Looking at the title some folks may think that I’ll be talking about the recent sky/space diver that broke a record.  They may think I’m talking about the new James Bond movie (Skyfall) coming out soon.  That does look pretty good, and I am psyched to see it.  But no… I’m talking about this afternoon’s weather in a very round-a-bout way.  We had a nice morning, but it was the quiet before the storms.  Lows were in the 60s and there were a few showers to our west.

Satellite/Radar This Morning

This afternoon we’ll have increasing clouds, but there will be enough breaks to allow the temperatures to get into the upper 70s to near 80.  We are under a slight risk for severe weather.  However, I’m thinking that it won’t be too bad.  Dew points at the moment are only in the 50s although they may rise into the low 60s this afternoon.  Plus, we’ll have a lot of clouds and a few showers out ahead of the main line.  The main threat from the storms will be straight-lined winds.  A few areas will also have heavy rain.  The models show most of the rain coming through late this afternoon into the evening.  Our model (Future Trak) has the line coming through between 4 and 8pm.

Future Trak (6pm)

Looking at the latest satellite/radar though (above), I think things will move in just a little quicker.  That could limit severe if it were to happen.  Also, we would have to pull back the high temps a bit into the mid-upper 70s.

The storms will wind down quickly this evening.  Then drier weather pushes in overnight.  The lows won’t be too cold tonight (mid 50s), but we won’t warm up too much tomorrow.  Highs will only be in the mid 60s.  Winds will be northwest at 10-15mph with gusts to 25mph.

We’ll be dry from Tuesday through Thursday with slow warming.  We’ll have another front move through on Friday along with some scattered thunderstorms.

As if that wasn’t enough to cover….Now we have tropical storm Rafael.  Patty has wiped out, so now it’s just Rafael.  It is a couple hundred miles north/northeast of Puerto Rico.  It is a strong tropical storm, but will probably be a hurricane by the time you read this.  The hurricane hunters are out there this morning, and they will have the new information by the late morning update.  Rafael will likely move east of Bermuda by midweek.

Rafael Forecast

Rafael will increase the waves/swells later this week.  Surfers have been talking about it since late last week.  Eventually cooler/drier air will work on the system morphing it into an extratropical storm.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler