Storm Will Arrive A Few Hours Earlier

February 12th, 2014 at 2:19 pm by under Weather

After looking a the latest radar trends and viewer reports, the snow has already arrived across North Carolina. Many folks have reported light snow/flurries in Edenton, Hertford and Elizabeth City.

Super Doppler 10 Radar

Super Doppler 10 Radar

Yesterday the computer models had most of the precipitation moving in just after the evening commute across the metro. We were worried about the possibility of the rain/snow moving in earlier and that is what is happening so far. Our latest Future Trak model is picking up on where the rain/snow is right now, so I am putting a lot of trust in it for the afternoon solution. It is also agreeing with the hi-resolution models too. Notice that the snow moves into the Southside and Peninsula by 4 PM.

Future Trak at 4 PM

Future Trak at 4 PM

So with the rain and snow moving in earlier, this will affect the evening commute. Here is what Future Trak is showing at 6 PM.

Future Trak at 6 PM

Future Trak at 6 PM

Keep in mind that the rain/snow line can shift and that can make all the different between wet roads and snowy roads. Right now temperatures across most areas are in the lower 30s. These temperatures should rise above freezing later this evening. But it looks like the snow will start up before temperatures rise above freezing, which will allow the snow to accumulate quickly. This is an evolving system and we are continuing to watch for any changes, as any little changes could make a big difference.

Here is the latest forecast snow totals map. Keep in mind that these are accumulations that we could see before the rain moves in and melts the snow. We will likely not even have any snow leftover by tomorrow morning.

Snow Forecast

Snow Forecast

Best advice is to try and stay off the roads this evening, since we will have a mixed bag of precipitation across the region. Meteorologists Don Slater, Jeff Edmondson and I are all here this afternoon tracking the snow/sleet/rain. Please send any photos to reportit@wavy.com. Feel free to post any snow/sleet reports on our Facebook page or you can tweet them to us @WAVY_Weather. Thanks again!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 

20 Responses to “Storm Will Arrive A Few Hours Earlier”

  1. Melissa says:

    It’s been snowing and sticking here in Elizabeth City since about 1pm. It doesn’t look like your models are showing that which has be worried about their accuracy for the rest of the afternoon/evening.

  2. Mike says:

    Do you think the deform band hits us with more thurs night?

    http://models.weatherbell.com/news/wrf_2014021212_ref_nmm_east.gif

  3. Amy says:

    Hi Wavy Crew! Is it possible for the rain/snow line to shift south/southeast? I’m hoping for some more snow near the coast (VA/NC border)

  4. barbara passink says:

    Holiday island here, We have White Yards already Mercy enough is enough ;-)

  5. Janell says:

    Hello. I know you’re busy watching Pax, but are there any more storms out there that you have your eye on that could bring more snow to the area?

  6. JM says:

    its snowing in Gates NC, got a heavy dusting so far on the ground

  7. Ken Larsen says:

    Seeing a few snow flurries in Smithfield now at 3:08pm

  8. glory white says:

    It’s snowing so hard in belvidere nc, you can hardly see the houses across the road, we have over an inch here.

  9. Kayla says:

    It was snowing in diamond springs area of VB around 3. Seems to have picked up quite a but since then.

  10. MrBlackwater says:

    Its been snowing here in blackwater since 2…and most of the ground is covered and still snowing hard at 5

  11. Nick says:

    Snowing like mad in Southern Chesapeake!!!!

  12. Diane says:

    NO! Stay away rain! I don’t want the snow to melt!

  13. Mike says:

    Already have 5 inches here in Newport news… Has the storm shifted or something? Seems like the forecast is pretty far off from the actual!

    1. Tiffany Savona WAVY says:

      There was a snow burst that moved through and generated its own cold air. So temperatures remained below freezing and heavy snow accumulated quickly.

  14. Kristin says:

    The roads got REALLY bad REALLY fast here in Williamsburg. By the time 6pm rolled around they were incredibly slick and hard to drive on. Let’s hope the rain comes through and washes it away … I certainly don’t want to drive in this tomorrow morning!

    1. Tiffany Savona WAVY says:

      Snow should change to rain around 9-10 PM for Williamsburg

  15. Dave says:

    Coming down pretty decent in the Greenbrier area. So, how about that global warming?

  16. [...] my earlier blog, I talked about how the snow was moving in a few hours earlier and it did. The evening commute was [...]

  17. [...] my earlier blog, I talked about how the snow was moving in a few hours earlier and it did. The evening commute was [...]

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