High Humidity And Tropical Depression 2July 22nd, 2014 at 8:13 am by Jeremy Wheeler under Weather
I’ll start off talking about the tropics since that is the hotter topic right now. I say that, but keep in mind that we are only talking about a tropical depression. Yesterday was interesting. I’m not criticizing, but…yesterday morning the National Hurricane Center had the area as a 10% chance for development. By the mid morning it was a 50% chance. Then by the midday it was 70%. Finally, the area was classified as a depression during the afternoon. That’s a big jump in a short period of time. In their defense the system did organize during that time. So today tropical depression number 2 is breezing westward over the central Atlantic Ocean.
T.D. 2 is moving west at 16mph. It had sustained winds of 35mph. The system is hitting some pretty dry air, and it is moving at a decent speed. So the latest forecast keeps the system weak through Thursday. Then the system is forecast to die out or become a remnant low near the Lesser Antilles.
It’s possible that it could die out sooner, but it does have a few strong thunderstorms near the center this morning. So we’ll see. There is a pretty high confidence in the forecast as the models are in good agreement over the strength and path.
Locally, we have some pretty quiet weather. We have had some scattered showers since last night. As they moved up from the south, a lot of them fell apart. This as they encountered an area of high pressure that sits to our north.
Despite a small difference between temperatures on each side of the front, the humidity is thick both north and south of it. The exception is the Eastern Shore.
We’ll see some scattered showers over North Carolina today with isolated showers over Virginia. Highs will be in the mid 80s. Winds are from the east at 5-10mph. Tomorrow the winds will be out of the south. So high temps will rise to near 90. We’ll have some scattered showers and storms in the afternoon, but not a high chance for rain. A cold front will move in from the Midwest late Thursday into early Friday. So a line of showers and storms is expected then. We’ll cool down from 93 on Thursday to 85 for a high on Friday. We’ll dry out by Friday afternoon, and we’ll stay dry through Saturday. A few showers will try to return on Sunday with some heat returning as well.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler