Tiffany Savona WAVY

Drier With More Sunshine on Monday

April 20th, 2014 at 8:53 pm by under Weather

It was a wet Easter weekend for some and a windy Easter Sunday for all of us. The good news is that the rain will taper off across North Carolina tonight. The bad news is that the wind will stay up tonight and for the first half of your Monday. The wind and the rain is being generated by an area of low pressure spinning off the coast of North Carolina and South Carolina. This low is throwing moisture our way, especially across North Carolina. The strong winds are a result of the difference in pressure between the high to our north and the low to our southeast. Some wind gusts were as high as 40-45 mph earlier today.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Northeast winds will stay up tonight and range from 15-25mph with gusts up to 30mph. Here is the wind speed forecast for Monday. Sustained winds should range between 15-20mph in the morning and then drop down to 10-15mph during the afternoon.

Monday Wind Speeds

Monday Wind Speeds

Tides will remain elevated during the next high tide, which is around 2:30 AM Monday. We are not concerned about minor tidal flooding because the water levels should remain below the minor flooding threshold. However, nuisance tidal flooding is possible. A High Surf Advisory is in effect until early Monday morning for the Outer Banks and Currituck. Waves could reach 8-10 feet and ocean over-wash is possible.

Areas across the Southside and North Carolina will start off with the clouds tomorrow morning. Areas north of the Southside should start off with more sunshine. Clouds will clear out by the afternoon across the Southside, but will linger across North Carolina. Highs will be in the lower 60s across the metro with upper 60s inland and upper 50s along the immediate coast.

We are going to see a big warm-up by Tuesday. Highs will warm up into the mid to upper 70s out ahead of our next cold front. Most of Tuesday (Earth Day) will stay dry. Showers/isolated storms are possible anytime after 4 PM and  all of the rain should end shortly after midnight.

Future Trak at 7 PM Tuesday

Future Trak at 7 PM Tuesday

Cooler and drier air will move in behind the front. Temperatures will drop back into the low to mid 60s Wednesday and Thursday.

We didn’t see enough rain to really wash out the pollen this weekend, so the pollen forecast will remain on the high side over the next few days. Sorry allergy sufferers! I hope everyone had a Happy Easter!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Winter Has Returned For A Day Plus Storm Recap

April 16th, 2014 at 9:24 am by under Weather

Wow! Feels more like winter outside this morning. It was cold enough for me to need to turn on the heat in my car on my ride into work. Check out the low temperatures across the region this morning. The record low in Norfolk is 33° set back in 1943. We didn’t break the record, but we were close. Wind chill values were in the 20s!

Lows This Morning

Lows This Morning

All of this cold air rushed in behind a powerful cold front that moved through Hampton Roads last night. Once the front moved in, wind speeds picked up and temperatures dropped a good 20-30 degrees in less than an hour. Check out these peak wind gusts recorded last night.

Peak Wind Gusts Overnight

Peak Wind Gusts Overnight

Wind speeds along the Lower Chesapeake Bay ranged from 60-70mph. The strong winds pushed a large ship aground near Shore Drive in Virginia Beach. Read the full story here on wavy.com. Wind damage was also reported in a Virginia Beach neighborhood. A tree fell onto a fence and two cars. Rain totals were also quite impressive. Most locations saw between 1.5-2 inches of rain with some areas seeing more than that. Now we are above average for the month of April and for the year so far.

24-Hour Rain Totals

24-Hour Rain Totals

The wind is going to stay up all day long. Future Trak has our sustained wind speeds ranging from 10-20mph with gusts up to 35mph this afternoon.

Future Trak Wind Speeds

Future Trak Wind Speeds

The pollen count will be on the rise today, thanks to the wind. I have the pollen forecast at a medium level today. Hopefully you enjoyed some allergy relief yesterday. Even though we will see plenty of sunshine this afternoon, highs will only reach the upper 40s. Some 50° readings will be possible for inland locations. We will see a gradual warm-up over the next few days. Highs in the 50s Thursday and Friday with 60s in the forecast this weekend.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Midday Update: Severe Weather Threat Going Down

April 15th, 2014 at 1:47 pm by under Weather

The severe weather threat for Hampton Roads has gone down significantly. We saw a lot of rain this morning, which cooled and stabilized the atmosphere. I talked about this being a possibility in my previous blog. Check out the rain totals from this morning.

Rain Totals So Far

Rain Totals So Far

The Storm Prediction Center has taken Virginia and North Carolina out of the slight risk area for severe weather because of the rain we saw earlier. Computer models did not do a very good job on picking up on the heavy rain this morning, therefore they over estimated the amount of instability we would have this afternoon. We still expect a line of showers and storms to develop ahead of the cold front between 4-8 PM.  This is the latest Future Trak computer model at 6 PM, so the evening commute is going to be a messy one.

Future Trak at 5 PM

Future Trak at 6 PM

Once the cold front moves in, temperatures will drop a good 10-15 degrees in one hour. Winds will pick up out of the north at 25-35 mph with gusts up to 40-45mph. Cooler air will rush in, causing temperatures to drop into the low to mid 30s by Wednesday morning. The National Weather Service has upgraded the Freeze Watch to a Freeze Warning for our northern and inland areas. This warning now includes the entire Peninsula. If you live in any of these counties, make sure you cover or bring inside any sensitive vegetation. Temperatures are expected to drop to around 32°, if not below freezing, for a few hours early Wednesday morning.

Freeze Warning

Freeze Warning

Keep in mind that wind chills values will likely be in the 20s early Wednesday morning, so make sure you take that winter coat back out of the closet. Chief Meteorologist Don Slater will have a full update coming up on WAVY News 10 at 4, 5 and 6 PM.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Tuesday’s Severe Weather Threat

April 15th, 2014 at 9:29 am by under Weather

Before, we get to the severe weather threat today, I want to show a picture of the Lunar Eclipse. If you were lucky, like me, there may have been enough breaks in the clouds for you to see the moon.  Stephen Gagnon captured this beautiful picture in Carrollton this morning.

Lunar Eclipse

Lunar Eclipse Early This Morning

We are tracking a strong cold front that will move through Hampton Roads early this evening. Before the front moves in, a line of showers and storms will develop. Some of these storms could turn strong to severe. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted our entire area in a slight risk for severe weather this afternoon.

Today's Severe Weather Threat

Today’s Severe Weather Threat

The main severe weather threats will be heavy rain and damaging winds in excess of 60mph. Tornado threat is low, but not zero. If we see an area of low pressure develop along the front, we could see an enhanced tornado threat just south of the low. One computer model has the low developing across NE North Carolina, while another model has the low developing across SE Virginia. A couple other models do not have an area of low pressure developing at all. This is something we will be watching for this afternoon. Keep in mind that if we see more rain this morning, then the severe weather threat will be lower. If we see more sunshine, then the severe weather threat will be going up this afternoon. The window for seeing severe weather will be between 3-9 PM, ahead of the cold front. The line of showers and storms should move through the metro area around 4-7 PM. This means we are looking at a messy evening commute. Any thunderstorm that can develop ahead of the front could be strong to severe. Here is what our Future Trak computer model has at 5 PM.

Future Trak at 5 PM

Future Trak at 5 PM

Once the front clears the area, the severe threat will be gone. But the rain will continue behind the front and the rain could be heavy at times. Here is what our Future Trak model has at 9 PM.

Future Trak at 9 PM

Future Trak at 9 PM

Winds will turn northerly behind the front and increase in speed. Look for sustained wind speeds between 25-35 mph with gusts ranging from 40-45mph overnight. Much colder air will filter in and temperatures will drop into the mid 30s by Wednesday morning. Wind chill values will be in the 20s!!! Welcome back winter! Future Trak Temperatures has lows around 32° for our northern and western counties with mid 30s everywhere else. Record low for Norfolk Airport is 33° set back in 1943, so we will be close.

Wednesday AM Lows

Wednesday AM Lows

The National Weather Service issued a Freeze Watch in effect for all counties highlighted in blue. These areas could see temperatures dip below 32° for a couple of hours overnight.

Freeze Watch

Freeze Watch

If you live in these areas, make sure you bring any potted plants indoors and/or cover any sensitive vegetation.

Good news for all of the allergy sufferers…the pollen forecast is LOW today due to the rain and the wind. The heavy rain should really knock down the pollen count today. I will be tracking the potential for strong to severe storms this afternoon. Stay with wavy.com for the latest.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 

 

 


Warm Start To The Week!

April 13th, 2014 at 9:25 pm by under Weather

Wow! What a beautiful weekend! Check out the high temperatures recorded this afternoon. Record high in Norfolk was 88 degrees set back in 1977, so we were only 5 degrees shy of tying the record high today.

Highs This Afternoon

Highs This Afternoon

The warm weather will continue tomorrow. Temperatures will not be quite as high as today because we should see more cloud cover. Highs should reach the mid to upper 70s Monday afternoon.

Monday Forecast Highs

Monday Forecast Highs

We are tracking a strong cold front that will move in on Tuesday. This cold front is the cause of the severe weather in the Central Plains tonight. It is even cold enough for snow on the back side of this system. Temperatures are in the 30s in Iowa, Nebraska, Minnesota and Colorado!

Satellite/Radar at 9 PM

Satellite/Radar at 9 PM

We may see a few showers late Monday night and early Tuesday morning, but the bulk of the precipitation won’t move in until late Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening. Future Trak has a line of showers and storms moving through Hampton Roads between 4-9 PM.

Future Trak at 5 PM

Future Trak at 5 PM

Some of these storms could turn strong to severe. The Storm Prediction Center has already highlighted the Southside and North Carolina in a Slight Risk for severe weather on Tuesday.

Tuesday's Severe Weather Risk

Tuesday’s Severe Weather Risk

This is where the most instability will be Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening. This doesn’t mean we won’t see any thunderstorms develop across the Peninsula, Middle Peninsula or Eastern Shore. The slight risk area just shows where the highest chance for severe weather will be on Tuesday. The main threat with the line of storms will be damaging winds. The tornado threat is low right now, but not out of the question. There will be a lot of wind shear in the atmosphere, so storms will be able to rotate. If an area of low pressure develops along the front, then we could see an enhanced tornado threat just south of the low. Some computer models have an area of low pressure developing across North Carolina Tuesday afternoon, whereas others do not. If we see more rain in the morning, then the severe threat will not be as high in the afternoon. As you can see, there are still a lot of “ifs” out there right now. I just want to let you know that the potential for strong to severe storms exists Tuesday afternoon/evening. Stay tuned for the latest.

Tune into WAVY News 10 at 10 on FOX43 and WAVY News 10 at 11 tonight for an updated forecast. Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson will have another update on WAVY News 10 Today starting at 4:30 AM. Have a good night!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Quick Midday Update

April 7th, 2014 at 1:21 pm by under Weather

This is just a quick midday update. Meteorologist Jeremy Wheeler wrote a much more detailed weather blog this morning. Rain has become more widespread this midday and will continue through the afternoon and evening. Heavier pockets of rain are located across some of our westernmost counties right now, but are moving northeast. The heavy rain near Emporia will be in the metro around between 2-3 PM.

Super Doppler 10 Radar - 1 PM

Super Doppler 10 Radar – 1 PM

We are tracking a warm front which has just moved into Portsmouth around 1 PM. Lots of fog developed on Tower Cam 10 due to the increase in moisture. Temperature and dew point readings will rise when the front moves into your area.

Hello Warm Front

Hello Warm Front

Warm Front Lifting North

Warm Front Lifting North

The Storm Prediction Center has shifted the area under a Slight Risk for severe weather this afternoon/evening a little bit farther south.

Slight Risk Area

Slight Risk Area

This seems more reasonable, because these areas will be south of the warm front for a longer period of time. Southside Virginia and Northeastern North Carolina will have the greatest chances for seeing strong to severe storms later this afternoon/evening. We are not thinking this will be widespread event. Any strong to severe storm should be very isolated. The main severe weather threat will be gusty winds. We can’t rule out the possibility of an isolated tornado across North Carolina, due to the high amount of wind shear in the atmosphere. But, overall, the tornado threat is very low. Our latest Future Trak model has widespread rain through the evening commute with more gaps in the precipitation this evening.

Future Trak at 3 PM

Future Trak at 3 PM

I will have another update on WAVY News 10 starting at 4 PM and Chief Meteorologist Don Slater will be on WAVY News 10 at 5, 5:30 and 6 PM. Remember you can always track the rain on Super Doppler 10 radar on wavy.com. Stay tuned!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Wet Start To The Work Week

April 6th, 2014 at 9:19 pm by under Weather

It is going to be a wet start to the week, but at least we had nice weather over the weekend. The clouds have already moved in and should thicken up tonight ahead of the rain. All of the rain and thunderstorm activity is located to our south right now.

Satellite/Radar at 8 PM

Satellite/Radar at 8 PM Sunday

This stationary front is going to lift northward as a warm front tonight. That means the warm air and the moisture will be lifting northward as well, heading in our direction. Severe weather is possible tonight across Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama. These areas will be just south of the warm front and closest to that area of low pressure which is tracking east. Our Future Trak model has the rain pushing in anytime after 5 AM. The rain should be scattered around 7 AM for your morning commute, so it may not be raining at every location at that time.

Future Trak at 7 AM Monday

Future Trak at 7 AM Monday

Rain becomes even more widespread by 12 PM. A warm front will move northward through the region tomorrow afternoon. This warm front will bring in warm air and an increase in moisture. Once the warm front moves in, temperatures will really start to rise, even though it will be raining.

Future Trak at 5 PM Monday

Future Trak at 5 PM Monday

With warmer air, an increase in moisture and a lot of wind shear, we may see a few thunderstorms develop during the late afternoon and evening hours. Best chance for storms will be across Southside Virginia and North Carolina where we will have slightly warmer air. I think the chance for severe weather across Hampton Roads is going to be on the low end. We will have the warm air in place with temperatures in the upper 60s and lower 70s. However, we are going to be lacking some moisture at the surface. Dew point temperatures are forecast to reach the upper 50s, maybe 60 degrees. We like to see dew point readings well into the 60s if we are talking about the potential for stronger storms. The rain and the clouds should keep the instability down. The best lift or energy associated with this storm system won’t move in until after sunset, which is not the most favorable time frame for severe storms. I am not completely ruling out the chance for stronger storms. There may be one or two that can get going with all of the wind shear in place, especially out in front of the cold front. But, at this time, it doesn’t look like we will have a good chance for severe weather. Stay tuned for any changes.

We may see a few breaks in the rain during the early evening hours before another round of heavier rain moves into the region. Thunderstorm chances will be increasing late Monday night before the cold front moves through Hampton Roads. Future Trak has a line of scattered showers and storms at this time.

Future Trak at 12 AM Tuesday

Future Trak at 12 AM Tuesday

The cold front will move in Tuesday morning. Computer models have changed their tune a little bit regarding the ending time of the rain. Now it looks like the rain will linger into Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening for coastal areas. The front should stall offshore, but an area of low pressure will develop along it. An upper level trough will still be located overhead, so we will have plenty of moisture to work with on Tuesday. Therefore, rain will stay in the forecast through Tuesday night. Check out the forecast rain totals through Tuesday night.

Monday-Tuesday Rain Totals

Monday-Tuesday Rain Totals

Rain totals should average anywhere between 1-1.5 inches of rain. Some areas that see heavier rain/thunderstorms could see totals up to 2 inches, maybe more. Norfolk Airport is now 0.75 inches below average for the year, so we do need a dose of some healthy rain.

I will have another update on WAVY News 10 at 10 on FOX43 and WAVY News 10 at 11. Make sure you tune into WAVY News 10 Today starting at 4:30 AM. Meteorologist Jeremy Wheeler will be tracking the rain for you on Super Doppler 10 Live Radar. Don’t forget the umbrella!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 


Beautiful, But Cooler, Weekend Ahead!

April 5th, 2014 at 9:12 am by under Weather

Get ready for a beautiful weekend across Hampton Roads! It will be much cooler compared to yesterday when we saw highs in the mid 80s! Norfolk Airport recorded a high temperature of 85° Friday afternoon, which was only 1° shy of the record high of 86° set back in 2011. Talk about some heat!

Friday's High Temperatures

Friday’s High Temperatures

Areas north of the metro did see a little bit of rain last night as showers and storms moved across our northern zones. Our weather watcher Don in Toano said he heard thunder around midnight and Jan in Reedville heard thunder a little after midnight. Most of the metro did stay dry.

Last Night's Satellite/Radar

Last Night’s Satellite/Radar at 12:30 AM

Patchy fog did develop across the Eastern Shore, Northern Neck and Middle Peninsula this morning. These areas were north of the front, where temperatures cooled back down into the 50s. Once the cold front moves through your neighborhood, expect temperatures to drop a few degrees before rising back up this afternoon. Norfolk was at 66° at 8 AM and has now dropped to 49° as of 9 AM.

9 AM Temperatures

9 AM Temperatures

Areas in the 60s should drop back down into the 50s once the front moves through this morning before rising back into the 60s this afternoon. It should be cooler along the coast with afternoon temperatures in the upper 50s and lower 60s. Inland spots should warm up into the upper 60s. The cold front brought cooler air into Norfolk dropping the temperature down into the upper 40s, which was close to the dew point temperature. This is how fog developed in Norfolk and along the beaches. The northerly wind coming off of the cooler water (water temperature around 49°) helped to reinforce the cool air in place. Check out the view from Lynnhaven Inlet.

Foggy at Lynnhaven Inlet

Foggy at Lynnhaven Inlet

Make sure you bring the jacket with you if you are headed to Harbor Park tonight to cheer on the Norfolk Tides. Temperatures will be in the lower 50s around the start of the game and will drop into the upper 40s by the end of the game. Sunday will be even cooler with highs only in the mid 50s. This is what our Future Trak has at 5 PM Sunday.

Future Trak Temperatures

Future Trak Temperatures at 5 PM Sunday

Enjoy the nice weather this weekend because rain and storms will move back in Monday morning.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Who Is Ready For The Sunshine?

March 30th, 2014 at 8:32 pm by under Weather

After a rainy and gloomy weekend, I think we are all in need of some sunshine.

View of out Tower Cam 10 today

View of out Tower Cam 10 Earlier Today

There was severe weather across North Carolina last night. A tornado was reported near Garner, south of Raleigh, around 9 PM last night.  This tornado was confirmed by the National Weather Service and rated an EF-0 with estimated maximum sustained winds of 80mph. Minor damage was reported.

Last Night's Storm Reports

Last Night’s Storm Reports

We did not see severe weather, but we did see a decent amount of rain, especially north of the metro. Over the past 48 hours, many locations picked up at least 0.5 inches of rain with many spots seeing over 1 inch. Pam in Gloucester reported having just over 2 inches in her rain gauge.

48-Hour Rain Totals

48-Hour Rain Totals

Where does this put us for the month of March? Many spots have picked up between 2-4 inches for the month, which is above average for some and below average for others.

Departure From Average for March

Departure From Average for March

The rain will slowly come to an end from west to east tonight as an area of low pressure slowly pushes away from us. Scattered showers will be possible until midnight. Our Future Trak shows most of the rain ending by 12 AM.

Future Trak at 12 AM

Future Trak at 12 AM

Lows will drop into the upper 30s to around 40° overnight. It will feel even colder with a northwest breeze at 10-20mph gusting up to 30mph at times. Since winds are blowing from the northwest, we could see Sound Side flooding along the Outer Banks early tomorrow morning. High tide is around 8:30 AM. Water levels could rise between 2-3 feet above normal along the Outer Banks. Over wash is also possible along Highway 12 from Buxton to the Oregon Inlet.

Clouds will clear out from west to east overnight. Expect a few clouds around in the morning, especially for coastal areas. Coastal clouds will quickly clear out, giving way to lots of sunshine on your Monday. Highs will be around 60°, but winds will still be breezy out of the north at 10-20mph. Computer models have the warm weather sticking around for a while. Could this be the end of the cold weather? I certainly hope so!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 


Tornado Watch Tonight, Plus Rainy and Cooler on Sunday

March 29th, 2014 at 9:01 pm by under Weather

First, let’s talk about the Tornado Watch that has been issued for Northampton County, Bertie County and Hertford County until 1 AM Sunday.

Tornado Watch

Tornado Watch In Effect Until 1 AM Sunday

This watch doesn’t include any counties in Virginia. The severe weather threat is very low for the rest of the area. I am tracking a cluster of severe storms near Raleigh that is moving northeast. These storms are feeding off of some instability across central North Carolina. The hi-res models show this cluster moving into Virginia closer to midnight, but I think it will be weaker by then. Stay tuned!

It has been a soggy Saturday across Hampton Roads, but at least it was warm outside. High temperatures were in the 60s and 70s. More rain is possible tomorrow, but it will be much cooler. Rain will be scattered on and off during the day tomorrow. We may see a few light showers early Sunday morning, but there are slightly better chances during the afternoon.

Future Trak at 12 PM

Future Trak at 12 PM Sunday

Here is Future Trak at 5 PM.

Future Trak at 5 PM Sunday

Future Trak at 5 PM Sunday

Best chances for rain tomorrow will be north of the metro, closer to the area of low pressure. Rain shouldn’t be as heavy or as widespread as earlier today. Once the cold front moves in tomorrow morning, temperatures will begin to fall. We will likely see our high temperature around 60° shortly after midnight. It will be mild in the morning and chilly in the afternoon with a strong westerly breeze blowing at 10-20mph.

Falling Temperatures Tomorrow

Falling Temperatures Tomorrow

Thankfully the cooler weather will be short-lived, as the warmer weather will return by early next week. I will have a full update on tonight’s severe weather threat coming up on WAVY News 10 at 10 on FOX43 and WAVY News 10 at 11.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona