Change In Plans…Tropical Update

April 16th, 2013 at 7:35 am by under Weather

I was going to write a big blog about the pollen today.  But due to the recent event in Boston I decided to switch topics.  I will post that blog tomorrow.  Sorry, this is not a tease.  Just a change in plans.  So today I will talk briefly about the changes coming out of the National Hurricane Center for this upcoming hurricane season.  They include more frequent updates, changes to the tropical warnings and outlooks, and a small reduction in the forecast cone.   Here is the full update from the National Hurricane Center:   NHC changes to forecast products.  

These are all good updates.  The change to the warning comes after Hurricane Sandy.  At times it was a non-tropical system, but may as well have been a hurricane.  Now the National Hurricane Center will track similar systems and give information on them even after they become post-tropical.  The more frequent/more detailed “Tropical Cyclone Updates” will be very welcome.  It looks like from their wording that updates will come out now when there are important changes in between scheduled updates.  Finally, the cone of uncertainty or as I like to call it the possible path will be smaller this year by just a little bit.  This is due to the higher forecast confidence based off of the forecast accuracy over the past few years.  Remember last year there was a reduction in the cone as well.  I’m looking forward to all of these changes. 

Locally, we have nice and quiet weather for the next 24 hours.  A cool onshore flow will keep highs in the upper 60s near the shore with mid 70s inland.  All-in-all a nice day. 

Again…I’ll post the pollen blog tomorrow. 

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

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