Locally we have some great weather on the way. We started today with this:
The sunshine was aplenty and the temperatures were in the 50s. We’ll see lots of sun today as high pressure has sunk into the region.
The upper level low that moved over us yesterday has moved out to sea. Highs will be in the mid 70s. Winds will be out of the west at 5-10mph. Not too shabby. Tonight will be quiet with lows in the 50s. We’ll start off tomorrow with clear skies and cool temps. By the afternoon things will change a bit. A cold front will move through the region along with a weak mid level disturbance. Normally this would cause some showers, but at this time it looks too dry. I will say that there may be a couple of sprinkles, but for now the models only really show an increase in clouds. Highs will still manage to get into the 70s. By Sunday the front will have cleared the region. We’ll have clearing skies and dry weather behind it. So Sunday will see lots of sunshine and highs in the mid 60s. The low temperatures won’t be too cool yet. However, by Monday morning we’ll see temps drop to the 40s area-wide. It’s possible that we could even see a few 30s inland between Monday and Tuesday morning. It’s probably too early for frost, but stay tuned for updates.
Speaking of updates…Hurricane Gonzalo remains a powerful hurricane. The eye of the hurricane has become more ragged, but the latest winds are still high.
The filling in of the eye may be a sign of longer term weakening, but that remains to be seen. This morning the hurricane had winds of 130mph. This is likely to go down as the forecast calls for, but they probably won’t drop too much before landfall. It is still forecast to hit Bermuda as a category 3 hurricane later today.
This means that the winds will be about 120mph sustained with gusts up to 150mph. These are similar conditions to when hurricane Fabian hit the island back in 2003. That hurricane caused extensive damage to the Bermuda coast and to much of the island. The surge was about 11ft then. I wouldn’t be surprised if the surge got above 12 feet from Gonzalo. Either way, the waves are forecast to reach 35-40ft.
Those wave heights are on top of the surge. Luckily much of the island is elevated and there are some coral reefs surrounding it as well. Notice that even here locally we’ll see an increase in the waves. Expect about 4-5 ft waves with some 5-7 ft waves near Hatteras. This will stay up a bit tomorrow, but will drop on Sunday. Should be good surf with our winds out of the west. The hurricane will move over the north Atlantic waters and will gradually weaken this weekend. It doesn’t look like it will impact Newfoundland much anymore. It is forecast to stay a little farther out to sea. They will get some high waves though. Hopefully, Bermuda will be ok. As I mentioned in a previous blog, they have had a lot of storms over the last few years.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler