The moisture push continues in the region. Even yesterday we saw more clouds overhead as moisture lifted up into our area. Today, we’ll have more of a southwest breeze. So you’ll even feel the humidity increase at the surface. Also, we’ll see some spotty showers move into the region.
The rain is heavier to our west. There is an area of low pressure over the Tennessee River Valley. This will head towards us by tomorrow along with a cold front.
Today’s rain chances look pretty low. there is only one model which shows a decent chance for rain (HRRR). The rest of them only show spotty showers, including our Future Trak.
So I chose the majority, and am only calling for a 25% chance for showers from the mid morning through the early afternoon. Any rain should head out by this evening. Temperatures will be warm again. We’ll be in the upper 60s to low 70s. Winds will be out of the southwest at about 8-12mph. This should be enough to stop the sea breeze from moving inland. The cooler temps should stay fairly close to the shore. Highs will be in the upper 60s to low 70s. It will be cooler along the shore and on the Eastern Shore (upper 50s to low 60s).
We’ll see more clouds tonight with some scattered showers. Low temps will only bottom out in the mid 50s. This will be due to the higher humidity, the clouds, and a southerly breeze. Tomorrow we’ll start warm, and we’ll stay warm for most of the day. Highs will be near 70 or in the low 70s. Winds will be southwest at 10-15mph. The moisture will continue to pump in. However, tomorrow there will also be that area of low pressure that I mentioned. It will be accompanied by a cold front. The front will move through during the late afternoon. This will all increase our rain chances. We may even see some heavy rain at times. Here what what Future Trak shows for 3pm Wednesday:
We are looking at about a quarter to a half inch of rain, but some places will likely see more.
We’ll be cooler with no rain expected for Thursday. Highs will be in the upper 40s. Moisture will try to force itself back into the cool airmass on Friday. So Friday looks very wet. It could even be a washout. Then the rain will continue into Saturday morning. It may break up a little by Saturday afternoon. Stay tuned for that update. I have dried up the Sunday forecast with only an isolated shower possible now.
We are running at about average for rainfall for the month, and we are down (technically) for the year so far by about 0.4″. However, I don’t believe this takes into account the melted snow. So the ground is pretty soggy. Many folks are anxious to do some work in the yard. It is that time. A lot of farmers need to get in the fields too. So hopefully, we’ll get a drier period soon. I need to put down some weed killer for sure.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler