Heavy Rain With Flash Flooding Possible TonightJune 10th, 2013 at 10:06 am by Jeff Edmondson WAVY under Weather
With the recent rainfall we still have a saturated ground. You can probably tell the air is nearly saturated by how humid it is today. Dew Points as of 10am were in the lower-70s. We will likely to continue having this high humidity for the rest of the day and possibly for most of this week.
The setup for this Monday is watching an area of low pressure track across the northern states. This will keep a strong south wind today and keep our temperatures and humidity high. As the cold front and center of energy in the atmosphere move in we also have a chance for seeing some strong thunderstorms this evening.
The risk for strong storms is mostly for Richmond and Raleigh, but Williamsburg, Gloucester and the Northern Neck are part of the slight risk.
All of us are under a flash flood watch for today until midnight tonight. That is why I have us in a higher risk for Heavy Rain/Flooding today. The timing for these storms should be early afternoon towards rush hour this evening across the Hampton Roads cities.
This model brings in the rain at or before 4pm. I have seen a few models bring in the rain around 6pm. The timing should be somewhere in that window of 4-6pm for the southside cities. 2-5pm for the Peninsula, and 5-8pm for the Outer Banks and Eastern Shore. Rainfall estimates are 1-2″ for today and tonight. Most of the rain will move out by tomorrow morning. I have us seeing some light rain tomorrow afternoon, but the chances are around 30%.
Wednesday will be a dry day, but the highs will be near 91° and the humidity will be stifling.
Stay cool and dry today!
Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson