Local Changes And IPCC Leaks?August 22nd, 2013 at 8:55 am by Jeremy Wheeler under Weather
Wow! Is that heat that I feel? Yesterday we got up to a whopping 86 degrees at Norfolk International Airport. (Some sarcasm implied). I will say that it did feel closer to 90 with the heat index. Today and tomorrow we will be in the upper 80s to near 90, but a nice cool down (not too cool) is on the way for the weekend. Truthfully though, it’s nice to have some more heat for a while. It’s too early to feel like Fall. And if this is what our Summer is doing, then imagine what Fall will be like. Could we see snow by November??? That was rhetorical. I am forecasting for an early Fall this year. There has been a lot of heat in the Western U.S. and also in Alaska. However, there has been a lot of cooler weather across parts of Canada and central/eastern U.S.
I mentioned in yesterday’s blog that there were some very cool spots in the Atlantic. Our Bay temperature is currently in the mid 70s, but if we get a few cool nights in a row, then that can easily drop to near 70. I imagine many rivers and lakes across the eastern U.S. are running cool too. So unless some crazy weather pattern develops, I think we will go into September and October pretty cool. Now if we could just lower the humidity…
On the same note of climate, there has been a recent story about a recent leak from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) about their upcoming report. There were several things in the article, and I am paraphrasing here. Basically it says in the report that they believe that humans are now 95% responsible for Global Warming. They do claim that there was a pause in the warming over the last decade or so. They cite several examples of why this could be so. IE. Volcanoes and a recent solar dimming are mentioned. If this is a true “leak”, then it’s possible that they will edit the report further before it is officially put out. Despite some very recent cooling in places, the National Climatic Data Center recently stated that global temperatures for the month of July 2013 were the 6th highest on record. This is since record keeping began in the late 1800s. I know there are folks that feel strongly about this issue. Feel free to post a comment about it below.
Anyway, locally we will see some changes soon. Today will be hot, humid, and breezy. Weak high pressure is hanging on to the region, but the Summertime instability will lead to some scattered showers and storms later today. A weak trough in the region will also help to create a 40% chance for storms.
A strong cold front is developing up around the Great Lakes. This feature will quickly push south/southeast tonight into tomorrow. So tomorrow we will still be rather warm. Highs will be in the upper 80s. The front is forecast to pass through during the early evening. We’ll see some scattered showers and storms ahead of and along the front.
We’ll quickly dry out behind the front. Highs will still be in the upper 80s tomorrow, but the cooler air will arrive by Friday night. Lows will go back to the mid-upper 60s then. For Saturday we will have dry conditions and highs near 80. We’ll have a lot of sunshine on Sunday with highs again near 80. I’m hoping the breeze won’t be too bad, but I do think we’ll have a stiff northeast breeze coming in on Saturday. That could make it feel a little chilly at the local beaches. Stay tuned for updates on that!
Finally, speaking of beaches. The ECSC seems to be going well lately. There have been several decent sets of waves from time to time. The winds will pick up this weekend. That may increase the waves for a couple of days.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler