Weather

Did Someone Wish For This Weather?

December 22nd, 2014 at 8:39 am by under Weather

Did someone wish for this weather?  Seriously?  Because we’ll see some nasty weather over the next couple of days, and it’s going to impact holiday travel and Christmas Eve as well.  Yikes!  So let’s detail what I’m talking about.

Today a weak area of low pressure is creeping north along the coast.  This has already brought widespread rain to the region.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

There is a high pressure zone to the west, but it will only be an innocent bystander in terms of our weather.  The low will creep north along the coast today. This will bring us rain through most of the day.

Future Trak (3pm Monday)

Future Trak (3pm Monday)

Along with the rain we’ll also see lots of clouds and a northeast breeze at 10-15mph.  So temperatures will be pretty much stuck in the 40s through the day.  Its should be too cool for any thunderstorms during this time.  We are looking at about 1 – 1.5″ of rain with a few spots reaching 2″.

Rain Forecast Through Tue.

Rain Forecast Through Tue.

By tonight the low will move to our north.  We’ll start drying out, but the clouds will probably hang around.  In fact I believe we’ll still see a lot of clouds tomorrow despite being in-between systems.  The low will move into the northeast states on Tuesday, but another system will be rolling through the Midwest.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

We’ll see lots of clouds tomorrow, but only a slim chance for a shower.  The sun will peak out in places. So we’ll warm up to the mid-upper 50s.  Winds will be light and variable.  The warm air that will lie to our southwest tomorrow will start to ooze in on Wednesday.  However, rain will ooze in with it.  So high temps will be in the 70s, but we’ll have scattered to occasional rain showers as well.

Future Trak (Wednesday 3pm)

Future Trak (Wednesday 3:40 pm)

Since it will be so warm and humid we’ll see a chance for thunderstorms.  I think the chance for storms will be pretty good.  Especially into Wednesday evening before the cold front moves in.  The timing of the front will be important.  Some models don’t have it moving in until overnight Wednesday.  Others have it moving in during the evening.  With the slower versions it could keep a chance of rain in the forecast until Christmas morning.  I am holding on to a low chance for rain until then.  I am wishing for it to move out by Christmas day though.  I may even write an email to Santa.  Regardless, it will be breezy on Christmas Day and cooler.  We will also dry out by midday Thursday.  Highs will be in the 50s with strong northwest winds.  Things won’t be too bad for Friday.  Highs will be in the 50s with fair skies and lighter winds.  Then we’ll have a mild weekend with fair skies. So that will be good for travel in the region.

Sorry that I can’t give a white Christmas forecast.  It will be snowy over parts of the Midwest and Northeast if you are traveling.  So check your plans if you are heading that way.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Rainy Monday Ahead!

December 21st, 2014 at 9:15 pm by under Weather

Messy travel weather ahead as most folks hit the roads for the Christmas holiday. I am tracking two storm systems that will impact Hampton Roads before Christmas Day. The first is a weak coastal storm that will bring rain to the region on Monday and the second, but stronger system, will bring rain and possibly a few thunderstorms on Wednesday. Lets talk about Monday first! Clouds will be on the increase after midnight as an area of low pressure offshore moves closer to us. As of right now, temperatures have dropped to the freezing mark in many locations due to mostly clear conditions and light winds. I think temperatures will rise after midnight as warmer air pushes in aloft and clouds thicken up across the region.

Temperatures Rising Tonight

Temperatures Rising Tonight

Keep in mind that if temperatures don’t rise above freezing across our inland cities (Ahoskie, Franklin, Suffolk, Wakefield) before the rain moves in, then we could see freezing rain develop. I think there is a low chance of this happening, but these inland spots typically get much colder overnight compared to other spots. We will monitor the temperatures closely.

Showers will develop anytime after 3 AM. Future Trak has showers moving through North Carolina and into Virginia by 7 AM. Temperatures are forecast to be in the upper 30s to around 40° at that time.

Future Trak at 5 AM Monday

Future Trak at 7 AM Monday

Rain is likely most of the day tomorrow, so don’t expect too many breaks in the rain. Rain becomes even more widespread by 12 PM.

Future Trak at 12 PM Monday

Future Trak at 12 PM Monday

Showers will continue through the afternoon and taper off Monday night. Rain totals should range between 0.5″ – 0.75″ during the day tomorrow.

