Quick Monday Update

May 12th, 2014 at 8:31 am by under Weather

I was actually going to skip a blog this morning as meteorologist Tiffany Savona did such a good job last night with a blog that  covers the overall pattern/forecast.  But then I felt I should do a quick update about rain chances for later today.  The big system is in the Midwest. An area of low pressure there has caused a lot of severe storms lately.  Warm/humid air has been blowing in out ahead of it.  On the back side of the system there it is cold enough for some Spring-time snow showers.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Meanwhile closer to home we have a nice area of high pressure.  This will give us a lot of sunshine today.  Highs will be in the upper 80s to low 90s with low/mid 80s near the shore. Now the update comes from that small batch of showers and storms moving into West Virginia.  Earlier this morning the models has most of this breaking up as it moved towards our region.  I mentioned that it could create a stray shower north of the metro.  Since then some of the models show these showers holding together a little better and trying to move into our region late in the day.  I think our Future Trak model has a good handle on it.  Here’s what it shows for 3pm this afternoon.

Future Trak (3pm)

Future Trak (3pm)

It brings in a couple of those showers into the metro area by around 7pm, but most of them die off before then. Keep in mind there are a couple other models which now bring the showers closer to Hampton Roads and a little sooner.  So while I still think most of the showers will stay north of the metro area, I have increased the rain chance from 0% to 10% later today with a 20-30% north of the metro area.  The big system out west will move closer to us later this week.  So there is no doubt that the rain chances will increase between Wednesday to Friday.

Rain Chances

Rain Chances

I put the chance for rain on Friday at 80%.  So stay tuned for updates this week about that storm system.  Until then enjoy the warm weather.  That is all!  Jeremy out!

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

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