Hurricane Sandy – *Afternoon Update*
October 25th, 2012 at 3:20 pm by Jeff Edmondson WAVY under Weather
This blog continues off of what Jeremy wrote earlier today. If you didn’t see that, you can find that HERE.
Tracking Sandy
Well as of the 2pm update Sandy is still a category 2 hurricane with sustained wind speeds at 105 mph. There is still a good amount of confidence on where this storm is going to be over the next 48 hours, but after that, it is all a big question.
Not much change since this morning.
Most of the models still have this storm moving towards land north of Delaware. Regardless one of the biggest issues with this storm will be tidal flooding. We could have to deal with moderate and possibly major tidal flooding if this storm comes on land closer to us. The timing of this storm is still looking like Sunday and into Monday. Even on Tuesday we will still have weather across some of our region from this system.The latest Euro Model brings this storm onshore over the Eastern Shore and eventually over Virginia by Tuesday!
If you notice one thing the models the timing is starting to slow down a little bit. The location of where the storm will be is still the most uncertain thing at this point.
In addition to the potential tidal flooding, wave heights are expected to be very large across the Outer Banks, and also for Virginia Beach.
Wave Watch III
On Monday Morning the Wave Watch III Model has up to 15ft waves for the Outer Banks and 6-8ft waves for Virginia Beach. Remember, we will still have strong onshore winds on Saturday – Tuesday. We will likely see this swell continue into next week through Wednesday with more of an offshore wind.
If you are living across the Outer Banks and areas in Virginia Beach and you have a boat, you have today, tomorrow, and early Saturday to start taking care of your crafts before the wind speeds pick up Saturday afternoon.
Stay tuned, we will continue to have updates here and also on WAVY-TV.
Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson
Jeff Edmondson is the Meteorologist for the Weekend Morning Newscasts on WAVY TV.
Please stress to folks that this will not be a ‘typical’ hurricane or tropical storm. Winds of 39 mph and/or greater will extend over 300 miles from the ‘center’. 18Z models have all shifted south, with the GFDL now showing a landfall over the Eastern Shore. The GFS has also shifted south.
I’m curious as how much higher would tornado activity be due to Sandy if given the worse case scenario of Sandy coming on land and follows one of the two model tracks (GFDL or BAMD)
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