Near Record HeatApril 10th, 2013 at 9:01 am by Jeremy Wheeler under Weather
Here we go. It’s gonna be a hot one today. Yesterday we had a lot of heat in the area. Highs were in the upper 80s to near 90 inland with low-mid 80s in the metro. Take a look:
Notice it was only in the 70s along the Outer Banks of North Carolina. That is due to the cooler water temperatures on the sounds. However, I was surprised that the Eastern Shore warmed up that much with the Bay temperatures only in the 50s. We had southwest winds yesterday and a lot of sunshine. We have the same setup for today, but we started even warmer. Lows this morning were in the upper 60s in many cities. The forecast high for today is 87. That’s the average temperature for the area and the single number that I give in a forecast is typically close to the temperature at Norfolk International Airport. The record there for today is…87. That was set back in 1922, so it’s been around for a while. So we may tie it. Dew points are in the 50s which is light humidity. This may add a couple of degrees to the actual temperature for the heat index. We are aiming for highs near 90 in Franklin, Murfreesboro, and Williamsburg. The record for Elizabeth City is 85 today. They will probably break that.
Tomorrow the models all suggest that we won’t be as hot. The cold front is not expected to move through, but clouds are forecast to increase. So I’m calling for low/mid 80s for now, but we may have to increase that. Our model Future Trak also hints at a stray shower or thunderstorm in the late afternoon, but mostly for northeast North Carolina. We could see an isolated shower or storm in Hampton Roads tomorrow evening, but the bulk of the rain isn’t expected until Friday morning. A line of thunderstorms is forecast to move over the Appalachians before sunrise on Friday. Some of the models weaken the storms before they reach Hampton Roads. I don’t usually use it for regional forecasting, but the European model suggests that the storms will move through later in the afternoon. If that were to happen then the storms would tap into some heat, and would be stronger. For now I’m expecting a few strong storms, but the chance for severe is still up in the air. I’ll have a better idea for that tomorrow. Remember, the storms are still 48 hours out. There is no doubt though that there will be some strong storms in the Mississippi River Valley today. At least they will get some much needed rainfall. The rain will clear out later on Friday. Again the timing for that is also not yet set. But it should clear out by Friday night at the latest. Saturday and Sunday still look great. Skies will be mostly/partly sunny and highs will be in the 60s. We will warm up back to the 70s already by next Monday. Looks like the warm weather is here to stay.
The pollen is up today. I put the level at an 11 out of 12. I wish they took pollen counts in southeast Virginia, but I don’t know of any department which does. We used to get if from one of the local health departments, but they axed it due to budget cuts. Pollen will remain high over the next few days.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler