For the next four days we are looking at a calm weather pattern and sunshine. Temperatures this morning started cool across Hampton Roads. Franklin was the cold spot with a low of 37 degrees. In Norfolk, the morning low was 58. The reason why there was a big difference was from a breeze coming off of the Chesapeake Bay, that kept Norfolk warmer.
Calm Weather Pattern
High pressure will keep our skies clear today, tonight, and for the next several days ahead. Temps will be in the mid to lower 70s tomorrow. On Monday, we will be breezy and cooler with highs in the upper 60s to near 70. After this point, we should see our temps reach 80 degrees! That fast warm up may help to develop rain late Wednesday and Thursday for our area.
If you want to enjoy the fall colors, the Blue Ridge Parkway route just northwest of Charlottesville is reported to be at or near peak conditions this weekend. That area will see sunshine, so a day trip might be a good idea. The colors may not be as vibrant next weekend.
Current Fall Colors
We should see the trees in our area peak in the next few weeks.
A partial solar eclipse happens tomorrow (Thursday). Remember, a solar eclipse is when the moon is between the sun and the earth. The moon then casts a shadow on Earth. Since it will be a partial, we will not be in total darkness.
Now, how do you watch a solar eclipse? Well first of all, DO NOT LOOK DIRECTLY INTO THE SUN!
Make a three-millimeter wide pinhole into a square piece of cardboard or card stock paper. The, with the sun at your back, project the image of the sun onto a piece of white paper. Remember never to look through the pinhole directly at the sun.
Use Approved Eclipse Lenses/Filters
These lenses have a optical density 5 or greater and are “CE” certified. (You can find these online, or possibly at a nearby science store)
Welder’s Glasses work as long as the lens is #14.
Sunglasses are not a safe way to view a solar eclipse.
As we enter the second half of October I believe we are going to be seeing cooler temperatures than we did for the first half. Our highs today will be in the mid-70s. Starting tomorrow, for at least a week, we will be having highs in the 60s. That will all start to happen later today.
Gonzalo Fading Away, Watching A Cold Front
The cold front to our northwest will be moving through today, we will likely see extra cloud cover this afternoon because of the passing front. Temperatures should still be in the 70s this afternoon. Tonight, we will see mostly cloudy skies with temperatures going all the way down to the 40s by tomorrow morning. A few sprinkles are possible.
Future Trak @ 9pm
Our best chance of rain won’t be till after sunset. We could see some light rain across the entire viewing area sometime tonight. The rain and clouds will clear out tomorrow morning. Since we will have strong northwest winds tomorrow, high temperatures will struggle to make it to the mid 60s in the afternoon. We should be sunny tomorrow. Lows will be in the 30s Sunday night.
The leftovers of the Gonzalo swell is still giving us plenty of good surf across the area. Wave heights are in the 2-4ft range for Virginia Beach. Bigger waves can still be found across the OBX.
Some of the camera’s that our partners have over on Surfline.com have shown 5-8ft waves early this morning. (Around Rodanthe and Hatteras)
High temperatures are going to be well above average today thanks to a strong flow of warm and humid air from the southeast. Temperatures will be in the 80s this afternoon. Most of us will be dry today, a isolated pop-up show may develop this afternoon. Rain is expected to arrive tomorrow morning and then again in the afternoon.
Future Trak Wednesday @ 8am
Future Trak @ 7pm
As the cold front comes through our area late tomorrow afternoon we may see a strong thunderstorms across Hampton Roads. The biggest risk will be for damaging wind gusts. I am expecting for many of our areas to receive around 1 inch of rain. The rain will clear out on Thursday.
Gonzalo will pass to our east, it will likely hit Bermuda as a Cat 2 or 3 hurricane late on Friday. It will be far enough away from us so we should see sunshine and calm weather. The swell from Gonzalo will make for some great surf later this week and weekend.
Wave heights will be 3-4ft Thursday-Friday. Possibly up to 5ft on Saturday, then going back down on Sunday. We should see offshore winds all weekend.
Today we will see our temperatures warm up to be above average again. Highs are going to climb into the upper 70s this afternoon. (Average: 71 degrees)
A large trough is in place over the center of the country. This trough will bring severe weather to Tennessee and the Southern States today. As of the morning the center of the low was in Oklahoma.
Isolated PM Showers today.
Since our temperatures are going to warm to the 70s today, an isolated shower is possible from the extra heat and humidity we will have available. These showers will fade away tonight, and tomorrow we should be dry with partly cloudy skies. Rain is still expected to arrive on Wednesday.
Tropical Storm Fay is in the central Atlantic fading away today. Tropical Storm Gonzalo is getting stronger, right now it has 60mph sustained winds.
Gonzalo is expected to become a hurricane tomorrow, and then become a Cat. 2 Hurricane with 110mph winds by Friday. Since we have a large trough and storm complex moving across the USA this week, that storm should help to force this storm on a more easterly track. Models are saying that this storm will stay out to sea, but impact Bermuda by Sunday. We could see a swell from Gonzalo arrive next weekend.
We will see mostly cloudy skies today and tomorrow across Hampton Roads as a weak cold front moves down to the south.
Tracking The Colder Air
Areas in N. Carolina will see highs in the 80s with some sunshine today. This front will help to bring in showers for areas north of the Peninsula this morning and into the early afternoon. After 3pm the rain chances will shift to the Southside and NE N.C.
Future Trak @ 6pm
This afternoon a few thunderstorms may also develop, most of them will just bring periods of heavy rainfall. There is a small risk of one or two becoming stronger later today. The levels of shear and CAPE (Wind Speeds and Energy) are at marginal which could support a supercell or multicell thunderstorm. We will keep an eye out for those later today.
Tropical Storm Fay is still in the central Atlantic ocean.
This storm will stay out to sea. It will bring rain and wind to Bermuda today and tomorrow. We will see a increase in the surf across Hampton Roads starting tomorrow and going into the upcoming week. The waves will peak on Tuesday night and then decrease and clean up on Wednesday.
We have a chance to see a lunar and a solar eclipse this month.
Lunar Eclipse Wednesday
The full eclipse begins at 6:27am, just before the sunrise after 7am. We won’t be able to see the entire eclipse because the moon will disappear across the horizon. A Solar Eclipse will occur on Oct. 23rd.
As of this morning at 9am the cold front is still in central Virginia. As it passes us by before midday, we could see a sprinkle or two across our area. Temperatures will likely be in the 70s today.
A Few Sprinkles This Morning
We are going to get a real taste of fall tonight once the colder air starts to move in across Hampton Roads. Our temperatures are going to drop into the mid 40s tonight with a strong northwest wind at 10-20mph. That wind will keep up tomorrow, so we’ll be stuck with highs only in the 60s in the afternoon. The good news is, with the cooler air moving in, it will also be drier air. That dry air will mean the skies will be clear with sunshine expected all day tomorrow. Temperatures again Sunday night will drop into the 40s.
Conditions will be clean across the OBX and VB beaches today. Rip current threats will be high with 4-6ft waves for the OBX. It should be a fun day, so go out into the water and have fun with the surf. Conditions will be smaller tomorrow, but still fun at 3-5ft for the OBX. 2-3ft for VB on Sunday.