We will be in between storm systems on Tuesday, but we will probably see fog and drizzle in the morning. Tuesday afternoon will be warmer with highs in the mid to upper 50s. A big warm-up is in store for Wednesday (Christmas Eve) as we track our second system across Hampton Roads. A warm front will move in during the morning and help boost temperatures into the upper 60s to around 70°. Rain will develop during the morning and last all day long and the rain could be heavy at times. If you are traveling across the region or anywhere along the East Coast, you are going to run into the rain and the wind. Luckily this is going to be a rain event and not a snow event for the East Coast, otherwise we would have even more travel delays.

Wednesday Storm Impacts

Wednesday Storm Impacts

With temperatures in the 60s and 70s and dew point readings in the 60s, we could see a few thunderstorms develop out ahead of a cold front Wednesday night. Right now, it looks like the rain will come to an end before 7 AM Christmas Day, but the timing may change a little bit over the next few days. Overall, we will see improving conditions Thursday afternoon with highs in the low to mid 50s. Stay tuned!

Winter began at 6:03 this evening. Starting tomorrow, the length of daylight will slowly increase.

Winter Solstice

Winter Solstice

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 


Cloudy and Cool Today

December 20th, 2014 at 9:04 am by under Weather

A deck of stratus clouds have move across Hampton Roads this morning. We will likely stay overcast all day. These clouds are from a larger storm system in South Carolina. This area of low pressure is bringing rain to our south and snow out to our west.

Sat/Rad at 9 am

Sat/Rad at 9 am

The snow to our west is going to run into dry and warmer air that is over us. We could see a few scattered showers/sprinkles this afternoon as it moves in.

Future Trak @ 2pm

Future Trak @ 2pm

You can see a few areas of green over Hampton Roads. Between Noon and 4pm sprinkles will be possible across Virginia. Around NE N. Carolina, you could see scattered showers during that same time frame. Our temperatures will be in the low-40s today. Tomorrow will be warmer with mostly sunny skies. Highs should be near 50 tomorrow.

I am expecting more rain on Monday (We will see around 1/2 inch) and then on Wednesday. We are still watching the model trends for Wednesday, at this point we will see only rain as our temperatures will be near 60 degrees.

Have a great weekend. Happy Holidays!

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson


Quiet Weather…For Now!

December 18th, 2014 at 8:05 am by under Weather

We are in store for a stretch of cooler/quiet weather for the next few days.  Yesterday’s 50s and 60s will be replaced by highs in the 40s starting today.  High pressure is in the region.  So that’s where our quiet weather will come from.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

We’ll stay quiet for the next couple of days.  There will still be a system on Saturday that could bring a few showers, but the models have backed off the rain for the weekend a bit.  So (for now) it looks like just a few scattered showers Saturday afternoon/evening.  Then no rain on Sunday. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a few sprinkles to sneak back into the forecast for Sunday, but we’ll see.  Then on Monday we’ll have a higher chance for rain as a weak coastal low moves from south to north.  Early next week a large area of low pressure will form over the Midwest.  This is going to be an unusually large/strong area of low pressure.  It could bring a real mess to the Great Lakes and Midwest Tuesday into Wednesday.  Now it will stay to our north, but it will have a wide influence.  It will throw lots of windy/cold conditions our way.  There will also be a large upper level low sitting over us for a couple of days.  So by Christmas Eve it will be possible to see a few flurries.  It’s still very early to call something like that, but I’m sure some folks will be glued to the forecast until then.

Speaking of cold…There is a recent article out about how the Arctic is warming twice as fast as the rest of the planet.  This article from NPR news cites NOAA’s new research.  Here is the article: Rapid Arctic Warming

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Nice Today, Then Cooling. Tide & Wind Energy!

December 17th, 2014 at 8:04 am by under Weather

Last night we did have some thunderstorms along with the rain showers.  While they weren’t widespread, there were some impacts in the region including a plane struck by lightning.  Meteorologist Tiffany Savona did a nice blog with more info on yesterday’s storms/rain.  Here it is: Tiffany’s weather blog.

Today we started with some areas of fog.  As we go through the day we’ll see lots of nice weather.  Despite a cold front moving through yesterday, we’ll still be fairly mild today.  High pressure is building in from the southwest. So we’ll have lots of sunshine.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

The winds will be out of the west at 5-10mph.  We were in the 60s yesterday, and it felt great.  Today we’ll top off in the mid-upper 50s.  So it’s only a slight cool down compared to yesterday.  However, colder air in the Ohio River Valley will continue to pour into the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic.  This will continue for a few days.  So we’ll see highs in the mid-upper 40s from Thursday through Sunday in Hampton Roads.  Also, over the weekend a weak area of low pressure is still forecast to move through the region and deliver some scattered showers.  The best chance for rain will be late Saturday into Saturday night.  Then a few scattered showers will linger into Sunday.  The European model actually keeps a decent amount of rain around on Sunday, but the GFS does not.  So we’ll see.  This will be tough for shoppers, but shouldn’t impact travel too badly.

In global news.  There’s been a decent about of talk recently about offshore wind farms as a possible source for energy.  This would be a good source of energy, but there are some that do not want it for various reasons including aesthetics. Here’s an article from Dominion about a current project: Offshore Wind Farm  There is also a new article out that talks about another form of renewable energy (Tides).  This was thought to be a winning form of renewable energy.  However, some upstart companies are not doing well, and the future of this form of energy may be in question. Here’s a great article on that subject from Businessweek. Hope Dims For Tide Energy.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Rain Moving Out, Now A Gradual Cool Down

December 16th, 2014 at 8:20 pm by under Weather

The rain moved in this afternoon and arrived right on schedule. The rain was most widespread around 3 PM.

Satellite/Radar at 3 PM

Satellite/Radar at 3 PM

There were even a few storms to our south that held together and moved into northeastern North Carolina and the Southside between 4-5 PM. A Delta airplane got hit by lightning when traveling from Atlanta to Newport News this afternoon. Here is the story. The lightning also damaged a tree in Chesapeake.  Kasey Skidmore posted this picture of a tree in the Greenbrier area of Chesapeake on Facebook.

Tree Hit By Lightning

Tree Hit By Lightning

Most of the rain has pushed offshore, although we could still see a few lingering showers before midnight because the cold front is still to our west. Most rain totals were around 0.25″ as expected and we need the rain! We have only seen a little over 0.5″ for the month of December, which is about an inch below average.

Rain Totals

Rain Totals

Once the cold front moves through tonight, the clouds will clear out and winds will turn more westerly. We are not going to cool down much tomorrow with a westerly wind in place. A westerly wind is more of a warming wind for us in Hampton Roads. High temperatures will climb into the mid to upper 50s on Wednesday with lots of sunshine.

Wednesday Temperature Forecast

Wednesday Temperature Forecast

That is a little bit cooler than the 60s we saw today, but still mild for this time of year. Average high temperature this time of year is 52°. So enjoy tomorrow because it gets colder Thursday and Friday. Highs will be in the mid to upper 40s Thursday and Friday. More rain is possible Saturday afternoon into Sunday.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Warm But Wet Weather

December 16th, 2014 at 8:04 am by under Weather

Yesterday wasn’t too bad for temperatures.  We managed to make it into the mid-upper 50s in the region, and there was a lot of sunshine to boot.  Today we’ll see even warmer temperatures, but we’ll also see a chance for rain.  A warm front is on the way from the west/southwest with a cold front right behind it.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

So we’ll warm up briefly today as the warm front lifts through. Scattered showers will move in towards the afternoon.  Some may even arrive inland by the midday hours, but the bulk of the rain will come during the afternoon to the early evening.  Here is what Future Trak shows at 3pm:

Future Trak (3pm Today)

Future Trak (3pm Today)

Temperatures will rise to near 60 degrees and some cities will see the low 60s depending on the cloud cover.  Winds will be southwesterly at 5-15mph.  The rain will already push out by 9pm.  So this is a short-lived and light rain event.  We are only expecting 0.1 – 0.2″ of rain.  The cold front will move through tonight.  Then we’ll see clearing skies behind it.  Tomorrow we’ll see lots of sunshine as high pressure builds back in.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

It will cool down tomorrow, but the colder air will still lie to our north.  So highs will be in the mid 50s tomorrow. It will actually be pretty nice outside.  Winds will be out of the west at 5-10mph.  The cold air will settle south after that.  So we’ll be in the upper 40s Thursday and Friday.   Skies will be partly cloudy.  Over the weekend a weak system will move through the area, but it will linger for a while.  At this time the models are showing a chance for rain showers for both days.  It looks like the best chance for rain will be late Saturday, but some scattered showers will linger on Sunday as the system meanders off the coast.  Meanders…That’s kind of an odd word.  Here is a little about its definition and origin: (Meanders).  Latin/Greek.  Who knew?

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Your Weekday Forecast

December 15th, 2014 at 8:34 am by under Weather

After years of doing this blog and coming up with fancy titles…I’ll admit.  Today I came up blank.  Hey…it happens.  Anyway, it was a nice weekend, but a little cool at times. Highs were in the 40s and 50s with sunshine.  Today some of our inland locations will get a chance to warm up, but we won’t see the wide/dramatic warming for the area until tomorrow.  Here’s the setup.  We have a large area of high pressure in the region.  This is going to give us our sunshine, but it will also give us a north-northeast wind at about 5-10mph.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

We’ll see highs close to 50 along the shore with mid-upper 50s in our inland locations.  Tomorrow the high will shift east allowing for southerly winds to develop.  Highs will rise to the upper 50s to near 60 in the region.  So we’ll warm things up, but we’ll also see some rain move in.  Scattered showers are expected for Tuesday afternoon.  It shouldn’t be too much rain.  We’ll see about a quarter of an inch or so.  The highest chance for rain will be from the mid afternoon through the early evening.

Future Trak (3pm Tue)

Future Trak (3pm Tue)

A cold front will move in later tomorrow, but we won’t cool down right away.  Highs will be in the mid 50s on Wednesday with partly cloudy skies.  Then high temps will return to the upper 40s Thursday into Friday.  A bigger area of rain looks to move in again on Saturday.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Finally A Pattern Change!

December 14th, 2014 at 9:46 pm by under Weather

That stubborn upper low over New England has FINALLY moved out to sea! That means we are looking at a pattern change this week. More on that in a minute.

Some folks have been asking if you can still see the Geminid Meteor Shower tonight. The short answer is Yes! The shower peaked last night, but meteors will still be visible until Wednesday. The sky is clear over Hampton Roads tonight. More clouds will move in starting tomorrow, so tonight will probably be the last night to watch the show in Hampton Roads. Here are some tips.

Geminid Meteor Shower Viewing Tips

Geminid Meteor Shower Viewing Tips

Now more on the pattern change ahead.

Building Ridge Over East Coast

Building Ridge Over East Coast

High pressure will build into the region tonight allowing winds to drop to 5 mph or less. With a clear sky, temperatures will drop into the lower 30s by Monday morning. Areas that get below freezing could see areas of patchy frost overnight. That area of high pressure will be overhead tomorrow, so we will stay dry. We should see a few more clouds with highs in the lower 50s, which is around the average high of 52° this time of year.

The storm system that is moving across the Southern Plains tonight spawned a tornado in Oklahoma and one in Kansas earlier this evening. There were lots of hail reports as well. This storm system will move east, but it will weaken a bit before it makes it to Virginia and North Carolina on Tuesday.

Tuesday will be warmer as that cold front moves closer to Hampton Roads. Highs on Tuesday will reach the mid to upper 50s. Showers should develop out ahead of a cold front Tuesday afternoon after 12 PM.

Future Trak at 3 PM Tuesday

Future Trak at 3 PM Tuesday

Rain will be light and won’t amount to much. Rain totals should be less than a quarter of an inch. Rain will come to an end once the cold front moves through Tuesday night. We are not going to see a big cool down as soon as the front moves through the region. Winds will turn more westerly and usher in drier air on Wednesday. Highs will be in the mid 50s Wednesday afternoon. The cooler air will move in by Thursday and Friday as highs drop into the mid to upper 40s. A much stronger storm system will impact Hampton Roads this weekend. Stay tuned!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Geminid Meteor Shower Peaks Tonight!

December 13th, 2014 at 8:35 pm by under Weather

The Geminid Meteor Shower peaks tonight and is expected to be one of the best meteor showers of the year!

Meteor Shower

Meteor Shower Facts

This meteor shower could potentially produce 100-120 meteors per hour. Keep in mind that the moonlight will prevent you from seeing all of the meteors and you may not see many meteors at all if you live in a city. The best time to go outside will be after midnight tonight and before dawn Sunday morning. The meteor shower is expected to really get going around 2 AM. Get away from city lights and allow your eyes to adjust to the dark. The more time you spend outside, the better your chances are that you will spot a meteor. Luckily for us in Hampton Roads, the weather will cooperate. There may be a few high thin clouds tonight, but the sky will still be mostly clear. It will also be COLD with temperatures hovering in the 30s. At least the winds will be light. So bundle up if you plan on watching the show outside!

If you don’t want to wait outside in the cold, you can check out this link, which is a live stream of a telescope set up at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Alabama.

Good luck! Happy Viewing!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona