Severe Rising

April 29th, 2014 at 8:59 am by under Weather

It was a rough day for many folks in the eastern United States yesterday.  There was a tornado outbreak over several states in the southeast.  About 58 tornadoes were reported with the bulk of them over Mississippi and Alabama.

Storm Reports

Storm Reports

The center of the storm still lies to the north up around Iowa.  However, a big stream of moisture and strong upper level winds is coming up ahead of it from the Gulf of Mexico and is pushing up into Ohio.
This is where the focus will be for storms today.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Rain will increase across our area through the day.  Showers and storms will form along a warm front this afternoon into the evening.

Today's Forecast

Today’s Forecast

It was a warm front that caused the focus for the severe weather last Friday. (It was not the only cause).  So our area is in a slight risk for severe weather this afternoon and evening.  Strong winds and hail will be the main threat.  However, an isolated tornado in the region is possible.  The higher chance for severe weather will lie just west of us, but we will have to be on the lookout.  Here is what our Future Trak computer model shows this for this evening.

Future Trak (5 pm )

Future Trak (5 pm )

Temperatures won’t warm up too much today, but we are trending warmer. Highs will be in the upper 60s, but that may not happen until this evening after the front passes.  Winds will be easterly at 10-15mph, then they’ll turn a little more out of the southeast.

Tonight the rain will taper off.  We’ll see some scattered showers and a few storms.  We’ll almost see a repeat tomorrow, but it was start and end warmer.  Lows will be in the 60s.  Highs will be in the upper 70s.  We’ll have some scattered rain showers in the morning with scattered strong storms tomorrow afternoon.  Tomorrow the layer of deep humidity will run right through the east coast.  With the warmer temperatures, higher humidity, and stronger upper level winds winds we’ll see an enhanced threat for severe weather.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

I wouldn’t be surprised if part of our area gets put under a moderate risk for severe.  The Storm Prediction Center in Norman Oklahoma puts out these risks along with watches.  They try to outline the areas where there is an elevated risk for severe storms and/or tornadoes.  The storm system will slowly move east.  We will still have a chance for storms on Thursday.  Maybe strong storms again.  However, the cold front is expected to move through by Thursday evening.  So Friday should be more stable.  Highs will be near 80 on Thursday before the front arrives.  It will cool to the 70s on Friday.  The front may stall just offshore.  So I have a slight chance for a shower on Friday.  We still look drier this weekend. Highs will be in the 70s.

So far we’ve picked up about a half inch up to an inch and a half in the region.

Rain Totals

Rain Totals

My weather watcher Greg in Currituck NC had 1.5″.  Doris on the Eastern Shore had 0.5″.  Henry in Denbigh on the Peninsula had 0.75″ of rain.  Today we’ll see another half inch to an inch and a half.  Some locations will see 2-3″ over the next 48 hours.  So some localized flooding will be possible.  Especially on Wednesday.  Stay tuned.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

3 Responses to “Severe Rising”

  1. bonnie says:

    good morning,

    when are we going to have normal weather? These last couple of months have been rough, between freezing to boiling its been rough! Along with the pollen Phew!

    I’d like to say the team has been doing a great job keeping the viewers informed. keep up the great job

    bonnie

    1. Jeremy Wheeler says:

      Thanks Bonnie. I hear ya. I’m ready for some quiet weather. Maybe over the next couple of weeks. Fingers crossed. Jeremy

  2. K. Wallace says:

    As I watch the weather on your station I regularly get the impression that those of us who live in NC are consistently a peripheral thought. When we had the tornadoes Saturday I felt that the attention and warning to our region was lacking and now that I see the aftermath I feel it is confirmed. I understand you are here now, but that is because it is “news worthy”. I hope that you will you will look in to this and see if I am correct in my continuing observation. Thank you.

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