Remember When?September 28th, 2012 at 8:09 am by Jeremy Wheeler under Weather
I’m old enough to remember the good old days when a meteorologist would just say…” There’s a chance for a few showers on that day”, and not have to outline every hour of rainfall for the timeframe. The models seemed to agree more often then, and despite their lower resolution at least seemed to be more consistent. I’m not sure if it’s the higher resolution, the model physics, the weather pattern, or just me; but it seems like the weather has been a lot tougher to forecast over the last year. Don’t get me wrong! I like detailing a forecast for folks, but when the models disagree and come in with different solutions for each run, then it makes the timing very tough. That is the case this weekend with a very slow moving front which will probably become stationary near the region. Today the front is north of us, but it will slowly creep to the southeast.
Most of the day will not see rain here, but late in the day (mostly towards the evening) we’ll see some scattered showers move in. It’s only about a 20-30% chance this evening, but a few football games will get wet in the region. Tonight into tomorrow the rain chances pick up. I’ve increased tomorrow’s rain chance up to 70%. It won’t be a washout. Especially with all of the dry conditions that we’ve had recently. It will probably dry up some of the rain as it moves in from the west. Again…the timing has been tough though. For now I think late tonight into early tomorrow is a good bet for rain with a letup around midday tomorrow. Rain develops again late Saturday into Sunday morning. I’m hoping Sunday afternoon lets up a bit.
For now the models take a break from the rain on Monday and pick it up again Tuesday and Wednesday. Even this information has been changing though. Stay tuned for more updates as there will be changes. That I can promise.
No big updates to tropical storm Nadine, but it has strengthened to 70mph. Hopefully she dies a dignified death over the weekend. Have a good one!
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler