Before the sun came up this morning our skies were clear. Today is looking like a sunny and warmer day across Hampton Roads. If you are interested in enjoying the day on the water be careful as there are still high waves from yesterday’s storm. Waves will be 3-5ft in the Ocean and 2-3ft in the Bay today.
High Pressure is in control.
An area of high pressure is in control just for today, tomorrow another changes is going to come. For Sunday, a cold front is going to pass by which will once again drop our temperatures. It isn’t going to be cold tomorrow, but there will be a chilly wind. We may also see a stray shower in the morning.
Passing Cold Front Tomorrow Morning
Future Trak has a few showers across the Eastern Shore and the Middle Peninsula tomorrow morning, We may also see a sprinkle across the Peninsula and the Southside around 8-9am. By 10am all of the models have us dry with Mostly Cloudy skies. The cooler air from the north will also be drier. That dry air will help to erase any cloud cover we have in the afternoon. Highs will be near 50 tomorrow.
Longer range models are warming us back up on Monday and Tuesday with highs back in the 60s. Besides tomorrow, we should remain dry until Wednesday.
It has been a soggy day across Hampton Roads, but this storm is still on track to get out of our area tonight.
Future Trak @ 9pm
We still may see scattered showers across Hampton Roads tonight until midnight. Rain totals will be near 0.75″ to 1.5″.
24-Hour Rain Totals
The wind is also going to ease a bit overnight. Wind gusts have been as high as 47mph in Virginia Beach and Elizabeth City today. In Manteo a 49mph wind gust was observed today. Gusts have been around 35-40mph for the rest of our area today. Tonight the wind speed will slowly decrease as the storms moves away from our area.
Less Wind Tomorrow
With the strong winds, there will be the potential for minor tidal flooding across the Southside and North Carolina overnight during the next high tide. Sewells Point is a good benchmark for Southside Hampton Roads.
Sewells Point Tides
Here is the forecast for Duck Pier, North Carolina
Duck Pier, North Carolina
Tomorrow we will have less wind and also more sunshine! High temperatures will climb to near 60 degrees in the afternoon.
Windy & Rainy weather is on the way for tomorrow. Temperatures are likely to be only in the mid-40s for tomorrow.
Future Trak @ 7am
The latest look at Future Trak has the rain moving across NE N.C. tonight. This model is a bit slow, I believe we will see the rain across Hampton Roads starting around Midnight and last into the day. Our wind is going to stay very strong with wind speeds at 15-25mph and gusts up to 40mph possible tomorrow.
Future Trak @ Noon
There may be a small break in the afternoon tomorrow, but I would count on an all-day rain for our Friday. Rain totals are estimated to be between 1.0″ and 1.5″ across our area. Flooding doesn’t look like it will be a problem, but your yard may form a pond of water, just because our soils are still saturated!
Tides Staying Below 4.5ft
Get your rain gear handy for tomorrow, and it might not be a bad idea to have a spare set of dry socks just in case you soak your first pair.
More snow coming up for tomorrow, the latest models indicate that the precipitation (rain, freezing rain and sleet) will move in around Sunrise tomorrow at 6-9am. Snow totals could be over 3 inches in areas. Watch the video below for the latest:
Snow Totals: Monday
Do the shopping today, travel tomorrow will be very difficult.
I will continue to track the latest models during the day today and will have another update coming up this evening.
Temperatures are going to make a slow climb today to the upper 40s by this afternoon. We may also see a few sprinkles today across our area around Midday.
Future Trak @ Noon
The areas that will see sprinkles/light showers will be NE N.C., Southside, and the Lower Eastern Shore. A stray drop of rain may also reach the Peninsula. Temperatures will be even warmer tomorrow. For our Sunday, we may start the day with patchy fog. Then after 10am we are going to have plenty of sunshine to warm up. Also, the wind will be out of the southwest at 10-15mph and temperatures should reach the 60s in the afternoon.
This warm up will be short lived thanks to a new storm system developing just to our north on Monday.
Future Trak Monday @ 10am
The latest future trak does bring in scattered showers around midday on Monday ahead of the heavier precipitation close to DC. If you are travelling to DC on Monday be prepared for difficult travel. As we go in to the afternoon the storm and cold air begins to drop to the south.
Future Trak @ 5pm Monday
This time I am watching the mix zone a bit more closely, It looks like it won’t be just an area of rain and snow, but an area of freezing rain and sleet! That kind of precipitation could be devastating for travel on Monday afternoon for the region.
Early Look at Snow Totals
It doesn’t look like this will be a big snow maker, but that window for freezing rain may mean icy roads across the Peninsula and north on Monday. I will be watching this storm all weekend and will have updates on our blog page.
Our friends over at the National Weather Service Office have added a few more classes to their Skywarn class list coming up this spring. If you have not been to a Skywarn class before, they are designed to teach you ways to spot storms and understand what you are looking at when reporting significant weather. They also discuss:
Within the hour the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Satellite will be launching from Japan. This satellite will be able to measure the precipitation from the lower atmosphere across the globe. The altitude of the satellite will be in the distance approximately from Virginia Beach to Washington DC. (220 miles)
The weather pattern will remain quiet today and tomorrow after we had the big storms move through yesterday. For today we are going to start our morning with filtered sunshine.
Thin Clouds Today
An area of high pressure is developing over us today which will help to clear out most of these clouds in to our afternoon. Thanks to the sunshine and the light winds high temperatures will be comfortable this afternoon.
Most of us will see highs near 60 degrees today. Tomorrow will be more of the same with partly cloudy skies. Temperatures should be a little warmer tomorrow thanks to a southwest breeze. Highs will be near 67 tomorrow.
Colder Next Week
Another arctic airmass will move to the south again to drop our temperatures back to the 40s starting on Tuesday. As of now Tuesday looks to be dry, but on Wednesday there is a chance for a mixed precip event. The computer models are still all over the place with what exactly we will see, but for areas in central Virginia and Maryland snow is looking possible from this developing storm. We will continue to track that over the next several days.
I want to start out with a picture of the storm moving across the James River in Williamsburg. Photo Credit: Rob Hunter
Credit: Rob Hunter
Williamsburg has had the highest wind gusts reported so far from these storms. The Williamsburg airport saw a wind gust at 74 mph.
Afternoon Wind Gusts
In Gloucester, there was damage to trees and roofs, the Gloucester Point Marina reported roof damage. In Smithfield there were reports of trees being split in half from the high wind gusts. Also hail was reported in Chesapeake and Virginia Beach. Now as the storms have moved offshore, we will be looking at a drier weekend with highs in the 60s.
Other Peak Wind Gusts:
Virginia Beach: 41mph
Meteorologist Don Slater will have your full forecast tonight on WAVY TV 10.
Here is a quick update to add what Jeremy Wheeler wrote earlier this morning. The storms are moving quickly in to our area and across our region we will be seeing the impacts of these strong storms from noon and in to the early afternoon.
Damaging Wind Gusts are possible this early afternoon.
In the mid-levels of the atmosphere wind shear levels are still high which means there is the higher chance for damaging wind gusts.
Future Trak @ 3pm
These storms are moving to the northeast at 55mph so any additional wind gust they produce could create damaging wind gusts on the ground. The risks for tornadoes is low, but a small tornado may be possible this afternoon. Frequent lightning is also likely with these storms.
The line of thunderstorms should use up most of the available energy in the atmosphere so redevelopment this afternoon is not looking likely.
Conditions in the atmosphere are still favorable for severe weather over the next few hours, stay tuned for updates on WAVY TV 10 for any new watches or warnings.