Jeremy Wheeler

Record Cold Is Here!

February 19th, 2015 at 8:39 am by under Weather

Last night we did have some snow fall during the evening.  This was as the arctic cold front moved through the region.  So some areas pickup up another half inch to an inch of snow.  I’ve heard reports of a little more between the Peninsula and Middle Peninsula.   N9w high pressure is building in from the west as cold air plunges down from the northwest.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Temperatures dropped down to the teens by the early morning.

Morning Temps

Morning Temps

The wind chills were in the single digits. A couple of readings were even negative.  We’ll see a lot of sunshine today, but the wind will stay strong.  It will be out of the west/northwest at 10-20mph with gusts up to 30mph.  This will reinforce the cold air through the day.  So highs will only be near 20.   Tonight high pressure will settle into the region.  Winds will very gradually taper off.  We’ll see clear skies.  Low temps will drop to the single digits.  It’s been a long time since we’ve seen air that cold.  In fact the record low for tomorrow morning is 13 (1896).  Tomorrow through the day we won’t warm up much.  We’ll only see highs in the upper teens.  It will be sunny and a little breezy.  Then we’ll be cold again Friday night into Saturday morning.  The forecast low is near 10 in Norfolk.  The record for that day is 11 (1896). Notice that these are long-standing records.  I haven’t seen a lot of record lows broken in the last few years in our area.  So this cold is for real.

By Saturday afternoon we’ll have southerly winds.  So we’ll warm up to the upper 30s.  Then on Sunday we’ll warm it up even more. We’ll see highs in the low/mid 50s. Rain is likely through the day.  So we’ll finally see a lot of melting on Sunday.  Another cold front will move through the region Sunday evening.  We may see a few flurries on the backside of it into Monday morning, but that’s all I see for now.  Highs will be in the 30s on Monday.  On Tuesday there will be an area of low pressure offshore.  It will move fairly close to our region.    For now it looks like it will stay offshore as well as the precipitation, but stay tuned.  It could get a little closer.

When you head out, then be sure to put on the proper gear.  Take the hats, gloves, scarves, etc.  Also it’s good to dress in layers.  Not just one big puffy coat; but a shirt, a sweater, light jacket, and then the big coat.  The layers help to trap the body heat closer to you.  Air can get in under a big puffy coat by itself.  Also be sure to drip the faucets.  Even during the day.  You may have gotten away with it recently, but now with the temps in the single digits we are dealing with possible pipe-busting temps.  Bring in all pets.  Even big dogs will have a tough time handling this cold.  Finally, block the air from getting into your home.  Put a rag or towel by the door jambs and cracks in your home.  Close the drapes too, unless you are home during the day.  Then you may let the sun it to help warm things up a bit.  Close them at night though.

Stay warm and be safe out there.  Watch out for icy roads in the neighborhoods this morning.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Icy Roads, Brief Snow, & The Coldest Blast!

February 18th, 2015 at 8:14 am by under Weather

Today we are not Hampton Roads.  We are icy roads.  There was a bit of melt yesterday during the afternoon, but it was minimal.  Then everything refroze last night.  So there is going to be a minefield of different ice on the roads this morning.

Patches Of Different Ice

Patches Of Different Ice

Another problem that has developed are ice piles.  When I left for work this morning the roads were ok.  However, the main road outside of my neighborhood had been plowed overnight.  This piled up the snow along the entrance, and then it refroze.

Ice Pile Ups

Ice Pile Ups

So there was basically an ice hump that I tried to get through.  I tried to run through it (not too fast), but the snow piled up under my car.  So luckily a gentleman stopped to help me out on his way home.  Thank you very much Ben Litman.  He had a couple of shovels, and apparently had helped other folks through the night.

Temperatures were in the teens and 20s this morning along with mixed cloud cover.  We should see a fair amount of sunshine for the late morning and early afternoon, but clouds are expected to increase.  High temperatures will aim for the mid-upper 30s in North Carolina, low-mid 30s in the metro, and low 30s north of the metro.  IF we can get more sunshine in here between 11am and 3pm (prime heating time), then we may be able to get a fair amount of melting.  If the clouds roll in sooner, then we won’t see as much.

We will stay dry today, but by tonight a cold front will move in from the west.  The front has been causing lots of snow showers to our west this morning.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

This is headed our way, but the models don’t show as much snow for us.  It should become a thin line of rain/snow showers by this evening.  Between about 7 and 10pm we’ll see that line move through the region.  Temps will be dropping from the low 30s to the 20s during that time.

Future Trak (7pm tonight)

Future Trak (7pm tonight)

The moisture should be pretty limited in our region, but we can expect a quick dusting up to a half an inch of snow.  This will be on top of what is out there.  If there is a little rain at the beginning, then this could cause some more glazing on already treated roads.  After 10pm we’ll clear out, and temps will drop.  We’ll bottom out in the teens tonight.  High pressure will settle in tomorrow.  This will give us a lot of sunshine, but highs will only be in the low 20s.  THEN on Thursday night we’ll see mostly clear skies.  Temps will drop to the single digits.  Wind chills will be near zero or in the negatives.  After that we’ll only warm up to the upper teens on Friday.  This will be one of the coldest high temperatures that we’ll have seen since 1994.  This information comes from the National Weather Service.  Here is a direct quote from their forecast discussion this morning:

"THE LAST TIME NORFOLK HAD A HIGH TEMPERATURE ONLY IN THE TEENS
WAS JAN 19 1994...13 DEGS F."

So this will be some serious stuff.  It's been a while since we've broken a record low.  We'll see lows between 5 and 10 degrees both Friday and Saturday morning.
the record low for Friday is 13 degrees set back in 1896.  So we'll likely break that record.  Highs will be in the teens to near 20 both Thursday and Friday.  We should be dry.
On Saturday into Sunday we'll have an area of low pressure develop to our west.  This should allow for southerly winds and a warmup.  Highs will be in the upper 30s Saturday, then
upper 40s on Sunday.  We'll have some rain move in during Saturday evening into Sunday. We'll have more on this forecast this evening.  Until then...think warm thoughts. 
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Snow Is Wrapping Up. How’d We Do?

February 17th, 2015 at 10:17 am by under Weather

“HEY JEREMYYYYY….I HEARD SUCH AND SUCH SAY THAT WERE WERE GOING TO GET 8-12 INCHES.  IS THAT TRUE True trueeee…?”  I then wake up from my nightmare where a ton of armchair and network forecasters had called for snowmageddon in Hampton Roads with a possible foot of snow in the metro area.  Now I’m not saying that I nailed this event, but I will say that anyone that called for 8-12″ in Virginia Beach was way off.  Here was my forecast from yesterday:

Yesterday's Snow Forecast

Yesterday’s Snow Forecast

I started increasing the totals to the north as the models started trending upward there.  There was also talk in the forecast discussions that the snow-water ratio was going to be more than 10 to 1.  Then it started snowing ahead of schedule yesterday. Tthat got me thinking that we might have to start increasing the amounts even more.  It snowed for a long period of time, but I didn’t see a lot of reports of really heavy/wet snow.  Not like the models were showing anyway.  It did look heavy on the radar at times.  A lot of the heaviest snow fell when people were probably sleeping.  Here was the view at 3:30am this morning:

Radar This Morning

Radar This Morning

Blue is snow.  Dark blue is moderate to heavy snow.  Pink is a mix, and green/yellow are rain.  I’ve gathered some snow reports, and tried to make a map of what fell.  It’s not exact, but it’s a good average for the region.

Actual Snowfall

Actual Snowfall

I did see one report of 11″ up towards Richmond, but otherwise the highest amounts were around 7″.  The mix zone was well forecast by our computer models yesterday.  That was expected to affect the Southside and northeast North Carolina.  So that took down the amounts in Virginia Beach, southeast Chesapeake, and Currituck.  The highest amounts were from James City County up to Richmond.  Don, my weather watcher in Toano, had 7″ of snow.  Jan in Reedville had 6″.  Pam in Gloucester had 4″.  She’s near the courthouse.  Doris on the lower Eastern Shore had 5″.  Henry in Denbigh (Newport News) had 5″.  We had about 3-4″ on the north end of Virginia Beach, but Donna in Blackwater (south end) had less than 3″.  A lot of that was from the melting overnight.  This system did have a good amount of moisture, but perhaps some of it got robbed by the initial dry air.  After all dew points yesterday were in the negatives.  Otherwise it’s hard to determine why there wasn’t more north of Hampton Roads.  I will try to analyze things some more to see if anything sticks out.

I will say that there were some great photos taken from folks.  Here was one from Gerald at the Virginia Beach Oceanfront:

Snow At The Oceanfront

Snow At The Oceanfront

It’s not often that you see palm trees and snow at the same time, but there you go.  Here was another photo from Portsmouth.  It shows the partially frozen Elizabeth River:

Snow Near The Elizabeth River

Snow Near The Elizabeth River

Meteorologist Ashley Baylor brought up a good point.  Be sure to tell the kids not to walk on the ice over any rivers or creeks.  They will likely fall through.  We have had some cold air, but the ice is not able to support the weight of a human…or animal, at this time.  The snow/mix has tapered off this morning. We’ll see drier conditions for the rest of the day, but we will still have a lot of clouds.  Temperatures will only rise to the upper 20s to low 30s.  So there won’t be any melting unless the sun can come out.  Winds will be out of the north at 10-15mph.  That will put the wind chills in the teens for most of the day.  So any kids playing outside will likely need some hot chocolate when they come back in to warm up.

Tonight we’ll see partly cloudy skies. Lows will drop to the teens and 20s.  With the snow on the ground we’ll probably be colder than forecast.  So possibly some low teens in the region.  A lot of the snow on the roads have been compacted.  So we’ll likely have ice mixed with some patchy black ice tonight.  Drip the faucets tonight if you haven’t already.  Actually, you may have to do that for a while.

Tomorrow we’ll see a mix of sun and clouds.  Highs will get a chance to warm to just above freezing. So we should get some melting later in the day.  (operative word “some”).  Then late in the day another strong cold front will move into the region. We will see some flurries ahead of it.  Then there will be one broken band of rain and snow in the evening.  This will provide us with a little more snow, but it won’t be anything like today.  Maybe a dusting in some spots.  Of course this will fall on top of snow that is already on the ground.  Hopefully, it won’t be enough to make the roads worse.  So we’ll monitor that feature for updates.  Behind the front we’ll see some of the coldest air that we’ll have seen in decades.  At least according to the National Weather Service.  Highs will only be in the 20s or near 20.  It’s possible that we may see highs in the teens.  That is what is rare around here.  I thought we had a time or two in the last 10 years that I’ve been here, but I’m not sure.  Either way, get ready for the deep freeze….again!

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Snow/Ice Mess On A Collision Course

February 16th, 2015 at 9:02 am by under Weather

You know that feeling?  When you watch a movie and a large ship (space or water) is on a collision course with a large object.  The captain says “all hands brace for impact”.  Well that’s our weather center right now.  This mess of snow and ice is headed for the region.  The forecast dramatically sped up the system over the weekend.  So this morning some folks were probably surprised that I am calling for the bulk of the precipitation  to fall tonight.  The system was forming to our west over parts of the deep south.   Heavy snow was falling over parts of the Tennessee River Valley.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

There was already some overrunning precip.  So some flurries and light snow was falling over central Virginia.  We’ll see flurries by the midday and early afternoon.  Maybe even by the late morning.  Keep in mind though that it is very dry at the surface.  So that’s all I expect at first.  Then the moisture will increase by the late afternoon into the evening.  Snow is going to cause lots of problems during the evening commute.  It will already be coming down heavy in places.  Here is what Future Trak looks like at 7pm:

Future Trak (7pm Tonight)

Future Trak (7pm Tonight)

The snow will really add up quickly.  It will collect on-contact.  There won’t be any initial melting this time.  In fact we started this morning with low temperatures in the teens.  We will only warm up to the mid 20s today.  Having said that, it will be surprising for folks to hear that we may warm up a bit overnight.  At least part of the area.  First we’ll see some warming in the mid levels of the atmosphere while it stays cold at the surface.  By midnight a warm layer (aloft) will create an area of sleet and freezing rain.  This will work up into Hampton Roads through 3am.   Winds will briefly turn out of the east.  So the coastal temps from Virginia Beach down to the Outer Banks could rise above freezing for a bit.  Remember the ocean temperatures are in the upper 40s to near 50.  This would create a very cold rain along the coast, and could melt some of the snow there.  Elsewhere temps will be close to the freezing mark or below by a few degrees.  That helps to explain why the Future Trak forecast looks like this at 3am:

Future Trak (3am Tue)

Future Trak (3am Tue)

Remember blue is snow, pink is sleet/freezing rain, and green is rain.   Future Trak has the iciness going all the way up to the Middle Peninsula and Eastern Shore.  This is why the forecast is so complicated.  There are other sources suggesting that we will get this icy mess into the region tonight.  This will all taper off by 6am tomorrow morning.  Then we’ll dry out in the afternoon.  So based off of the latest models here is the latest snow forecast:

Snow Forecast

Snow Forecast

Here is the closer view of the metro area:

Snow Forecast (Closer)

Snow Forecast (Closer)

These amounts will greatly vary and are highly apt to change.  The snow ratio is probably not 10 to 1 on this.  So the amounts will probably be even higher from the Peninsula northward.  I may update the map that way around midday.  Also, the ice mix could cut down amounts from the Southside into North Carolina. This would sharpen the gradient. Plus, what falls on the ground could be tamped down.  So while 3-6″ may fall over Hampton Roads, it may get knocked down to an icy 1-2″ in the morning.  This is all similar to watching a load of laundry and trying to figure out where the red sock is going to go.  It’s a mess horizontally and vertically.   So stay tuned for updates.

After the mess we’ll dry out Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night.  An upper level system may bring a few flurries on Wednesday, but it shouldn’t be much.  Then very cold again Thursday and Friday with highs in the low 20s.  There is another chance for a wintry mix next Sunday.  Yeah! (slight sarcasm)

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 


Short Snow Update…More To Come!

February 16th, 2015 at 6:41 am by under Weather

Meteorologist Tiffany Savona did a bigger blog last night with more details on the upcoming storm.  I am just providing for a brief update here.  Then I’ll have a bigger blog out later this morning.  (Probably around 9am).  I’ve increased some of the snow north of the metro area.  I’ve also increased the snow in the metro by a little bit.  Here’s the latest map.

Snow Forecast Map

Snow Forecast Map

The Winter Storm Watch has turned into a Winter Storm Warning for pretty much the whole viewing area.  The Outer Banks and mainland Dare county has a lesser Winter Weather Advisory.

Winter Storm Warning

Winter Storm Warning

We are still expecting snow to move in overnight.  It’s cold enough for it to stick right away.  However, there will be a wintry mix moving up from the south as well.  I am calling for sleet and freezing rain to mix in after midnight into Hampton Roads.  This mix may make it up to the Middle Peninsula and Northampton County. This will cause some icing on top of the snow, and will also tamp down the snow on the ground.  That will affect snow levels.  Because of that it will be a complicated forecast.  It’s dry for now, but a few flurries are possible this afternoon.  I’ll have a bigger blog out with more info around 9am.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


And Now The Cold!

February 13th, 2015 at 8:17 am by under Weather

Cold?  It’s downright frigid out there.  Yesterday, the cold front swiped through Hampton Roads.  We hit the 50s around midday, then temps quickly dropped to the 30s by the late afternoon (as predicted).  We did have a lot of snow fall out of the sky, but most of it melted (also as predicted).  Now the arctic airmass has settled over our region along with high pressure.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

The temperatures were in the teens and 20s this morning, but the wind chills were brutal. They were in the single digits in many locations.

Wind Chills This Morning

Wind Chills This Morning

Winds were gusting up to 30mph near the shore.  We also had some clouds moving in from the west this morning.  Today we’ll see mostly to partly sunny skies. Unfortunately, there’s now warmup today.  High temps will only be near 30.  Winds will let up a little bit, but it will still run out of the northwest at 10-15mph.  There will be higher gusts near the shore.

Tonight will still be cold with lows in the teens and 20s.  Skies will be mostly clear.  We’ll see light southerly winds.  So tomorrow morning the wind chills shouldn’t be as bad as this morning.  Luckily we’ll warm things up for Valentine’s Day.  Highs will be in the upper 40s in the afternoon.  We’ll see increasing clouds.  By the evening the next big cold front will move into the area.  We’ll see a few rain showers after 5pm.   This will turn into a broken line of wintry mix into the later evening hours.  It may wrap up as some light snow or flurries, but it shouldn’t be much.  I’m not expecting accumulations, but check back with us.  Maybe we’ll see some on a few grassy areas.  We’ll dry out Saturday night.  Temps will again drop to the teens and 20s.  We’ll only see highs in the 20s on Sunday.  It will also be very windy.  So wind chills will be worse than today.  Going into Monday morning we’ll see the coldest air yet.  Temperatures will bottom out in the teens and possibly single digits.  SO!!! If the winds stay up like I think they will, then we’ll be seeing wind chills in the negative numbers.  Youch!

Down the road, the forecast for Tuesday into Wednesday looks interesting and tricky.  The GFS model came in colder last night and this morning.  One run had a decent amount of snow in the region. Then the next run kept us cold and dry.  So for now I’ve just trended colder.  I’m calling for a chance for rain with a possible mix late Tuesday into Wednesday.  We’ll be able to solidify this forecast by the weekend, but for now my crystal ball is very cloudy.

Have a happy Valentine’s Day!.  At least we’ll get to enjoy a small warmup on Saturday.  Hopefully, the love in the air will warm your heart.  Too cheesy?

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Rain, Snow, And Very Cold!

February 12th, 2015 at 8:31 am by under Weather

We’ll be pretty busy in the weather center today.  Not only will we be tracking some crazy up-and-down temperatures, but we also have a shot at seeing a rain/snow mix this evening.  That’s in the short-term.  In the long-term we have a deep freeze on the way.  Let’s talk about it.

This morning we had a lot of sunshine.  Skies were clear and temps started to warm from near 30 to the mid 30s.  We have southwest winds at 5-10mph.  These will increase to 10-15mph and will help to raise the temperatures today.  An area of high pressure that is offshore is allowing for the clear skies and warming winds.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Through the early afternoon we’ll warm up to near 50 degrees. It will be pretty nice out.  Some models suggest we’ll even get into the low 50s with 4os north of the metro.  Meanwhile a strong cold front will be moving in from the west.  This will head into Hampton Roads, and will start dropping the temps by the mid-afternoon.  We’ll drop to the mid 40s by 3pm. Then we’ll drop to the 30s by 5-7pm.  Scattered rain showers will turn into scattered rain and snow showers between 4 and 7pm.  Here is what our Future Trak model looks like at 6 o’clock.  It shows the precipitation (blue is snow, green is rain) as well as the air temperatures:

Future Trak (6pm)

Future Trak (6pm)

Please note that the green and blue actually overlap representing a mix of the two.  The temperatures will drop a little more through the evening, but temps will stay above freezing most of the time. Here is the wider view of Futre Trak at 7pm:

Future Trak (7pm)

Future Trak (7pm)

The scattered mix will turn into mainly snow showers between 7 and 9pm.  They will push into North Carolina during that time. We’ll dry out shortly after.  Again with the air temperatures mostly above freezing during the period, we’ll see a lot of melting this evening.  Ground temperatures are above freezing as well.  There will probably be some light accumulations on vehicles and decks.  There may be a dusting on some grassy spots, but the roads should be ok.  There may be a few slick spots on the bridges and overpasses as a lot of the water freezes/refreezes overnight.  Otherwise we’ll dry out, and we’ll stay dry through all of Friday.

Tomorrow morning will be rough.  We’ll start the day with temps in the teens and 20s.  Winds will be out of the northwest at 10-20mph with higher gusts. So winds chills will be near zero.  We won’t warm up much through the day. Highs will only be in the low 30s.  We will warm up a little on Saturday.  Highs will be in the low 40s.  Then a second cold front will move through Saturday night.  We may see a few flurries then.  On Sunday we’ll start out in the low 20s.  Highs will only be in the upper 20s.  We’ll see lows in the teens Monday morning.  Then highs will only rise to near 30.  Holy Brrr Batman!  There is a chance for rain on Tuesday with some milder temperatures.

The details may change for this evening as it will all be highly local.  (neighborhood to neighborhood).  So check back for updates.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 


Arctic Blast And A February Typhoon.

February 11th, 2015 at 9:11 am by under Weather

After the mess of rain, wind, cold, and wintry mix yesterday; we’ll see improving weather today.  The low that caused the mess is heading out to sea.  High pressure is building in from the west.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

I’ve seen this a lot this Winter…Even though the low pulls out, the high that builds-in still creates a strong breeze. So during the early morning hours there were still some wind gusts up to 30mph near the shore.  Those winds have died down since I got in.  They shouldn’t be too bad today. They will be out of the north at 10-15mph with higher gusts this morning.  We’ll see retreating clouds this afternoon.  Highs will be in the upper 30s to low 40s.

By tomorrow the high will already be moving offshore.  We’ll see southerly winds which will boost the high temperatures to near 50.  However, a very strong cold front will move through in the evening.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

We’ll see a few showers ahead of the front in the late afternoon. As the front moves in, the temperatures will crash to the 30s.  This will allow for a brief window where the scattered rain showers will turn into scattered light snow showers.  Some models only have flurries.  So keep that in mind.  Also the window looks very small.  (From about 4-7pm).  Here is what Future Trak shows for that time:

Future Trak (5pm Thur.)

Future Trak (5pm Thur.)

Our model mainly shows a wintry mix.  Surprise…surprise.  No matter what falls, I can’t see anything sticking. The ground temperatures will be well above freezing, and the surface temperatures will be just above freezing.  So unless it comes down heavy. It won’t stick to anything.  Maybe some vehicles and decks, but that’s even an outside chance.  This is expected to dry up by 8pm.

By Friday night lows will drop down to the upper teens and low 20s. Then we’ll only rise to the low 30s Friday afternoon. Skies will be partly sunny.  We’ll warm up a bit next Saturday ahead of the next cold punch.  We could see a few flurries Saturday evening as that next front moves through.  If the Thursday night cold punch is a jab, then the Saturday night cold punch will be an uppercut.  We’ll see lows drop to the teens Saturday night.  Then highs will only be in the mid-upper 20s Sunday and Monday.  We’ll see lows in the low/mid teens Sunday night/Monday morning.  Whoa.  We’ll warm up just a bit on Tuesday.  Get ready for the big temp drop!

In another part of the world, there is news of a February Typhoon.  It is Typhoon Higos east of Guam.  It is the most unlikely time of year for a typhoon, yet one is/was out there.  It doesn’t look like it will cause too many problems.  Here is one article with some recent info: Typhoon Higos. This system has been tracked by the Japan Meteorological Agency.

Also in world news… There is a long-term problem in the north.  The annual dog sled races in the Yukon are being threatened by Global Warming.  Keeping in mind that Boston is having one of their snowiest Winters on record, the Yukon has shown signs of warming over the last few decades.  While a warmup may sound like good thing. It actually creates dangerous conditions for the mushers.  Here is an article with more information: Dog Sled Races Threatened by Warming.  

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


What A Mess!

February 10th, 2015 at 8:17 am by under Weather

While the system that is impacting our region isn’t the biggest/baddest storm.  It is having a lot of minor-moderate effects.  Rain has been going for much of the overnight (as expected).  However, this morning we developed a wintry mix over parts of the area.

Morning Radar

Morning Radar

There were a few reports of sleet, but I didn’t see too many reports of snow nor freezing rain.   Basically a weak but sizable area of low pressure is moving offshore, and that is causing our precipitation.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Most cities saw cold rain. We’ve picked up about a half inch of rain so far.  Temperatures were in the mid-upper 30s with a few low 30s inland and on the Eastern Shore.  Through the day the rain chances will taper off, but a spotty shower may hang on until the evening.  Temperatures will be stuck.  We’ll only rise to the upper 30s with a few 40s.   Winds will be very strong.  We’ll see them run at 15-25mph out of the north/northeast.  Gusts will be up to 35mph.  Especially near the shore. We’ll probably have a couple gusts to 40mph.  Due to the strong winds we do have a chance for minor tidal flooding today and tonight.  Tides will run about 1-2 feet above normal.  The problem is that the waves are also high over the ocean.  Waves are running 8-12ft offshore and about 6-8ft near shore.  High tide will be a little before and after the noon hour.  Also around midnight tonight.  If you live along the Outer Banks, then prepare for some overwash.  It is likely to happen.  So be careful driving there today.

Tomorrow the weather will be much quieter.  We’ll have fair skies with more clouds along the coast.  Winds won’t be as strong as today.  They will be out of the north at about 10-20mph.  High temperatures will only be in the upper 30s with some 40s inland.  We’ll warm up a little bit on Thursday to the upper 40s.  This will be ahead of the next cold front.  The Thursday front will be the beginning of an Arctic Outbreak.  We are talking frigid weather even for here.  Highs will be in the low 30s on Friday.  Then we’ll be in the upper 30s on Saturday with lows in the 20s.  Doesn’t sound too terrible does it?  Well the second push of cold air arrives Saturday night.  So we’ll drop down to the teens then.  We’ll only see highs in the mid-upper 20s Sunday into Monday.  Maybe even in the low/mid 20s one of those days.  Lows will be in the teens and almost single digits.  Most of that period looks dry, but we’ll probably see flurries Thursday night, and we may see some over the weekend too.  The cold air is definitely there, but it is mainly a dry/cold airmass.  Sorry snow lovers.

Before I go… I saw this article about something that isn’t tied to weather exactly, but it is tied to nature and the environment.  Apparently, millions and millions of monarch butterflies have disappeared over the last 30 years. The article ties the reason mostly to pesticides.  Here’s the article: Monarch butterflies disappear.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Trampoline Temperatures And California’s Droughtflood.

February 9th, 2015 at 8:46 am by under Weather

Wow!  You have to appreciate a day like yesterday.  Highs were near 70 over most of the region.  Skies were mostly sunny.  It was dreamy.  Especially since there wasn’t a lot of humidity.  Today will be a transition day.  Then we’ll see the deep freeze by the end of the week.  We are already seeing more clouds than yesterday.  Skies were mostly cloudy this morning with temps in the 40s and 50s.   The lovely area of high pressure that brought us Sunday sunshine is pushing offshore.  Clouds are steadily streaming in behind it.  We will see a lot of clouds today, but there will be a few breaks.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

There was a stationary front near the Eastern Shore.  It will be cooler over there today.  However, the bigger cold front won’t move through until the late afternoon/early evening.  We’ll see some scattered showers start up ahead of the front this afternoon.  High temps will be in the 70s south, mid-upper 60s in the metro, and upper 50s to low 60s north of the metro.  It will be cooler on the Eastern Shore and Northern Neck with some low 50s there.  Maybe even upper 40s.  During the evening the scattered showers will increase.  We could even see some isolated thunderstorms as the front passes.  Overnight the rain chances will increase.  Lows will drop to the upper 30s tonight.  The rain will continue into tomorrow morning.  The low will slowly push offshore.  Rain will probably linger through midday.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

It will be much cooler tomorrow. Highs will be in the low 40s.  Also it will be very windy.  Winds will be from the northwest at 10-20mph with gusts up to 30mph.  Here we go again! We’ll stay cool on Wednesday (low 40s), then we’ll warm up to near 50 on Thursday.  HOWEVER…

Friday…The computer models are showing some of the coldest air that I’ve seen so far this year moving into the region.  At this time it looks to me like we’ll see highs in the upper 20s to low 30s, and it’s possible that we’ll only see low/mid 20s for highs.  Lows will be in the teens and I wouldn’t be surprised if some inland locations drop to the single digits.  It’s still a bit early, and temps might moderate before we get there.  Regardless, the warm air from this last weekend will definitely be looong gooone.

There has been a lot of snow in the northeast states.  It’s been in the headlines quite a bit.  It has been rough lately for many folks who have just tried get around.  The snow continues up there today (see sat/rad map above).

Meanwhile California has had an interesting scenario lately.  They are in both an extreme drought with extreme floods.  Huh?  While northern parts of the state have been getting hit with flooding rain. The drought still looms for most of the state.  They have had some rain in the southern half of the state, but it will take much more to alleviate the current drought:

U.S. Drought Monitor forWest

Extreme/Exceptional Drought In California (NOAA)

Here’s more info on the recent rain/flooding: California Flood.   So much for California Dreamin.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler