Weather

Warmer Weather Is Here

April 22nd, 2014 at 9:00 am by under Weather

When I got in this morning I noticed 2 things.  1 That the pollen was high and my allergies were going nuts.  And 2.  Meteorologist Tiffany Savona left me a graphic from last night that was pretty interesting.  It showed last weeks cool-down compared to this week’s.  Here is that graphic:

Cool Down Comparison

Cool Down Comparison

So last week we had the huge arctic blast.  This week we’ll see a nice cool down, but it will actually be pretty nice behind the front this time.  Today we are warming to the upper 70s out ahead of the cold front.  We’ll probably hit a few 80s inland too.  Winds are already picking up out of the southwest.  They will run at about 10-15mph with a few gusts up to 20mph.

Today's Forecast

Today’s Forecast

We had a few clouds around this morning, but we’ll see strong sunshine from the mid morning through midday.  Due to the higher temps, recent rain, and higher humidity I have put the pollen forecast up to a 10 out of today today.  I think we’ll see greenish/yellowish cars everywhere by the end of the day.

By this evening the front will push through.  The models are suggesting 2 rounds of showers and storms.  The first one comes in at 5pm.

Future Trak (5pm)

Future Trak (5pm)

This will be a little ahead of the front.  On a large scale this is not going to be a huge powerful system.  There will be a little instability, but the upper level winds don’t look too strong.  So while we may see a few spots of heavier rain and gusty winds, we are not expecting severe weather at this time. Later in the evening a second round looks to appear just behind the front.  This will be from about 8-11pm.

Overnight we will dry out behind the front. Winds will pick up out of the northwest at 10-20mph, and temperatures will drop down to near 50.  Behind the front tomorrow we’ll actually see some nice weather.  Winds will be breezy (NW 10-20mph), but the sun will be out and highs will still manage to get into the mid 60s.  It will be even better on Thursday with less wind, but similar weather.

We’ll warm up again by Friday with a few more late day storms possible.  The weekend was looking cooler, but now the models have backed off of the cooling a bit and are keeping the temps mild.  We’ll see if this is a trend.

In national news there is a new study out about certain biofuels. Namely corn residue.  It says that they are not more efficient that gasoline. Here is the article from the Associated Press: Biofuel efficiency.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


I’m Back. Now Where’s The Warmer Weather?

April 21st, 2014 at 8:32 am by under Weather

Yes…yes… It’s true.  I am back from vacation.  It was a nice one.  We flew to Arkansas to see my dad for part of it.  We got to visit one of the local caves there and see some of the local geography.  The weather was about the same there as it was here.  Warm for 1 or 2 days, then cold and windy with some rain.  So we got back to Hampton Roads just in time for our local cool-down.  It stayed cool through yesterday, and an area of low pressure kept the winds going.  Meteorologist Tiffany Savona even mentioned that some of the winds were over 40mph.  Easter eggs were blowing down the street.  Also there was quite a bit of rain across northeast North Carolina yesterday.  The culprit for the wet/windy weather was an area of low pressure that was just offshore.  Today the low will steadily push east.  High pressure will build in.  So we’ll have gradual clearing and the winds won’t be as strong.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Temperatures will warm to the low 60s near the shore and upper 60s inland.  Winds will be out of the northeast at 10-15mph with gusts up to 20mph near the shore.  There may be a bit of ocean overwash over part of the Outer Banks this afternoon.  The waves are up, but be careful surfers.  I don’t have an official forecast for rip currents, but I imagine that there is at least a moderate risk for them today if not a high one.

Tomorrow we’ll have more of a southerly wind.  With the high overhead we’ll also have a lot of sunshine.  So high temperatures will run all the way up to the upper 70s.  However, late in the day a cold front will approach from the west.  This will create some late-day scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.  We will cool down then Wednesday and Thursday, but it won’t be anything like the recent cold-wave that hit the area.  Highs will be in the 60s and lows will be in the 40s.  The average high temperature for this time of year is 69 degrees.  At least this week will be much quieter than last week.  It will be nicer for Spring Breakers.  I’ve heard there’s a few kids in North Carolina that are off this week.  If so, then enjoy.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Drier With More Sunshine on Monday

April 20th, 2014 at 8:53 pm by under Weather

It was a wet Easter weekend for some and a windy Easter Sunday for all of us. The good news is that the rain will taper off across North Carolina tonight. The bad news is that the wind will stay up tonight and for the first half of your Monday. The wind and the rain is being generated by an area of low pressure spinning off the coast of North Carolina and South Carolina. This low is throwing moisture our way, especially across North Carolina. The strong winds are a result of the difference in pressure between the high to our north and the low to our southeast. Some wind gusts were as high as 40-45 mph earlier today.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Northeast winds will stay up tonight and range from 15-25mph with gusts up to 30mph. Here is the wind speed forecast for Monday. Sustained winds should range between 15-20mph in the morning and then drop down to 10-15mph during the afternoon.

