The rain and cloud cover basically kept us cool so that the severe storms weren’t able to develop this early afternoon. Earlier this morning I said there would be two chances for severe storms today. Round 1 would have been now, since that isn’t panning out we need to look forward to round 2. That could happen tonight after sunset.
Future Trak @ 10 PM
That may produce a squall line with damaging wind gusts in excess of 60mph. Remember, it is still a model. Things may change during the afternoon. Watch the video forecast I made below for more information.
Stay Sky Aware, Tiffany Savona will have another update this evening.
The Storm Prediction Center has us in a slight risk of severe weather. Our threat will be enhanced this afternoon as our temperatures warm up.
Straight Line wind gusts are my biggest concern today. I believe the majority of these storms will either develop in West Virginia or in Central Virginia and track to the east into Hampton Roads. Temperatures are expected to climb into the 90s this afternoon which will be the major fuel source for storms. Levels like CAPE, Shear, and the Lifted Index are expected to remain in the favorable category for severe weather development. The high resolution weather models have been showing two different times when we could see thunderstorms today.
Future Trak @ 2pm
Supercells may develop, like the one from yesterday, across our area today. Future Trak has been hinting at a time frame of 12pm-2pm for development of these storms. Another wave of strong storms may come through tonight.
Future Trak @ 10pm
A Squall Line, or sometime of multicell structure may move through the area tonight into NE NC. This line may also contain damaging wind gusts in excess of 60mph. Remember, you can keep an eye out for the storms with Super Doppler 10 and check our our Alerts page for any watches or warnings that may be issued.
Isolated showers will develop this afternoon as warmer and more humid air works its way back in to Hampton Roads.
Usually along warm fronts, we get showers and areas of light rain. That will be the theme today. As the warmer air moves in a few isolated showers will develop along the front and around Hampton Roads this afternoon. I don’t expected thunderstorms to develop today. Tomorrow is the better day for thunderstorm development.
Damaging Wind Gusts & Hail Possible Tomorrow
Damaging wind, hail, and isolated tornadoes may be a result of the severe weather setup we have for tomorrow. That threat is expected to continue into the overnight hours.
Future Trak @ 5pm Sunday
High temperatures will be in the 90s on Sunday. The dew points will be in the 70s, so it will feel like it reaches over 100 degrees tomorrow. We will continue to monitor the sever weather setup for Sunday and Monday. Stay tuned for another update tonight from Tiffany Savona on WAVY TV and myself tomorrow morning starting at 6am.
Across Hampton Roads we will see isolated showers and sprinkles this weekend. Remember the cold front that moved through our area a few days ago? That same front stalled just 200 miles offshore. As it slowly drifts back towards land a weak area of low pressure has formed along it. That is the source of the rain. Showers moved in to the OBX region this morning. We will see the rain move to the northeast today.
Future Trak @ 1pm
In to the afternoon we may also see a few showers across our area. Tomorrow, there may be a shower or two, but it is looking drier than today. Highs will be in the 70s today and 80s again tomorrow.
Waves will be 2-4ft for VB and the OBX beaches. Rip Current Threats will be moderate thanks to the higher surf. Remember, if you are caught in a rip current; Don’t Panic! Swim along the shore to get out of it, and then swim towards shore.
Here is some additional information about the rocket being launched today. It is the Antares rocket carrying a payload of supplies and equiptment towards the International Space Station. It is scheduled to launch at 12:52pm
Since it is a day launch, it may be harder to see. If you are on the Eastern Shore, you should be able to see it through the clouds. If you are in the Yellow Ring, it will be more difficult, but not impossible as long as you have a clear view towards Wallops Island. The best way to see it is in person in the area, follow the link for more information:
We started this morning with some fog across Hampton Roads. Some areas had visibilities less than 200 ft!
Lynnhaven Inlet Camera @ 8:50am
The fog cleared out quickly in many cities thanks to the sun rising so early in the morning this time of year. The sun rises at 5:56 AM on Sunday. Around this time of year we are losing 1 minute of daylight each day.
The recent storms brought us several inches of rain, the saturated soils are the main reason why we are seeing this morning fog. We will probably see fog again tomorrow in the same places we saw it this morning.
Future Trak Sunday Morning
Once again the fog will develop around midnight and stick around until 9am. High pressure is in control which will keep our weather sunny for today and tomorrow. Highs should be in the 80s today and 90s tomorrow once we redevelop a south wind. This hot and humid weather is still only going to be temporary.
Changes Next Week
See that cold air in central Canada? That cold air is going to sweep across the central plains and move towards Hampton Roads by Tuesday. The cold air itself isn’t scary, the chance for severe weather is though. The chances for strong storms on Tuesday will be a threat once again. (Especially on Tuesday Afternoon) In the meantime, enjoy the weekend’s forecast. We’ll be watching that cold front and the storm threat for Tuesday.
Atlantic Satellite (Credit: NASA)
With the lack of storms in the Atlantic and nothing expected to develop anytime soon the surf will remain down for the weekend.
The National Weather Service in Wakefield, VA conducted their storm survey today in Virginia Beach.
While the storm was moving to the east across the Southside cities, another thunderstorm that developed near Elizabeth City was moving NNE. When these two storms collided the momentum from the NC storm may have helped to add a little spin to the Virginia storm cell. That could be one of the main reasons we had this tornado develop. This tornado injured 10 people.
Other damage in the immediate area was from straight line winds. That was from the heavy rain and hail falling to the ground. That precipitation drags the air with it which thus causes strong horizontal winds once that air reaches the ground. The wind was estimated to be between 65 and 70 MPH.
If you want to see pictures of the damage go HERE.
Early in the afternoon we were tracking a storm near Emporia that was moving easterly at 25mph. This storm had a weak area of rotation, or spin inside the storm cell. There have been a few reports of a tornado in the town of Capron in Southampton County. Then, as the storm tracked from Capron to Virginia Beach it left a trail of hail. In Courtland, hail stones were around 1″ in diameter. In Chesapeake (Near the Greenbrier Mall) and also Kempsville in Virginia Beach had 1″ to 1.5″ hail. To see pictures, go HERE.
3rd Story Virginia Beach Home Destroyed
This was one of the pictures we received from the VB Oceanfront area. We also got more pictures of blow out windshields from cars parked along this street. (Near 17th St.) We did see something interesting on Super Doppler 10:
Radar @ 3:45pm
Radar @ 3:49pm
You can see over the 4-minute time span there may have been a hook echo or an area of rotation moving across this area. This could have been a tornado or a downburst of wind. Right now it is too hard to say, but the velocities, or the measurement of wind within the storm cell did increase during this time frame near the 17th street area. The National Weather Service may be sending a storm survey crew to this area soon to analyze the area to see if it was a tornado.
Funnel Cloud Video:
For the rest of our evening showers and a clap of thunder is still going to be likely. Tomorrow, we may see more thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Hurricane Arthur did cause some damage across the Outer Banks to businesses and some homes. I am happy the storm was moving through at 20 mph yesterday, if it was slower, there would have more areas with heavy damage. Right now Arthur is a tropical storm:
Arthur heading towards Greenland
I wanted to zoom out the map and show you how far north Arthur is going to travel, all the way to Greenland! I bet by the time it gets that far north it will dump a few feet of snow over that region. Anyway, back to Hampton Roads, our weather will be calm and pleasant today. Highs should be in the upper-70s to low 80s across our area. If you want to go to the beach today the threat for rip currents is still high.
The swell from Arthur is going to drop during the day. Winds will be onshore likely all day at 10-15mph.
Dry air has also moved back in to our area, today and tonight the humidity levels will remain low. Tonight for fireworks displays, temperatures will be in the mid-60s, so you might want to grab a sweatshirt on the way out the door. Tomorrow morning a few cities may see low temperatures as cool as 49 degrees! Most areas will have lows near 59-63. Then near the water lows will be near 70. Tomorrow, we will be sunny again with highs near 85.