Sandy…10th Hurricane of the Season.

October 24th, 2012 at 4:07 pm by under Weather

As of the 11am update, Sandy was upgraded to hurricane status. This makes Sandy the 10th hurricane of the 2012 season. Remember hurricane season doesn’t end until November 30th.

Hurricane Sandy

Sandy has maximum sustained winds of 80 mph and is currently moving to the north at 14mph. Sandy has already made landfall over Jamaica and will likely move over Cuba early Thursday and then head for the Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center has Sandy weakening to a tropical storm after moving over Jamaica and Cuba. There is still some question on how much Sandy will weaken after going over some of the higher terrain.

Afternoon Computer Model Tracks

Here are the afternoon model tracks.  Notice that there is still a LOT of uncertainty. There are still models that keep it offshore. But, we are noticing that more and more models are trending a little bit more west. So, the National Hurricane Center has shifted the forecast cone closer to the East Coast.

Important key facts:

1. None of the models have Sandy making a direct hit on our area.

2. We are on the west side of the storm, which is “the better side to be on” when referring to possible impacts.

 

Possible impacts if Sandy takes a more eastern path:

1. Minor-moderate tidal flooding – happens when winds are blowing out of the northeast. Unfortunately, the moon will almost be full which will create a higher tide. The tides are also running higher than normal. So, tidal flooding could be an issue, especially Saturday night into Sunday.

2. Heavy rain

3. Gusty winds

4. High waves

 

Our weekend’s weather also depends on the timing of the cold front, which will be moving in from the west. Some of Sandy’s moisture may increase the amount of rain we see when the cold front moves into the area by the end of the weekend.

There are still a lot of questions. But we will be tracking Sandy very closely…stay tuned. Remember it is never too early to have an emergency kit ready to go. Check out our Hurricane Ready Guide for more info:

Hurricane Ready Guide 2012

Meteorologist: Tiffany Savona

 

 

3 Responses to “Sandy…10th Hurricane of the Season.”

  1. David Holt says:

    Did you mean “possible impacts if Sandy takes a more WESTERN path”? Your blog says eastern. Eastern than what? Can you, this far out, give an estimate of tides comparable to our benchmarks — Irene, Isabel, Nor’Ida?

    1. Jeremy Wheeler says:

      At this point David, I don’t think the tides will be as bad as any of those storms you mentioned. I’m thinking more along the lines of some of the nor’easters from 2006 which produced moderate tidal flooding. This would be if it took a track a little more offshore (current NHC track). If it got closer to the coast, then we would probably see something above the 06′ nor’easters, but less than Nor’Ida. Here’s a link to track the latest forecast tides. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/akq/brief/tides.php Jeremy

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