A Wet Speech Today?

February 26th, 2013 at 8:13 am by under Weather

Well the President is coming to town this afternoon, and unfortunately we are expecting a high chance for rain along with strong gusty winds at that time.  Also, heavy snow is falling once again in the Midwest along a fairly strong area of low pressure.  This has already caused many problems and a couple of deaths. Here’s more on that story from the Associated Press: Midwest Storm.

Locally, a warm front stretching out of a weaker area of low pressure near Tennessee will push through Hampton Roads.  This will help to boost our high temperatures into the upper 50s.  We will probably have a few 60s over North Carolina.

Warm Front Affects Us Today

The rain has been steadily pushing towards our region this morning.  It is expected to really move in later this morning into the midday hours:

Rain Arrives Around Midday

The winds are not that strong this morning.  However, winds will really pick up by this afternoon.  Winds will gust out of the southeast at 30mph.  Especially near the shore.  Scattered showers will continue this evening.  Then the rain will taper off around midnight.  The forecast rain totals are not that impressive this time.  In the last event we had an average 1-2 inches of rain.  This time we are forecasting a half inch up to an inch.

Forecast Rain Totals

This should mostly be rain showers, but a few isolated thunderstorms are possible.  Mostly over North Carolina where it will be warmer.

By tomorrow we will be drying out behind the front.  I wrote in yesterday’s blog about how we will not cool down behind the front with the way the winds are coming in behind it.  So tomorrow we will be warm/mild with highs in the low 60s and partly cloudy skies.

Tomorrow’s Forecast

I’m looking forward to tomorrow’s weather.  By Thursday the cooler weather will finally filter down into the region.  So highs will be back in the 50s.  Over the weekend even colder air will pour into Hampton Roads.  Some of the latest models have an area of low pressure forming offshore and east of this cold air on Sunday.  So I put in a chance for a snow flurry or a few sprinkles for that day.  Stay tuned to see if the low forms closer or stronger.

In terms of climate, the drought across our region is well over.  We have a had a lot of rain recently.  Here is the latest US Drought Monitor:

US Drought Monitor, February 19, 2013

US Drought Monitor

We have had between 6 and 8 inches of rain between Norfolk, Richmond, and Wallops Island since the beginning of the year.

Rain Totals So Far (2013)

These numbers are from the National Weather Service in Wakefield.  It’s hard to believe the number for Elizabeth City though.  Greg, my weather watcher in Currituck, N.C. says that there is still standing water in the fields and ditches down that way.  So maybe Elizabeth City doesn’t represent northeast North Carolina very well.  Here are the numbers compared to the average:

Departure From Average

One thing is for sure…Well, 2 things.  The bugs and the flowers will love this mild/wet weather if it keeps up into March.  I can’t wait to see what allergy season is like.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

2 Responses to “A Wet Speech Today?”

  1. Carole says:

    Jeremy,

    About that -2.06 rain deficit in Elizabeth City…LOL, I think I just found it! It has submerged my front sidewalk and flooded the driveway!

    1. Jeremy Wheeler says:

      Yeah, I hear ya Carole. That’s why I’m glad that I have a weather watcher down there in Currituck. You take care. Jeremy

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