How Will Arthur Impact You?

July 3rd, 2014 at 7:10 pm by under Weather

*9 PM Update: Arthur is now a category 2 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 100 mph.

The latest track from the National Hurricane Center has shifted a little bit more to west. This means that Hatteras Island along with the rest of the Outer Banks will get hit with the strongest part of the storm shortly after midnight. Remember the strongest part of the storm is the right front quadrant. Isolated tornadoes are also a threat within the right front quadrant, which is why a Tornado Watch has been issued for Mainland Dare County and Outer Banks Dare County until 2 AM.

Arthur's Track

Arthur’s Track

I’m showing you this wide view of Arthur and the cold front to the west because the cold front is very important to the forecast. This cold front will be moving through Hampton Roads overnight sparking off numerous showers and storms across the region. As the tropical moisture moves in, the potential for heavy rain will go up as well. Upper level winds ahead of the front are blowing from southwest to northeast, so these winds are going to push Arthur to the northeast or out to sea by late Friday morning.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Here is a close-up of Arthur on Super Doppler 10 Live. Storm is looking healthy and there is a well-defined eye south of the North Carolina coast.

Super Doppler 10 Radar

Super Doppler 10 Radar

Arthur is moving to the NNE at 15mph so the center should be near Hatteras around 2 AM. That means the strongest wind will move in before then, closer to around midnight for the Outer Banks and closer to 4-6 AM for Virginia.

I am going to break down what you can expect across your area over the next 12-24 hours.

Outer Banks including Hatteras Island, Rodanthe, Nags Head, Kill Devil Hills, Kitty Hawk and Corolla:

  • Sustained winds between 80-90 mph with gusts ranging from 100-110 for 4-6 hours
  • Rain Totals: 2″-5″
  • Waves: 14-20 feet
  • Storm Surge: 3-6 feet

Highway 12 will definitely see overwash and will likely be impassable down toward Rodanthe. Expect beach erosion. Prepare for widespread power outages.  We will likely see sound side flooding Friday morning. If you did not evacuate, make sure you have a hurricane kit ready in case power is out for hours/days. Secure your boat, board up your windows and make sure your cell phone is charged.

 Inland Northeast North Carolina:

  • Sustained winds between 40-50 mph with gusts up to 60 mph for 4-6 hours (Elizabeth City and points east)
  • Sustained winds between 20-30 mph with higher gusts for 4-6 hours. (West of Elizabeth City)
  • Rain Totals: 2″-4″

Bring in any loose patio furniture, garbage cans or anything that can be picked up by the wind. Prepare for scattered power outages and make sure your cell phone is charged.

Coastal Virginia, including Virginia Beach, Norfolk, Chesapeake and Portsmouth:

  • Sustained winds between 35-45 with gusts up to 50 mph for 4-6 hours
  • Rain Totals: 1″-3″
  • Waves: 10-15 feet

Bring in any loose patio furniture, garbage cans or anything that can be picked up by the wind. Prepare for scattered power outages and make sure your cell phone is charged.

Inland Virginia (including Suffolk, Franklin), the Peninsula, Middle Peninsula and the Eastern Shore

  • Sustained winds between 25-35mph with gusts up to 45 mph for 4-6 hours
  • Rain Totals: 1″-3″

Bring in any loose patio furniture, garbage cans or anything that can be picked up by the wind. Prepare for scattered power outages and make sure your cell phone is charged.

We are not too concerned about tidal flooding across the Hampton Roads cities as the worst of the storm will be moving through during low tide, which is around 6:30-8:30 AM Friday. However we could see localized street flooding where the heaviest rain bands set up due to Arthur or the cold front moving eastward. Stay tuned!

 

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 

 

13 Responses to “How Will Arthur Impact You?”

  1. Doug says:

    How is the storm picking up strength as it is making landfall? Don’t they usually lose energy over land?

    1. Tiffany Savona WAVY says:

      It is making landfall across the Outer Banks, so there is not that much land there to interact with. Plus there is still a lot of water nearby, Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds. -Tiffany

    2. Earl fitchett says:

      Eye is over ocracoke…winds have died down…no flooding at our house thus far.

  2. Nathan Hill says:

    That was a superb breakdown. It covered all the data an average viewer wants to know. Thank you.

    1. Tiffany Savona WAVY says:

      Thanks so much! -Tiffany

  3. Angela Horton says:

    Just curious why this guy keeps telling the Tiffany that she can take over but he keeps jumping in and taking over the weather broadcast!!!!
    Kind of feels like he is being a camera hog! I have been watching him for many years and I feel like maybe he wants to pass the baton but maybe he is holding on a little too tight!

  4. Dee Jae says:

    Will Arthur have any affect on the Eastern Shore of Virginia at all?

    1. Tiffany Savona WAVY says:

      Yes it will. I included the Eastern Shore in my breakdown in my blog.
      Eastern Shore impacts:

      Sustained winds between 25-35mph with gusts up to 45 mph for 4-6 hours
      Rain Totals: 1″-3″

      1. Elizabeth says:

        Is there some reason you all generally leave out any mention on air of the Eastern Shore? It is of particular concern to know if the brunt of any storm will be on the bayside or seaside, in order to decide how far one must move vehicles out of harm’s way. And, once vehicles have been moved, we are stuck where we are, since there are no provisions for anyone with pets.

  5. [...] Check this out if you didn’t see this update from Tiffany earlier: http://blogs.wavy.com/2014/07/03/how-will-arthur-impact-you/ [...]

  6. [...] Blog: How will Hurricane Arthur impact YOU? [...]

  7. Jill says:

    How about showing more of the sound damage and flooding? During Hurricane Irene Soundside Road flooded (just south of Jockey’s Ridge) and two houses in the sound were destroyed. I’m wondering how it faired this time.

  8. Flash Johnson says:

    “Sustained winds between 35-45 with gusts up to 50 mph for 4-6 hours”

    Starting when?

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