Warmth Comes To A Crashing Halt!January 30th, 2013 at 7:34 am by Jeremy Wheeler under Weather
Yesterday was fabulous. No doubt about it. We ended up with a little more sunshine than was forecast… So high temperatures managed to climb up to near 70. I took advantage of the warm weather and rode my bike for a while in the afternoon. It was great, but it felt weird as it is the end of January. Today we will also be warm, but the winds will be a bigger part of the forecast. High pressure will slowly break down today. We may see a stray shower, but otherwise skies will be partly to mostly cloudy through the day. Winds will pick up out of the south at 15-25mph with gusts up to 35mph. Then tonight the gusts will increase to 45mph. So there is a wind advisory for most of the viewing area.
We will stay in the warm zone all day today. Highs will be in the upper 70s to near 80. The record for today is 80 degrees set back in 2002. We may be making a run for it. However, there is much colder air pushing into the Tennessee Valley this morning and it’s heading for us. That area is where there is a moderate risk for severe weather.
Storms will move as far east as central Virginia and North Carolina by the afternoon, but the cold front won’t reach eastern Virginia/North Carolina until tonight. That is when our winds pick up and our rain chances increase to about 100%.
We are on the edge of the slight risk area for severe weather.
The thinking is that the storms will move through between about 10pm until 2am. So they should lose some of the heating of the day and therefore instability. The computer models do weaken the storms as they move through the coastal area. However, winds even outside of the storms will be gusting to 45mph. So straight lined winds will be the main threat from this system. In fact…there may not even be too many thunderstorms tonight. Mostly rain and wind.
Tomorrow behind the front we will start drying out. Skies will begin clearing through the morning hours. Winds will still be breezy, but not as bad as tonight. They will be westerly at 15-20mph with gusts up to 25-30mph. Highs will be in the low 50s although the temperatures may fall a bit during the afternoon.
By Friday we’ll see highs in the low 40s and upper 30s. Some of the models still hint at a few flurries or sprinkles trying to move in late Friday. But so far nothing is showing a lot of precipitation. We’ll stay cool for the weekend. Lows will be back in the 20s and 30s. We could see a few showers on Sunday. Enjoy the warm weather today, but do be prepared for those strong winds. Secure your garbage cans if today is your trash day.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler