More Rain, Bertha, And Waves

August 4th, 2014 at 8:49 am by under Weather

**11 AM Bertha Update Below**

Things have been pretty soggy for the past few days.  I’ve actually grown to like cool, cloudy, and rainy days.  I guess that’s a result of living in the Southeast for the past 15 years.  We have had some decent rain totals lately.  Some areas have had over 2″ of rain.

Rain Totals Fri-Sun

Rain Totals Fri-Sun

My Weather watcher, Brian in Smithfield, has had over 2″ of rain.  Yesterday the rain was confined to northeast North Carolina and a little over the Southside.  Today the rain is forecast to push back north along a stationary front.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

The rain is forecast to pick up through the late morning and early afternoon.  The chance will be highest south/southeast and lowest north of the metro.  It is very humid outside.  High temps will be in the upper 70s to near 80. Winds will be light and easterly.

Tomorrow the front will turn into a cold front.  This will move east/southeast, and it will help to keep tropical storm Bertha out to sea.  Also the upper level winds should help to keep Bertha away.  So the forecast for Bertha is to move about half way between Hatteras and Bermuda.

Bertha Forecast

Bertha Forecast

Bertha is now forecast to become a hurricane within the next 24 hours.  Wind shear has already decreased and is forecast to decrease even more.  Also the Gulf Stream is providing for plenty of warm ocean water.  The confidence is high in the forecast track.  The forecast models are all in pretty good agreement.

Forecast Models

Forecast Models

Bertha will eventually move north of Bermuda into the north Atlantic and will become extratropical by Friday.  While the winds will stay offshore from Bertha, it will increase the wave heights and rip current threat in the region.  So keep that in mind if you are going to the beach over the next couple of days.  Today it is a moderate threat, but it will be high by tomorrow.  Waves are about 2 feet today (maybe up to 3), but they will rise to 2-5ft tomorrow into Wednesday.  There might be some 5-6 footers down towards the Outer Banks.   Surfers should be happy.

11 AM Update: Bertha is now a category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 80mph.

Hurricane Bertha

Hurricane Bertha

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

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