Take The Umbrella…And The Sunscreen

May 8th, 2013 at 9:02 am by under Weather

Some folks have been frustrated by the sunshine lately.  I can see their point if they misinterpreted the forecast.  Each day recently has had a chance for rain, but the showers have been scattered.  There have even been some thunderstorms with the showers.  Here are the rain totals for the last 24 hours for the area as estimated by our radar Super Doppler 10:

Estimated Rain Totals

Estimated Rain Totals

Weather watchers have had mostly light amounts, but a couple had a decent amount.  Brian in Smithfield had 0.6″ of rain.  Jan in Reedville had 0.4″.  Doris (Lower Eastern Shore) on the other hand only had a few sprinkles.  Donna in Blackwater also has had very light amounts.

The area of low pressure causing all of this is now spinning in central Virginia/North Carolina.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

You can see the curly-cue of clouds and rain over western Virginia.  There are flood warnings over in the Appalachians from all of the heavy rain. Some of that rain has also been due to orographic lift.  Luckily the rain has been able to soak into the ground here since the it has had plenty of breaks between rain.  As the low slowly slides northeast today it will weaken, but not before putting down some scattered showers and storms.

Future Trak

Future Trak (3pm)

Most of the rain has been light-to-moderate over the last couple of days.  That should be the case again today, but a few downpours are possible.  If we had more sunshine this morning, then I would say that strong storms are possible.  But it shouldn’t even get quite as warm as yesterday with the clouds already rolling in. So highs today will be in the low 70s.

Today's Forecast

Today’s Forecast

The system will start pushing away from us tonight.  The showers will end probably around midnight. Then tomorrow we’ll have partly cloudy skies.  Some of the models keep part of the upper level low back this way.  So they put in a stray shower in the forecast.  However, the chance for rain is very low.  I put it at 10%.

No rain is expected for Friday as an area of high pressure builds in temporarily.  Temperatures will warm up into the low 80s. So that will be nice.  It will also be in the 80s on Saturday, but showers and storms will form ahead of a cold front later that day.  This rain will continue into Sunday as a 2nd cold front moves through the region.  This will be just in time for Mothers Day unfortunately.  I can detail the timing and the rain chances for that over the next couple of days.  Behind that cold front temperatures will really drop.  I’m still calling for highs in the upper 50s on Monday with highs near 60 on Tuesday.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

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