Soggy Day Ahead!

February 13th, 2013 at 8:17 am by under Weather

We are looking at another soggy day across Hampton Roads.  Seems like we’ve had quite a few of them recently.  There is an area of low pressure well to our south.  The mid-upper level winds are pushing lots of moisture to the north of the low right into our region.  It is meeting and greeting the cool airmass that’s in place.  So this is causing some overrunning precipitation.  The rain slowly marched up from the south/southwest, and now covers almost the whole area.  This moisture is going to stretch as far north as New York later today. However, it will be more snow up there as well as up towards D.C.

Wet Weather For The East Coast

The rain will continue on-and-off through the afternoon and early evening.  Temperatures this morning dropped to the upper 40s around sunrise.  They will only warm up a couple of degrees to the low 50s by this afternoon.  Tonight the rain will end around midnight.  Then we’ll see some clearing.  Temps will drop to the upper 30s.

We are looking good for Valentine’s Day and Friday.  Fair skies and highs in the 50s for both days.  Then over the weekend we (may) see some precipitation.

Yesterday we were looking at some very snowy computer models for the upcoming weekend.  There was a high amount of disagreement though.  Some models were totally dry.  Now the trend on all of the models has become much drier for that time period.  In fact our long range Future Trak model has pulled a 180, and is now showing barely anything for Saturday into Sunday:

Future Trak Long-Range

The European model is still dry as it forms the low far offshore.  The GFS has also changed its tune, and has come more in-line with the European model.  So now it only has a few flurries or a possible light snow shower from early Saturday through early Sunday.  Most of that will be from the upper level trough.  Not so much from a surface low pressure.  It’s still possible the models could change their tune, but I think a lot of snow lovers are really coming down after a brief bout of excitement.  As usual…stay tuned!  It’s still a couple days out.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

3 Responses to “Soggy Day Ahead!”

  1. Ryan Onley says:

    Whats the chances of the models flipping back for possibly more snow?

  2. Ryan says:

    What is the chances of the models flipping back to more snow sat night into sunday?

  3. Marc says:

    Hi isn’t awesome how the models are flopping around lol well except the EURO. Anyways the 12Z GFS looks awesome. I wish the models could get a better idea on where this frontal boundary will setup. If that piece of energy doesn’t push the trough to the east as much do you think we could have some good snow this weekend? Just your idea or opinion.

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