Tiffany Savona WAVY

Chilly Start To The Week!

April 26th, 2015 at 10:45 pm by under Weather

The rain is gone! The clouds have cleared out…at least for the most part. That means we are in for a chilly night tonight! Lows will drop into the mid 40s on average with some upper 30s possible inland. Patchy fog may develop overnight. Make sure you grab the jacket or give the kids the jacket in the morning.

Monday AM Forecast Lows

Monday AM Forecast Lows

Monday will be a little bit warmer than today, but we are still going to stay unseasonably cool most of the week. Highs on Monday will reach the mid 60s, which is still pleasant, but cooler than the average high of 71°. The reason for the cooler weather is because of a large dip in the jet stream over New England and the Mid-Atlantic. A surface low off the coast of Canada and an upper level low spinning overhead will keep winds out of the north over the next few days. This will reinforce the cooler air mass in place.

Weather Pattern

Weather Pattern

With a mid level disturbance pivoting through the region, we can’t rule out the chance for an isolated shower developing Monday afternoon, although chances are very low. Notice how our Future Trak model doesn’t have much rain on the map, so I don’t think you will need the umbrella tomorrow.

Future Trak at 5 PM Monday

Future Trak at 5 PM Monday

Technically we will be unseasonably cool all week long, but highs in the 60s are still not that bad. :)

Forecast Highs This Week

Forecast Highs This Week

Have a great week everyone!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 

 

Highs will remain


Perfect Movie Night!

April 25th, 2015 at 8:25 pm by under Weather

It has been a wet, dreary and chilly Saturday across Hampton Roads. High temperatures only maxed out in the low to mid 50s! Average high this time of year is 70°! Unfortunately there were lots of outdoor events going on today. The Tour de Cure and the Suffolk Wine Fest were some of the more popular ones. The Toyota Owners 400 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series in Richmond was postponed due to the rain. The race is scheduled to start at 1 PM Sunday. The rain should be done by that time in Richmond, so the weather shouldn’t be a problem for the race tomorrow.

It is going to be a rainy and chilly night across the region as the rain continues and temperatures hover in the 40s. If you get wet, it will feel even colder than that! Sounds like a perfect movie night to me! :) The rain should taper off shortly after midnight, so we should see a break in the activity overnight. But that doesn’t mean we are done with the rain yet!

Future Trak at Midnight

Future Trak at Midnight

A stationary front is draped across North Carolina. We are watching an area of low pressure that is producing rain across Kentucky, Indiana and Illinois. That rain is headed in our direction as the low is forecast to ride along the front to our south.

Second Round of Rain Arrives Sunday Morning

Second Round of Rain Arrives Sunday Morning

So don’t be fooled if you wake up around 5-6 AM and it is just cloudy outside. Rain will push in from west to east anytime after 6 AM. Make sure you have those jackets and the umbrellas before heading out to those church services. Temperatures will be in the mid to upper 40s tomorrow morning.

Future Trak at 8 AM Sunday

Future Trak at 8 AM Sunday

The area of low pressure will move away from us tomorrow afternoon, so rain will be ending from west to east. Most locations will be drying out by Noon, but some coastal areas could see a few showers linger past 12 PM. The clouds will stick around tomorrow afternoon with highs only in the mid to upper 50s. Even though it has been raining most of the day, we haven’t seen too much rain accumulate in the rain gauges. Most areas have picked up between 0.25″-0.5″ of rain with some isolated higher totals. I think we could see another 0.25″-0.5″ before the rain ends tomorrow afternoon.

Rain Totals So Far

Rain Totals So Far

If you have any outdoor plans scheduled for tomorrow, I would try to push them off until tomorrow afternoon since it will be raining in the morning. Much drier weather is in the forecast next week! Enjoy the rest of your weekend everyone!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Too Dry For Rain?

April 22nd, 2015 at 9:19 pm by under Weather

In this case…the answer is YES! At least for most areas. Some places in Gloucester County, areas along the Eastern Shore and the Peninsula had a quick passing shower. Becky posted this picture of a double rainbow in Ark (Gloucester County) on our Facebook page. Thanks Becky!

Double Rainbow

Double Rainbow

Most of the rain fell apart or evaporated before reaching the ground across Hampton Roads. We just didn’t have enough surface moisture in place. This is a cool shot looking to the northwest out of Tower Cam 10. The small dark areas extending toward the ground are areas of rain trying to reach the ground. When the rain evaporates before reaching the ground, we call it virga.

Tower Cam 10

Tower Cam 10

A strong cold front is moving through the region as I type this, so we will hold onto a slight chance for an isolated shower until the front passes. Cooler and drier air will be moving in overnight. As if we weren’t dry enough today! Wind speeds have already come down as they switch more out of the northwest behind the front. The clouds will be clearing out overnight, so most locations should be mostly clear in the morning. However, I think there will still be some lingering clouds across North Carolina. The Lyrid Meteor Shower is at its peak again tonight. Last chance to see some meteors if the clouds clear out in time!

Lyrid Meteor Shower

Lyrid Meteor Shower

Temperatures will drop into the upper 40s and lower 50s by Thursday morning. Thursday will be about 10-15 degrees cooler with highs only reaching the low to mid 60s. Keep in mind that we were in the upper 70s to around 80° this afternoon. It just didn’t feel that warm because of the low humidity. The unseasonably cool weather will stick around through the weekend with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s, so don’t put away that light jacket just yet!

Temperature Trend

Temperature Trend

Rain chances are back in the forecast Saturday afternoon/evening and Sunday. You may need to bring the rain gear with you are going to the big race this weekend in Richmond. Check back for updates to the forecast.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Stormy Night Ahead!

April 20th, 2015 at 6:36 pm by under Weather

A severe thunderstorm watch has just been issued for most of our viewing area until 10 PM.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

The clouds cleared out and the sun came out today allowing temperatures to heat up into the upper 70s and lower 80s this afternoon. Any storm that pushes in before sunset (7:45 PM) will be able to tap into more instability and will have a better chance of turning severe. Any storm that pushes in after sunset will probably not be as strong. The main threat with any storm that turns severe will be damaging wind gusts in excess of 60mph and quarter size hail. Here is the solution from our latest Future Trak computer model. A few isolated discrete storms will be possible between 7 PM-9PM with the activity becoming more widespread from 9 PM-12 AM.

Future Trak at 10 PM

Future Trak at 10 PM

It looks like the storms will become more linear tonight. If that happens, the damaging wind potential will still exist. Rain and storms will come to an end after midnight as a cold front drops southward. Cooler and drier air will move in behind the front. Temperatures will drop into the lower 60s by tomorrow morning. Tuesday is looking spectacular! Lots of sunshine and lower humidity with highs in the lower 70s.

If you have any storm pictures or damage pictures, please send them to reportit@wavy.com or post to our social media pages. Now is a good time to download the WAVY Weather app, so you can track the storms with us. Chief Meteorologist Don Slater will be tracking these storms all night and will have a complete update on WAVY News 10 at 10 on FOX43 and WAVY News 10 at 11. Stay tuned!

 

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 


Rainy Tonight, Storms Possible Monday

April 19th, 2015 at 9:36 pm by under Weather

At least we had a nice start to your Sunday, so hopefully you had the chance to take advantage of the pleasant weather before the rain moved in this evening. Expect a steady rain all night long. Rain will be heavy at times, especially after midnight. We can’t rule out the chance for an isolated thunderstorm, but we are not expecting severe weather overnight or early tomorrow morning. Rain is good news for all of the allergy sufferers out there, because this heavy rain will wash the pollen out of the air! So the pollen forecast for tomorrow will be low….at least some relief after a rough weekend.

A warm front will move in overnight, so expect temperatures to rise into the low to mid 60s by tomorrow morning. If you wake up early, expect rain for your morning commute.

Future Trak at 5 AM Monday

Future Trak at 5 AM Monday

By tomorrow morning, rain totals should range between 1-1.5 inches in the rain gauge. That is a good amount of rain in just about 12 hours. Showers will taper off from west to east anytime between 6-9 AM. Then the clouds will clear out and the sun will come out. It will be a warm and breezy day with highs in the low to mid 80s! Average high this time of year is 69° and the record high tomorrow is 91°. Most of the day will be rain-free. A line of showers and storms will develop out ahead of a cold front tomorrow night. Some of the computer models have this line of storms moving in after dark. If that is the case, then the severe potential will be limited. However, if these storms move in between 7-8 PM, like the model has below, then they will be able to tap into some instability before the sun sets around 7:45 PM.

Future Trak at 8 PM Monday

Future Trak at 8 PM Monday

The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted our area in a slight risk for severe weather tomorrow.

Severe Weather Threat

Monday’s Severe Weather Threat

Time frame for storm development would be between 7 PM-1 AM. If any storm turns severe, then the main threats would be damaging wind gusts, hail and heavy rain. It really depends on what time these storms move in to whether we see severe weather tomorrow night. If these storms develop before or slightly after sunset, the chances for severe weather would be higher. If they develop later tomorrow night, then the chances would be lower. Stay tuned to this developing situation.

The cold front will move through after midnight. Cooler and drier air will filter in behind the front. It will feel great on Tuesday with highs in the lower 70s and less humidity. Full forecast is coming up on WAVY News 10 at 10 PM on FOX43 and WAVY News 10 at 11 PM.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Rainy, But Turning Cooler Overnight

April 14th, 2015 at 6:06 pm by under Weather

It has been a rainy evening commute for most folks on this Tuesday. This is what it looks like out of Tower Cam 10 around 5:45 PM. Scattered showers will continue tonight as a cold front moves southward through the region. Can’t rule out an isolated storm, but chances are low right now.

Tower Cam 10

Tower Cam 10

Heavy rain will be the main threat tonight because we have plenty of moisture in place across the region. Watch out for some localized street flooding. Here is our Future Trak solution at 7 PM…still shows some heavy rain across the metro and North Carolina.

Future Trak

Rain should become more scattered closer to midnight and the rain should taper off by tomorrow morning.

Rain Chances Overnight

Rain Chances Overnight

Winds will turn more northerly and northeasterly tonight behind the front and usher in much cooler and drier air. Temperatures will drop into the mid 50s by Wednesday morning. Wednesday will be about 15 degrees cooler and much less humid with highs in the low to mid 60s. We will be watching a disturbance that will produce showers to our west Wednesday afternoon. Some of these showers could sneak into North Carolina and our westernmost counties across the Southside after 12 PM.

Future Trak at 3 PM Wednesday

Future Trak at 3 PM Wednesday

Here are the rain chances for tomorrow afternoon. I think most areas will stay dry.

Rain Chances Wednesday Afternoon

Rain Chances Wednesday Afternoon

Rain chances will be going back up Thursday and Friday. Keep the umbrella close by over the next few days!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Tracking Rain, A Cold Front, Falling Temperatures

April 8th, 2015 at 9:16 am by under Weather

It has been a busy morning in the Super Doppler 10 Weather Center. Grab the umbrella this morning and the pack the jacket for the afternoon. Here’s why…I’m tracking rain showers that continue to develop across the region. Here is what the satellite and radar looked like around 8 AM. There were even some heavy downpours and a few isolated storms across North Carolina.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar – 8:10 AM

Best chance for rain will be this morning. Rain should gradually taper off by the late morning and early afternoon hours. We will keep a slight chance for an isolated shower in the forecast this afternoon for areas south of the front, which will be across North Carolina.

Today's Rain Chances

Today’s Rain Chances

Temperatures are going to be all over the place, thanks to a back door cold front sliding in from the northeast. Once the front moves through your region, winds will shift from southwest to northeast and temperatures will drop. Almost everyone was in the 60s this morning ahead of the front. Now temperatures are mixed as that front slowly moves across the Southside. Once the front moves through your city, expect temperatures to drop into the 40s and 50s.

9 AM Temperatures

9 AM Temperatures

Today is one of those days where it is hard to put one temperature on the 7-day forecast because there will be a large difference in temperatures across the region. The metro area will see temperatures in the 50s and 60s this afternoon. The Middle Peninsula, Northern Neck and the Eastern Shore will see temperatures in the 50s later today and our North Carolina counties will see highs in the 70s. Most locations will drop into the 50s by 3 PM with the warmer weather confined to some of our inland counties across the Southside and North Carolina.

3 PM Temperatures

3 PM Forecast Temperatures

Thursday should be a drier day overall with highs in the mid 60s. There is a slight chance for an isolated shower tomorrow, but most locations will stay dry. Get ready for a big warm-up on Friday! Highs will be around 80°. We are tracking a large storm system out west that will bring the potential for severe weather to the Central Plains and the Tennessee River Valley today and tomorrow. That same storm system will bring a cold front into Hampton Roads Friday night. With temperatures in the 80s and moisture levels on the rise, there will be a chance for storms ahead of the cold front Friday afternoon and Friday evening across our region. Some of these storms could turn strong to severe. Severe weather season is upon us…so stay tuned!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Dodging Some Showers

April 7th, 2015 at 8:16 am by under Weather

I’m tracking light rain moving across Hampton Roads this Tuesday morning. Some of you may have a wet morning commute, while others stay dry. Rain will be hit or miss, so grab the umbrella just in case. No need for the jacket, since temperatures are in the 60s. Here is what the radar looked like at 7 AM.

7 AM Radar Snapshot

7 AM Radar Snapshot

The rain is being sparked by a mid level disturbance moving across the region, which is why the rain is scattered in nature. I think the activity will wind down this afternoon, so don’t expect the rain to last all day long. Here is what our Future Trak computer model has at 12 PM.

Future Trak at 12 PM

Future Trak at 12 PM

Best chances for rain today will be in the morning and then again in the evening as another disturbance crosses the area. Can’t rule out an isolated shower, but I think most of the afternoon will be rain-free. That will be the best time for the kids to get outside and enjoy the warm weather. Despite the chance for rain and the clouds, highs should still rise into the mid 70s

Rain Chances Today

Rain Chances Today

Any rain that falls should be on the light side and totals should be less than 0.25 inches. Believe it or not, we do need the rain because we are about 2 inches below average for the year so far. Pollen forecast is moderate to high today. Main pollens will be tree pollen (maple, cedar, juniper, birch). Remember that you need moderate to heavy rain for a few days in a row to wash the pollen out of the air. Light rain only helps the trees, flowers and grasses bloom/grow quicker, so having light rain in the forecast usually makes conditions worse for allergy sufferers.

Rain showers should re-develop tonight and continue tomorrow as a cold front slowly moves southward across the region.

Future Trak at 12 PM Wednesday

Future Trak at 12 PM Wednesday

There is going to be a large difference in temperatures tomorrow thanks to that cold front. Areas in the metro will see highs in the 60s. Places in North Carolina will be in the 70s and areas north of the metro will only see highs in the 50s.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 


Warmer, But Wetter This Week

April 5th, 2015 at 8:04 pm by under Weather

Happy Easter everyone! I hope you were able to celebrate with family and friends. It was a chilly start this morning with temperatures in the 30s, but we quickly warmed up into the 60s by the afternoon as expected.

Virginia Beach Temperatures

Virginia Beach Temperatures

High clouds are already moving into the region, so it won’t be as cold tonight. Lows will drop into the mid to upper 40s by Monday morning. Monday will be warm and dry with highs in the lower 70s. Then the weather pattern becomes more unsettled. Right now it doesn’t look like any day this week will be a complete wash-out. Rain will be hit or miss, so you may see rain one day and not the next day. Best advice is to keep the umbrella close by!

This Week's Rain Chances

This Week’s Rain Chances

The jet stream is going to flatten out for the first half of the week. This means we won’t have any big storm systems heading our way until late Friday into Saturday. Instead, we will be tracking small mid and upper level disturbances that are going to move across Virginia and North Carolina Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. These disturbances could spark off scattered rain showers, but without a focal point for the activity, the rain will be very hit or miss. We may even see a few isolated thunderstorms develop too as temperatures rise and moisture levels increase. With a flatter jet stream, we won’t see as many ups and downs in the temperatures this week. The coolest day will be Thursday behind a cold front. Then we warm up again on Friday before a stronger cold front moves in next weekend.

Forecast Highs This Week

Forecast Highs This Week

Enjoy the warmer weather and keep the umbrella with you this week!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 


Warmer Week Ahead!

March 29th, 2015 at 8:40 pm by under Weather

It was COLD this morning! But not cold enough to break the record at the Norfolk Airport which still stands at 25 degrees set back in 1982. Average low this time of year is 44 degrees.

Lows

It did stay chilly today with highs only in the 40s. Good news…we will finally see a warm-up starting tomorrow! Clouds will move in after midnight tonight and thicken up by tomorrow morning, so temperatures will initially drop into the 30s and then rise into the lower 40s by the morning. A batch of light rain showers will develop well out ahead of our next cold front. Rain could move into our western counties as early as 7-8 AM.

Future Trak at 9 AM Monday

Future Trak at 9 AM Monday

Light rain begins to taper off around lunchtime from west to east.

Future Trak 12 PM Monday

Future Trak 12 PM Monday

Best chance for rain will be between 9 AM -1 PM, so grab your umbrella before heading off to work tomorrow. Rain will be done by 1 PM for most areas and then some of the clouds should clear out for a few hours. The added sunshine should allow temperatures to rise into the upper 50s with some lower 60s inland. Our next cold front will move into Hampton Roads Monday afternoon. We can’t rule out an isolated shower developing along the front after 3 PM, but most areas should remain dry.

Future Trak at 5 PM Monday

Future Trak at 5 PM Monday

Temperatures will also be increasing over the next few days. No major ups or downs in the temperature forecast over the next 5 days.

Temperature Trend

Temperature Trend

Have a great Monday!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona