Just Like Chilled Fruit

January 15th, 2013 at 8:09 am by under Weather

That title to this blog actually represents a couple of things that I will talk about.  The first is our local weather.  Today you will feel like chilled fruit at the grocery store where occasional sprinklers activate and keep the produce clean and cool.  The cold front did move through late yesterday and steadily dropped the temperatures.  The rain started up ahead of the front and it rained all night north of the metro.  This morning we had scattered showers and drizzle all through the region.

Super Doppler 10 This Morning

The showers and drizzle are caused by overrunning today.  This is with cool northeasterly winds at the surface meeting and greeting a warmer more humid southerly flow up at several thousand feet.  When you cool down air enough, then you saturate it.  So the moisture is basically getting squeezed out right on top of us.

Today’s Forecast Map

Temperatures started in the mid 40s this morning.  They will only make it up to the mid-upper 40s this afternoon.  Winds will be northeast at 10-15mph with gusts up to 20mph near the shore.  This setup won’t change much tonight, but tomorrow a little of the warm air to our south will try to bump north.  Winds will be south at 5-10mph.  So highs will be in the mid 50s.  Maybe some upper 50s in North Carolina.

On Friday the models are still hinting at a weak offshore low throwing a little moisture up our way with some cold air in place.  The upper levels look too warm for snow, but some sleet may possibly mix in a few places.  The weekend looks cool and dry at this time.

The other part of the title that I was alluding to concerns fruit growers in the region.  Some fruit plants need a certain amount of chill hours to have a good bloom in the Spring.  I learned about this back in my physical climatology days in college.  While we will be much cooler today, overall we have had a pretty mild Winter so far.  I don’t think we’ve seen any lows in the teens yet this year.  And of course we had really warm temperatures over the last 2 days.  If this warm/mild weather keeps up, then I wonder what will happen to some of the regional crops.  We had that happen last year, but I don’t remember how much it affected the farmers.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

4 Responses to “Just Like Chilled Fruit”

  1. Marc says:

    With this SSW event isn’t the pattern changing for a colder second half of winter? At least that is what the models have been showing. The MJO is trending towards colder temps for the east also. As for this Friday event the latest GFS took the rain/snow line into northern NC so how can we not see snow if the precip field reaches us?

    1. Jeremy Wheeler says:

      Hi Marc. Good point, but remember the European hasn’t hardly had anything for us in that period. Remember how trustworthy that model has become lately. I think the NAM has been overdoing. I’m watching the GFS updates closely. Think we’ll definitely see a changeover, but that 540 doesn’t move through until very late. I’ll post a fresh blog out soon. Jeremy

  2. Cody says:

    Jeremy,
    Have you looked at HPC day 3 snow probs? They have all of hampton roads in the 20-30% risk for atleast one inch of snow.

  3. Helen says:

    Jeremy, Is there a way to see what the precipitation amounts have been for each day?

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