Tiffany Savona WAVY

Here We Go Again!

March 4th, 2015 at 5:56 pm by under Weather

After a taste of spring today, it will be back to reality tomorrow. Winter returns with a vengeance! A cold front will be moving into the region tonight, so expect temperatures to gradually drop into the upper 30s and lower 40s by tomorrow morning. Winter Weather Advisories have been posted for areas from Williamsburg and points northward from 6 AM Thursday to 12 AM Friday.

Winter Weather Advisory

Winter Weather Advisories

These areas in purple have the highest chances of seeing minor snow accumulations because these areas will be colder and will probably see the mix change over to ALL snow at some point. Let me explain. Let’s talk about tonight first. Rain will develop north of metro after 9 PM and then spread southward overnight. Rain is likely tomorrow morning as temperatures will be hovering in the upper 30s and lower 40s at that point. Here is what Future Trak has at 7 AM.

Future Trak 2

Notice how the changeover from rain to a mix of rain/sleet/snow starts around 12 PM, if not a little bit earlier across our northern zones.

Future Trak at 12 PM Thursday

Future Trak at 12 PM Thursday

That mix line will move southward into the metro area before the evening commute, so your commute WILL BE impacted.

Future Trak at 5 PM Thursday

Future Trak at 5 PM Thursday

Any snow/sleet that mixes in and falls with the rain will melt as it falls to the ground. Keep in mind that the roads and sidewalks will be wet. So we are thinking that most of the snow should melt on contact. Notice that the mix has changed over to all snow for Williamsburg, the Middle Peninsula, Northern Neck and the Eastern Shore. These areas could see some minor accumulations and some of the snow may stick to the roads initially if the snow comes down heavy enough. The wintry weather will taper off from north to south Thursday night and should end by midnight for everyone.

There are some computer models out there that have a colder and wetter solution, indicating higher snow totals. But a computer model can not predict what happens when the snow hits the ground (whether it accumulates or melts). Plus the ground temperatures probably warmed up a little bit today after seeing temperatures in the 60s and 70s. Northern zones only saw highs in the 50s, so not much of a warm-up there. We take everything into consideration and make our forecast. Here is our latest thinking.

Snow Forecast

Thursday Snow Forecast

North Carolina: Expect mostly rain with some sleet mixing in during the afternoon.
Southside: Morning rain changing over to a mix of rain/sleet/snow during the afternoon. Any snow that falls with rain or sleet will melt once it hits the ground. There is a small window where the Southside could see all snow late in the day. If so, we could see a dusting to 1″ on grassy areas, decks and cars. Inland counties could see a little bit more. I think roads will just be wet, instead of snow covered.
Peninsula: Expect morning rain, changing over to a mix of rain/sleet/snow and then changing over to all snow. 1-2 inches will be possible, but mainly on grassy areas, decks and cars. I think most roads will be wet.
Middle Peninsula, Northern Neck, Eastern Shore: Early morning rain changing over to a rain/sleet/snow mix around Noon, then changing over to ALL snow during the afternoon. At this point, the snow will accumulate and it could cover the roads if the snow comes down heavy enough. 2-3 inches are possible with isolated higher totals if the change over to all snow happens a bit earlier in the day.

Some of you may have seen images showing more snow for your city on social media. Just remember…these images are usually the output of just 1 computer model run. These images do not represent a forecast. We look at many computer models to make a forecast and each model updates several times a day. Bottom line: This is NOT going to be a BIG storm for us. YES, it will impact your evening commute and could slow you down, especially across our northern zones. The bigger story will be the COLD weather returning! In a 24-hour period, temperatures will drop a good 30-40 degrees. That is a HUGE drop. Some folks have asked what the biggest temperature drop is here in Hampton Roads. I asked the National Weather Service in Wakefield the same question. They told me that last March 2-3, temperatures dropped from 72° t0 28°. That is a 44° drop in less than 24 hours. Another notable time was back on December 15, 1901, when temperatures dropped from 69° to 22° in a 24-hour period. That is a 47° drop!

Temperatures will drop into the teens and 20s by Friday morning, so any slush or standing water will re-freeze tomorrow night. We may have some icy spots Friday morning and wind chill values will be in the single digits. So take your winter coat and your winter boots back out of the closet! Highs Friday afternoon will only rise to around 30°. Warmer weather arrives by the weekend!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


From Spring To Winter In 24 Hours

March 3rd, 2015 at 9:05 pm by under Weather

We have a little bit of everything in the forecast over the next few days. From spring to winter in just a 24-hour period. First, I’m tracking the chance for rain overnight. Another batch of rain should move in as warmer air moves in from the southwest behind a warm front. Our Future Trak has been consistent on bringing the rain in just before midnight.

Future Trak at 12 AM

Future Trak at 12 AM

Rain will quickly move out and temperatures will continue to rise overnight. Patchy fog may develop in some areas as temperatures rise into the upper 40s/lower 50s early Wednesday morning. Give the kids a light jacket tomorrow instead of the heavy winter coat. It will feel more like spring tomorrow afternoon with highs around 70° across the Southside and North Carolina and highs in the 60s from the Peninsula northward. A great day to grab lunch outside or to take a walk during your lunch break. Just watch out for those breezy southwest winds blowing at 15-20mph.

Wednesday Temperatures

Wednesday Temperatures

A strong cold front will slowly move through Hampton Roads from north to south Wednesday evening. Temperatures will drop a good bit once the front moves through, but the really cold air will lag behind the front. The upper level winds are going to be running parallel to the cold front, which is going to slow its movement and slow the arrival of the cold air. Rain will develop behind the front and slowly fill in across Virginia and North Carolina Wednesday night. The precipitation at this point will fall in the form as rain since temperatures will still be in the upper 30s and lower 40s at 7 AM Thursday.

Future Trak at 7 AM

Future Trak at 7 AM Thursday

As colder air moves in behind the front, the rain will change over to a mix of wet snow and sleet (purple area on Future Trak) by 3 PM. Notice that rain is still falling across North Carolina and areas just north of the state line. The mix has moved south into the Peninsula and Southside. The Middle Peninsula, Northern Neck and Eastern Shore will see the mix change over to ALL snow. These areas have the best chances for seeing accumulating snow.

Future Trak  at 3 PM Thursday

Future Trak at 3 PM Thursday

Here are some key things to remember. The snow will probably melt once it hits the wet roads and sidewalks. If we do see any accumulations, it would likely be on grassy areas, decks and cars. Once again the chance for rain and sleet will really cut down on snow totals. It seems like most computer models are coming in with a warmer and drier solution. If this trend continues, then we may need to bring snow totals down even more. However, there are still some models that are wetter and colder and we can’t discount them just yet. With that in mind, here is my snow totals forecast. I’m leaning toward the warmer and drier solutions based on the set-up of this storm system. I just don’t think the cold air is going to be here in time to really allow the snow to accumulate.

Thursday Snow Forecast

Thursday Snow Forecast

Bottom line: This is not going to be a big storm for us, but it will impact your Thursday evening commute. If we see more sleet, then we could see some minor ice accumulation. Right now it looks like the sleet would be mixing in with rain and wet snow. The wintry mix will taper off Thursday night. Any standing water or slush will freeze Thursday night into Friday morning because temperatures will drop into the 20s. So expect some slick spots early Friday morning, especially on bridges and overpasses. Friday will be dry with highs in the lower 30s.

Snow totals will change over the next 24 hours, so stay tuned! I will have more on WAVY News 10 at 10 on FOX43 and WAVY News 10 at 11.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 

 


February 2015 – Going Down In The Record Books

March 1st, 2015 at 9:33 pm by under Weather

February of 2015 is going down in the record books for being the 3rd COLDEST February since record keeping started in the 1800s! The graphic below shows the high temperatures from February 1 through February 28. Notice that temperatures were WAY BELOW average for more than half the month.

February High Temperatures

February High Temperatures

Being so cold, it was only fitting that we broke 4 temperature records. This February will also go down as being the 7th snowiest on record. The Norfolk Airport recorded 11.5 inches of snow for the month. Keep in mind that you may have seen more snow at your house. All of our climate data is taken from observations at the Norfolk Airport.

Today (March 1st) is the first day of Meteorological Spring. Meteorologists define seasons based on the annual temperature cycle. Each season consists of a group of 3 months. The winter months are December, January and February, otherwise known as the coldest months of the year. This makes it easier to keep seasonal data because the dates never change. This year, astronomical spring begins on March 20th, which is based on the position of the Earth in relation to the sun.

So far…it has been a cold and dreary start to March. Highs were only in the 30s today and we saw a mix of rain/sleet/freezing rain most of the day. The rain will taper off before midnight, but fog will likely develop overnight and could reduce visibilities in the morning. Monday will be a drier, FINALLY! Expect clouds and fog in the morning. A cold front will move through the region around midday and switch our winds, allowing drier air to move into the region. The clouds will clear out and the sun will be out with highs in the low to 40s. The weather pattern will remain very unsettled this week, meaning lots of rain chances are in the forecast. Most days this week will be chilly, with Wednesday being an exception.

Temperature Trend

Temperature Trend

Don’t get too excited for the 60s because we are tracking the chance for rain Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. Thursday could get interesting. A very strong cold front will move into the region Wednesday night/Thursday morning. Rain will develop behind the front. As colder air moves in, the rain will change over to sleet and snow. Accumulations are possible, especially for areas north of the metro. It’s still too early for numbers, so stay tuned!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Freezing Rain Sunday Morning?

February 28th, 2015 at 10:16 pm by under Weather

First off…today we tied the record for the COLDEST February 28th EVER! Back on February 28, 1934, the high at the Norfolk Airport was only 30°. Today, the high temperature at the Norfolk Airport was 30°. Average high this time of year is 54°! February has been a very cold month and it looks like it will be one of the coldest on record. I will have more on that in my blog tomorrow.

Highs Today

Highs Today

I’m tracking another disturbance to our south that will merge with an area of low pressure to our west to bring us the chance for rain on Sunday. One problem…if the rain moves in during the early morning hours, then we could have freezing rain because temperatures will still be in the 20s at that point. So it will be a battle of the rain vs. the temperature. I don’t think we will have a widespread freezing rain event, but I think a few spots could see freezing rain between 7 AM-12 PM tomorrow morning. Here are the areas at risk.

Freezing Rain Possible In Pink Areas

Freezing Rain Possible In Pink Areas

Our Future Trak model has some light freezing rain moving in around 8 AM for some of our inland and northern areas.

Future Trak at 8 AM Sunday

Future Trak at 8 AM Sunday

If you see any freezing rain, then you may have a light coating of ice on your car in the morning. There may also be some slick spots on bridges and overpasses. If you have a garage or a carport, I suggest moving your car into your garage or under your carport tonight. This will keep you from having to scrape the ice off your car just in case you see freezing rain.

Future Trak has some lingering freezing rain over the Middle Peninsula and Northern Neck around Noon.

Future Trak at 12 PM Sunday

Future Trak at 12 PM Sunday

The wintry precipitation will change over to rain as temperatures warm up into the upper 30s and lower 40s. Rain will continue into the afternoon and evening. The rain and slightly warmer weather should help melt more of the snow and ice.

**Reminder** Deanna LeBlanc and I will be at the McDonald Garden Show in Hampton from 1-3 PM tomorrow. If you plan on going, come stop by and say hi to us! The show is indoors, so don’t let the rain keep you away.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Midnight Update

February 26th, 2015 at 12:27 am by under Weather

And so it begins!!! The snow began just after 10 PM across North Carolina and now the snow is pushing into Virginia as I start writing this (11:30 PM). Once the snow starts, it will really comes down quickly. It should also start out as a wet snow, so the flakes may be rather large. Our Liz Palka reported that the roads in Elizabeth City became snow covered in less than an hour. So road conditions are going to deteriorate quickly, so it’s best to stay off the roads tonight and even early tomorrow morning. This event is just starting and the heaviest snow will fall between now and 7 AM Thursday morning. Our latest Future Trak model is doing a very good job of showing where the snow is right now, so its solution should be reliable over the next few hours. Here is what it has at 3 AM. Notice the heavy snow is located right across the Metro area.

Future Trak at 3 AM

Future Trak at 3 AM Thursday

The snow will continue right into tomorrow morning. Notice that the model has rain for much of North Carolina most of the night. I think the snow will change over to more of a mix of snow/sleet/rain for North Carolina. That is why we think snow totals will be lower there. I even think we will see some of the mix move into Virginia Beach and Chesapeake, which could reduce totals there too. Keep in mind that there is going to be a tight gradient in snow totals. For example…you may live in Northern Virginia Beach and see a few more inches than areas in Southern Virginia Beach.

Future Trak at 7 AM

Future Trak at 7 AM Thursday

Roads are still going to be snow covered in the morning because the snow will not stop falling until Thursday afternoon. Make sure you check the closings scrolling at the bottom of our screen on WAVY-TV 10 or check the closing lists on wavy.com here.

Here are our latest snow totals forecast zone by zone.

North Carolina Snow Forecast

North Carolina Snow Forecast

Southside Snow Totals

Southside Snow Totals

Peninsula Snow Totals

Peninsula Snow Totals

Northern Zones Snow Totals

Northern Zones Snow Totals

We also expect a burst of heavy snow to develop overnight. If that band moves over your region, you could see snow fall at the rate of 1-2 inches per hour. So isolated higher totals are definitely possible. You may even hear some thunder, since this system is so dynamic.

High temperatures will only rise into the lower 30s tomorrow, so don’t expect a lot of melting. The kids will have plenty of time to enjoy the snow!

If you are going to be up late tonight, tune into WAVY TV 10 at the top of each hour. Chief Meteorologist Don Slater and I will have continuous updates on this winter storm. Our next newscast begins at 4 AM with Meteorologists Jeremy Wheeler and Ashley Baylor.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Round 3…Wednesday/Thursday Storm

February 24th, 2015 at 7:05 pm by under Weather

Round 1 of snow was last Monday. Round 2 was today. And round 3 will be late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Round 3 will be the knockout round because it COULD be the biggest snow storm of the year. COULD BE… More on that in just a minute. The snow is still falling this evening and has accumulated on grassy areas and roads, resulting in numerous accidents. Almost everyone saw at least a dusting, but many of you saw between 1-2 inches with some isolated higher totals. The snow is starting to become more scattered now and should taper off before midnight. Use caution when driving tonight, especially on bridges and overpasses.

Any snow that has accumulated tonight will melt tomorrow as the sun comes out and highs rise into the lower 40s. You won’t need to leave work early tomorrow since the snow won’t move in until after 9 PM. There is still a lot of uncertainty with this storm system since it is still spinning over New Mexico and Texas right now, so it has a long way to go before getting to Hampton Roads tomorrow night. All computer models agree that the low is going to move across the Gulf of Mexico, pick up some moisture, and then move off the coast of South Carolina and North Carolina. Where they differ is… how close they bring the low to our coast. The NAM model is still the most aggressive and has the highest totals because it brings the low very close to our coast. The GFS model has the low farther offshore, resulting in lower totals. The European model is in-between both the NAM and GFS, but is much closer to the GFS solution. Either way you slice it, we are going to get snow, and SOME part of our viewing area could see big-time snow out of this storm.

Our Future Trak computer model has the snow coming in after 9 PM Wednesday. Then the snow really gets going by midnight and will continue right into Thursday morning.

Future Trak at 10 PM

Future Trak at 12 AM Thursday

The worst of the storm will between 12 AM-7 AM, while most of you are sleeping.

Future Trak at 7 AM Thursday

Future Trak at 7 AM Thursday

To make things more complicated comes the possibility of sleet and freezing rain mixing in with the snow, which makes road conditions even worse. I’m sure you all know exactly what I’m talking about after what we saw last Monday. We could have a similar outcome across North Carolina with several inches of snow and then sleet and/or freezing rain on top creating a glaze of ice. The snow should become lighter and should taper off Thursday afternoon. So given the differences in the computer model solutions, here is the latest snow totals map Don and I created.

Forecast Snow Totals

Forecast Snow Totals

The ranges are large right now to show the uncertainty of the situation. It looks like the highest totals will be across the Southside and North Carolina. But that purple area could shift farther north or farther south. So just make sure you are prepared for significant snow where you may be stuck in your house for a day or even a few days. Stock up on your bread and milk! :)

We will be refining this snow map tonight and tomorrow, so make sure you check back for updates. Things WILL change! Chief Meteorologist Don Slater will have another update with a newer model run on WAVY News 10 at 10 PM on FOX43 and WAVY News 10 at 11.

Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 

 


More Record Cold!!!

February 23rd, 2015 at 6:08 pm by under Weather

We broke 3 record lows last week and we could potentially break another record low tomorrow morning. Low temperatures will plummet into the mid teens overnight and the winds will stay up between 10-20mph, so it will feel even colder. The record low at the Norfolk Airport is 16° set back in 1947, so we will be close! So with temperatures dropping in the teens, you will need to drip the faucets again overnight. Make sure the kids dress in layers before they head out to the bus stop in the morning because wind chill values will be hovering around 0°.

Lows Overnight

Lows Overnight

If you’re tired of the cold and wintry weather, you are not going to be a big fan of the weather this week. Our weather pattern is going to remain very unsettled due to a large dip in the jet stream across the entire U.S. This dip in the jet stream allows the cold air to become locked in place, keeping many areas unseasonably cold for days in a row. We are going to be tracking several areas of low pressure that will ride along the jet stream and then get close to us as they move offshore. But each time an area of low pressure gets close to us, comes another potential round of wintry weather thanks to the cold air already in place. Our next chance for a wintry mix will be Tuesday afternoon.

Weather Pattern

Unsettled Weather Pattern

Scattered snow showers will develop to our west and then move into North Carolina and possibly the Southside Tuesday afternoon. Best chance for any accumulation will be across North Carolina, mainly the OBX. And if the snow accumulates, it should be less than 1 inch across the OBX.

Future Trak at 12 PM Tuesday

Future Trak at 12 PM Tuesday

Some of the other computer models bring the light snow into Virginia, so I wouldn’t be surprised if this model changed its tune over the next few model runs. That is why we are going to keep a slight chance for light snow showers/flurries in the forecast Tuesday afternoon for most locations. However, this is not going to be a big event for us.

We could see a bigger event late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. That is when another area of low pressure will get close to the Virginia and North Carolina coast. This low is forecast to be a little bit stronger and could get closer, which means we could see accumulating snow across Virginia and North Carolina. Computer models have been going back and forth with each run, so we will have a better idea once we get closer. Let’s just take it one day at a time for now.

Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 


Wintry Mix Possible Monday Morning

February 22nd, 2015 at 8:56 pm by under Weather

Just 1 week ago (last Sunday), I was tracking a major winter storm that would impact Hampton Roads. Today, the situation is much different. I’m tracking a weak area of low pressure that will move along a cold front located to our south. This cold front moved through Hampton Roads earlier today. Before the front moved in, temperatures soared into the 50s and some spots in North Carolina cracked 60°. Almost all of the snow and ice melted today thanks to the warmer weather. Behind the front, temperatures have dropped into the mid 30s. With light winds and moisture from the snow melt, fog could develop and reduce visibilities tonight until the winds increase in speed early Monday. Now back to the area of low pressure riding along the front. Since the low will track well to our south, most of the precipitation will stay to our south too. However, North Carolina and Southside Virginia will be on the northern edge of this storm. So rain/sleet/snow may sneak into our southern zones overnight and continue into early Monday morning.

Rain showers will develop across North Carolina anytime after midnight tonight. Temperatures at this time will be hovering in the mid/upper 30s with some 40s in North Carolina. By 6 AM, scattered rain showers will be possible, but the rain isn’t too widespread. Rain will be hit or miss.

Future Trak at 6 AM

Future Trak at 6 AM Monday

I don’t think there will be many problems, if any, during the morning commute. Anytime between 8-11 AM, the rain will change over to a snow/sleet mix, as temperatures drop close to the freezing mark.

Future Trak at 9:30 AM

Future Trak at 9:30 AM Monday

If you are driving during the late morning hours, you may run into some light snow showers. Light accumulations, mainly on grassy surfaces and cars, will be possible in areas that see snow. Keep in mind that roads are still very wet from all of the snow and ice that melted earlier today. I’m thinking that any snow that falls and hits the roads or sidewalks will probably melt, since roads are still wet. Our latest Future Trak Snow Totals model only has about a quarter of an inch of snow at the most for areas across the Southside and North Carolina, which is not much AT ALL.

Future Trak Total Snow

Future Trak Total Snow Monday Morning

Many of the other computer models agree that we won’t get much out of this event. Here is my snow totals forecast.

Monday Forecast Snow Totals

Monday Forecast Snow Totals

The cold and breezy weather will also make a return tomorrow. Temperatures will start off in the 30s in the morning and then fall into the 20s. But the strong northerly wind running between 15-25mph will make it feel more like the 20s in the morning and teens in the afternoon. So bundle up!

Falling Temperatures Monday

Falling Temperatures Monday

I will have another update on WAVY News 10 at 10 on FOX43 and WAVY News 10 at 11. Meteorologist Jeremy Wheeler will have another update tomorrow morning starting at 4:30 AM on WAVY TV 10.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


The Big Thaw…

February 21st, 2015 at 9:13 pm by under Weather

It has been COLD and we are talking about RECORD COLD lately. We broke the record low temperature Thursday morning, Friday morning and this morning at the Norfolk Airport. That is 3 days in a row of record breaking low temperatures. The new record for today (February 21st) will be 10° now instead of 11°. We broke a record that was over 100 years old! That is significant!

Record Breaking Lows

Record Breaking Lows

Here is a bar graph showing 3 days of record breaking low temperatures at the Norfolk Airport. The dark blue bars show the old records and the light blue bars show the new records.

Breaking Records

Breaking Records at the Norfolk Airport

Enough about the cold, because we are slowly warming up tonight. Warmer air will be moving in behind a warm front overnight, so temperatures will be rising instead of falling. We should be in the low to mid 40s by Sunday morning. Rising temperatures will also lead to widespread fog overnight. Watch out for reduced visibilities in the morning. With temperatures above freezing, the threat for any wintry weather will be going down tonight across our northern counties, but I can’t rule out a few sleet pellets mixing in from time to time. This is going to be a rain event overnight and early Sunday morning. Most of the rain will fall across the Middle Peninsula, Northern Neck and Eastern Shore before midnight.

Future Trak at 12 AM

Future Trak at 12 AM

Then the rain should fill in a little bit more across the Southside and North Carolina after midnight as our next cold front gets closer.

Future Trak at 8 AM

Future Trak at 8 AM Sunday

We are not going to see a lot of rain across the region. Expect rain totals to range between 0.25-0.5 inches with totals closer to 1 inch for the Middle Peninsula, Northern Neck and Eastern Shore. Any rain will help to melt the snow and ice. I don’t think we will have to worry about flooding because rain totals are going to be on the lower side. Keep in mind that there will be puddles around since most of the snow and ice will be melting. Plus with temperatures climbing into the upper 40s/lower 50s by tomorrow afternoon, we will really begin to thaw out across Hampton Roads!

Sunday's Forecast Highs

Sunday’s Forecast Highs

We will likely see our high temperatures of the day around the Noon hour before our next cold front moves through the region. Don’t expect the 50s to last! You know how the temperature roller coaster works this time of year. Colder air will move back in behind the next front and we will cool down into the upper 20s by Monday morning. Now this is where the forecast gets tricky again. Computer models are showing a second wave of low pressure developing along that same cold front to our south. Good news…most of the precipitation will stay to our south. Bad news…with the cold air in place Monday morning, we may see a rain/snow mix across our southern zones (Southside, North Carolina). This doesn’t look to be a big event across our region, but it could still have some impacts. It seems like the computer models are starting to show a northward trend, so light accumulations (half inch to 1 inch) are definitely possible across some areas Monday morning.

Future Trak at 7 AM Monday

Future Trak at 7 AM Monday

Computer models have been going back and forth (shifting north, then south) as to where the precipitation falls, so we should have a better idea tomorrow. Meteorologist Ashley Baylor will have another update on WAVY News 10 starting at 6:00 AM.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 

 


Tracking Snow Showers, Record Cold!

February 18th, 2015 at 6:36 pm by under Weather

Chief Meteorologist Don Slater and I have been tracking a cold front moving from west to east across Virginia all afternoon. Scattered rain and snow showers have developed along and behind the front. The snow will be moving in between 6-10 tonight, so this is a very short window, because it is a quick moving front.

Future Trak at 8 PM

Future Trak at 8 PM

At first, it should be a wet snow, but then should transition to a drier snow as colder air rushes in behind the front. Winds will pick up out of the northwest behind the front at 15-25 mph with gusts up to 30-35mph. So visibilities will be reduced if you are driving and the snow is blowing. Temperatures will plummet into the teens by Thursday morning and it will feel even colder when you factor in the wind. Remember to drip the faucets before heading to bed tonight and over the next few nights, since we should be below freezing for at least the next 48 hours. A Wind Chill Advisory is in effect for the entire region late tonight through Friday afternoon. Wind chill values will hover between -5° and 5° by early tomorrow morning. The graphic below shows the temperatures in white and wind chill values in blue for 7 AM Thursday. Thank goodness most kids are off from school, so they don’t have to wait outside for the bus in this cold weather.

Temperatures/Wind Chills Thursday AM

Temperatures/Wind Chills Thursday AM

Highs Thursday afternoon will only rise into the upper teens to around 20°. When you factor in the wind, it will feel more like the single digits and teens most of the day.

Thursday Temps. vs. Wind Chill

Thursday Temps. vs. Wind Chill

The record low for Thursday morning is 14° set back in 1903. We will be close with temperatures hovering in the mid teens. The record for the lowest high temperature tomorrow (or coldest February 19th) is 30°, which was set back in 1993. We will likely shatter that record with highs only around 20°. Friday will be even COLDER! Lows in the single digits and highs in the upper teens. This will be the coldest weather since January 19, 1994.

Chief Meteorologist Don Slater will have another update coming up on WAVY News 10 at 10 on FOX43 and WAVY News 10 at 11.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona