Boo! That stands for 2 things in this blog. Firstly, it might get a little scary out there this evening for trick-or-treating. Not from the weather, but from the ghouls and goblins. Boo can also be said because the weather is going to be nasty late Saturday into early Sunday. Let’s start with the short-term forecast: Today we have a weak area of low pressure offshore. This is not the system that will affect us this weekend, but it is throwing some extra moisture our way this morning. So we have already increased our clouds.
The clouds will be with us through the day. A few showers will fall over the Outer Banks and northeast North Carolina. We could see a few sprinkles in Hampton Roads. Temps will be held down in the low 60s this afternoon. Winds will be out of the north at 10mph. As we get into the evening we’ll see a few more sprinkles in the region. The better chance for that will be along the coast. Meanwhile an area of low pressure is developing off to our west over the Midwest states. It will push east tonight and will arrive over our region tomorrow. This will be the big weather player for the weekend.
Area Of Low Pressure
We’ll start off Saturday with only an isolated shower or two, but the rain will pick up by Saturday afternoon/evening as the low pushes through.
Future Trak (Sat 9pm)
The low will move away by Saturday night and will push offshore. Winds will increase behind it. We’ll see gusts up to 30mph by late Saturday afternoon. They may not even increase until the evening, but winds will be gusting up to 45mph by Saturday night. That will happen more along the shore than inland. Winds will start out north-northeast, but they will be out of the north-northwest overnight. By Sunday morning the rain will come to an end. We’ll dry out as high pressure builds in from the west. Winds will stay up through the morning, but will taper off by the late afternoon. With the winds so strong we’ll see some minor tidal flooding. This will come from the tide mostly as the rainfall is only expected to be about a half inch up to an inch. So the tides will run about 1-2 feet above normal. Again this is mostly for Sunday.
Stay tuned for updates to the tide forecast. It is notorious for changing up until the last hour. Here’s a link for the updates from the National Weather Service: Tide Forecast.
Conditions will improve by Sunday night. However, we’ll see a new batch of problems. The temperatures behind this system are very cold. As the winds lighten up, the temps will be able to drop to near freezing. So lows will be in the low/mid 30s by Monday morning. There may even be a few upper 20s inland. (I hope not). So we’ll be looking at scattered to widespread frost. Some areas could even see a freeze. So it’s time to bring in the potted plants and the sensitive pets. At least you’ll get an extra hour of sleep this weekend. Yep! Time to roll the clocks back an hour Saturday night.
The forecast is still on track for this coastal storm to develop this weekend. We are looking at light rain to move across our area early on Saturday and be scattered off and on into the afternoon. We will see less than 1 inch of rain. The storm is going to be more of a blast of cold wind across our area.
Future Trak Saturday
With both of the areas of low pressure offshore, we will see a strong northerly wind push cold air across our area. See the snow over the mountains? Those areas could see several inches of snow this weekend. We won’t see the snow, but we will see chilly temperatures. Temps will be in the 50s during the day, and in the 30s at night.
The storm will peak Saturday night with the following conditions:
Minor Tidal flooding is also possible with tides running 1-1.5ft above normal.
Wind Speeds: 20-30mph Gusts: 40-50mph
Currituck/Albemarle Sound: 2-3ft
Rain: Less than 1 inch
We will continue to track this storm over the next several days.
Yesterday was the last of the warm air for a while. Highs were in the upper 70s to near 80. Now things will just keep getting colder and colder. A cold front moved through last night and brought some scattered showers to the region.
Rain Showers Last Night
The Showers pushed out by 7am. We picked up about a quarter to a half an inch. Though most were closer to a quarter of an inch. Now today we’ll see cooler/drier conditions. High pressure is building in from the west as the front moves offshore.
Winds will be out of the north at about 5-15mph. Highs this afternoon will be in the mid 60s, but most of the day will be in 50s. Tomorrow the next big player in the weather game will set up to our west. A large area of low pressure (at the surface and aloft) will move out of the Midwest and move east. The force behind it is an unseasonably cold arimass that will dump out of Canada and pour to the south.
Some moisture will try to return to the region ahead of the cold front (see above map). This may bring a few spotty showers to the Outer Banks. Otherwise we’ll just see lots of clouds. Highs will be in the low 60s tomorrow with winds still out of the north. The weather looks ok for trick-or-treaters tomorrow. Temps will be in the 50s. So it will be cool. We are looking at a lot of clouds in the region in the evening.
The rain will move in on Saturday. It may come in more towards the afternoon, but we’ll see. The broad surface low will move through the entire region through the day with a sharper low developing just to our northeast by Saturday night. This is a newer feature in the models. Before it looked like a broad low for us with the sharper low up off the New England coast.
Future Trak (Saturday)
We’ll see rain showers, but a rain/sleet/snow mix will fall over the Appalachians. Hard to say if they’ll see accumulations as the surface will still be pretty warm. I wouldn’t be surprised if we see a couple of melting ice pellets mix in with our rain here. It will be very cold in the upper levels of the atmosphere. Winds will be picking up through the day, but they won’t really get strong until Saturday evening as the low starts to push offshore. Then Saturday night and Sunday the winds may be gusting up to 45mph. It looks like there may be some minor tidal flooding on Sunday. Luckily the moon is in the half-moon phase. That doesn’t promote tidal flooding in-itself. We’ll have more details on the tide over the next couple of days.
We’ll be dry and windy on Sunday with highs in the low 50s. Lows will be in the 30s. By Sunday night the low will be long gone and winds will settle. High pressure will build in. The problem is that the temperatures will crash. We’ll see lows in the low/mid 30s. We could see some widespread frost in the region. Time to bring in the sensitive plants. We’ll warm up nicely into the middle of next week.
As you may have heard, Orbital is the private company responsible for transporting the supplies to the International Space Station. The mission was the Commercial Resupply Mission ORB-3. The launch pad used for this launch (0A) is the only launch pad they have for the Antares rocket.
Pad 0A Diagram
Antares Rocket Quick Facts:
139 Feet Tall. (As high as a 14 story building)
Weight: 652,000lbs (As heavy as 265 compact cars)
40,300 Gallons of Liquid Oxygen Fuel
21,500 Gallons of Kerosene
Cygnus Spacecraft (Cargo) Quick Facts:
17 Ft Tall
Weight: 3,527 lbs (Similar to a pickup truck)
More information from our newscasts from Tuesday night:
In the coming days we will hopefully hear more about what happened to this rocket.
I’ll start with the weather last night during the rocket explosion at Wallops Island. It was a vivid but sad incident to watch. I was out trying to watch it from my house. I had my DVR back a few minutes. When I didn’t see anything outside and I went into my house and fast-forwarded to real-time on the news. What a surprise. As you probably know, the rocket exploded shortly after takeoff. The weather at the time was mostly clear with temps in the 60s. Winds were out of the southwest at about 10-12mph. After the rocket exploded there was a large smoke plume. This was actually picked up on our radar.
They’ll see partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies today with highs in the 70s for the investigation. However, Rain showers will move in by tonight. More on that in a moment.
This morning we started out great. It was a beautiful morning when the sun came up. It shined through a deck of clouds shortly after rising.
Yes…I did capture a helicopter passing nearby along with the clouds. The clouds weren’t too thick, but they were widespread. Today we’ll go between partly and mostly cloudy skies. Despite the clouds we will still be very warm. Southwest winds and partial clearing will let the temps rise into the upper 70s to near 80. No rain is expected during the day except for a few stray showers over the northwest parts of the viewing area.
Cold Front To The West
The models show most of the rain coming in between 8pm and 1am. Here is what Future Trak shows for 11pm.
Future Trak (11pm)
There may even be a few thunderstorms. We are looking at about a quarter to a half an inch of rain. A few showers may linger behind the front tomorrow morning. Otherwise Thursday will be dry and much cooler. Highs will be in the low 60s. Winds will be northerly at 10-15mph. The cool air will linger into Friday. Highs will be in the low 60s again. We’ll see mostly cloudy skies for Friday evening. Temps will be in the 50s during most trick-or-treat hours.
On Saturday the models still show a large area of low pressure forming off the New England coast. This will shove down some very cold air into the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast states. In fact there may be some snow over the Appalachian Mountains. I am not even ruling out a couple of ice pellets trying to mix in with our local rain showers locally. This would happen if the rain continues into Saturday night. There will be a very cold upper level low sitting over us at that time. Low temps Saturday night will drop to the upper 30s. It is going to feel like early Winter out there. On Sunday we’ll still be chilly with highs in the low 50s, but at least it will be dry. We’ll warm up into next week.
In the tropics there is still a weak disturbance near the Lesser Antilles. It was a little more impressive on satellite this morning.
It has a weak-medium chance for developing over the next few days. It is slowly moving northwest. So we will monitor it closely. I doubt it would be able to get to close to the U.S. mainland though. This large cold fronts coming in will be strong enough to knock anything out to sea.
As per the title of this blog…tropical storm Hanna is already gone. It quickly formed yesterday, but she left before we even got to know her.
It did bring some heavy rain to Nicaragua and Honduras, but I haven’t seen any reports of flooding yet. I’m sure we’ll get some updates later today. There is also a weak disturbance over towards the Lesser Antilles, but It probably won’t do much of anything. The rest of the tropics are quiet.
Closer to home the weather is lovely. It’s actually going to be pretty warm today. The heat has really been building to our west. We’ll have a lot of sunshine with southwest winds at 10-15mph this afternoon. So highs will rise to the low 80s. The average high is 67. The record in Norfolk for today is 86 (1984). High pressure is in control.
Tomorrow a cold front will move into the region, but we’ll still see some warmth during the day.
Tomorrow’s Forecast Map
Highs will be in the mid-upper 70s with a few 80s south. Most of the day will not see rain, but a line of scattered showers will move in by the evening. We aren’t looking at too much rain (a couple tenths of an inch), but the models are a little wetter today. Here is what Future Trak shows at 8pm Wednesday:
Future Trak 8pm Wed.
The showers will push through by midnight. Then we’ll dry out into Thursday morning. Highs will be in the low 60s with partly cloudy skies. We’ll see highs in the low 60s again on Friday. There will be a lot of clouds in the region with a few showers possible over the southern Outer Banks. It should be good for trick-or-treat time. Lots of clouds with temps in the 50s. It’s possible some drizzle could sneak into the forecast. So stay tuned. Saturday will be kind of nasty out. A large area of low pressure will form off the New England coast with a strong area of high pressure over the Midwest. This will shove lots of unseasonably cold air into the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast states. We’ll see highs in the 50s on Saturday and Sunday with lows mostly in the 30s. It will also be windy. Especially on Saturday. It will be so cold that snow will be possible in the Appalachians. Yep that’s right. Snow in the higher elevations of western Virginia will be possible this upcoming weekend. The air might moderate a bit as we get closer to that time. So we’ll see. Some snow will likely fall in the Great Lakes region.
Finally, the rocket launch at Wallops Island was postponed yesterday. Apparently a boat was in the safe zone again. So now the launch has been rescheduled for 6:22pm today. Check here for updates: Wallop Island Flight Facility.
I know a lot of people were disappointed tonight when the Antares Rocket Launch was scrubbed because of a boat downrange of the launch area. The launch has been rescheduled for tomorrow at 6:22 PM. Live coverage of the launch can be seen on Ustream. Here is the forecast for Tuesday’s launch from Wallops Island. The sky will be clear, so everyone should be able to see it, but the winds could be a bit breezy out of the southwest at 10-15mph. Hopefully the wind speeds don’t interfere with the launch. We will just have to wait and see what happens tomorrow.
Wallops Island Rocket Launch Forecast
Hanna has weakened to a tropical depression with maximum sustained winds of 35mph.
Hanna is moving westward and should fall apart on Tuesday. Heavy rain still remains a big threat for Nicaragua and Honduras over the next 24 hours. The rain could lead to flooding and mudslides. Hanna will not impact the U.S.
11 PM Update: Hanna has now dissipated, but heavy rain still remains a threat for Nicaragua and Honduras.
Our temperatures will be going up and down this week. Temperatures will drop into the lower 50s with upper 40s inland overnight. Get ready for summer to make a return as highs climb into the lower 80s tomorrow. The warm weather continues on Wednesday before the next cold front moves through the region. Much cooler air will move in by the end of the week.
This morning was the beginning of the ride. It was the bottom of the roller coaster when you just start out and get ready to head up the slow going hill. A cold front moved through over the weekend. Skies cleared out last night and winds dropped to nothing. So our overnight lows were in the 30s and 40s.
Temps This Morning
Temps are warming up nicely though. We’ll see highs in the upper 60s to low 70s this afternoon. At this time of this writing Suffolk had already managed to hit 67 degrees, and it was still warming. Winds will be out of the northeast at about 10mph. By tomorrow the winds will flip around out of the south. So we’ll warm up quite a bit. Lows will be in the low 50s. Highs will be near 80.
Temps will cool down just a bit on Wednesday. The front won’t arrive until late, but there will be more clouds. So highs will be in the mid-upper 70s. If the front slows down, then we could be back close to 80. However, we’ll definitely cool down on Thursday. Highs will be in the 60s. Then we’ll have a strong area of low pressure form off the New England coast on Friday. That will shove windy/colder conditions our way. So highs will probably be in the 50s next weekend. Lows will be in the 30s. It will be pretty cold.
This evening there will be a rocket launch from Wallops Island. If all goes well then they will send up a rocket at 6:45pm. I’ve only seen them on tower cam 10, but I’ve heard that they are cool to see live. Check here for updates: Wallops Island (NASA)
Speaking of updates…Tropical storm Hanna has formed in the tropics. It formed this morning off the coast of Nicaragua. However, it is going to be a short-lived storm. It is just off the coast of Nicaragua and it is moving west towards land.
The sustained winds were only 40mph which makes it a minimal tropical storm. As it moves over land it should weaken further. The problem is that flooding rains are expected in the region. It will possibly dump up to 15 inches over either Nicaragua or Honduras. Dangerous flooding and mudslides will be the main threats from the storm over the next 24 hours.
Hopefully you enjoyed the pleasant weather this weekend because the temperatures will be going up and down this week, just like a roller coaster. The kids will need the jackets Monday morning before going to school as temperatures will drop into the mid to upper 40s on average. Lower 40s possible inland and lower 50s possible close to the coast. Monday should be a little bit cooler with highs in the upper 60s to around 70° with light winds. Don’t forget….NASA Wallops Island will be launching a rocket at 6:45 PM tomorrow evening. Skies should remain clear, so we should be able to see the launch if it is a go. Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson wrote a blog about the launch this morning. Check it out!
A ridge of high pressure will start to build in tomorrow and strengthen on Tuesday. Southwesterly winds will really help warm us up Tuesday and Wednesday also.
Tuesday will be the warmest day of the week with highs around 80°. Average high temperature this time of year is 67°. Our next cold front won’t move in until Wednesday evening, so Wednesday afternoon will be warm with highs in the upper 70s. A few showers will be possible Wednesday night into early Thursday morning as the front moves through the region.
Future Trak at 7 PM Weds
Rain will clear out from northwest to southeast early Thursday morning. Cooler and drier air will move in behind the front, so highs will drop into the lower 60s Thursday and Friday.
Big Temperature Swing
Right now it looks like it will be dry, but chilly for trick-or-treaters Friday night. Temperatures will be dropping into the 50s once the sun sets, so the kids will probably need to wear a jacket or sweatshirt underneath their costume. A much stronger cold front will move in next weekend bringing Hampton Roads the coldest air of the season so far.
NASA Wallops Island Flight Facility will be launching another Antares rocket towards the International Space Station tomorrow evening. As of their latest update they said the weather has a 98% chance of being favorable for launch. This mission is designed for an ISS resupply and also transportation for more experiments.
Rocket Launch Tomorrow
The Antares rocket is scheduled to lift-off no earlier than 6:45pm from pad 0A. We will have clear skies tomorrow evening which will make the launch visible from anywhere in our area.
Due to the curvature of the Earth, there will be a delay on when you can see the rocket launch. Remember, the path of the rocket will be moving in an easterly direction over the Atlantic Ocean. For more info on this launch visit: