Nice Today; Is Winter Really Over Yet?

March 15th, 2014 at 10:01 am by under Weather
Another Nice Sunrise Today

Another Nice Sunrise Today

We had another nice sunrise today with the passing clouds we had overnight. For today, mostly sunny skies with a nice breeze is what I would count on. High temperatures should be near 70 degrees. Tonight we will see mostly clear skies with lows near 42.

Tomorrow is the day to watch as we have another storm system to track.

Future Trak @ 5pm

Future Trak @ 5pm

For the majority of the day we will see cloudy skies with a strong northeast wind at 10-20mph. I am not expecting any rain until 4-5pm. For the Shamrock Marathon in Virginia Beach, it will be dry and cool tomorrow morning.

Future Trak @ 8pm

Future Trak @ 8pm

As more moisture moves in from the south, the cold air will change the type of precip from rain to snow for the Hampton Roads cities and even for the Eastern Shore. Some other models have the colder air further to the north, meaning more rain and less snow.

Future Trak @ 6am Monday

Future Trak @ 6am Monday

The storm starts to wrap up around midday on Monday. Snow totals from this latest run of Future Trak are high:

Future Trak Snow Totals

Future Trak Snow Totals

I like what the model is doing for the Middle Peninsula and the Eastern Shore, but I think it is going too high for the Peninsula and Southside. There are two factors I want to point out: 1. The Soil temperatures are warmer which will “eat” some of the snow that falls on it. 2. For the areas I just mentioned, the majority of the precip type will be sleet which is more compact than snow.

My Snow Total Map

My Snow Total Map

Right now, I am being cautious with my totals and trying to find a nice blend between all of the models I looked at this morning. I am also thinking of factors 1 & 2 that I just talked about. This map is subject to more change. Keep an eye our for an update from Tiffany tonight.

Bread & Milk Index: 3 Out of 5

Bread & Milk Index: 3 Out of 5

I kept the index at a 3/5 today just because the confidence is still low on how much snow we may actually get, or not get. It’s still not a bad idea to get the supplies before tomorrow evening. Also, there is a chance we could see additional rain and if it is cold enough, snow again Tuesday.

Regardless of the forecast for this week, lets enjoy the 70 degree weather today!

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson

One Response to “Nice Today; Is Winter Really Over Yet?”

  1. [...] ground temperatures are very warm, especially after a 70° day today. Jeff talked about this in his blog he wrote earlier today. So, it will be hard for the wintry precipitation to overcome the warm [...]

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