Meteorologist Jeremy Wheeler wrote a long blog this morning about our developing coastal storm over the next 24 hours. Since he wrote that blog, there have been a few big changes to the forecast. The computer models are now bringing in the rain earlier. Rain should push into North Carolina tonight and Virginia early tomorrow morning. A few showers are trying to push into North Carolina this evening, but the rain is having a hard time reaching the ground because of the dry air in place. We have plenty of moisture in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere, but we are lacking surface moisture. The atmosphere should moisten up by tomorrow morning. That is when dew point readings will be in the 60s. Right now, dew point readings are in the 50s. So a few showers are possible overnight, but the widespread rain won’t move in until tomorrow.
Future Trak at 7 AM Wednesday
The heaviest rain looks to fall tomorrow afternoon and then gradually taper off tomorrow night.
Future Trak at 12 PM Wednesday
Rain totals should range between 2-3 inches on average over the next 24-36 hours. There is a possibility we could see isolated higher totals along the coast.
Here are Wednesday’s rain chances. Luckily for us, this is not going to be a long lasting event. So we are not looking at major flooding, although we could see some street flooding and tidal flooding during times of high tide.
Wednesday Rain Chances
Along with the rain, the wind will really ramp up tomorrow. Wind speeds will range from 20-30mph with gusts up to 35mph at times.
Future Trak Wind Speeds on Wednesday
With the strong northeast winds and a new moon tomorrow night, tides will be running higher than normal. Nuisance to minor tidal flooding will be possible during high tide tomorrow, especially in the morning around 10 AM. This is when water levels will be the highest, hovering near the minor tidal flooding threshold. If heavy rain is falling at this time, then the rain will not be able to drain properly in coastal areas, which could lead to bigger problems. Our computer model above shows that heavy rain could be falling during high tide, so make sure you move your car to higher ground if you experience tidal flooding often.
Sewells Point Tides
Thursday is looking much drier now. We may see a few showers before sunrise, but then drier weather is expected for the rest of the day. We will still see a lot of clouds on Thursday and highs will be in the mid 70s. Weekend is looking great right now.
*You can always track the rain on Super Doppler 10 Radar
*Latest forecast discussion can be found on wavy.com
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Chief Meteorologist Don Slater will have an updated forecast on WAVY News 10 at 11 and Meteorologist Jeremy Wheeler will be tracking the rain for you on WAVY News 10 Today starting at 4:30 AM Wednesday.
-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona