Jeremy Wheeler

Eclipse Photos And A Warmup

October 8th, 2014 at 8:58 am by under Weather

Some lucky folks got to see the lunar eclipse this morning.  Others had clouds in the way.  Here is one photo from Eric Quarles in Virginia Beach.  He got a nice close up view:

Lunar Eclipse

Lunar Eclipse

Here is what we saw on Tower Cam 10 as it turned into a crescent:

tower cam

Tower Cam

The sun came up and made it difficult to see the moon in the shore time before setting.  So Hampton Roads was unable to see the simultaneous eclipsing moon-sun combo this morning.  Bummer.  At least most of us got to see the eclipse.  Here is a slideshow with more high quality photos. Lunar Eclipse photos.

Now the sun is up and the moon is gone.  We’ll see increasing sunshine today.  A cold front is turning into a wind-shift line as it moves into our region this morning.  The cold air behind it is modifying.  So that’s why I call it a wind-shift line at this point.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

With the westerly winds and clearing skies we are going for a warm afternoon.  Highs will rise to the low 80s with some mid 80s inland.  At least it will dry out and the breeze will help.  So it shouldn’t get too terribly warm.  By tonight the boundary will be well to our south.  So we’ll have light winds and mostly clear skies. Lows will be in the mid-upper 50s.

Tomorrow we’ll be a little cooler as the winds will be out of our north/northeast.  Highs will be in the low 70s.  Then we’ll warm up again on Friday to the upper 70s.

It will be cooler this weekend as the next cold front moves into the region.  The models haven’t been all over the place, but they do keep changing with each run.  The generally show some scattered light showers for both Saturday and Sunday, but nowhere near a washout.  In fact a lot of the showers could just be sprinkles.  I put the chance for rain at 30-40% for each day, but I’m wondering if we can drop the chance to slight by tomorrow.  I’m downplaying it a little prematurely.  The models may wetten up before we get to that point.  So stay tuned.  Highs will be in the upper 60s to low 70s.  At least it will be cool.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Hey It’s Warm, And Moon Odds!

October 7th, 2014 at 9:13 am by under Weather

Warm?  This morning some of our temperatures were 10-20 degrees warmer than yesterday…which was already a few degrees warmer than the prior day.  That’s Hampton Roads for you.  Ever changing weather.  So this morning the temperatures started in the 50s and 60s.  We did have a lot of clouds around.  In fact…The sun was shining behind a deck of clouds and some rays of light shone from behind.  It was a beautiful sight.

Tower Cam 10

Tower Cam 10

Clouds will break up by the late morning and midday.  High pressure will keep any rain to our west.

Today's Forecast Map

Today’s Forecast Map

The southerly winds and partial clearing will kick the temps up to near 80 degrees.  Wow!  That is a big warmup from Sunday when highs were in the mid 60s.  Humidity shouldn’t be too bad, but it will increase a bit.  The cool front will move through tonight.  We’ll only see some spotty showers along the weak boundary.  Lows will be in the mid 60s.

Tomorrow the front will move through, but it will pretty much fall apart too.  So we’ll have westerly winds and drying through the day.  Skies will likely go to mostly sunny by the afternoon after partly cloudy skies in the morning.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

Highs will still manage to get up to near 80 degrees.  Then the wind will turn on Thursday.  They’ll be out of the north/northeast.  So high temps will only be in the low 70s that day.  We’ll go right back up to the upper 70s by Friday.  I’ve taken the rain chances out for Friday.   The next cold front will move in late Friday night into Saturday.  Unlike last weekend, this next front looks to stall out just south of the region.  Some scattered showers will move along this front, but they won’t last the entire weekend.  In fact some of the model trends have been do put in a lot more time in-between the showers.  It does look like some rain on both Saturday and Sunday.  For now it looks like the better chance will be on Sunday, but I’d wait before you solidify any outdoor plans.

As far as the total lunar eclipse….Weeelll….  It could be tough to see it.  First off…the weather.  We are looking at partly cloudy skies tomorrow morning.  It’s tough to say if the clouds will allow for viewing, but I’m optimistic for now.  Perhaps they will be very thin.  We’ll see.  Then there’s the astronomical hurdles.

Total Lunar Eclipse

Total Lunar Eclipse

The eclipse will really start going around 5 am, but it won’t be in full until about 6:30 am.  It’s a pretty slow process.  The sun will rise at 7:06 am.  This will allow for a brief window where you (may) be able to see the rising sun and the setting eclipsed moon at the same time.  The problem is that the moon sets at 7:11am.  With the moon getting darker during the pre-dawn twilight it may be tough to see it for a while.  So the window will be brief.  In fact the moon is typically not visible when it is 1-2 degrees above the horizon.  Especially if there is haze.  So there is even less time really.

Now some may ask.  If the moon and the sun are directly opposite, how can we see them at the same time?  Especially with the earth exactly in-between the two.  The answer is refraction.

Refraction Of Light

Refraction Of Light

Light bends around the earth and makes the moon and sun appear a little higher than they actually are.  Here is a link with more information about that.  Eclipse And Light Refraction.  So the odds are decent of seeing the eclipse itself (if the clouds cooperate), but there is a much lower chance of seeing the sun and moon at the same time.  If you get any cool photos, then please send them to reportit@wavy.com.  Good luck junior astronomers! May the odds be with you.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Total Lunar Eclipse Soon

October 6th, 2014 at 8:27 am by under Weather

Normally, I start off by talking about the local weather story.  However, meteorologist Tiffany Savona already did a good job of that last night.  So here is her blog with the details: Tiffany’s Weather Blog.

Since she had the local weather covered, I wanted to mention an upcoming celestial event.  There will be a total lunar eclipse this next Wednesday morning (Oct. 8th).  However, it may be difficult to see.  First off there is likely to be at least some clouds in the region.  They may clear out in time, but we’ll see.  Secondly, the window to see it will be fairly brief.  This is because it will happen just a little before the moon sets, and shortly after the sun rises.  So due to the curvature of the earth and refraction you will be able to see both at the same time. (Weather pending).  This is called a syzygy.   Here’s a link with more information.  Total lunar Eclipse.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Time For Jackets And Hot Chocolate!

October 3rd, 2014 at 8:44 am by under Weather

There’s some cooler weather on the way.  It’s about time to pull out those sweaters, and to buy the big packets of hot chocolate.  But hold on! We have one more warm day to get through first.  High pressure is in the region, but it is pushing offshore.  This will allow for more southerly winds today.  That will help to get the temperatures going into the upper 70s to low 80s in the region.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

As you can see there were some heavy duty showers over Kentucky and Tennessee. As these move east, most of them will fall apart.  A few of them may survive and push in by the early evening.  1 or 2 may even reach our far inland areas late in the afternoon.  However, the models only show a stray shower possible during that time.  The bulk of the rain will come in after midnight.  The cold front will move through the region early tomorrow morning.  There will be scattered showers moving through with the front.  They will linger behind the front until about 10-11am.  Here is what Future Trak shows for 7 am and noon tomorrow.

Future Trak (7am Sat)

Future Trak (7am Sat)

 

Future Trak (Noon Sat.)

Future Trak (Noon Sat.)

Notice at noon that there may be a stray shower along the coast, but it will push out shortly after that.  We are only looking at a couple tenths of an inch of rain in the region.  The cold front will quickly dive to the east/southeast.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

This will allow us to quickly dry out during the afternoon. However high temps won’t be too cool just yet because the winds will be more out of the west than the north.  So temps will still be able to rise into the mid 70s.  Saturday night will be a different story.  We’ll have clear skies, lighter winds, and dry air.  So low temperatures will drop down to the 40s area-wide.  We may even see some low-mid 40s inland.  It will be chilly.  Especially if you are in a tent.  Yep.  I’ll be camping this weekend with the scouts.  Also it will be chilly for the JT Walk down at the oceanfront on Sunday.  Also… the Crawlin Crab events up in Hampton will be chilly.  We’ll only see highs in the mid 60s on Sunday, but at least we’ll have plenty of sunshine.  We’ll warm up to the low 70s by early next week, but Monday will also start with lows in the 40s.  Ladies and gentlemen…get your hot chocolate mugs ready!  Or your pumpkin flavored latte mugs.  Either way.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


On Track For Change

October 2nd, 2014 at 9:02 am by under Weather

We are still on track to get some big changes this weekend.  Even this morning there was one noticeable change…A lack of fog.  A weak disturbance rolled in last night and produced a few sprinkles.  It also increased the clouds in the region.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

The clouds helped to prohibit fog formation.  This happens as the clouds act like a blanket and keeps the surface temps from falling. Therefore since temps don’t drop to the dew point, then the water vapor in the air does not condense.  So fog is not likely during cloudy nights.  There are exceptions.  One area was an exception to the lack of fog this morning.  The Eastern Shore did have some for a brief while.  For the rest of the day though high pressure will dominate the weather.  So we’ll have partly cloudy skies with highs in the upper 70s.  There may be 1 or 2 inland readings near 80.

There is a cold front in the Midwest that is causing lots of stormy weather today. As this system moves east it will weaken over the next 24 hours.  The front will make it to western Virginia by tomorrow evening.  We’ll be ahead of it with some warm temperatures during the day.  Skies will be partly cloudy

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

The front will move through our area late Friday night into Saturday morning.  Rain will move in with the front.  The latest models have the rain lasting through most of the morning Saturday.  They may continue up until noon along the coast, but then they will push out during the afternoon.  Some of the models are calling for more in the way of scattered showers for Saturday morning.  The GFS still has a continuous line of showers.  Either way at least some rain is likely during Saturday morning.  Temperatures won’t cool down too much on Saturday.  However, we’ll drop down to the upper 40s to low 50s Saturday night.  Skies will clear.  Then we’ll see nice weather and highs in the mid-upper 60s on Sunday.  By Monday morning we’ll see lows in the 40s area-wide.  It will be some of the coolest air that we’ll have had since last Spring.  Course we did have that one weird/cool day in the middle of last Summer, but it didn’t get that cool in the metro.

We’ll have nice weather and mild temps early next week.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Cool Front For Now, Big Change This Weekend!

October 1st, 2014 at 8:15 am by under Weather

While it was another quiet morning across the region, it was also foggy again for some local towns and counties.  We had more school delays in North Carolina. Yesterday that fog held on for a long time over parts of central Virginia/North Carolina.  Hopefully, that won’t happen again.

Today there is a weak cool front moving through the region.  Also, there is a weak mid-level disturbance to our north.  This is causing a few showers over Maryland this morning.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Both of these features will sink south through the afternoon.  This will give us a few sprinkles in the region later today.  It will also keep the temperatures mild.

By Friday we’ll change the weather pattern up.  A warm front will make it through the region.  Winds will be out of the south/southeast and skies will be partly cloudy.

Friday's Forecast

Friday’s Forecast

High temps will push up to near 80 on Friday, but this warmth is temporary.  A strong cold front will move through the region late Friday night into early Saturday.

Saturday's Forecast

Saturday’s Forecast

There will be some rain showers near the front.  An isolated thunderstorm is even possible.  For now this looks like it will happen late Friday night, and the rain will last through the mid morning on Saturday.  Keep in mind that the trend has been to hold on to the showers a little later in the morning on Saturday.  Cooler/Drier air will filter in through the day.  So by Saturday afternoon we should be partly cloudy with highs in the 70s.  Temps may even drop a bit.  The colder air will really sink in by Saturday night.  Lows will be in the 50s area-wide.  There may even be some 40s inland.

If you like Fall weather, then it should be very nice for you on Sunday.  We’ll be partly sunny with highs in the mid-upper 60s.  Then we’ll warm up just a bit on Monday.

The tropics are awfully quiet lately.  We are coming out of the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, and we are running below average.   Usually by mid-October, Hampton Roads is in the clear.  That is for MOST years.  Not all years. I.E. Hurricane Sandy.

Average Hurricane Season

Average Hurricane Season

Higher wind shear along with some dry Saharan air has helped to keep the activity down this year in the Atlantic, but the Pacific has been busy.

I did find a neat article which talks about the Hurricane Hunters and those that fly into hurricanes.  It gives a little history including the first official flight into a hurricane and some losses that have happened while flying. Here’s the story: Hurricane Hunters (70 years of info).

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


In-Between Distubances

September 30th, 2014 at 8:36 am by under Weather

There was some rain in the region yesterday and last night.  This was along a weak disturbance in the atmosphere that has since moved out.  The rain didn’t add up to much, but a couple tenths of an inch did fall from the Peninsula northward.

24 Hour Rain Totals

24 Hour Rain Totals

Pam in Gloucester had 0.25″ of rain.  The moisture on the ground, light winds, and inland clearing led to some fog this morning.  It was pretty thick inland, but it wasn’t bad along the coast.  Today high pressure will build in a bit from the west.  So we’ll see some nice weather with partly sunny skies and highs in the 70s.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Tomorrow another weak disturbance will move into the region (in the mid levels).  This will increase the clouds and may even cause a few sprinkles.  Highs will be in the 70s.  We’ll stay mild and go dry for Thursday.  Then we’ll warm up on Friday.  Highs will get up into the 80s ahead of the next big cold front.  So the front will move through Friday night into early Saturday.  This will give us some scattered rain showers.  Those should push out by mid-Saturday morning.  Then we’ll have some beautiful weather for the rest of the weekend.  However, it will be much cooler. Highs will be in the upper 60s to low 70s.  Lows will be in the 50s with some 40s possible inland.  Now there’s a taste of Fall for you.  We’ll warm up a bit then by next Monday.

I found this on the internet this morning.  I’ve never seen a cloud like this before.  At least not this large.   Apparently it is a large circle cloud that was spotted on satellite.  Very cool. Check it out. Circle cloud over the Pacific.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Cloudy Start To The Week

September 29th, 2014 at 8:44 am by under Weather

It was a very nice/quiet weekend.   We had a lot of sunshine with some clouds building in late yesterday.  After the dryness over the last 48 hours, now the moisture is pushing back in.  In fact this has caused some showers to form just to our west in the overnight.  The scattered light showers are pushing east and will move through the region today.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

There are actually no big weather systems around.  There’s a weak high to the north, a weak low to the southwest, and a weak front over the Midwest.  So our showers are coming from the moisture push, some weak overrunning, and a weak mid-level disturbance.  See a theme?

I put the chance for rain at 30% with a higher chance later this afternoon into the evening.  Amounts should be a couple tenths of an inch or less.  This will all push out by tomorrow. We’ll see nice weather by the late morning and afternoon. Highs will be in the 70s both days.  We’ll stay in the 70s until Friday.  Then we’ll warm up to near 80.  This warmth will be ahead of the next cold front.  That front will move through Friday night into early Saturday.  So we’ll cool down Saturday and Sunday.  If we’re lucky then the rain will be confined to Saturday morning.  I’ve got some camping and the Children’s festival.  So I’ve got my fingers crossed.  Stay tuned for updates to the timing.  Highs on Sunday will be near 70.  Maybe even in the 60s.  We’ll see.

The tropics are still quiet, however, there is one area to note.  There is a weak disturbance near Bermuda that has brought that region some heavy rain.  It isn’t a strong system, but it does have a low potential for forming into a tropical depression or storm over the next few days.

Disturbance In The Tropics

Disturbance In The Tropics

For now it is expected to stay out to sea.  Stay tuned for updates.

Speaking of updates….The drought in California is causing more and more problems.  Here’s one that may affect you locally:  Food prices.  Here’s an article with more info: California Crop Shortages.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Ready….Set…..Wait…Waiiiitt.

September 26th, 2014 at 8:17 am by under Weather

Like Runners at a starting line, folks are lined up waiting for some sunshine.  They are hungry (for the sun), and they are ready to dry out.  This morning was well before start time.  We had lots of clouds and pockets of drizzle.  It wasn’t windy, but there was a breeze out of the north.  The area of low pressure that caused all the rain is long gone.  However, we are still on the edge of some moisture and clouds.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

High pressure will gradually try to build in from the west today.  We’ll gradually try to clear up through the day.  So my race metaphor may be a little misleading.  It won’t clear up all at once.  Still… we will improve by later this afternoon/evening.  The wind will be out of the north at 10-15mph.  It’s tough to clear out on a north wind during the cool season, but I’d say we aren’t fully into cool season yet.  Plus some drier air to the north should filter in today as well.  Therefore I’m optimistic.  Cautiously optimistic.  Highs will be in the mid 70s.  We’ll clear out tonight for sure with just a few clouds.  Lows will be in the 60s.

We are still looking good this weekend. High pressure will sit over the region. This will give us fair skies and highs in the 70s.  Should be great for all the outdoor events.  We’ll see a return of some rain early next week.

Now you may have heard about this story recently.  Radars don’t just detect rain and snow.  Sometimes wildlife can be picked up on radar.  Bugs and birds are often detected.  Here was one recent episode from Missouri: Butterflies on radar.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 


The Moisture Won’t Leave

September 25th, 2014 at 8:33 am by under Weather

The rain picked up yesterday.  It was a widespread/soaking rain that lasted for a long time.  The cause was an area of low pressure that was wrapped in a lot of humidity.  It dropped a solid 1-2″ of rain through the region. Some cities even saw about 2.5″ of rain.

24  Hour Rain Totals

24 Hour Rain Totals

My weather watcher Mike in Whaleyville had 2.9″ of rain.  Pam in Gloucester had 1.5″.  We had a little more rain than forecast in the inland locations as the low expanded quite a bit, and was also a little farther west than anticipated.  The rain started to break up by yesterday evening.  However, the clouds and moisture are sticking around.  This moisture is in a fairly isolated area when you look at things region-by-region.

Dew Points

Dew Points

The moisture will hang around today.  Also, even though the low is to our north, there is a stationary front stretching through our area.

Stationary Front

Stationary Front

So we will have a few showers today, but it won’t be like yesterday.  The chance for rain is only 20%.  A little higher over the Outer Banks.  High pressure is trying to build in from the west, but it has put on the brakes and is stalling out.  We’ll have a lot of clouds, but the winds are not as bad.  Yesterday we had some gusts to 35mph.  Today we’ll see a northwest wind at 10mph.  10-15mph on the Eastern Shore.

The spotty showers and sprinkles will continue into tonight and even a little early tomorrow.  However, we’ll clear up nicely late Friday, and the good weather will continue into the weekend.

In national news…I found this neat article about cicadas.  Looks like we may see more of them in the future.  Cicadas and climate.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler