Jeremy Wheeler

What’s In A Forecast?

September 18th, 2014 at 9:29 am by under Weather

The title derives from William Shakespeare’s quote from Romeo and Juliet “What’s in a name?”   There’s more to the forecast than most people realize, and lately some forecasts are pretty much just a name with no real science behind it.  I thought I’d change gears a bit and NOT talk about local weather today.  It’s pretty quiet after all.

So when I forecast I look at a lot of different sources.  I do look at the National Weather Service for information, but that is just one component of my forecast.  I also use various websites to forecast.  Most of these contain model information that is readily available to anyone.  I use one from Penn State that has a lot of the models all on one page.  I used to use one from Unisys all the time, but I haven’t used it lately.   I use the National Hurricane Center website for most of my hurricane information.  I also use the Weather Prediction Center (part of NOAA) for looking at rainfall estimates and surface maps.  On top of that I use our local models that are available through a vendor.  We call our main model Future Trak. Here is today’s example of that:

Future Trak Computer Model

Future Trak Computer Model

While I mainly use Future Trak for rain and clouds.  It can also forecast temperatures, rainfall, humidity, and other variables.  I put the forecast together before the shows.  Then I get all my graphics ready before air.  Some days it is an easy forecast (though that hasn’t been the case for a while).  Many days the forecast is complicated or tricky.  Lately the problem has been that the models have had different opinions on how to handle the humidity in the region.  Some have gone with showers each day.  Some have had drier forecasts.  The geography of this region makes the forecast tough at times as well.  There is of course the ocean which is one of the biggest drivers of weather.  Also there are many large waterways in the region.  There are 2 large Peninsulas (Eastern Shore and the Peninsula).  And finally  the mountains are not that far off to our west.  That can induce drying as downsloping occurs. A slight change in the wind around here can completely change a forecast.  Tides are also tricky and have become more of a factor in forecasting.  Lately we have had a lot of problems with heavy rain falling during high tides.  This has led to more flooding that usual.

While the forecast is tricky at times.  The communication of it is also a challenge.  You can see on the map above that we cover a large area.  We cover from Hatteras NC up to Reedville and Wallops Island, VA.  We forecast as far west as Emporia and Toano.  The heart of the area (Hampton Roads metro) is the main area of focus, but we try to include as much info for others as we can.  I am always careful with my wording, but some days the message can be misunderstood.  On top of talking about weather, I also have to type a lot of weather.  We have forecasts on our website (wavy.com/weather).  Also we do a forecast for facebook and twitter several times a day.  We used to do a phone forecast recording, but now almost everyone has a smart phone and/or computer.  So we don’t do that anymore.  Also, I am on every 10 minutes from 4:30am until 9:00am in the morning (WAVY TV 10 then FOX 43).  Some recorded weather even plays past that during the Today Show.  So folks have plenty of chances to see the forecast.

One big problem that is emerging is that many folks get their forecasts from the internet, and they don’t realize where it comes from.  Especially with the prominence of facebook and twitter.  During some big events (and not so big events) anyone with access to the internet can post their 2 cents about the forecast.  Some folks post more than that and give a full blown forecast.  These forecasts can be about systems that are 6-10 days away.  These forecasts are always apt to change, but many folks don’t understand that.  The problem is that this can detract from our message, and can confuse a lot of people.  If there is severe weather headed this way and people are confused about it, then one day it could even lead to a loss of life.  That’s worst case yes, but still a possibility.  Here is an article that outlines some recent examples of internet forecasts.  Be Careful Who You Trust….. You may recognize the pictures.

So in this changing world, it will be interesting to see how the forecasts change.  It’s possible someday that all meteorologists will be required to have a license.  I have a seal from the American Meteorological Society, but it isn’t required.  Honestly though, that doesn’t guarantee a good forecast either.  It takes a lot of practice.  Recognizing weather patterns is the biggest key to success in this area.  I’ve seen a lot, but I’m always still learning.  Anyway, I hope you’ll learn to appreciate all that goes into a meteorologist’s message, and hopefully you’ll try to track down where your information comes from.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Gray Skies, And Hurricane Intensity

September 17th, 2014 at 8:28 am by under Weather

Once again we are looking at a lot of clouds in the region.  We have a weak area of high pressure to the north with a weak area of low pressure and a stationary front to the south.

Between 2 Systems

Between 2 Systems

The moisture is trying to push north into the high.  So we’ll see a lot of clouds, but not a lot of rain.  There is a slight chance for a shower.  We already saw one this morning over Norfolk and north Virginia Beach.  Winds will be from the northeast at 10-15mph.  This will keep the temperatures down later today.  We’ll see highs in the mid 70s with some upper 70s inland.  Tomorrow the low will move east.  It will push slowly offshore.  This should allow for some clearing, but perhaps not for everyone.  Highs will stay in the 70s.  Overall the models are showing a nice weekend ahead.  Highs will warm from the mid 70s to near 80.  We’ll see a mix of sun and clouds.  There might be a few showers nearby, but so far they look to be mostly on the edge of the area.  We’ll have updates.

In the tropics…Edouard continues to weaken over the north central Atlantic.  It Is moving pretty quickly away from Bermuda.

Edouard On Satellite

Edouard On Satellite

It still has an eye even though it is moving northeast at about 20mph.  It is forecast to weaken into a tropical storm by tomorrow.  It will then become extratropical by Friday.  It’s possible that it will curve south towards the end of the forecast, and it may even try to move back westward.  However, this is pretty far out.  So we’ll see. We will see some higher waves from Edouard today.  Waves will run about 3-5 ft.  The rip current threat will be up today as well.  So be careful swimmers and surfers.

Meanwhile, Odile continues to bring heavy rain to Arizona.  More flooding is expected today as the storm moves north.

Rain From Odile

Rain From Odile

I’ve been trying to think about it…. To my recollection I’ve never met or heard of anyone named Odile.  It has an interesting origin though. Odile origin.

Speaking of tropics.  A new study from Florida State is focusing on a new way to describe hurricane forecasts.  It is called the Integrated Kinetic Energy (IKE) scale, and it has been around for a while.  However, soon it may be made more available to the public.  Basically the hurricane wind scale just focuses on the maximum winds over a part of the storm.  However, the IKE uses the max winds and the area of those wind speeds.   Here is the article with more information: IKE forecasting. I would most welcome this scale.  Hurricane Sandy would be a great of example of where it would have been very useful.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Brief Warm Up, And Update On Edouard.

September 16th, 2014 at 8:42 am by under Weather

We are running a little warmer today, but it’s not a heat wave.  Highs will be in the upper 70s to near 80.  We’ve seen a lot of clouds this morning with a few breaks to our west.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

We’ve seen a few spotty showers in the region too, but they have been mostly north and south of Hampton Roads.  A cold front is slowly pushing in from the northwest.  It will be here later this afternoon.  We’ll see a few showers along the front, but they should be spotty and light.  Highs will be in the upper 70s to near 80 with a southwest breeze. Winds will turn out of the north as the front passes.  Temps should hold in the upper 70s for a while as the front sinks south.  Behind the front tomorrow we’ll be in the mid 70s with lots of clouds.  So it’s not a huge difference in temperatures, but we’ll see a small rise today and a dip tomorrow.  The good news is that high temps will stay in the 70s through the weekend.

Hurricane Edouard is an impressive hurricane in the central Atlantic.

Hurricane Edouard

Hurricane Edouard

It has a fairly large and distinct eye on satellite.  The sustained winds were up to 110mph.  This put it on the cusp between a category 2 and a category 3 hurricane.  It is forecast to be a cat 3 by later today.  Then it will be a major hurricane.

11 AM Update: Hurricane Edouard has become the first major hurricane of the Atlantic season. It is currently a category 3 storm with maximum sustained winds of 115mph.

Luckily it will stay east of Bermuda.  They will see some waves up to 12 feet today.  Here on the U.S. east coast we’ll see some waves running about 3-5 ft with a few 6 footers possible.  This will be for Wednesday into Thursday.

Wave Forecast

Wave Forecast

The storm will move into the cooler north Atlantic waters and will become extratropical by early next week.

In the west tropical storm Odile continues to move north of the Baja Peninsula.

Odile On Satellite

Odile On Satellite

It is beginning to fall apart, but it will bring some more heavy rain to the region and to southern Arizona.  Unfortunately, it looks like most of the rain will miss southern California.  The wind has already caused extensive damage over parts of Mexico.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Tropics, Coolness, And You Dirty High!

September 15th, 2014 at 9:00 am by under Weather

While there is some quiet weather locally, things are busy in the tropics.  Last night Edouard became a hurricane, and it is now forecast to become the first major hurricane of the Atlantic season.  This morning it was over 700 miles southeast of Bermuda and was heading northwest.

Hurricane Edouard

Hurricane Edouard

The hurricane will move northward by tomorrow and then northeast.  This track will keep it away from Bermuda.  At least the center.  However, they may still see a little rain and some higher waves from the storm.  The waves will travel (though weaken) all the way to the east coast.  By Wednesday/Thursday the waves will try to rise up to about 3-5 feet (perhaps higher).  There’s not as many swimmers out there right now, but the rip current threat will likely increase.
The storm will eventually become extratropical over the northeast Atlantic by the weekend.

Normally I don’t talk about hurricanes in the Pacific ocean. However, this one is noteworthy.  Hurricane Odile (Oh-Deal) has hit the southern tip of the Baja Peninsula in Mexico.  It moved ashore near Cabo San Lucas last night.

Pacific Hurricane

Pacific Hurricane

Odile was a major hurricane upon landfall.  It had 115mph.  This tied hurricane Olivia (1967) as the strongest hurricane to hit that area since satellites began.  The winds have come down a bit, but they are still very strong.  This will create a lot of rain and damaging winds over the region.  The silver lining is that it will eventually bring some rain to the southwestern U.S. Any rain in southern California would be a blessing.  Stay tuned for updates.

Again, our local weather is quiet.  We have a weak or “dirty” high in the region.  This has allowed for some sunshine north with lots of clouds around the rest of the region.

Dirty High Nearby

Dirty High Nearby

Today we’ll go back and forth between partly and mostly cloudy. Highs will be in the mid 70s.  It will be pretty nice out.  Tomorrow a weak disturbance will move into the region.  This will bring a few showers in the morning, and then a few more in the afternoon.  They should be light and scattered.  Winds will be out of the southwest tomorrow.  So highs will rise to the upper 70s to near 80.  We’ll resume with the cool temperatures from Wednesday into the weekend.  There may be a few showers on Thursday, but overall the extended forecast looks quiet.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Stalling Front And Edouard

September 12th, 2014 at 8:27 am by under Weather

A cold front is struggling to move south this morning. So far (as of this writing) it has only made it to the Peninsula.  Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms were moving from the Middle Peninsula over to the Eastern Shore.  Some of these were real downpours.

Super Doppler 10

Super Doppler 10

There was also an isolated downpour between Wanchese and Rodanthe N.C.  Some of these showers will slowly sink south along with the cold front through the afternoon.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Temperatures in the Midwest (north of the front) are in the 30s, 40s, and 50s.  Around here today temperatures will stay in the 70s with just a few 80s south.  Winds are turning out of the north this morning, and they will run at about 10-15mph.   By this evening the front will settle into northeast North Carolina.  This will decrease the rain chances for Friday night football games.  It will be cool and cloudy with just a sprinkle or two.  Tomorrow the front will stay over northeast North Carolina.  A few showers may try to push north of the front.  Highs will be in the upper 70s to near 80.  Some rain will move back north as we get later in the day.  This will be aided by a weak mid-level disturbance.  So by the late afternoon/early evening we’ll see some scattered showers in the region.  This could impact some of the local college football games.  The rain chances will increase by tomorrow evening.  According to the models, rain is mostly likely Saturday night into early Sunday.  A few showers are then again possible for the rest of Sunday.  It doesn’t look like much right now, but stay tuned for updates.  Especially with that tricky front.  Let’s see that makes it stalled-out front # 59 of the year I think. (I have no idea if we’ve really had 59 stalled out fronts.  It was just for effect).  It will be cooler on Sunday as the front pushes south once again.

Monday looks to dry out, but then some more scattered showers are expected on Tuesday.

In the Atlantic we have two areas that I am tracking.  The first one is a namedl system. That is tropical storm Edouard.  It is in the eastern Atlantic ocean and is moving west/northwest.

Track Of Edouard

Track Of Edouard

The storm will move northwest for a while as a tropical storm.  By Tuesday it is likely to become a hurricane.  It should begin to move north at that point.  It will stay out to sea, and is likely to stay east of Bermuda.  It may bring us some waves by late next week, but we’ll see.  There is also a weak disturbance near Florida.

Tropical Satellite

Tropical Satellite

That feature is drifting west.  It may survive moving over Florida with some heavy rain.  If it gets into the Gulf of Mexico, then it could develop into a tropical system.  It’s not likely to affect us, but could become a problem for the Gulf Coast. Stay tuned!

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Some Temporary Heat

September 11th, 2014 at 8:21 am by under Weather

The day started off on a good note.  We had a gorgeous morning with a little deck of clouds moving through, and the sun peaking out in between.

Tower Cam 10

Tower Cam 10

Conditions looked right for some fog to form, but the clouds swooped in and stopped that from happening.  The clouds act like a blanket and can stop the temperatures from dropping to the dew p0int.  Luckily the clouds are temporary, and we’ll see lots of sunshine today.  However, that same sunshine will help to heat things up this afternoon.  Highs will rise to near 90.  The average high is 81 degrees for this time of year.  Winds will be southwest around the high that sits to our southeast.

 

Today's Forecast

Today’s Forecast

The humidity will be high as well, but the breeze should help.  By tonight a strong cold front will move into the region.  It will form a line of showers and storms that will swipe through between 9pm and 2am (more specific time will depend on location).  We may see a few strong storms with some heavy rain and gusty winds.  However, this system will be on the move.  So it won’t be like the last system.  We are looking at a quarter to a half an inch of rain.  Perhaps a little more in a few storms.

Tomorrow we are looking at cooler weather.  Highs will be in the upper 70s.  A few showers may linger during the morning, but it doesn’t look like there will be much in the afternoon (isolated shower).  Winds will turn out of the north.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

The weekend forecast has become very muddy.  Not all in terms of rainfall, but in clarity.  How about that for a pun?  Ahem…Anyway, the cold front is now expected to stall out just south of the region.  Some models (like the NAM and European) bring rain into the region each day.  The GFS model keeps the front a little farther south, and doesn’t have as much rain.  So until the models come into better agreement, I’ve just put in a chance for some scattered showers each day.  Hopefully, the models will close in on a more definite solution by later today. I will have an update tomorrow on that.

Finally there is a cluster of storms over in the eastern Atlantic Ocean that is likely to develop into a tropical depression or storm in the next few days.  It is moving west, but it is far away.  The satellite is fairly impressive, so I wouldn’t be surprised if it becomes an organized system later today.

Tropical Satellite

Tropical Satellite

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Steady Weather Improvement And Golf & Climate

September 10th, 2014 at 8:36 am by under Weather

The weather has been steadily improving in the region, but it isn’t too rosy just yet.  When I came into work I ran into a bunch of drizzle and light showers.  This continued on until about 7am.  The area of low pressure that caused the bad weather has moved offshore, but a moist marine layer has been pushing in from the northeast.  As the low continues to push away, high pressure will build in from the northwest.

Today's Forecast Map

Today’s Forecast Map

We’ll dry things out and get more sunshine as we go into the midday and the afternoon.  Highs will be in the low 80s with a few upper 70s near the shore.  The wind is out of the north/northeast.  It won’t be as strong as the past 24 hours.  It was pretty breezy yesterday afternoon as the low began to depart.  With the recent winds and full moon there has been some minor tidal flooding.  This was on top of (or really underneath) the flooding from the recent rain.  The tide at Sewell’s Point made it up to 4.6′/4.7′ over the last 2 tide cycles.  This morning the tide will rise to about 4.4′.  That is just below the threshold for minor tidal flooding.  So it is more in the nuisance category.  After that the tide will drop further.

Tide Forecast (Sewell's Pt.)

Tide Forecast (Sewell’s Pt.)

By tomorrow high pressure will shift to the southeast.  This will allow for more southerly winds.  It will stay close enough to provide for some nice weather.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

The southerly winds will boost the temperatures into the upper 80s to low 90s.  A cold front will then move into the region by tomorrow night.  This will create a return of some scattered showers and storms.  Unlike the last system, this next one will move through the region.  So no flooding is expected.  However, it is forecast to stall out to our south.  So showers will linger on Saturday.  At least we’ll be cool again.  Highs in the 70s Friday through Sunday.

I found this article about how the U.S. Golf Association has been trying to find a more efficient lawn.  One that can especially handle a warmer climate.  Here is the article: Golf courses and climate. There is a lot of input into golf courses across the country.  So any increase in efficiency/heat tolerance will have a big impact.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Flooding Continues

September 9th, 2014 at 8:34 am by under Weather

Wow! Some of the heaviest rain that I’ve seen in years has recently fallen in the region.  It has been pretty wild.  This is one example of the flooding that was out there:

Portsmouth Flooding

Portsmouth Flooding

This photo was sent in from Sam Butler in Portsmouth.  We had a lot of flooding from yesterday.  There was really bad flooding in many parts of Portsmouth.  A group of kids had to be boated out of a daycare in the Churchland area.  That really hits home because my own kids used to go there.  There were a couple of other cities that saw similar flooding.  Last night the rain did not stop, but it did let up.  However, it re-intensified this morning.
This was the radar earlier this morning.

Heavy Rain This Morning

Heavy Rain This Morning

Note the heavy downpours over Newport News, Smithfield, and Norfolk.  It was heavy in Portsmouth, but then that moved east.  Some of the areas that had flooding yesterday probably didn’t go down much.  So the rain all added up.  Up to the time of this writing many cities saw 4-6 inches.  Chesapeake had over 7 inches.  That is within 24 hours and in some cases most of it fell in 3 hours.

24 Hour Rain Totals

24 Hour Rain Totals

I saw 2 reports of over 10″.  One was a National Weather Service employee near Smithfield.  He/She had 12.21″.  The other report was a viewer in Virginia Beach.  Hard to believe some of these totals.

On top of the rain that is falling, the tide is also expected to rise.  Now the tidal flooding should only be about a foot to a foot and a half above normal.  That’s not bad, and is considered nuisance tidal flooding.  However, with the tide coming up that will stop the drains from being effective.  So we could see some more street flooding over some cities that are prone to tidal flooding.  Especially Norfolk, Portsmouth, and parts of the Peninsula.  The main cause for the rain is a weak area of low pressure that is tracking northeast along a stationary front.

Weak Low Along A Front

Weak Low Along A Front

Deep moisture wrapped around this low as it came up from the south.  The low is slowly edging out to sea.  As it pushes away the rain will become more scattered.  This is what Future Trak shows for this afternoon at 3pm.

Future Trak 3pm

Future Trak 3pm

The rain will keep decreasing through tonight.  Tomorrow the low will keep edging away offshore.  However, some models have it throwing some spotty showers back to the west.  So we could see some spotty/light showers.  Overall though we’ll dry out Wednesday and Thursday.  Highs will be in the 80s.  Then a cold front will move through the region on Friday.  This will produce some more scattered showers and storms.  Although it shouldn’t be nearly as heavy as the last 24 hours.  Stay tuned for updates, and drive safe today.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Heavy Rain Moving Into The Region

September 8th, 2014 at 9:04 am by under Weather

The sentiment from many of my weather watchers recently is that we all need some rain in the region with only a few exceptions.  Some of them haven’t needed any for the entire Summer as they have had ample, I.E. Greg in Currituck.  Just over the past 2 weeks he has changed his tune.  Well, now the rain is moving in.   Last night there wasn’t much out there, but it really picked up between 5 and 8 am.  This caused many problems with traffic during the morning commute.  Here was the view from Super Doppler 10 this morning:

Super Doppler 10

Super Doppler 10

Over the weekend a cold front moved through the region. This caused a few scattered showers, but it also push the heat to our south.  At least on Sunday.  Now the front is sitting to our south.  A weak area of low pressure is forming and pushing north into the front.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

There is some deep/rich moisture south of this boundary.  It is all slowly going to push north through the day.  So we have a high chance for rain.  This is NOT like rain events during the past couple of months.  No chance for a few pop up showers and storms.  No hit-or-miss showers and storms.  No!  This is the real deal.  Widespread rain for everybody, and a few areas of heavy rain to boot.  Here is what Future Trak looks like at 3pm this afternoon:

Future Trak (3pm)

Future Trak (3pm)

There will be ponding on the roads and probably some street flooding as well.  Due to the clouds and rain, the temperatures will stay in the 70s today.  The rain will continue into tonight, but it should break up a little bit.  Then the rain will continue into tomorrow.  At least the models are backing off the rain a little bit for Tuesday.  So as the low slowly pushes away, then we’ll see scattered showers on the back side.  Today the rain chances are 80–90%.  Tomorrow it should be more in the way of 50-60%.  It will taper off to just a few showers late in the day.  Highs will again be in the 70s.  We’ll dry out on Wednesday and Thursday.  Highs will be in the 80s.

For rain totals we are looking at a solid 2-4″ of rain.  There may even be a few spots of 5″ or more.  That will likely lead to some localized flooding.

Rainfall Totals Forecast

Rainfall Totals Forecast

Stay tuned for updates to this.

If we don’t get flooding from the rain, then we may see some from the wind.  Winds will be persistent from the northeast over the next couple of days.  It will generally run at 5-15mph with higher gusts near the shore.  This and the full moon will lead to some nuisance-type tidal flooding.  It will come up about 1-1.5ft above normal.  So no big problems are expected, but it will rise in those typical areas that see the higher tide-waters.

Next weekend we’ll see some more changes.  There will be scattered showers and storms along a big cold front on Friday.  That front will cool us down next weekend.  We’ll see high in the low/mid 70s on Saturday and Sunday.  Lows will probably drop to the 50s and low 60s.  It will feel great for the Fall-lovers.  That same cold air may bring some snow to a few cities in the northern part of the Midwest.  Way too early to drop down here though.

Before I go.  There is one disturbance over in the eastern Atlantic that may develop into a tropical depression or storm over the next few days.  It is coming out of the Cape Verde area, and is moving west.  Stay tuned for updates, but it is way out there at this time.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Heavy Rain Yesterday. Cool Down This Weekend.

September 5th, 2014 at 8:35 am by under Weather

It was really coming down over parts of Virginia Beach yesterday.  We had several reports of street flooding in the region.  This is how it looked to Tracey Minnich near the Virginia Beach courthouse:

Street Flooding

Street Flooding

The rain came down heavy there, but it wasn’t as heavy in other areas.  Here are the 24 hour rain totals for the region.

24 Hour Rain Totals

24 Hour Rain Totals

Notice that the airport in Newport News had 0.0″.  I did have a weather watcher in Yorktown(Scott) say that he only had 0.1″.  So that could be correct.  Don Roberts said he did get some rain at this house on the Peninsula, but he didn’t give any amounts.  Now there was definitely a lot of humidity in the region.  However, there was also a stationary front nearby.  This helped to create the showers and storms.  Today that front has fallen apart.  So while we are calling for some scattered showers and storms today, there should be less coverage than yesterday.

Today's Forecast

Today’s Forecast

Temperatures will heat up to near 90, but it will feel like the low/mid 90s with the heat index.   Winds will be out of the south/southwest at 5-10mph.

Tomorrow a cold front will approach the region.  It won’t make it into Hampton Roads until tomorrow evening.  So we’ll heat up again out ahead of it.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

We’ll rise up to the low 90s, and it will be humid again with dew points in the low-mid 70s.  Folks that have been hoping for a cool-down will get their wish on Sunday.  The front will move through Saturday night into Sunday.  This will create a good chance for showers and storms.  I’ll wait to forecast rain amounts though as the computer models tend to lower the coverage as the rain gets closer to the area.  Highs will be in the upper 70s to near 80.  The front will get hung up just to our south on Monday.  So we’ll hold onto the coolness with more rain in the forecast.  Through next week we will heat up again.  Highs will rise to the upper 80s by Thursday.  By next weekend, the models are showing a BIG cool down.  How cool?  Highs in the low 70s maybe.  Possible lows in the 50s.  Maybe….maybe some lows in the 40s inland, but that may be a stretch.  A possible frost over parts of the Midwest.  It’s still early though. So stay tuned.

The tropics are pretty quiet for now.  Well, the Atlantic anyway.  Have a good weekend.  Hampton Bay Days is happening.  The NASCAR race in Richmond should be happening, but that could be pretty stormy.  Also, I’ll be down at Mount Trashmore for the “Out Of The Darkness” walk for suicide prevention on Saturday.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler