The tropics are getting active again. We are getting closer to the peak part of hurricane season which is usually around the 10th of September. Right now the strongest storm is Isaac which is moving towards Puerto Rico as a tropical storm.

8pm Update on Isaac’s Track

By Friday afternoon we could see this storm develop into a hurricane. Its likely impact would be near Haiti. Then on Monday most computer models are still hinting that this thing will move towards southern Florida as a Category 1 Hurricane. The ensemble models are beginning to agree a bit more with the track of this storm:

Trending more towards Florida.

Even the Canadian Model (grey line) has this storm closer to Florida. The European (ECMWF [not pictured]) still has a track further west going close to the Gulf. The one thing we have to remember, if it does follow this track, what happens to it when it gets picked up by the upper flow. It might bring in some rain for Hampton Roads late next week.

Also, there is another Tropical Depression in the Atlantic which might be our next named storm.

Beginnings of Joyce?

This storm is likely to move towards Bermuda over this upcoming weekend and then continue to curl north.

Surf Forecast:

For Surfers in the ECSC this weekend at 1st St. Jetty things are still promising for this weekend. We could see a nice swell bringing in at least 2-3ft waves on Saturday but building to 3-4ft waves by Sunday. Forecasters at Surfline are also confident that this swell will move in for the end of the competition. Now, next week  for the locals, we could see another swell move in from (if it forms)  Tropical Storm Joyce.

In the meantime it’s looking like our weekend will be sunny and calm with highs near 84.

Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson