The Latest Look at the Snow ChancesFebruary 15th, 2013 at 2:45 pm by Jeff Edmondson WAVY under Weather
Many of the weather models have refreshed since this mornings blog that Jeremy wrote.
The latest output by our high resolution model starts to decrease the total snow that we might see across the area, at the same time the latest GFS run brings 4.5″ of snow for Norfolk. Who do you trust? Well lets look and see what the latest Future Trak brings us:
We will start to see rain move in across the Hampton Roads cities around the noon hour tomorrow. In to the mid afternoon the whole area is expected to fill in with a wintry mix.
This is a big change to earlier when the future trak kept all of us with some accumulating snow through midnight. In a way I have to say I cannot trust this particular model as much because it would seem odd that the dry air would wrap in this way and especially at this time to shut down all of the snow. Regardless of what model you look at we should see all of it move out around sunrise on Sunday.
Now lets talk totals, earlier I mentioned that the GFS was saying 4.5″ of snow for Norfolk, the 12Z NAM said 0″, while the 6Z had about 2″ of snow. I am keeping us in a broad area of 1-2″ for now:
On grassy surfaces the 1-2″ is expected, for the road ways we will see close to an inch if this storms track stays on par from what the models have generally said thus far. Keep in mind, if this moves offshore faster we could only see a dusting while some cities might still see 3″.
Jeremy and I are in tonight at 5pm and we’ll have the latest on the snow totals.
Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson