We started this morning with heavy rain and a few thunderstorms across Hampton Roads.
Rain Totals At 9am
I got a report of over 2.25″ from a weather watcher in Smithfield. Our weather watcher on the Eastern Shore received 0.25″ of rain this morning. More rainfall is possible this Saturday as we have a weak upper-level low in place.
Future Trak @ 5
If you are going to one of the many outdoor events today grab the umbrella. You can use it either as a walking stick or as a way to keep you dry. The best chance for seeing showers will be this afternoon. Some sunshine is also possible today with highs reaching 76 this afternoon. Tomorrow the stationary boundary will slowly lift north which will keep areas to the south dry.
Future Trak Tomorrow @ 6am
The stationary front keeps the energy and upward motion in place, so the chance for seeing blue skies is small this weekend. The front with continue to shift north and south tomorrow, so basically, once again we could see scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Weekend Rain Chances, Higher in the Afternoon.
Keep and eye on Super Doppler 10 in the afternoon for today and tomorrow as we could see more thunderstorms across Hampton Roads. Stay dry!
We had one particular storm cell pass over areas in Chesapeake and Virginia Beach last night which produced heavy rainfall. Some areas saw over 1″ of rain in 15 minutes! Rain Totals from the Fentress Airfield were 2.92″ in 24 hours. Along the Peninsula rain totals were less than 0.15″
For this Sunday, Mother’s Day, we will see a few AM showers as the cold air starts to rush in from the northwest.
The scattered showers should come to and end around 10am. Around midday (11am – 2pm) I am expecting dry weather with a mix of clouds and a little sunshine. Then this late afternoon and this evening more rain is possible.
Future Trak @ 5pm.
With the clouds and off and on showers, highs will be close to 70 today. Tonight, you may notice the chill back in the air. Lows should dip back to 49 tonight. We are going to keep the cooler temperatures for the next few days ahead, tomorrow highs will be near 60 and Monday Night we could even see record lows across the Hampton Roads cities.
A few of us may have had a quick morning shower of thunderstorm to start our day. For the majority of the midday we should be looking at a mix of sunshine and clouds.
Wind & Hail are the biggest threats.
Strong Storms Possible
The Storm Prediction Center has included Hampton Roads in a Slight Risk today. Damaging Wind gusts and hail will be possible from these storms this evening.
Future Trak @ 7pm
We could see this development around 3pm and on. Towards this evening, near sunset a few of these storms could become severe. Temperatures will be close to 80 degrees today, you might even notice the humidity a bit more today before the storms arrive. The cold front will push through tonight which will switch our wind to be from the NW by tomorrow. This will cool us off where highs will be back to 70. Highs will only be near 60 on Monday with possible record cold on Tuesday morning. Lows will be near 44 then.
With the warm day today and the warm temperatures expected tomorrow we are adding to the fuel for potential thunderstorms. Tomorrow evening a cold front is expected to track in to our area which could spawn a few strong thunderstorms.
Severe Risk Saturday
The biggest risk is for damaging wind gusts and hail. Isolated tornadoes are always a possible when severe weather occurs.
iSevere (Risk for Severe Storms)
Future Trak @ 4pm Saturday
The cold front will stay off to our west and likely pass through around midnight going in to Sunday. Any storms that develop ahead of the line could be severe since they will have access to more heat and moisture. The latest high res NAM (18Z) has a line of showers passing through close to Noon.
NAM 4km Radar Tomorrow 17Z
If we get rain too early before that 4pm – Sunset time-frame that would help to diminish the chances for severe weather.
At this point we will watch the models and wait till we get closer. I will be on air tomorrow morning from 6-8am with the latest forecast!
Well, here we go…I hope your umbrella is ready for a workout this week.
Tower cam at 6:15am
This might be the last time we see a sunrise until Friday!
Drizzle Possible Today
Ahead of the large storm system we are seeing increasing clouds. We may see a few rain drops of rainfall today, mostly drizzle, across Tidewater. You have probably also noticed the persistent northeast winds too, those will stay up again today with a solid 10-20mph wind. Tomorrow we will look forward to the next storm system bringing in the rain.
Rain on the way…
This is a slow moving storm, meaning it is going to take its time getting here…and leaving our area. It looks like we will see the rain from this move in tomorrow afternoon and it will likely continue until Thursday. Temperatures will still remain cool with this storm thanks to the clouds and the persistent onshore flow.
Long Range Future Trak
Our longer range model is still bringing in 1-2″ of rain by Thursday morning.
After the storm, Friday is looking dry with highs returning back to the 70s.
The weather should remain quiet this weekend as an area of high pressure remains in control across Hampton Roads.
Sun & Clouds Today
With this pattern of high pressure to our north, it will keep a light northeast wind present this afternoon and tomorrow. That breeze will keep temperatures cooler by the shores with highs in the mid 60s. Inland it will be warmer with highs making it to the 70s. That storm system near Memphis should stay away from us this weekend and only bring clouds for tomorrow.
At the Virginia Beach Oceanfromt; Team WAVY will be down supporting the March of Dimes for their annual walk along the boardwalk. The weather should be nice with a light onshore breeze.
We will see clouds in the afternoon, and possible rainfall around sunset on Sunday.
By Monday the storm will be centered off to our west. This will keep us with rain and southeast winds for most of Monday and even parts of Tuesday. Temperatures for both days will be in the 60s. Early models are hinting at 1″ to 1.5″ of rain from this storm system over the two days. This will help to really knock down those pollen counts.
We had a solid line of thunderstorms move across Hampton Roads last night. Most of us saw between 0.5″ and 1″ of rainfall. There was one report of some wind damage from Edenton, NC. Otherwise most of us were lucky as the severe weather and tornadoes remained off to our west. Today is going to be a day to dry out. Highs though will be much cooler compared to yesterday.
There still may be a few sprinkles for the OBX by noon today, otherwise many of us will be looking at a dry forecast at that time.
Sun & Clouds Later Today
Our wind speeds should also decrease a little bit this afternoon and will be mostly NW at 5-10mph. That wind will still be cool as our highs should only make it up to 60 degrees today.
The trend is for the temperature to stay cool over this upcoming week, but at least we have some more sunshine in the forecast for Sunday.
It will feel cooler tomorrow thanks to a stronger wind coming out of the northeast. Regardless of the wind, we will have mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the upper 50s.
This is going to be the first time in over a month we will be looking a a completely dry weekend across Hampton Roads. That cold front that moved through overnight did leave a few of us with a cool breeze early this morning but by the afternoon we should see winds out of the northwest at 5-10mph.
High Pressure in control
This will keep us cooler this weekend…but by no means cold. Temperatures today and tomorrow should still be able to warm up to 70 degrees in the afternoon. The key is that the sun is now at a higher angle to where it can actually warm us up.
Our temperatures should be able to remain above average over this weekend and even next week. We might see a few showers on Monday afternoon, but besides that we will be dry. Pollen Counts will also be high starting today.
The Storm Prediction Center has Hampton Roads in a Slight Risk for severe weather tomorrow. Straight line wind gusts and short periods of heavy rain is possible with the storms we could see tomorrow.
Severe Risk Friday
The best chances for seeing the strong thunderstorms and lightning will be more towards the afternoon and not in the morning. In the morning we will see a line of rain move through, and there is a small chance for thunder, but these showers will no be severe. The afternoon will be more likely since we will have warmer temperatures and more energy in the atmosphere. Highs should be near 80 tomorrow.
This is a new model we have, it looks at the chances for thunder/lightning. You can clearly see a line of activity from Delaware down in to NE. N.C.
Front is still to our west.
This line of showers on Future Trak at noon should be part of the morning rainfall. The cold front off to the west, and the possible sunshine before it, will be the areas with the higher chances for thunderstorm activity.
Future Trak in the evening.
One thing on our model for tomorrow evening is that it does not show a significant amount of rain. We have to remember that computer models are not the best at forecasting small thunderstorms compared to large scale storm complexes.
The key factor for tomorrow is the what happens during the middle of the day. If we see some sunshine and heating from the sun the chances for severe storms will go up tomorrow.
Stay tuned to our website and WAVY TV in case there are any watches or warnings issued.
Today should be the last day in awhile where we have a high in the range from 50-60°. The key difference is all about the wind direction. Today our wind speeds should remain out of the Northeast at 5-15mph. The temperature of the ocean and the Chesapeake Bay is still close to 50 degrees. That wind will keep our highs cooler than normal. Tonight the wind should stop and we will see a change for tomorrow.
Warmer on Sunday
This pattern with that area of high pressure parked offshore will help to develop a Southwest wind for tomorrow at 10-15mph. That wind will boost our temperatures to the 70s in the afternoon.
This dry and warm pattern should continue through Wednesday where we could see highs inland close to 80 degrees!
Warmer Weather Coming
In the midwest, severe storms will slowly move across Missouri, Arkansas, and Oklahoma over this week. By Thursday afternoon we might see some thunderstorms in our area, it is still early to tell what the severe potential is but stay tuned!