Speeding Up The Rain Timeline!

April 4th, 2013 at 9:31 am by under Weather

It has been cool lately, but at least we’ve had a lot of sunshine.  Now today we are going to break that trend as rain showers look to move in by the end of the day.  Yesterday’s models held off the rain until tonight, but this morning’s models have sped up the rain timeline.  The rain is still far to our southwest.  This morning it was located over South Carolina with a few showers crossing the border into North Carolina.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

An area of low pressure will move out of Florida and ride up along the coast.  It won’t be too strong until it moves up our way and heads offshore.  Rain is spreading out ahead of the low with an overrunning pattern.  Remember, that is when warmer/more moist air pushes into and over a cooler airmass.  This ultimately forces condensation/precipitation to occur.  So rain chances go up to about 30% by 5pm.  By 7pm they are 40%.  By 9pm…60%.  So the Tides baseball opener tonight looks wet.  Especially towards the end of the game.  Here is what our computer model (Future Trak) shows at 7pm:

Future Trak (7pm)

Future Trak (7pm)

Overnight the low will approach the coast.  This will enhance the rainfall between 11pm and 4am.  Here is some of the good news in all of this… The models show a lot of the rain pushing out by 7 am now.  So the morning commute tomorrow may not be as messy as we were advertising yesterday.  Here is our model at 7am Friday:

Future Trak (7AM)

Future Trak (7AM)

I still think there will be some spotty showers, but probably not the widespread rain.  Overall we are talking about 1-1.5 inches of rainfall.

Forecast Rain Totals

Forecast Rain Totals

Many folks have probably waited to plant anything with the recent cold temperatures, but I know there are a few folks who have.  This rain will be good for anything that you did put in the ground.

As the low moves offshore, then it will strengthen.  Our winds are forecast to be out of the north at 10-20mph with gusts up to 25mph.  High pressure will quickly build in over the weekend.  Saturday will be mostly sunny.  High temps will only be in the mid 50s, but hey…it’s better than 40s.  On Sunday we are looking for some upper 60s with partly cloudy skies.  The warm weather will really stick around through next week.  Highs will be in the low-to-mid 70s.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

2 Responses to “Speeding Up The Rain Timeline!”

  1. JR says:

    Is the rain expected to be a heavy downpour or a good steady rain? We’re thinking about seeding the yard this afternoon but don’t want all of the seed to wash away. We live in Great Bridge.

    1. Jeremy Wheeler says:

      Sorry JR. I headed out a little early yesterday and didn’t see your comment. Hopefully, it wasn’t too heavy near you. We’ll dry out soon. Have a good one!

      Jeremy

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