Snow Chances This WeekFebruary 9th, 2014 at 8:37 pm by Tiffany Savona WAVY under Weather
Well…get ready for another round of cold weather and the chance for wintry precipitation this week. Computer models have changed drastically since just yesterday. Today, computer models have been hinting at the possibility of snow showers tomorrow afternoon. Models have also changed the timing of our mid-week storm. First things first…lets talk about the forecast for tonight and Monday. We are tracking a cold front which will move through Hampton Roads after midnight tonight. Before then, we may see a few rain showers develop across the region. If the rain develops, it will be on the light side. Temperatures should drop into the upper 30s around midnight, which will likely be our high temperature for Monday, because temperatures should slowly fall throughout the day. With a northerly breeze between 10-20mph, wind chill values will be in the 20s much of the afternoon.
We will have the cold air in place on Monday. Computer models are now showing a pocket of upper level energy that will swing through the region Monday afternoon/evening. This means we will have the chance for scattered snow showers between 3-8 PM tomorrow.
Notice that our Future Track model paints the snow across the Southside and North Carolina. I think we could see the snow develop anywhere across Hampton Roads or North Carolina tomorrow. We are not expecting much in the way of accumulation, but I bet some locations could see a dusting up to 1 inch of snow. Our Future Trak model is in line with this thinking. Keep in mind that the snow could be coming down during the evening commute, which could distract drivers.
After tomorrow, our attention shifts to our mid-week storm. Yesterday, computers models showed snow developing on Tuesday. I talked about some of the models taking a more southerly track and that is exactly what is happening. This means the storm won’t impact us until early Wednesday. So Tuesday will be dry, but cold with highs only in the low 30s. Wednesday’s forecast is going to be very tricky and will probably change a few more times before we get there. Our latest update of our Future Trak Long-Range model has snow for inland locations and a rain/snow mix for coastal spots.
This mix zone is extremely hard to forecast and will have a big impact on snow totals. Any shift of the mix zone will completely change the forecast, so expect this zone to waffle north and south over the next few days as the models get a better handle on this storm system. It is all going to depend on where the area of low pressure forms. If we see more rain, snow totals will be cut down significantly. If we see more sleet/freezing rain, then roads will become icy and travel will become more difficult. There are still a lot of “ifs” with this forecast, so stay tuned.
All computer models are agreeing that inland locations will have the best chance for accumulating snow. It is too early to talk about exact amounts, but you can see that darker colors indicate more snow or higher snow totals.
The computer models have been all over the place over the past few days. I wouldn’t be surprised if we see more big changes this week. I will have another update on WAVY News 10 at 11 and Meteorologist Jeremy Wheeler will be on WAVY News 10 starting at 4:30 AM Monday morning. Stay tuned! It is going to be another busy week in the world of weather.
-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona