Showers & Storms Likely TodayAugust 12th, 2014 at 9:09 am by Jeremy Wheeler under Weather
A couple of things are working together to increase our rain chances today. We have already had some scattered showers this morning. It was rather heavy near Hatteras, NC to the Rodanthe area.
Along with ample moisture pooling into the region, we also have a warm front to our south. The front will move into the region this afternoon.
Southeast winds will prevail. They’ll run about 10-15mph. We are expecting lots of clouds today. Despite this, high temperatures are forecast to rise up to the mid 80s. This should help to create a little instability in the atmosphere. Also, there will be some upper level winds moving into the region that will be able to support some strong storms. So because of this, part of our area is under a slight risk for severe weather.
The main threat will be strong straight-lined winds, but an isolated tornado is not out of the question. Large hail and heavy rain will also be possible. Don’t rule out of couple of strong storms south of the slight risk area. Here is what our Future Trak computer model shows for 3pm:
Rain will continue into tonight and early tomorrow as a cold front pushes in from the west. This front will keep the rain chances in for tomorrow morning, but the front and the rain should push east of us by midday.
In fact the rain should push out by mid-morning Wednesday. We are looking at about a quarter to half inch of rain in general, but if you get under some of the downpours, then you will likely see over an inch of rain. Once the front pushes through, then the winds will flip around to northwesterly. They won’t be too strong, but eventually they will pull in some drier air. Highs will still be warm though as sunshine breaks out during the afternoon. So we’ll see mid 80s again. On Thursday and Friday we are looking good. We’ll have drier air moving in, and highs will be in the low 80s. Lows will be in the 60s. It will be more great weather. For now things look good next weekend. One model shows a couple of stray showers on Saturday, but it is a pretty low chance. Stay tuned.
With the recent full moon and the persistent east-southeast winds, there has been some nuisance tidal flooding lately. This will happen around midday today and midnight tonight, but it shouldn’t be too bad. It should be between 3.75 ft and 4 ft at Sewell’s Point. For reference, minor tidal flooding there starts at 4.5 ft.
I didn’t mention the tropics during the newscast, but that is because the chance for development has dropped. There is still a small cluster of thunderstorms in the eastern Atlantic that may develop, but it is a small chance for now.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler