Checking On Cristobal, Rip Currents Stick Around

August 26th, 2014 at 9:10 am by under Weather

Yesterday was nice but very breezy.   The northeast wind has kept up the surf, but that has also kept up the rip current threat at the local beaches.  We ran a great story about how this has been affecting businesses near the oceanfront.  Rip Currents & Business.   Today the wind won’t be quite as strong.  High pressure was building-in over the last couple of days, but now it sits on top of our region.  This will allow for nice weather in the area.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Skies will be mostly to partly sunny.  Temperatures will rise to the low 80s for most cities with a few upper 70s near the shore and a few mid 80s inland.  This niceness will continue into tomorrow, but the wind will be more out of the west.  So temperatures will heat up more into the mid 80s area-wide.  A weak front will move into the region Thursday into Friday, but it probably won’t have too much of an impact on our weather.  It may create a stray shower Friday night into early Saturday as it stalls out near the region.

Here’s the latest on hurricane Cristobal.  It has become an interesting storm, not in its fury, but by it’s randomness.  The past path has been wobbling quiet a bit.  The latest satellite doesn’t look anything like a hurricane.  It almost looks like 2 areas of disturbed weather.

Tropical Satellite

Tropical Satellite

This may be a sign of weakening, but it’s a little early to tell.  There is an old frontal boundary out there.  So perhaps it is trying to interact with it.  The system is a minimal hurricane with  winds around 75mph.  It has finally picked up speed as it is moving north at 12mph.

Cristobal Forecast

Cristobal Forecast

The hurricane is forecast to move north/northeast over the next 48 hours.  It is also forecast to intensify with sustained winds of 90mph by early Thursday morning.  This will be fairly close to category 2 status (96mph).  The latest track looks like it will miss Bermuda.  However, they are likely to see some big waves.  They may see a few high wind gusts too.  The waves could be 10-15ft or higher there.  Meanwhile the waves will also travel west.  So we’ll see waves of 4-5ft near the Virginia coast tomorrow.  There may be some waves to 6-8 ft over the Outer Banks of North Carolina.

Wave Forecast

Wave Forecast

This will keep the rip current threat high through Thursday.  However, by Thursday the system will be moving farther away.  So the waves will steadily decrease into the weekend.  Cristobal will head to the north Atlantic, and will become extratropical by that time.  There is a high confidence in it’s current track as many of the models are in good agreement.

Forecast Models

Forecast Models

One last thing before I go.   The “Farmer’s Almanac” forecast is out for the upcoming Winter.  It is calling for another cold Winter for much of the U.S (snowy over much of it too).  Here’s the link with more info: Farmer’s Almanac Forecast.  I’ll try to give my forecast for the Winter sometime over the next month or two.  For now I do think it will be an early Fall and (maybe) an early Winter.  We’ll see.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 

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