Jeff Edmondson WAVY

A Rainy Saturday, Less Rain Tomorrow

April 19th, 2014 at 8:56 am by under Weather

The cool temperatures are going to stick around for our Easter weekend across the area. Today we will see highs near 57 degrees. Tomorrow, temperatures will be near 60. Along with the cool temperatures; there will be a strong northeast wind.

Between Low & High Pressure

Between Low & High Pressure

In between both of these areas of low and high pressure exists a tight pressure gradient. That tight gradient will keep our wind speeds high with winds around 10-15mph today. Tomorrow the wind will be even stronger at 15-20mph and gusts easily over 30mph. As the storm gets closer, it will run out of rainfall.

For today, we are starting the day with plenty of rain:

Rain Moves Back South this afternoon

Rain Moves Back South this afternoon

The rain is going to break apart and retreat back to the south this afternoon. Across the Peninsula, Eastern Shore and areas north you will see mostly cloudy skies late this afternoon. For the Southside Hampton Roads cities and North Carolina, rain will taper off during the afternoon and early evening.

AM Sprinkles Possible on Easter

AM Sprinkles Possible on Easter

Any kids going on their annual Easter egg hunt, or those special sunrise services that are outdoors tomorrow morning may be a little soggy due to the incoming sprinkles for our area. I believe we will see the dry air win around midday and in the afternoon which should  keep up with mostly cloudy skies for our Easter Sunday.

Easter Forecast

Easter Forecast

In to Monday and Tuesday (Earth Day) we will see more sunshine with highs getting close to 70 degrees again.

Enjoy your Easter weekend.

-Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson

 


Some Rain For Easter Weekend

April 18th, 2014 at 7:35 am by under Weather

Temperatures are a bit warmer this morning. Readings have mostly been in the 40s. Across the Eastern Shore, temperatures were a little cooler with lows near 39 degrees in Melfa and towards Cape Charles this morning.

Morning Low Temps

Morning Low Temps

This afternoon, thick clouds will continue to rule our skies. A little sunshine is possible, that could allow high temperatures to climb to the mid-50s.

The rain will start to move in late tonight, and begin likely after midnight. The best chance for showers will be tomorrow morning across the Hampton Roads cities.

Future Trak @ 7am

Future Trak @ 7am

In to the afternoon, the rain will begin to scatter a bit more, and mostly be centered over NE NC. Across Virginia Saturday night, we will see cloudy skies with a continues northeast wind. There is a small chance that the rain could continue on Easter Sunday in North Carolina.

Easter Forecast

Easter Forecast

Easter Sunday should be a little warmer with highs near 63 degrees. Monday and Tuesday next week will be the warmest as we should have highs near 70.

Enjoy your Easter Weekend!

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson


Still Cool Today, Slow Warming Trend Begins

April 17th, 2014 at 9:41 am by under Weather

Today we are going to see high temperatures in the 50s, still cool for this time of year. The average high for today is 68. Remember, it is spring, a transition season, so the cold spell that we are in now is not unusual.

Northeast Flow

Northeast Flow

Winds will remain out of the northeast today and going in to the weekend, with that wind it will keep our temperatures cooler than normal. I am also expecting some extra cloud cover for tonight, this will keep our lows in the 40s. At the same time, the clouds will also keep us cool with highs in the mid-50s again tomorrow.

Rain Possible Tomorrow

Rain Possible Tomorrow

Scattered Showers will begin to push in late tomorrow afternoon and in to the evening. There is still some uncertainty in how long the rain will last. The GFS model keeps us wet all day Saturday. The Euro has us cloudy and dry with showers possible for the OBX. I will keep an eye on the models during the rest of the day and look for trends. Regardless, Easter Sunday looks dry with highs near 63 degrees.

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson


Thunderstorms Are Possible Tomorrow

April 14th, 2014 at 9:54 am by under Weather

Today is looking like a great day, we will see partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the 70s. As the area of low pressure gets closer, our wind speeds will increase. Today we will see winds from the south at 15-20mph. Gusts could reach 30mph today. Tonight, along with the winds, temperatures will stay mild with lows in the 60s. Now, lets talk about the rain chances. We’ll stay dry today, but tonight scattered showers will be possible ahead of the storm system. Tomorrow morning, we will also see a chance for scattered showers. If we can stay cloudy and cool, then our severe weather chances will remain low. If we see sunshine, then the threat will increase.

Future Trak @ 1pm

Future Trak @ 1pm

The storms will stay off to our west around midday tomorrow.

Future Trak @ 6pm

Future Trak @ 6pm

Storm Chances

Storm Chances

Going in to tomorrow evening, the cold front will sweep through the area with temperatures going from the 70s to the 30s by Wednesday morning. This strong cold front may be able to produce strong storms that could create damaging wind gusts and hail.

Behind the line of storms we will be colder with highs in the 50s on Wednesday.

 

Tetrad of Lunar Eclipses Begins Tonight

The first of four lunar eclipses begins tonight, sadly the forecast looks to be cloudy, but it still may be worth a shot to get up and see it:

Lunar Eclipse

Lunar Eclipse

There are three more coming up. The scientists at NASA put together a great video about how rare a tetrad is:

 

-Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson

 

 

 


A Dry & Sunny Weekend Ahead

April 12th, 2014 at 9:18 am by under Weather

While we will see more sunshine again today, a weak cold front has passed through Hampton Roads. This cold front will influence the winds to be out of the easterly direction in to the afternoon. High temperatures should still be above average though:

Cool Breeze Today

Cool Breeze Today, Highs: 66-75 degrees today.

That warm front will move through tomorrow which will bring us back to the upper 70s and 80s for our Sunday. Typically when there is a front in our area we see rainfall, this time we will stay dry with only a few clouds.

Pollen Index for the Weekend

Pollen Index for the Weekend

If you didn’t see Jeremy’s annual pollen blog, you should check that out HERE.

Allergy LogoThe only pollen count in our region is in Richmond, sadly there are no known locations across Tidewater that perform a daily pollen count. The latest count shows that Tree Pollen and Mold Spore are the biggest sources of allergies. Credit: Allergy Partners of Richmond.

 

The next chance for rain is coming up on Tuesday, enjoy your weekend!

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson


A Rainy Weekend

March 29th, 2014 at 9:32 am by under Weather

We have a large area of low pressure that is going to bring us rain for today and tomorrow. The good news is that we won’t have the high chances for the severe weather today as I was thinking in last nights blog. Clouds and scattered showers are expected will keep us cooler in our area versus down to the south. Strong storms are possible in South Carolina and Georgia.

Storm System Bringing Us Rain

Storm System Bringing Us Rain

Today we are in the “warm sector” which is the area ahead of the cold front. That front is going to pass by tonight which will drop our temperatures for Sunday.

Future Trak @ 2pm

Future Trak @ 2pm

Scattered showers are expected this morning and all of the way in to tomorrow.

Future Trak @ 6am Sunday

Future Trak @ 6am Sunday

We’ll see light rain and drizzle for just about all day tomorrow. It will also be colder with temperatures in the 40s for most of the day. Starting on Monday an area of high pressure will move in which should keep us dry all of next week.

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson

 

 


Rain & Maybe Stormy This Weekend

March 28th, 2014 at 5:40 pm by under Weather

Here is a quick evening update regarding tomorrow’s storms. The Storm Prediction Center has included the Southside cities and NE N.C. in a Slight Risk for strong storms tomorrow. The latest models have pulled back the chances for strong storms a little bit and are trending to keep the storms to our west.

Future Trak @ 7am

Future Trak @ 7am

It looks like heavy rain is going to move in tonight and tomorrow morning across the Tidewater area. Temperatures will be mild with lows tonight near 55. Tomorrow we could see our highs near 70 degrees again. If we get some clearing late in the morning and in to the afternoon, that may provide enough fuel for strong storms in the evening. Once again, the latest models are keeping the clearing to our west and the storms towards Raleigh and Danville in the afternoon/evening.

Rain Totals

Rain Totals

You can see where the thunderstorms are more likely, heavier rain totals are expected. Don Slater will be tracking the new models that come in tonight during our evening newscasts, and I will be in tomorrow morning to give you the latest.

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson


Welcome Back Winter

March 23rd, 2014 at 9:06 am by under Weather

Winter like temperatures are back for the next several days ahead across our area. For today a north wind will keep our readings near 49 degrees. With the chilly wind; rain is also going to move in.

Rain Chances Today

Rain Chances Today

We should see the scattered showers move in this afternoon and continue into tonight. Most of the rain will wrap up around sunset.

Looking ahead to Tuesday, the weather models have begun to tweak their solutions a bit from what was advertised yesterday. Today’s run’s have less snow and more rain across our area. First, we will see the rain move in around the middle of the day on Tuesday.

Future Trak @ 1pm Tuesday

Future Trak @ 1pm Tuesday

As the storm starts to push further to the north we will see the rain changing to snow in the afternoon. I believe this will happen after 3/4pm.

Future Trak @ 9pm

Future Trak @ 9pm

A rain/snow mix will likely develop Tuesday night. I am not as worried about heavy snow accumulation this time around since the window for seeing actual snow will be short. Also ground temperatures are relatively warm, and everything will already be wet which will melt some of the snow on contact.

Tuesday's Snowfall Map

Tuesday’s Snowfall Map

This is what I am going with for snow totals as of now. Remember, I believe that the snow will stick to mostly grassy surfaces, decks and maybe sidewalks. I don’t expect this being a snow that will stick to interstates or heavily traveled roads. If we can get some more cold air, and we get higher totals, then road conditions may become compromised. Lets keep our eyes on this storm over the next few days as it develops and the models change.

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson

 

 


The Party is Almost Over

March 22nd, 2014 at 8:55 am by under Weather

We are going to reach the peak of this warm temperature swing today. High temperatures are expected to be in the 70s this afternoon. We should have a fair mix of sunshine and clouds; which is one of the reasons why we will see warmer temps today. The other reason is because of the southwest winds that we will have.

A Breezy Day

A Breezy Day. SW 10-20 G25

Tonight the wind will switch to be out of the north. It won’t get that cold tonight. Lows will be in the mid-40s, but the wind will keep us chilly tomorrow. I am only expecting a high temperature near 49 tomorrow.

Rain Possible Tomorrow Afternoon

Rain Possible Tomorrow Afternoon

We will see a few scattered showers tomorrow afternoon. It looks like the rain will move in around 2pm and continue off and on until sunset across our area. Remember, it is also going to be windy and cool tomorrow with the rain, a big change from today!

Looking ahead to Tuesday, Future Trak is still keeping that wintry mix for our area:

Tracking the Low

Tracking the Low

The exact track of the low pressure center is still a bit uncertain. The track of the low is important because it will determine where the rain occurs and who gets snow.

Future Trak @ 4pm Tuesday

Future Trak @ 4pm Tuesday

As you can see, towards the afternoon and evening the colder air will start to wrap in behind the area of low pressure. Who ever gets to be in the colder sector is likely to see accumulating snow. Forecast snow totals were painting 2-4″ for inland locations. There is no need to dig too deeply in to the snow totals yet, we still have a ways to go and the forecast will likely change a bit more than what is suggested now.

Tuesday looks like the worst day for travel with the wintry mix expected.

Tuesday looks like the worst day for travel with the wintry mix expected.

I am keeping the Bread & Milk Index elevated at Level: 2 today since I still have uncertainty about the exact track of the storm. Keep an eye out for more updates to the forecast track.

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson


Tracking Rain and Snow

March 16th, 2014 at 9:28 am by under Weather

I have been watching this storm system closely for the past few days. One thing that has changed the most since yesterday is the models are trending for a warmer solution. If the models are warmer, that means less snow and more rain across our area.

Future Trak @3pm Today

Future Trak @3pm Today

We’ll see scattered showers move in across the Tidewater area around 2-3pm today. At this point, no sleet or snow is expected.

Future Trak @ 11pm

Future Trak @ 11pm

Late this evening we’ll start to see the rain changing over to sleet/snow across the Middle Peninsula, N. Neck, and Accomac County on the Eastern Shore. If you live in this area, you have the best chance to see some accumulations. If you are south of that line, snow totals will be minimal.

Storms Moves Out Tomorrow Morning

Storms Moves Out Tomorrow Morning

The wintry precip begins to fade away tomorrow morning which should decrease the impact across many areas.

Snow Totals For Tonight/Tomorrow Morning

Snow Totals For Tonight/Tomorrow Morning

The majority of the Hampton Roads cities will be spared from this storm only receiving a chilly rainfall. Other areas to the north still have a chance to see snow. Travel will be difficult tonight and tomorrow in the areas where the snow falls. Temperatures will be near 37 tomorrow afternoon, so the melting process will be slow for areas that do receive snow and ice.

We will see more rain Late on Monday night and also Tuesday before we dry out on Wednesday.

 

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson