We told you yesterday that we would have a chance for severe weather this afternoon. But that never materialized earlier today. We saw widespread rain and cloud cover instead. Here is what the radar looked like at 9 AM.
The areas that didn’t see rain this morning saw the rain early this afternoon.
The widespread rain and cloud cover held down the severe weather threat this afternoon. Last night’s computer model runs underestimated the amount of rain and cloud cover this morning, therefore overestimated the amount of instability in the atmosphere. Temperatures stayed in the 70s and 80s all afternoon. Future Trak has a few showers and storms developing around midnight.
An upper level disturbance should be responsible for triggering these storms overnight. These storms could be on the strong side as we will have plenty of wind shear to keep these storms alive. Damaging wind gusts and large hail will be the primary threats with any storms that develop overnight. Tornado threat is low, but can’t be ruled out completely. The wind shear is high, which means that storms will be able to rotate. All storms should weaken before sunrise tomorrow morning. The cold front won’t move into the Hampton Roads cities until late Monday afternoon. Since we are going to be south of the front most of the day, we are still going to see heat up with highs around 90°. The actual cold front may spark off an isolated storm, but the best chances will be across North Carolina, especially the Outer Banks.
Most computer models keep us dry as the front moves through Hampton Roads, but I think we still may see a few storms with all of the heat and humidity in place tomorrow. Once the front moves through, cooler and drier air will move into the area. High temperatures will only be around 80° on Tuesday with less humidity! I’m excited! Tune into WAVY News 10 at 11 for an update. Meteorologist Jeremy Wheeler will be on-air Monday morning starting at 4:30, tracking any rain or storms on Super Doppler 10.
Midnight Update: Super Doppler 10 is quiet and I think the chances of us seeing storms overnight is going down. We may see a few showers/storms over the next few hours, but we are not looking at any widespread activity. However, if any storms develop, they could be strong to severe with damaging wind gusts as the main threat.
-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona