As we enter the second half of October I believe we are going to be seeing cooler temperatures than we did for the first half. Our highs today will be in the mid-70s. Starting tomorrow, for at least a week, we will be having highs in the 60s. That will all start to happen later today.
Gonzalo Fading Away, Watching A Cold Front
The cold front to our northwest will be moving through today, we will likely see extra cloud cover this afternoon because of the passing front. Temperatures should still be in the 70s this afternoon. Tonight, we will see mostly cloudy skies with temperatures going all the way down to the 40s by tomorrow morning. A few sprinkles are possible.
Future Trak @ 9pm
Our best chance of rain won’t be till after sunset. We could see some light rain across the entire viewing area sometime tonight. The rain and clouds will clear out tomorrow morning. Since we will have strong northwest winds tomorrow, high temperatures will struggle to make it to the mid 60s in the afternoon. We should be sunny tomorrow. Lows will be in the 30s Sunday night.
The leftovers of the Gonzalo swell is still giving us plenty of good surf across the area. Wave heights are in the 2-4ft range for Virginia Beach. Bigger waves can still be found across the OBX.
Some of the camera’s that our partners have over on Surfline.com have shown 5-8ft waves early this morning. (Around Rodanthe and Hatteras)
High temperatures are going to be well above average today thanks to a strong flow of warm and humid air from the southeast. Temperatures will be in the 80s this afternoon. Most of us will be dry today, a isolated pop-up show may develop this afternoon. Rain is expected to arrive tomorrow morning and then again in the afternoon.
Future Trak Wednesday @ 8am
Future Trak @ 7pm
As the cold front comes through our area late tomorrow afternoon we may see a strong thunderstorms across Hampton Roads. The biggest risk will be for damaging wind gusts. I am expecting for many of our areas to receive around 1 inch of rain. The rain will clear out on Thursday.
Gonzalo will pass to our east, it will likely hit Bermuda as a Cat 2 or 3 hurricane late on Friday. It will be far enough away from us so we should see sunshine and calm weather. The swell from Gonzalo will make for some great surf later this week and weekend.
Wave heights will be 3-4ft Thursday-Friday. Possibly up to 5ft on Saturday, then going back down on Sunday. We should see offshore winds all weekend.
Today we will see our temperatures warm up to be above average again. Highs are going to climb into the upper 70s this afternoon. (Average: 71 degrees)
A large trough is in place over the center of the country. This trough will bring severe weather to Tennessee and the Southern States today. As of the morning the center of the low was in Oklahoma.
Isolated PM Showers today.
Since our temperatures are going to warm to the 70s today, an isolated shower is possible from the extra heat and humidity we will have available. These showers will fade away tonight, and tomorrow we should be dry with partly cloudy skies. Rain is still expected to arrive on Wednesday.
Tropical Storm Fay is in the central Atlantic fading away today. Tropical Storm Gonzalo is getting stronger, right now it has 60mph sustained winds.
Gonzalo is expected to become a hurricane tomorrow, and then become a Cat. 2 Hurricane with 110mph winds by Friday. Since we have a large trough and storm complex moving across the USA this week, that storm should help to force this storm on a more easterly track. Models are saying that this storm will stay out to sea, but impact Bermuda by Sunday. We could see a swell from Gonzalo arrive next weekend.
We will see mostly cloudy skies today and tomorrow across Hampton Roads as a weak cold front moves down to the south.
Tracking The Colder Air
Areas in N. Carolina will see highs in the 80s with some sunshine today. This front will help to bring in showers for areas north of the Peninsula this morning and into the early afternoon. After 3pm the rain chances will shift to the Southside and NE N.C.
Future Trak @ 6pm
This afternoon a few thunderstorms may also develop, most of them will just bring periods of heavy rainfall. There is a small risk of one or two becoming stronger later today. The levels of shear and CAPE (Wind Speeds and Energy) are at marginal which could support a supercell or multicell thunderstorm. We will keep an eye out for those later today.
Tropical Storm Fay is still in the central Atlantic ocean.
This storm will stay out to sea. It will bring rain and wind to Bermuda today and tomorrow. We will see a increase in the surf across Hampton Roads starting tomorrow and going into the upcoming week. The waves will peak on Tuesday night and then decrease and clean up on Wednesday.
We have a chance to see a lunar and a solar eclipse this month.
Lunar Eclipse Wednesday
The full eclipse begins at 6:27am, just before the sunrise after 7am. We won’t be able to see the entire eclipse because the moon will disappear across the horizon. A Solar Eclipse will occur on Oct. 23rd.
As of this morning at 9am the cold front is still in central Virginia. As it passes us by before midday, we could see a sprinkle or two across our area. Temperatures will likely be in the 70s today.
A Few Sprinkles This Morning
We are going to get a real taste of fall tonight once the colder air starts to move in across Hampton Roads. Our temperatures are going to drop into the mid 40s tonight with a strong northwest wind at 10-20mph. That wind will keep up tomorrow, so we’ll be stuck with highs only in the 60s in the afternoon. The good news is, with the cooler air moving in, it will also be drier air. That dry air will mean the skies will be clear with sunshine expected all day tomorrow. Temperatures again Sunday night will drop into the 40s.
Conditions will be clean across the OBX and VB beaches today. Rip current threats will be high with 4-6ft waves for the OBX. It should be a fun day, so go out into the water and have fun with the surf. Conditions will be smaller tomorrow, but still fun at 3-5ft for the OBX. 2-3ft for VB on Sunday.
Well, at least for half of the weekend we are looking sunny. An area of high pressure is in control off to our north today. That will keep us with a fresh northeast breeze at around 10-15mph.
The dry air should keep our skies mostly clear this afternoon. The OBX still has a chance to see more cloud cover since you will be a bit closer to the offshore area of low pressure.
Future Trak @ Noon
Overall, we are looking sunny and dry for today. Tomorrow may be a bit different, more cloud cover will be the theme. Temperatures should be in the mid to upper 70s on Sunday. Our weekend is looking dry, into next week Tuesday and Wednesday another coastal storm may bring us rain and wind. Stay tuned for updates.
No organized storms exist in the Atlantic Ocean, the tropics remain quiet.
The northeast windswell will continue for the next week. Sunday could be more fun since our northeast winds are expected to die down a bit.
Saturday Wave Heights
That coastal storm next week may boost our waves in the 4-6ft range…stay tuned!
A coastal storm is developing to our south right now. This storm system is not going to be strong enough to cause any major problems this weekend, however, we may see isolated showers later today and tomorrow.
Radar Snapshot at 8am
The isolated showers are expected to move in to our area after the noon hour today. Sprinkles/Light Rain is what I would expect. This storm system won’t have the energy to produce flooding or thunderstorms. Wind speeds will be Easterly today at 10-20mph.
Future Trak @ 3pm
Tonight we will see mostly cloudy skies, isolated showers are still possible. Tomorrow, the majority of the rain will be over the Outer Banks. Temperatures should still be near 80 tomorrow with westerly winds.
Sunday’s surf should be pretty fun in the afternoon as this NE swell will still be at its peak. Waves will be 3-4ft. Rip Current Threats will remain high.
We should see more offshore winds tomorrow afternoon/evening which should clean up the surf.