Weather

Wet Holiday Weekend And…Why So Red?

July 2nd, 2015 at 8:50 am by under Weather

There is some good news and bad news in the forecast.  The good news is that we will be a lot milder for temperatures over the next few days.  The bad news is that the chance for rain looks to continue into the weekend.   This morning there were already some scattered showers in the region.  A cold front was slowly pushing south through Washington D.C.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

The front will settle into the region today.  Between that, the clouds, and the rain the temperatures will be held down.  We’ll be in the low/mid 80s with a few upper 70s possible north of the metro.  So it will be very nice to get a break from the heat. Keep in mind that the humidity will still be up through.  That will help the showers to form this afternoon. Winds will be variable at 5-10mph.  Scattered showers and storms will increase between the mid afternoon into the evening.

Scattered Showers

Scattered Showers

There will be some thunderstorms, but the chance for severe weather looks low.  The strength of any storms really depends on how thick the clouds stay through the afternoon.  They are very thick this morning.  There should be ample cloud cover through the day, but it may break up in a few places.

The cold front will become stationary right over our region tomorrow.  This will continue our rain chances.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

Expect on and off showers tomorrow.  There may be a decent stretch of time in-between showers.  That will depend on where the front actually sets up shop though.

Future Trak Tomorrow

Future Trak Tomorrow

Our Future Trak model focuses the showers more south, but the other models (NAM, GFS) spread the rain over the entire area.  They also show a weak area of low pressure that will form along the front.  This could help to enhance the rainfall.  Also an upper level trough will also aid in making rain. High temps will again be held down into the low/mid 80s.

The front will still lie over the region into Saturday.  This will give us some more scattered showers and storms.  However, the models do kick out the low.  So it’s possible that there will be less coverage.  The models are not in good agreement on when the rain chances will drop on Saturday.  Midday? Afternoon? Evening?  But they do show a decrease at some point on Saturday.  For now I’m only calling for some spotty showers for Saturday evening.  So I’m (slightly) optimistic about no rain during the fireworks, but not overly.  Stay tuned for updates.

Some scattered showers will linger into Sunday and Monday, but the chances should be much lower for those days.  I’m thinking isolated to scattered showers and storms for those days.  Highs will be in the mid 80s.

Another feature in the atmosphere lately has been some unusual redness.  It has affected sunsets, sunrises, and the color of the moon.  This is what I’m talking about:

Red Moon

Red Moon

Take a look at that moon!  It was very red shortly after moonrise.  The reason for the extra redness is actually due to some wildfires in Canada.  The smoke from these wildfires has traveled about 2,000 miles into our region.

Smoke Has Traveled

Smoke Has Traveled

This will not affect conditions at the surface.  It is up tens of thousands of feet.  The smoke/ash creates more diffusioin of the light.  This aids in enhancing the red colors.  Hopefully, the clouds break for a bit so that we can witness some more beautiful images.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 


Cooler/Wetter Weather Ahead!

July 1st, 2015 at 8:04 am by under Weather

Storms were a little rough last night over (some) of the area.  As expected they formed over central Virginia/North Carolina.  Then they moved east during the evening.  Here was the view around 11:30pm last night.

Radar Last Night

Radar Last Night

The storms did produce some severe weather.  There were 2 reports of wind damage.  One in Gloucester county, and one in Gates county NC.  There was also a wind gust reported in Newport News that was over 60mph.

Storm Reports

Storm Reports

There were also some reports of small hail over the Middle Peninsula, but it was sub-severe (less than 1″).

Now things have quieted down.  High pressure is nudging back in from the east.

Satelltie/Radar

Satellite/Radar

The winds will be turning out of the southwest today, and they will run at 10-15mph.  This will keep up the heat and humidity.  So highs will be in the low/mid 90s with a heat index in the mid-upper 90s.  There may be an isolated shower or storm late in the day, but they should be pretty isolated.  This will continue into the evening, but we won’t see storms like we did yesterday evening.

By tomorrow there will be some changes.  The cold front off to the west will slowly settle into the region.  This will increase the rain chances in the afternoon and evening.  It will also help to drop the temps.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

Highs will be in the 80s both tomorrow and Friday.  The cold front will stall out over the region.  So we’ll basically see on and off showers and storms from late Thursday through late Friday.

Future Trak (5pm Thursday)

Future Trak (5pm Thursday)

Then the front should fall apart.  We could see about 1-3″ of rain in the region within that time.  A few cities could see more.  By Saturday there will still be some scattered rain showers and storms, but they won’t be as widespread.  Highs will be in the 80s.   On Sunday there will be a few showers and storms, but the chance will drop even more.  At this time it looks like a 40% chance for Saturday and a 30% chance for Sunday.  That could change, and we’ll be able to be more specific with the timing by tomorrow.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 

 


Stormy Night Ahead!

June 30th, 2015 at 9:24 pm by under Weather

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop tonight and will likely impact Hampton Roads between now and 1 AM. The stronger storms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts in excess of 60mph, quarter size hail, frequent lightning and heavy rain. Before going to bed tonight, you may want to bring in any trash cans or loose yard furniture that could get blown around in a storm. Don’t forget to roll up your car windows too! The storms that rolled across the Middle Peninsula around rush hour produced some pea size hail in the Gloucester Courthouse area and some dime size hail in Dutton. Thank you Lacie for sending in this picture of hail.

Facebook Picture

Facebook Picture

Susan sent in this picture of the storm in Gloucester. You can tell the wind is blowing by looking at the trees and the waves on the water. Plus she captured a rainbow among all the beauty! Thanks Susan! Remember you can always email us your storm or damage photos at reportit@wavy.com or you can post them on our social media pages.

Gloucester Storm

Gloucester Storm

The main cluster of showers and storms has weakened a little bit since sunset, but is still rather strong as it moves east at about 25-35mph. Our computer model has the showers and storms moving toward the metro around 10 PM.

Future Trak at 10 PM

Future Trak at 10 PM

Then the rain becomes a little bit more widespread across the region around midnight. Hopefully the lightning and thunder won’t keep you awake too late tonight.

Future Trak at 12 AM

Future Trak at 12 AM

The rain should come to an end shortly after midnight as temperatures drop into the mid 70s by tomorrow morning. More heat and humidity is back in the forecast tomorrow and for the rest of the week. Temperatures drop into the 80s Thursday and Friday as rain chances increase, but it will still feel like the 90s when you factor in the humidity.

Temperature vs. Heat Index

Temperature vs. Heat Index

I will be on-air tracking the storms on WAVY News 10 at 10 on FOX43 and WAVY News 10 at 11. See you then!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Hot & Spicy With Some Evening Storms

June 30th, 2015 at 8:35 am by under Weather

Sorry.  The weather won’t really be spicy today (maybe a bit soupy), but I’m already tired of saying hot and humid.  So I wanted to mix it up a little.  AND… it’s only June 30th.  Anyway, today will be hotter by about 8-12 degrees.  A warm front has lifted north of the region, and the cold front is hundreds of miles to the northwest.

Warm Sector

Warm Sector

We are in the warm sector with a wind out of the south/southwest at 5-10mph.  Highs will be in the low-mid 90s.  However, the heat index will be in the upper 90s during peak heating.  As we get into the evening, there will be a windshift line that will come over from western Virginia/North Carolina.  This will give us a chance for some clusters of thunderstorms. They will be isolated this afternoon, but the chance will be higher in the evening.  At this time the chances look like this:

3pm: 20%

6pm: 30%

9pm: 50%

11pm: 60%

The timing may change since we are talking about a relatively small scale feature.  Here is what Future Trak shows at 11pm tonight:

Future Trak (11 pm)

Future Trak (11 pm)

Some of these storms could be strong to severe with strong gusty winds the main threat.  So check back on the weather.

Tomorrow the windshift line will be offshore.  High pressure will resume.  Highs will be in the low 90s again.  We may pop off some isolated pm t’storms, but the chance doesn’t look too high.  The cold front will move into the region on Thursday and will stall out.  Highs will be in the 80s on Thursday and Friday, but the rain chances will go up.  It especially looks like it will be very wet on Friday.

Scattered storms still look possible on Saturday for the 4th of July.  I’m hoping it’s just a few scattered showers and storms in the afternoon, but a few may linger into the evening.  There will probably be less of a chance on Sunday.  We’ll be updating the forecast before we get there.  Stay tuned.

Before I go.  I wanted to talk about a brief astronomy subject.  You may have noticed recently that in the western sky after sunset that there are two bright stars fairly close together.  This is actually two planets.  Jupiter and Venus.   They will be very close together over the next couple of nights.  It might be tough to see it this evening with the clouds and scattered storms.  Maybe tomorrow.  Here’s a story with more details: Venus and Jupiter.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


No Strings Attached! And…Another Drought Region?

June 29th, 2015 at 8:33 am by under Weather

It’s a miracle!  (I use that term very loosely).  Today is nice out, and it will stay nice for the entire day.  No strings attached!

Tower Cam

Tower Cam

High pressure is in control.  We started the day with low in the 50s and 60s.  We’ll warm up to the low/mid 80s this afternoon. There is a cool front that is stalling out just south of the Outer Banks.

Stationary Front

Stationary Front

This may kick off some isolated showers and storms over the southern Outer Banks.  I guess that could be declared a string.   Anyway…meanwhile the rest of the region will have a dry/pleasant day. Winds will be variable at 5-10mph.  By tomorrow the wind will be more out of the southeast.  This will let the humidity increase and the heat build a bit.  The front will lift north as a warm front.  This may kick off some isolated showers and storms later in the day.  Highs will be in the low 90s.  Temps will cool down a bit by Thursday/Friday, but the rain chances will increase.  The GFS model has some rain in the forecast for the 4th of July (late day).  It’s still a bit early.  So don’t fret just yet.  I’ll have an update on the weekend forecast tomorrow.

Last week I wanted to put this story in the weather blogs, but there was just too much going on.  I talked a lot about the California drought, and I mentioned the Alaska situation.  Today I wanted to add another really bad drought area (Puerto Rico).  They are even starting to ration water for some residents.  Apparently not only has there been a bad drought, but it’s possible that poor water storage may be adding to the water woes.  Here is the story with more info: Puerto Rico Drought!

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 

 


Great Start To The Work Week!

June 28th, 2015 at 9:30 pm by under Weather

We told you it would be a 50/50 weekend and it most certainly was. It was a rainy and stormy Saturday and you can find a recap on yesterday’s severe weather here. But the weather was 100% better today! Highs were in the low to mid 80s, humidity levels were lower and there was plenty of sunshine. A perfect beach day in my opinion! The good news is that another beautiful day is in the forecast tomorrow. The bad news is that the 90° heat will be returning soon.

Let’s talk about tonight first…Pleasant evening expected as lows drop into the mid to upper 60s by Monday morning. A perfect night to open those windows! Expect a mix of sun and clouds tomorrow afternoon with highs in the mid 80s. Humidity levels will go up just a little bit. The cold front that moved through this morning has stalled out across North Carolina, so a few showers/storms will be possible across the Outer Banks late tomorrow afternoon.

You knew the pleasant weather couldn’t last for long…temperatures and humidity levels will be increasing this week.

Warm-Up This Week

Warming Up This Week

To give you some perspective on humidity levels…today we had dew point temperatures in the upper 50s and lower 60s. Tomorrow, dew points will be in the low 60s and then get close to 70° by the middle of the week.

Dew Point Forecast

Dew Point Forecast

The weather pattern hasn’t changed much in the past week or so. There has been a large upper level trough sitting across the eastern half of the U.S. Since this trough isn’t moving, fronts that initially move through the region, then stall out over us for a few days keeping the chance for rain in the forecast. Then when you add more heat, humidity and pieces of upper level energy, rain and storm chances increase and so does the chance for severe weather.

The next chance for rain for us is on Tuesday. There is a very slight chance for a stray afternoon storm, but I think we will have better chances for showers and storms Tuesday night, maybe even a few strong storms across our western counties. Here is what our Future Trak computer model has late Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning.

Future Trak 12 AM Wednesday

Future Trak 12 AM Wednesday

Enjoy the somewhat “cooler” weather tomorrow (that is….if you can call highs in the 80s cooler) because we crank up the heat on Tuesday!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Stormy Saturday, Spectacular Sunday

June 27th, 2015 at 9:09 pm by under Weather

It was a busy Saturday afternoon in the Weather Center. Showers and thunderstorms started popping up after 12 PM. The clouds thinned out, allowing that sunshine to help destabilize the atmosphere even more. I was watching a storm that developed over the Virginia/North Carolina line before coming into work. This storm was the only game in town at the time, so it had plenty of instability and moisture to work with. This storm intensified and produced several funnel clouds across portions of eastern Chesapeake and Virginia Beach. Here is a closer look at the circulation between 2-2:30 PM. The circulation was observed right in that notch around North Landing and then continued to push north toward Princess Anne and Farm Bureau Live.

Radar From Earlier

Radar From Earlier This Afternoon

Here are some of the pictures of funnel clouds that were sent into reportit@wavy.com or posted to our Facebook page. Our traffic anchor, Jen Lewis, sent this picture in near Fentress. You can’t see how low the cloud got to the ground because of the trees in the background, but it is a definite lowering.

Funnel Cloud

Funnel Cloud

This picture of a funnel cloud near Fentress was taken by David Feldman. We haven’t heard any reports of the funnel cloud reaching the ground.

Funnel Cloud

Funnel Cloud

We did have some damage reports come into the WAVY newsroom from Virginia Beach after this storm moved through that area. There were reports that trees fell on 2 homes and reports that 2 homes were struck by lightning. Luckily there were no injuries. We also received reports of localized street flooding, many coming in from Hampton and Newport News. Here is what Andrews Boulevard in Hampton looked like after 20 minutes of rain. Thank you to Rabbitt Smith for posting this to our Facebook page.

Street Flooding in Hampton

Street Flooding in Hampton

So…what can we expect for the rest of the night? Well, the tornado watch has expired and the severe weather threat is winding down across the region. The rain we saw earlier has stabilized the atmosphere. We are waiting for a cold front to move into Hampton Roads. This front is currently located across the western half of the state. We will keep the rain chances in the forecast overnight until the front moves in early tomorrow morning. We have plenty of moisture in place, so we could still see some heavy downpours, but I don’t think we will see any severe weather overnight. So you should be able to sleep through the night! :)

Future Trak at 12 AM

Future Trak at 12 AM Sunday

There may be a few lingering showers out ahead of the front early tomorrow morning.

Future Trak at 5 AM Sunday

Future Trak at 5 AM Sunday

All of the rain should move out by 8 AM and the clouds will clear out shortly after that. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, but the humidity levels will be lower, so it will feel great outside. Perfect day to hit the beach or do anything outdoors! Enjoy the rest of your weekend!

**Thanks again to everyone who sent in their storm/damage photos to reportit@wavy.com or posted their photos on our Facebook page. Our web team has put all of the photos in a slideshow for you to view on wavy.com.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 


These Storms May Have Some Teeth

June 27th, 2015 at 8:22 am by under Weather

It’s not exactly the nicest start to the weekend -  cloudy skies, occasional showers..

That’s just Round 1.  Round 2 will develop later this afternoon as an area of low pressure slides north of Hampton Roads.  If you have any outdoor plans, you may want to try to push them to Sunday since it’ll be a far better and brighter day!

In the meantime, we’ll be tracking mainly cloudy skies through the morning with an occasional light shower.  After 3 PM, our next round of showers and storms will develop across Virginia and North Carolina.

Future Trak Forecast - 5 PM

Future Trak Forecast – 5 PM

Those splashes of yellow and orange indicate the possibility of thunderstorms with heavy downpours.  Some heavy downpours could lead to localized flooding, so if you live in an area that is generally prone to flooding, watch out for rising water!

Suffice to say, if you’re heading to Pridefest at Town Point Park this afternoon, make sure you bring an umbrella!  If you hear thunder or see lightning, head indoors!

Pridefest - Today

Pridefest – Today

There is a slight chance we could see some isolated strong to severe storms late this afternoon into the evening hours.  If any severe thunderstorm watches or warnings go in effect, we’ll let you know on-air and online at WAVY.com.

Severe Storm Threat - Today

Severe Storm Threat – Today

The area shaded in yellow, including Hampton Roads, the Eastern Shore, and northeast North Carolina, indicates a slight risk for some isolated strong to severe storms.  The area shaded in orange indicates more of an enhanced risk for severe storms.  IF we see any severe storms develop, the primary threats will be strong/damaging winds, hail, heavy downpours that could lead to localized flooding, frequent lightning, and we can’t rule out an isolated tornado.  That enhanced risk area has a slightly better chance of seeing an isolated tornado or two..especially through the northern Virginia, central Maryland, and into the Delmarva Peninsula.  We’ll keep an eye on things through the afternoon – Meteorologist Tiffany Savona will be on WAVY News 10 at 6 PM with the latest!

Future Trak Forecast - 9 PM

Future Trak Forecast – 9 PM

Even though it looks like thing quiet down by 9 PM, I’m going to leave the chance for showers and storms in the forecast through the early overnight hours.

The wet weather will be long gone by the time you wake up tomorrow morning.

Future Trak Forecast - 7 AM Sunday

Future Trak Forecast – 7 AM Sunday

We may start off with some residual cloud cover, but those clouds will quickly give way to sunny skies by mid-morning.  Expect abundant sunshine Sunday afternoon along with very comfortable levels of humidity – we’re talkin’ dewpoints back in the upper-50s, near 60°!!  It’ll be a perfect day for outdoor activities with highs in the seasonable mid-80s!

Monday will be just as gorgeous – sunny and comfy with highs in the mid-80s!

Highs will be back in the upper-80s, near 90° by Tuesday and Wednesday, but at least both days look dry….for now.

-Meteorologist Ashley Baylor


Storm Alarm Clock…Part 2

June 26th, 2015 at 8:30 am by under Weather

It happened again.  I thought it might.  And it did.  I got a couple of texts in the middle of the night which alerted me to the severe weather.  So I got up at 12:30am.  I got to work by 2am to relieve meteorologist Don Slater.  I am tired.  Storms contained heavy rain, gusty winds, and lots of lightning.  The storms actually woke me up along with the texts.

Radar From Last Night

Radar From Last Night

The rain was very heavy at times.  There were reports of street flooding in the region.  The rain totals were pretty impressive.  Take a look at Chesapeake:

24 Hour Rain Totals

24 Hour Rain Totals

Wow!  A whopping 4.17″ in 24 hours.  Most of that was probably in the last 12 hours.  Virginia Beach had 1.15″.  Newport News had 0.74″.  These strong storms came from several features.  Yesterday we had a cluster of storms form along a warm front.  This was round 1 and there were several severe warnings during the early evening.  The warm front moved deeper into the region during the evening.  Also, an area of low pressure formed at the surface.  Meanwhile there was an upper level wave (short-wave) that streamed out of the Midwest and quickly shot sown to the southeast.  All of these came together late last night into early this morning.  So round 2 packed quite a punch.

3 Weather Features

3 Weather Features

The surface low and the short-wave will move out to sea today.  However, the stationary front will remain.  This will allow for more scattered showers and storms to pop up.  More so during the afternoon and evening.

Future Trak (5pm)

Future Trak (5pm)

The coverage should be less than yesterday.  The storms will have plenty of warmth and moisture.  So we could see a few strong storms this afternoon.  We are under a marginal risk for severe weather today.  That is level 1 out of 5.  Remember though we could get upgraded later today.  We were upgraded yesterday during the afternoon.  Here is a link to more information about what the specific risks mean.  It is from the Storm Prediction Center which puts out the risks: Severe Weather Risk Explained.

Tonight the second area of low pressure that is over Kentucky will head east.  Scattered showers and storms will continue over our area with the front.  The low will move along the front and enter our region tomorrow.  This will enhance our rainfall.  Especially in the afternoon and evening.

Future Trak (Saturday 3pm)

Future Trak (Saturday 3pm)

Waves of rain will keep coming up out of the south.  The rain will increase even more by Saturday night.  Then all of this will head out by early Sunday morning. A nice cold front (as opposed to a mean one) will swipe through the region.  So we’ll see cooler/drier weather for Sunday. Highs will be in the low/mid 80s.  There may be some upper 70s even north of the metro.  This will continue into Monday.  We will heat up to near 90 on Tuesday, but the rain will stay away.

There were several storm reports in the region.  There were a few reports of wind damage as well as large hail.  Here is a map with some of those reports:

Storm Reports

Storm Reports

There may be a few reports posted after I post this blog.  There was a report of a possible funnel cloud over the city of Hertford in North Carolina.  Amanda Taylor posted this photo of it on our facebook page:

Possible Funnel Cloud

Possible Funnel Cloud

You can see the cylinder-type cloud in the distance.  It’s possible that it was a tornado, but I haven’t seen any official reports from there.  It is pretty far in the distance. So that’s why I say it’s a “possible” funnel.  But it looks like it to me.  Also this photo was sent in of some of the lightning in the area:

Lightning Last Night

Lightning Last Night.

This was over NAS Oceana.  You can barely see some of the jets in the foreground.  Sorry, that’s part my fault since I had to reduce the size of the photo.  Still… very cool photo.

Hopefully, the weather won’t be as dramatic here on out, but be ready for some localized flooding and possible strong storms in the next 36 hours.  Come on SUNDAY!!!!  Now… a nap!  ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ

Meteorologist: JeremZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ


Warm Front Lifts Through, Heat/Storms Return

June 25th, 2015 at 9:06 am by under Weather

It was a nice break from the humidity yesterday.  Some spots were still pretty warm, but most of the area had a nice Summer Day.  Today a warm front is lifting up from the south.  This is going to increase our heat and humidity.  As I write this, the front is located between Emporia and Raleigh Durham:

Warm Front Moving In

Warm Front Moving In

As the day goes on, the warm front will lift into Hampton Roads.  This will kick off some scattered showers and thunderstorms.   A few have already formed this morning just to our west.  The models haven’t all handled (initialized) them well.  The ones that do increase the rain chances already by the midday hours.  So I have an increasing chance for showers and storms from the late morning through the mid afternoon (20% up to 40%).  Highs will be in the upper 80s to low 90s.  Winds will be out of the southeast at 8-12mph.   By the time we get to tonight the warm front will have lifted through.  However, the models show a short-wave of energy moving in from the Midwest and a weak surface low forming near our region.  Because of this, they depict a strong band of thunderstorms coming in during the mid-late evening hours.  Here is what our Future Trak model shows at 11pm:

Future Trak (11pm)

Future Trak (11pm)

We are under a slight risk for severe weather between this afternoon and tonight.  I hate to say it, but this scenario is hinting at a repeat of a couple nights ago when we had the line of heavy downpours moved through the region. The area of low pressure will increase in size on Friday, and a cool front will get hung up near the region.  So some more scattered showers and storms are possible with highs near 90.  This surface low will push through the area on Saturday.  Rain is likely for most of the day.  Highs will be in the 80s.  The crescendo looks to occur late Saturday night into the pre-dawn hours of Sunday.  This is when we could see some real downpours.  Localized flooding may even occur in the region.  It should all push out by mid-morning on Sunday.  Then it will be pretty nice out. Highs will be in the low 80s and skies will become partly cloudy.   The nice conditions will continue into Monday.

Overall we’ll see 1-2″ of rain between today and Saturday.  If the heavy rain dumps tonight then some cities could possibly see 3-4″ in that time.  Stay tuned for updates.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler