October Heat Wave

October 2nd, 2013 at 8:44 am by under Weather

It started yesterday.  We hit 80 degrees at Norfolk International Airport (as predicted).  Today will be even warmer.  We started warmer this morning with lows in the 60s mostly.  As we get into the afternoon we’ll see lots of sunshine as high pressure is in control:

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

High temperatures are aiming for the mid 80s this afternoon with light westerly winds.  Some inland locations will get to the upper 80s.

Forecast High Temps

Forecast High Temps

There won’t be much change in the weather pattern over the next few days.  So we will stay warm and dry all the way into the weekend.  Highs will be in the low/mid 80s with a few upper 80s inland.  A cold front is expected to come in by early next week and cool things down a bit.  Now, I’m hoping we pull in some moisture ahead of the front.  Otherwise our rain chances will be pretty low.  Thankfully there may be some help from the tropics.

We are still watching the cluster of storms that is south of Cuba. It looks like the thunderstorms have intensified, but it is still disorganized.

Tropical Disturbance

Tropical Disturbance

It is fighting a little dry air over the Gulf of Mexico, but it will probably overcome this.  The water temperatures are plenty warm.  The models still send this feature northward.  The GFS takes it up towards the Gulf Coast states as a depression, and then merges it with a cold front.  The moisture looks like it will feed in ahead of the front.  This is towards Monday into Tuesday.  The European model keeps it more disorganized, but generally does the same thing.  Again, as I mentioned yesterday you’ll want to stay tuned on this one.  I’ve seen many surprises form over the Gulf of Mexico.  Hurricane Humberto (2007) comes to mind.

Last, and basically least…there is tropical storm Jerry.  It has barely been hanging on as a tropical storm over the central Atlantic.  Sustained winds were held at 40 mph. It has been drifting around for about 24 hours.   The storm is forecast to start moving northeast and weaken over cooler waters during the next couple of days.

Tropical Satellite

Tropical Satellite

It is no threat to land, and it may fall apart sooner than later.  It is so weak that it won’t even bring us any waves to the east coast.   We are well past the peak of hurricane season.  Usually by mid-October we can write off the tropics as far as Hampton Roads is concerned. Last year was an exception with Sandy.

On a final note…I found this interesting story about jellyfish. Apparently in Sweden there was a power plant on the Baltic Sea coast that had to shut down because a bunch of jellies clogged up a pipe for the cooling intake.  This story from the New York Times: Jellyfish At Plant

Meteorologist: Jeremy wheeler

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