Interesting Tropics…And Rain Chances…Again???

July 29th, 2013 at 8:05 am by under Weather

There is a little activity in the tropics, but we’ll get to that in a bit.  First I’ll start with the local forecast.   We had scattered showers this morning, and it was heavy in a few cities.  Then around 7am a lot of the rain dissipated.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

These showers formed along a cold front that was slowly moving into the region.  This is the same front that recently gave the big cool down in the Midwest.  Highs in Chicago yesterday were in the upper 60s.  I’m from up there, and let me tell you…In late July that is rare.   Anyway, some of that cool air is pushing into the region, but we will only be on the edge of it.  So we won’t be too cool today as the front stalls out over the region.  We’ll see some scattered showers and storms along the front, but the chance for rain is only about 30%.  Highs will be in the mid 80s with upper 80s over North Carolina.  Low 80s north of the metro.

Today's Forecast

Today’s Forecast

Tomorrow the front is expected to drift just a little to the south.  So that will put us on the drier side of things.  If this pans out (remember stalled out fronts don’t have much push), then highs will be in the mid 80s and the rain should stay south of the area.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

The front will try to push back north on Wednesday.  This will bring us a few showers/storms late in the day.  Then we have another cool front coming in on Thursday.  That will give us a higher chance for rain and storms.  Highs will generally stay in the 80s this week.

In the tropics there are two features worth noting.  The first is the remnants of Dorian.  It did dissipate a couple of days ago.  However, the storms have fired up again; and this may regenerate into Dorian in next day or two.

Tropical Satellite (Atlantic)

Tropical Satellite (Atlantic)

It is located north/northeast of Puerto Rico.  It will slowly move towards the Bahamas over the next 24-48 hours.  The models are still not very impressive with this system.  Even if it does become a tropical system again.  Stay tuned for updates.

I don’t often do this, but today I am talking about a system in the Pacific Ocean.  Tropical storm Flossie is headed for the big island of Hawaii.  It really weakened in the overnight hours.  It’s possible that it will weaken even more before landfall.  The latest sustained winds were 50mph.  It was about 150-200 miles east of Hilo, HI.  It was moving west at 17mph.

Tropical Storm Flossie

Tropical Storm Flossie

The winds shouldn’t cause too many problems over the islands.  However, there will be some brief heavy rain that could cause mudslides.  Overall, I think they’ll be fine.  Watch for more stories coming from Hawaii later today.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 

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