Arthur A Little Stronger TonightJuly 1st, 2014 at 9:26 pm by Tiffany Savona WAVY under Weather
Tropical Storm Arthur continues to strengthen over the warm waters near Florida. Maximum sustained winds are now up to 50mph and the latest forecast track from the National Hurricane Center has Arthur becoming a category 1 hurricane as early as Thursday afternoon. That is a little bit earlier than the previous update.
The latest forecast models have trended a little bit more east with their solutions. Now most of the spaghetti plots are just east of Hatteras. The farther east this storm goes, the less of an impact it will have on us. We will have to see if this trends holds. Sometimes these spaghetti plots go back and forth.
Here are the possible tracks and impacts with Arthur. If Arthur tracks west of Hatteras, then we will see more of an impact, especially along the Outer Banks.
Notice the areas highlighted in yellow and orange. This is where the heaviest rain and strongest winds will be located. The Outer Banks, parts of Northeastern North Carolina and coastal areas of Virginia could see heavy rain and tropical storm force winds. If Arthur does become a hurricane, then we could see hurricane force winds (74mph and higher) along the Outer Banks. Inland sections of Virgina and North Carolina will still see rain and wind, but wind speeds will likely be less than tropical storm force strength.
If Arthur tracks east of Hatteras, then the worst of the storm will stay out to sea.
The yellow area shows the heaviest rain and strongest winds staying offshore. We will still see rain and gusty winds, but winds will likely stay below 40mph.
We are still 3 days out, so the track will shift. Right now, you should have a hurricane kit ready to go. Find out what to put in your hurricane kit here. If you plan on traveling, it may be a good idea to leave early if possible, to beat the worst of the weather Thursday night into Friday morning. Have a back-up plan in place for any outdoor activities that are planned. Folks along the Outer Banks need to prepare for possible evacuations just in case this storm takes a more western route.
11 PM Update: The National Hurricane Center has shifted the track slightly to the east.
Meteorologist Jeremy Wheeler will have another update on WAVY News 10 starting at 4:30 tomorrow morning.
-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona