Snow Chances Going Down for Us

March 5th, 2013 at 1:02 pm by under Weather

The afternoon models continue to come in warmer with that area of low pressure farther north. What does this mean for Hampton Roads? Well…it means the chance of seeing accumulating snow is going down, even for areas across the Middle Peninsula and Northern Neck.

Here is a look at the latest satellite/radar captured at 12:30PM. The area of low pressure that will impact Hampton Roads is located in Kentucky right now. This area of low pressure will be right on top of us Wednesday morning. The coldest air is located across parts of the Midwest where snow is falling in Illinois, Indiana, Wisconsin and Michigan. Rain is getting closer to us this midday and will move in later this afternoon around the evening commute. Showers will continue overnight and through most of the day on Wednesday.

Satellite/Radar

Winds will start off out of the southwest Wednesday morning and afternoon. This means that we will pull in warmer and drier air behind the system, so temperatures will be in the mid to upper 40s during the first half of the day tomorrow.  As the area of low pressure moves north of Hampton Roads, winds will begin to shift more out of the northwest, but this will not happen until Wednesday evening. Once these winds shift, colder air will be able to move in the region. Our latest Future Trak model has all rain for Hampton Roads with hardly any mix at 9PM.

Future Trak at 9 PM

Earlier model runs had this entire area of rain as snow or a wintry mix.  Jeremy and I still think that some of this rain will actually be more of a wintry mix Wednesday evening as the system taps into some colder air. If we do see any snow, it will be a very heavy wet snow.

Rainfall totals will range from 0.5-1.0 inch, so there will be a lot of water on the roads.

Rain Totals Through Thursday

Since temperature will be above freezing, most of the snow that falls will melt once it reaches the ground. Here is our latest thinking regarding the snowfall totals. We have decreased amounts even more across the region. Keep in mind that the Southside and inland areas in North Carolina may see snow Wednesday night, but we do not expect the snow to accumulate due to the wet ground and temperatures well above freezing. We still think the best chance for accumulating snow (1-2″) across our region will be north of Williamsburg, and across the interior portions of the Middle Peninsula and the Northern Neck. We could still see some changes with the track of the low. If the track changes, the snowfall forecast will change as well. Stay tuned!

Latest Snow Forecast

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

One Response to “Snow Chances Going Down for Us”

  1. Fran Hennessey says:

    Hope you have been doing well. Thanks for all you do to forecast the weather for the Chesapeake Bay and the Eastern Shore. Looks like we will get just a dusting. Believe me, that is all we want. Spring will be here soon. I’m ready.
    Fran

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