1 Quiet Day…And Then…..August 20th, 2014 at 8:46 am by Jeremy Wheeler under Weather
Most folks would have considered yesterday quiet. However, if you were up on the lower Eastern Shore, then you may have had to head to higher ground. My weather watcher Doris in Machipongo said that she was out driving and she saw some of the heaviest rain that she’s ever seen in her life. Here was the view on the satellite/radar.
When she got back home she said that she had 2.5″ of rain, but more likely fell north of her home. Notice the rest of the region just had some scattered light showers. So most folks had a quiet afternoon. Today we will be in-between systems. One weak area of low pressure is moving offshore. Another is forming over the Midwest.
Notice too that a cool front has passed through the region. So we are looking good today. Skies will be partly cloudy. We’ll have highs in the low 80s near the shore with mid 80s inland. Winds will be northeast at 8-12mph with a stronger breeze near the shore. By tomorrow the cool front will pass back north as a warm front. Dun dun duhhh. So we’ll have some scattered showers and a few storms in the region.
Despite the front, the models aren’t showing much rain for tomorrow. I put our chance for rain at 40%. High temps will aim for the mid-upper 80s. However, an area of low pressure will form along the front on Friday as it stalls out near the region. So the rain chances will increase. We’ll see a few lingering showers on Saturday, but I’m a bit dubious as it looks (to me) like the system will be moving out to sea. Stay tuned for updates. Sunday still looks good regardless.
Speaking of updates. There is an update in the tropics. There is a cluster of thunderstorms near the Lesser Antilles that is likely to develop into a tropical depression or storm over the next few days. Currently it is a couple hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles and is moving west. It is forecast to develop and move into the Caribbean.
Some models have it going into the Gulf of Mexico and even possibly becoming a hurricane. We’ll be monitoring this tropical feature over the next few days to see where it goes. Unlike other recent systems the global models actually do something with Invest 96. So we’ll see what happens.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler