Here a quick update for this evening for Sunday. If you didn’t read Jeremy’s Blog for Saturday check that out HERE.
For our area we are going to see only rainfall on Sunday, but there is a small chance there could be a brief period of ice pellets (otherwise known as sleet) for the Northern Neck, Middle Peninsula and also around the Williamsburg/Lightfoot region.
If you are traveling anywhere west or north of Richmond there is a high chance for compromised road conditions and freezing rain on Sunday. The Piedmont area will possibly see over 0.25″ of freezing rain accumulation on Sunday which could make travel extremely difficult.
Freezing Rain For Sunday
If you have noticed on the model that the chances for freezing rain doesn’t include our area. This is an update from the models yesterday which suggested that we would see a chance in Gloucester and also around Williamsburg. Stay tuned for updates this weekend.
We are tracking a chance of rain on Saturday morning as a cold front moves across Hampton Roads, we are only going to see rain from this since temperatures will be too warm. Now as we go in to Sunday morning there is a chance for freezing rain close to Richmond as a new area of low pressure tracks across our area.
System to Watch Sunday
There is a very small window (1-3 hours in the morning) where this freezing rain is possible across areas in the Middle Peninsula and the Northern Neck. If the cold air is robust enough this can happen, but as we have seen in the past the mild air from the bay can keep this wintry precipitation further inland.
More Freezing Rain Inland, Not any for the Hampton Roads cities.
*This forecast will likely change with future updates*
If this pans out as advertised, travel will be very difficult towards Richmond and the Piedmont areas. Remember, it is Thursday night. This event is 3 days from now so this forecast can change completely from now till then. Forecast freezing rain is very tricky especially in this area…Stay tuned to Jeremy Wheeler’s morning blog for updates.
Well we know that the 2013 Hurricane Season was a quiet one, there are many factors why this season didn’t pan out.
NOAA put out a bold forecast which agreed with many other hurricane forecasters earlier in the spring. While we did meet the forecast for named storms at 13, we did not see the amount of hurricanes predicted. (Which is a good thing!) This year was advertised to be a very active season…so what happened?
1. Dry air off of the coast of Western Africa
Dust Storms & Dry Air
These large airmasses of dry air moving to the west over the Atlantic Ocean helped to inhibit the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes during the early months of the season (June-August)
2. High amounts of Wind Shear
See the black arrows on the left, think of those as wind speeds. The higher you are in the atmosphere, the stronger the wind. Now if you want the development of severe weather like squall lines or supercells, then you want wind shear. If you want to develop a hurricane, wind shear will rip apart a storm.
These are two of the biggest reasons why this hurricane season was a “bust” and over-forcasted. In fact, this hurricane season had the fewest number of hurricanes since 1982!
2013 Storm Names
Tropical Storm Andrea was the only storm that made landfall in the USA. Most of the storms stayed out to sea. Two storms did impact Mexico. Some people have been asking me if this may correlate to a higher chance of seeing winter weather and more snow this season. While the quick answer is “no”. There is something important to consider. We did have a cool fall, that cooler air did keep a few storms offshore, if we have colder temperatures in place there is a higher chance for seeing more snow this year compared to average. (Which I believe it will be a cooler than normal winter) The average amount of snow we see across Hampton Roads is close to 8 inches.
At this point our weather should remain calm with no snowstorms or hurricanes on the horizon.
If you are a fan of summertime temperatures this is going to be a long and chilly week ahead. Temperatures are likely to stay below normal all week. The normal high temperature for today is 57 degrees.
Dry & Sunny today.
Mostly Sunny skies will be around for this Friday as a strong area of high pressure is in control. I am watching the clouds near Florida as that is going to be the spawning point for the next storm system.
No Rain Tomorrow
We will see more clouds across Hampton Roads for tomorrow. Temperatures will still be cool with highs only in the upper 40s. Temperatures will warm a bit on Sunday with highs back in the 50s. With the warmer temperatures will will see more cloud cover. The next chance of rain is not until Monday night.
It is going to be getting cold this weekend. We ended our week with an almost record high of 74 degrees yesterday.
30s on Sunday
For today our temperatures are going to keep dropping hour-by-hour thanks to a strong northwest wind at 10-20mph. With the wind it is tapping in to dry air so that may help to bring in some sunshine for the afternoon.
Extreme Cold in N. Dakota!
Look at how cold it is in Minot, ND this morning! Their previous record was -13°F, that record was crushed this morning as temperatures were below -20 degrees. This is a great visual to see how robust this cold air mass is. By tomorrow our temps will be like what is happening in Ohio and Pennsylvania with highs in the 30s.
The northwest wind and cold air is going to continue to move in tomorrow. Wind speeds will be 15-20mph again tomorrow. That will bring down a nasty wind chill.
Wind Chills for Sunday
Make sure you get those hats, gloves, and winter coats ready for a chilly day tomorrow.
Overnight some light rain tracked across Hampton Roads. Rainfall totals were near 0.3″ for areas in NE N.C and also across Virginia.
A small amount of dry air is plunging across our area for today. We should see a mix of sunshine and clouds for this Saturday. It also look like our temperatures should be pleasant with highs in the mid-60s this afternoon. An area of high pressure will set up to our north today which will give us a light east wind at 5-10mph.
There are more clouds on the way for tomorrow ahead of the next storm system.
Future Trak for Sunday
Tomorrow we are looking at a day with overcast skies. Future Trak also had some small areas of rain across our area popping up at tomes on Sunday. With that result, I believe we could see some drizzle tomorrow. Regardless, our highs will be even warmer. Temperatures should make it to 72 in the afternoon on Sunday.
A cold front will move in to our area on Monday morning that may bring in thunderstorms. For the Ohio River Valley strong storms are possible tomorrow. We may see some of those storms track close to us by Monday. Tiffany Savona will track that storm system tonight so check in during the 6 or 11pm newscast for updates.
We had a chilly morning across Hampton Roads. Lows were in the 20s inland, in Virginia Beach the low was 33 degrees. I got a report from a viewer of 27 degrees in Anderson’s Corner this morning. The temperatures also reached 28 degrees in Ivor and Wakefield.
High pressure is in control which should keep us sunny all day until sunset at 5pm. Tonight, we will see our lows in the 40s thanks to a consistent west wind at 5-15mph. Tomorrow that west wind is going to give us a nice boost with highs making it to the upper 60s in the afternoon. Our weather pattern will stay dry through Veterans Day on Monday.
There has been some talk on the web and certain national weather networks about the possibility of a snow event coming up this week.
Cold Front Arrives Midweek
From all of the models I have seen (GFS, Euro, DGEX, Canadian, and Future Trak) none of them have snow for our area or anywhere near our area. What we are likely going to see is a small chance for rain on Wednesday. Also, a blast of arctic air is going to push in to Hampton Roads which will keep highs in the 40s on Wednesday. This year we have been getting more tastes of colder air, so how typical is it to see snow in November?
It doesn’t happen too often, but there is a chance (10 percent). For snow lovers, maybe we will have a White Christmas, all we can do is hope for now…
What a treat to have the clear skies this morning and a Hybrid Solar Eclipse to look at:
Those pictures were taken from two different tower cameras we have at approx 6:45am. We were tracking the solar eclipse live during our Sunday morning newscast. You can see the sun on the top and the filter of the solar eclipse on the bottom part of the image.
The solar eclipse occurs when the moon crosses in between the Sun and Earth. This is a very rare event to see, if you are looking forward to another eclipse thankfully the wait is only until 2017. That eclipse is expected to be a total eclipse where the sun will be blocked to 100% by the moon.
If you have any pictures of the eclipse send them too: firstname.lastname@example.org