Andrea Quick AM Update

June 7th, 2013 at 7:00 am by under Weather

Andrea is on track as far as the forecast goes.  The current sustained winds are 45mph, but those stronger winds have been offshore or near the shore. There is one important update that I need to mention.  There is a heavier rain band coming up from the south.  The center of circulation is over southern South Carolina, but the heavier bands have moved in earlier than the models had it yesterday.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

Because of this and the broad rotation in the atmosphere the Storm Prediction Center has put part of our area in a Tornado Watch until 1pm.

Tornado Watch

Tornado Watch

This watch could get stretched northward later this morning.

We have some heavy rain and are on track to get 1-3″ of rain with a few cities getting more than 4″.  The heaviest rain is supposed to be concentrated over in the higher elevations of western Virginia, but this recent band will will probably put down a good inch or two itself.  Our Future Trak model actually picks up on a dry pocket of air that is south of the storm.  So it brings a little clearing up this way towards the afternoon.

Future Trak (3pm)

Future Trak (3pm)

If this happens, then it will decrease the chance for flooding, but it will increase the chance for severe weather as we would get some heating and therefore more instability.  Winds are light this morning, but will pick up this afternoon to southeast at 15-25mph with gusts up to 35-40mph near the shore.  I am still not expecting tidal flooding, but street flooding is very possible from the heavy rain.

This is a quick blog.  I’ll try to post one with more detail later this morning.  We will have updates throughout the morning and afternoon on TV and online.  Be careful driving this morning.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

Leave a Reply