T.S. Chantal Update

July 9th, 2013 at 5:58 pm by under Weather

The 5 PM update from the National Hurricane Center is in and here are the latest stats.

Tropical Storm Chantal

Tropical Storm Chantal

Chantal is still packing maximum sustained winds of 65mph and racing off the to WNW at 26mph. Chantal will impact Hispaniola tomorrow and then take a turn toward the Bahamas by the end of the week. Chantal is expected to weaken once it moves over Hispaniola, due to land interaction and higher wind shear. The forecast cone has been shifted a little farther west since the previous update to account for the fact that the storm is expected to turn northwest once it is north of Cuba. When exactly does it take the northwest turn is the big question. That is why there is a big spread in the spaghetti plots below once the storm gets north of Cuba.

Computer Models

Computer Models

Latest computer models are taking Chantal north of Cuba and toward the East Coast with many landfall possibilities by the end of the weekend. Chantal’s long-term track is highly dependent on the strength of the area of high pressure to the north and the exact location of a large trough that will swing across the East Coast. Meteorologist Jeremy Wheeler will have another blog update tomorrow morning. Stay tuned!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

Leave a Reply