Monday Wind Speeds

Monday Wind Speeds

Tides will remain elevated during the next high tide, which is around 2:30 AM Monday. We are not concerned about minor tidal flooding because the water levels should remain below the minor flooding threshold. However, nuisance tidal flooding is possible. A High Surf Advisory is in effect until early Monday morning for the Outer Banks and Currituck. Waves could reach 8-10 feet and ocean over-wash is possible.

Areas across the Southside and North Carolina will start off with the clouds tomorrow morning. Areas north of the Southside should start off with more sunshine. Clouds will clear out by the afternoon across the Southside, but will linger across North Carolina. Highs will be in the lower 60s across the metro with upper 60s inland and upper 50s along the immediate coast.

We are going to see a big warm-up by Tuesday. Highs will warm up into the mid to upper 70s out ahead of our next cold front. Most of Tuesday (Earth Day) will stay dry. Showers/isolated storms are possible anytime after 4 PM and  all of the rain should end shortly after midnight.

Future Trak at 7 PM Tuesday

Future Trak at 7 PM Tuesday

Cooler and drier air will move in behind the front. Temperatures will drop back into the low to mid 60s Wednesday and Thursday.

We didn’t see enough rain to really wash out the pollen this weekend, so the pollen forecast will remain on the high side over the next few days. Sorry allergy sufferers! I hope everyone had a Happy Easter!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


A Rainy Saturday, Less Rain Tomorrow

April 19th, 2014 at 8:56 am by under Weather

The cool temperatures are going to stick around for our Easter weekend across the area. Today we will see highs near 57 degrees. Tomorrow, temperatures will be near 60. Along with the cool temperatures; there will be a strong northeast wind.

Between Low & High Pressure

Between Low & High Pressure

In between both of these areas of low and high pressure exists a tight pressure gradient. That tight gradient will keep our wind speeds high with winds around 10-15mph today. Tomorrow the wind will be even stronger at 15-20mph and gusts easily over 30mph. As the storm gets closer, it will run out of rainfall.

For today, we are starting the day with plenty of rain:

Rain Moves Back South this afternoon

Rain Moves Back South this afternoon

The rain is going to break apart and retreat back to the south this afternoon. Across the Peninsula, Eastern Shore and areas north you will see mostly cloudy skies late this afternoon. For the Southside Hampton Roads cities and North Carolina, rain will taper off during the afternoon and early evening.

AM Sprinkles Possible on Easter

AM Sprinkles Possible on Easter

Any kids going on their annual Easter egg hunt, or those special sunrise services that are outdoors tomorrow morning may be a little soggy due to the incoming sprinkles for our area. I believe we will see the dry air win around midday and in the afternoon which should  keep up with mostly cloudy skies for our Easter Sunday.

Easter Forecast

Easter Forecast

In to Monday and Tuesday (Earth Day) we will see more sunshine with highs getting close to 70 degrees again.

Enjoy your Easter weekend.

-Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson

 


Some Rain For Easter Weekend

April 18th, 2014 at 7:35 am by under Weather

Temperatures are a bit warmer this morning. Readings have mostly been in the 40s. Across the Eastern Shore, temperatures were a little cooler with lows near 39 degrees in Melfa and towards Cape Charles this morning.

Morning Low Temps

Morning Low Temps

This afternoon, thick clouds will continue to rule our skies. A little sunshine is possible, that could allow high temperatures to climb to the mid-50s.

The rain will start to move in late tonight, and begin likely after midnight. The best chance for showers will be tomorrow morning across the Hampton Roads cities.

Future Trak @ 7am

Future Trak @ 7am

In to the afternoon, the rain will begin to scatter a bit more, and mostly be centered over NE NC. Across Virginia Saturday night, we will see cloudy skies with a continues northeast wind. There is a small chance that the rain could continue on Easter Sunday in North Carolina.

Easter Forecast

Easter Forecast

Easter Sunday should be a little warmer with highs near 63 degrees. Monday and Tuesday next week will be the warmest as we should have highs near 70.

Enjoy your Easter Weekend!

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson


Still Cool Today, Slow Warming Trend Begins

April 17th, 2014 at 9:41 am by under Weather

Today we are going to see high temperatures in the 50s, still cool for this time of year. The average high for today is 68. Remember, it is spring, a transition season, so the cold spell that we are in now is not unusual.

Northeast Flow

Northeast Flow

Winds will remain out of the northeast today and going in to the weekend, with that wind it will keep our temperatures cooler than normal. I am also expecting some extra cloud cover for tonight, this will keep our lows in the 40s. At the same time, the clouds will also keep us cool with highs in the mid-50s again tomorrow.

Rain Possible Tomorrow

Rain Possible Tomorrow

Scattered Showers will begin to push in late tomorrow afternoon and in to the evening. There is still some uncertainty in how long the rain will last. The GFS model keeps us wet all day Saturday. The Euro has us cloudy and dry with showers possible for the OBX. I will keep an eye on the models during the rest of the day and look for trends. Regardless, Easter Sunday looks dry with highs near 63 degrees.

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson


Winter Has Returned For A Day Plus Storm Recap

April 16th, 2014 at 9:24 am by under Weather

Wow! Feels more like winter outside this morning. It was cold enough for me to need to turn on the heat in my car on my ride into work. Check out the low temperatures across the region this morning. The record low in Norfolk is 33° set back in 1943. We didn’t break the record, but we were close. Wind chill values were in the 20s!

Lows This Morning

Lows This Morning

All of this cold air rushed in behind a powerful cold front that moved through Hampton Roads last night. Once the front moved in, wind speeds picked up and temperatures dropped a good 20-30 degrees in less than an hour. Check out these peak wind gusts recorded last night.

Peak Wind Gusts Overnight

Peak Wind Gusts Overnight

Wind speeds along the Lower Chesapeake Bay ranged from 60-70mph. The strong winds pushed a large ship aground near Shore Drive in Virginia Beach. Read the full story here on wavy.com. Wind damage was also reported in a Virginia Beach neighborhood. A tree fell onto a fence and two cars. Rain totals were also quite impressive. Most locations saw between 1.5-2 inches of rain with some areas seeing more than that. Now we are above average for the month of April and for the year so far.

24-Hour Rain Totals

24-Hour Rain Totals

The wind is going to stay up all day long. Future Trak has our sustained wind speeds ranging from 10-20mph with gusts up to 35mph this afternoon.

Future Trak Wind Speeds

Future Trak Wind Speeds

The pollen count will be on the rise today, thanks to the wind. I have the pollen forecast at a medium level today. Hopefully you enjoyed some allergy relief yesterday. Even though we will see plenty of sunshine this afternoon, highs will only reach the upper 40s. Some 50° readings will be possible for inland locations. We will see a gradual warm-up over the next few days. Highs in the 50s Thursday and Friday with 60s in the forecast this weekend.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Midday Update: Severe Weather Threat Going Down

April 15th, 2014 at 1:47 pm by under Weather

The severe weather threat for Hampton Roads has gone down significantly. We saw a lot of rain this morning, which cooled and stabilized the atmosphere. I talked about this being a possibility in my previous blog. Check out the rain totals from this morning.

Rain Totals So Far

Rain Totals So Far

The Storm Prediction Center has taken Virginia and North Carolina out of the slight risk area for severe weather because of the rain we saw earlier. Computer models did not do a very good job on picking up on the heavy rain this morning, therefore they over estimated the amount of instability we would have this afternoon. We still expect a line of showers and storms to develop ahead of the cold front between 4-8 PM.  This is the latest Future Trak computer model at 6 PM, so the evening commute is going to be a messy one.

Future Trak at 5 PM

Future Trak at 6 PM

Once the cold front moves in, temperatures will drop a good 10-15 degrees in one hour. Winds will pick up out of the north at 25-35 mph with gusts up to 40-45mph. Cooler air will rush in, causing temperatures to drop into the low to mid 30s by Wednesday morning. The National Weather Service has upgraded the Freeze Watch to a Freeze Warning for our northern and inland areas. This warning now includes the entire Peninsula. If you live in any of these counties, make sure you cover or bring inside any sensitive vegetation. Temperatures are expected to drop to around 32°, if not below freezing, for a few hours early Wednesday morning.

Freeze Warning

Freeze Warning

Keep in mind that wind chills values will likely be in the 20s early Wednesday morning, so make sure you take that winter coat back out of the closet. Chief Meteorologist Don Slater will have a full update coming up on WAVY News 10 at 4, 5 and 6 PM.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Tuesday’s Severe Weather Threat

April 15th, 2014 at 9:29 am by under Weather

Before, we get to the severe weather threat today, I want to show a picture of the Lunar Eclipse. If you were lucky, like me, there may have been enough breaks in the clouds for you to see the moon.  Stephen Gagnon captured this beautiful picture in Carrollton this morning.

Lunar Eclipse

Lunar Eclipse Early This Morning

We are tracking a strong cold front that will move through Hampton Roads early this evening. Before the front moves in, a line of showers and storms will develop. Some of these storms could turn strong to severe. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted our entire area in a slight risk for severe weather this afternoon.

Today's Severe Weather Threat

Today’s Severe Weather Threat

The main severe weather threats will be heavy rain and damaging winds in excess of 60mph. Tornado threat is low, but not zero. If we see an area of low pressure develop along the front, we could see an enhanced tornado threat just south of the low. One computer model has the low developing across NE North Carolina, while another model has the low developing across SE Virginia. A couple other models do not have an area of low pressure developing at all. This is something we will be watching for this afternoon. Keep in mind that if we see more rain this morning, then the severe weather threat will be lower. If we see more sunshine, then the severe weather threat will be going up this afternoon. The window for seeing severe weather will be between 3-9 PM, ahead of the cold front. The line of showers and storms should move through the metro area around 4-7 PM. This means we are looking at a messy evening commute. Any thunderstorm that can develop ahead of the front could be strong to severe. Here is what our Future Trak computer model has at 5 PM.

Future Trak at 5 PM

Future Trak at 5 PM

Once the front clears the area, the severe threat will be gone. But the rain will continue behind the front and the rain could be heavy at times. Here is what our Future Trak model has at 9 PM.

Future Trak at 9 PM

Future Trak at 9 PM

Winds will turn northerly behind the front and increase in speed. Look for sustained wind speeds between 25-35 mph with gusts ranging from 40-45mph overnight. Much colder air will filter in and temperatures will drop into the mid 30s by Wednesday morning. Wind chill values will be in the 20s!!! Welcome back winter! Future Trak Temperatures has lows around 32° for our northern and western counties with mid 30s everywhere else. Record low for Norfolk Airport is 33° set back in 1943, so we will be close.

Wednesday AM Lows

Wednesday AM Lows

The National Weather Service issued a Freeze Watch in effect for all counties highlighted in blue. These areas could see temperatures dip below 32° for a couple of hours overnight.

Freeze Watch

Freeze Watch

If you live in these areas, make sure you bring any potted plants indoors and/or cover any sensitive vegetation.

Good news for all of the allergy sufferers…the pollen forecast is LOW today due to the rain and the wind. The heavy rain should really knock down the pollen count today. I will be tracking the potential for strong to severe storms this afternoon. Stay with wavy.com for the latest.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 

 

 


Thunderstorms Are Possible Tomorrow

April 14th, 2014 at 9:54 am by under Weather

Today is looking like a great day, we will see partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the 70s. As the area of low pressure gets closer, our wind speeds will increase. Today we will see winds from the south at 15-20mph. Gusts could reach 30mph today. Tonight, along with the winds, temperatures will stay mild with lows in the 60s. Now, lets talk about the rain chances. We’ll stay dry today, but tonight scattered showers will be possible ahead of the storm system. Tomorrow morning, we will also see a chance for scattered showers. If we can stay cloudy and cool, then our severe weather chances will remain low. If we see sunshine, then the threat will increase.

Future Trak @ 1pm

Future Trak @ 1pm

The storms will stay off to our west around midday tomorrow.

Future Trak @ 6pm

Future Trak @ 6pm

Storm Chances

Storm Chances

Going in to tomorrow evening, the cold front will sweep through the area with temperatures going from the 70s to the 30s by Wednesday morning. This strong cold front may be able to produce strong storms that could create damaging wind gusts and hail.

Behind the line of storms we will be colder with highs in the 50s on Wednesday.

 

Tetrad of Lunar Eclipses Begins Tonight

The first of four lunar eclipses begins tonight, sadly the forecast looks to be cloudy, but it still may be worth a shot to get up and see it:

Lunar Eclipse

Lunar Eclipse

There are three more coming up. The scientists at NASA put together a great video about how rare a tetrad is:

 

-Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson