Comments on: Almost Done…Then On To Friday’s Snow

By: Jeff

Jeff — Fri, 25 Jan 2013 02:45:42 +0000

Alright sounds good! Appreciate the reply! Y’all keep up the good work.

By: Jeremy Wheeler

Jeremy Wheeler — Fri, 25 Jan 2013 01:48:33 +0000

Thanks DA. Good analysis. Thanks for the kudos too. Jeremy

By: Jeremy Wheeler

Jeremy Wheeler — Fri, 25 Jan 2013 01:47:09 +0000

Hi Jeff. Low confidence in that 1-2 right now. The NAM has a tight gradient between heavy wet snow and the mix zone. Especially for the southside. I do think that the Peninsula still has a good shot at snow though with only a slight chance for the mix. Jeremy

By: Jeremy Wheeler

Jeremy Wheeler — Fri, 25 Jan 2013 01:45:23 +0000

Hard to say Joseph, because if that were to happen, then the mix line would probabaly move 50 miles north as well. I’d say for now it looks like you will be out of the mix zone and into the snow. GFS isn’t as impressive for you. Maybe an inch or a little more. NAM is still pretty impressive. Jeremy

By: C. Dance

C. Dance — Fri, 25 Jan 2013 01:25:33 +0000

The kids and I were really bummed last week when we didn’t get any snow. As you can imagine we are “dancing tonight”!

By: Clint

Clint — Thu, 24 Jan 2013 23:46:41 +0000

How much snow do u think the northern part of Virginia beach could get if it stayed all snow

By: Ashley

Ashley — Thu, 24 Jan 2013 23:09:55 +0000

I was hoping for one “good” (aka completely covers the grass) snow this Winter. I live in West Chesapeake. Is there any chance of that happening tomorrow, or is the prediction still for 1-2 inches at most?

By: Jeff

Jeff — Thu, 24 Jan 2013 21:28:22 +0000

Strange that Gloucester isn’t included in the new winter weather advisory from the NWS. Think we’ll be too far to the north for this one?

By: DA

DA — Thu, 24 Jan 2013 19:54:15 +0000

BAM!! Once again, I think you guys are gonna be right-on with Friday’s forecast. It looks like with the strong High pressure overhead early in the day would equate to subsidence and dry air. It would take a while for the low (near surface) levels to moisten up and I think snow will not start until about 4pm (although I wouldn’t be surprised to see a lot of Virga on the radar earlier in the afternoon). This is more of a WAA (Warm air advection/upper-level forcing especially seen on 850mb) type than your standard surface level low pressure system. Either way, I agree, still cold enough for snow north of the state line. A blend between GFS and NAM would yield 1″-4″ but I’m betting (poor choice of verbage) more towards (for the metro areas) the 2″-3″ (isolated areas to 4″ at worst case) falling between 4pm until 10 or 11pm, with the bulk picking up between 4:30-5pm through about 9pm, lighter intensities then until 10 or 11pm. Regardless, still right in-line with your forecast..as was the case in last week’s system.

You guys Rock! Unfortunetly, you have to deal with some people who will argue about if you’re off by even 1″, or comparing to what other media outlets are saying, or if you don’t mention their specific subdivision or community within the broader city or region. Not sure how you can deal with the patience. I could never do it.

By: Jeff

Jeff — Thu, 24 Jan 2013 19:22:23 +0000

Just a novice’s observation here. It seems as if like you stated about heavy wet snow just north of the mix line is going to happen according to the NAM at least. What’s your thinking in having to up the 1-2″ for the rest of Hampton Roads?