Just my 2 quick cents.  Anyway, yes… the weather will be cooler and drier today.

Yesterday afternoon/evening we did have some scattered showers and thunderstorms trudging through the region. They didn’t make it to everybody though.

Radar Yesterday Evening

Radar Yesterday Evening

There were parts of northeast North Carolina up to Chesapeake that had a deluge.  However, the rest of the Southside missed the heavy rain.  Here are the 24 hour rain totals:

24 Hour Rain Totals

24 Hour Rain Totals

My weather watcher Scott in Yorktown had 0.44″ of rain.  There was one quick flash there yesterday evening.  Chesapeake had 0.84″.  Greg my weather watcher in Currituck had 0.5″.  he said there were a couple of towns near him that had over 2″ of rain.  However, Donna in Blackwater (southern Virginia Beach) had very little rain, and Doris on the Eastern Shore also had very little.

Today the cold front is heading south of the viewing area.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

While the front is moving through this morning, the humidity has been slow to drop . The winds didn’t really pick up until about 7am.  They will run at 10-15mph out of the north today.  So we’ll slowly filter in the drier air through midday.  High pressure is also building-in.  So we’ll see  a lot of sunshine.  High temps will be in the mid-upper 70s.  There may be a couple of 80s over inland North Carolina.

The cold front will stall to our south today.  By tomorrow it will nudge back to the north a bit.  At the same time a weak area of low pressure will develop along the front.  It will move into Hampton Roads during the afternoon.  This will bring us scattered to occasional rain showers by the afternoon.  In fact we could see some scattered thunderstorms over northeast North Carolina where temps will be a little warmer.  The rain showers will continue into the evening.

Future Trak (5pm Thursday)

Future Trak (5pm Thursday)

We could see about a half inch of rain with a bit more in some areas.  That system will move out by Thursday night.  Then we’ll have some great weather from Friday through Monday.  Highs will be in the 70s until Monday.  Then we’ll warm to the low 80s.

In national news… It’s not new news that the drought in the southwestern U.S. is still ongoing, but I found a recent article about Lake Powell that is interesting.  It not only talks about what is happening now, but it also has some history as well as what may happen in the future.  Lake Powell and the drought.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler