Who Ordered This Weather?

March 24th, 2014 at 8:44 am by under Weather

Alright snow lovers… Fess up?  Who called for all this wintry weather?  I actually did have a person ask for more snow the other day.  His identity will remain anonymous for his safety.  When we start a typical Winter, I would say that about 70% of the viewers want at least some snow for the area.  By the time we hit the end of Winter I would say that number goes down to about 30-40%.  I would say this year that the number of people is down to about 15.  That’s people, not percent.  Folks are ready for Spring.  The good news is that the long-term forecast looks warmer.  The bad news is that we do have a chance for a rain/snow mix over the next 24 hours.  Ayyyy!

This last weekend started great.  We saw highs well into the 70s on Saturday.  Then we had temps in the 50s and 60s yesterday.  By the evening the temperatures dropped.  A strong cold front moved through and created rain showers along with some sleet and a few snow flakes.  Now the front has passed well to our south, and our temperatures have fallen into the 20s and 30s.  Very cold start when you factor-in that our average low temperatures are in the 40s.  We are likely not even going to get above 40 today in Norfolk.

Today's Forecast

Today’s Forecast

High pressure will provide for a lot of sunshine, but winds will be out of the north at 10-15mph with gusts up to 25mph.  If we’re lucky then highs will reach the mid 40s inland, but some the models keep coastal temps in the upper 30s.

Tonight we’ll cloud up as an offshore low develops to the southeast of Wilmington N.C.  Lows will be near 30 with a light southeast wind.  Tomorrow we may see a few showers and sleet pellets between 10am and noon.  Through the afternoon we’ll mostly see a cold rain with a few sleet pellets as the low pushes north and the moisture pushes in.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

Notice that in tomorrow’s forecast that the high will be west of our region.  The low will be moving quickly to the north/northeast.  This will allow for a more easterly wind than a northeast one during the afternoon.  That is not an ideal setup for snow.  In fact a lot of the computer models have really backed off the chance for snow for the region.  Here is what our Future Trak model shows for the evening:

Future Trak (Tue 8 PM)

Future Trak (Tue 8 PM)

Notice the small area of blue (snow) on the map.  During the day it will be cold enough for snow in the upper levels, but the lower level temps will be well above freezing.  Highs tomorrow are forecast to be in the low/mid 40s.  So we could see a brief mix of rain and snow tomorrow evening, and it may end as a few flurries or light snow showers tomorrow night.  However, it doesn’t look like there will be much.  In fact I have a snowfall forecast map, but I’m not going to show it in this blog.  I had a dusting up to a half inch from the Middle Peninsula and Northern Neck over to Accomack county, but I’m currently doubting that we’ll even see that.   By tomorrow night the low will quickly move northeast and will strengthen quite a bit.  We could see a few flurries or light snow showers on the back side of the low, but we’ll dry out in the overnight.  Meanwhile it will start to bring snowy and windy weather to some of the northeast states.

By Wednesday we’ll be drying out again.  It will still be chilly, and the winds will increase out of the northwest.  Highs will be in the 40s.  The good news is that we’ll warm up to the 50s and 60s going into the weekend.  We’ll see 50s and 60s continue into next weekend, but there will be a chance for rain on Friday and Saturday.  That is unless the models push the rain back into Sunday like they have on many of the past weekends.  The great news though is that the long term forecast looks like it will stay warm for a while.  I think we’ll see a stretch of warmer temperatures for about 10 days or more if we’re lucky.  A back door front could form and cool things down, but it likely wouldn’t be a cold Arctic blast like we’ve seen lately.  The winds may be changing.  Seasonal wind change has been followed for thousands of years.  In fact the Greeks built a “Tower Of The Winds” which represented the typical weather you would get from a specific wind direction.  This was build in Athens, Greece between 100 and 50 B.C. It was an octagonal building that had a different figure on each side representing the weather you would get with each wind direction.  Here is a link with more info and a picture: Tower of the winds.    Lets hope that the winds catch up to the calendar.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

3 Responses to “Who Ordered This Weather?”

  1. David Karlson says:

    I did and got a lot more ordered. Bring on all the snow.

  2. [...] Jeremy Wheeler wrote a great blog this morning on Tuesday’s storm. I am writing a quick evening update. The overall thinking has not changed that much with the storm [...]

  3. Mark Woloshin says:

    Hey – update your forecast. It’s frickin snowing in Yorktown! Been snowing since 2pm!

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