Chantal’s Track West, And Local Showers

July 8th, 2013 at 8:21 am by under Weather

While we enjoyed some nice local sunshine and heat over the weekend, things also started to heat up in the tropics.  Yes…that was a cheesy segueway, but it still applies.  Anyway, tropical storm Chantal formed just yesterday evening.  She is still a fairly weak storm, but it is expected to strengthen within the next 2 days.  As you look at the latest satellite you notice two areas.  There is a spinning mass of storms a couple hundred miles east of Miami, Florida.  This is actually a non-tropical system that will bring some heavy rain to parts of Florida in the next 24 hours.

Tropical Atlantic

Tropical Atlantic

However, the newly formed tropical storm is actually several hundred miles east/southeast of the Lesser Antilles.  It is 700 miles ESE of Barbados moving westward at 26mph.  This is a fast speed, and that has been noted by the National Hurricane Center.  This should stop the storm from strengthening too much over the next 48 hours.  The current sustained winds are at 40mph.  NHC does have the wind speed up to 65mph by Wednesday morning though as it approaches Puerto Rico.  Then it is forecast to move towards Haiti and Cuba as a tropical storm.  If it survives the interaction with land there, then it will probably move more northwest and head in the direction of the Bahamas.

Tropical Storm Chantal

Tropical Storm Chantal

Now there is a lot of uncertainty in the track after Haiti.  Some models don’t even let it get that far.  If it does come up along the east coast, then I imagine it would head back out to sea (east).  Remember that this is pretty far out.  At this time  I wouldn’t put much stock into the forecast beyond 48 hours.

Locally we had some scattered showers this morning.  A lot of them fell apart as they moved into Hampton Roads.  This is from a weak disturbance in the atmosphere.

Super Doppler 10 This Morning

Super Doppler 10 This Morning

We will see a few more showers and storms this afternoon, but again they will be scattered.  Tomorrow we’ll see only a few isolated-scattered showers and storms in the afternoon.  High temps over the next few days will be in the upper 80s to low 90s.  The heat index will be over 95 for a while.  That’s not terrible if you can get to the beach or some A.C., but if you work outside then take it easy out there.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

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