From Heat To StormsJuly 20th, 2012 at 8:15 am by Jeremy Wheeler under Weather
Yesterday was still very hot and humid despite about a 2-3 degree difference from the day before. We did get some scattered showers and storms in the region. However they were mostly from the Peninsula to the Eastern Shore and northward.
- Estimated Rain Totals
Jan, my weather watcher in Reedville, had 1.3″ of rain. My weather watcher Doris on the lower Eastern Shore had 1.5″ of rain in a period of 30 minutes. A lot of the Southside and northeast North Carolina got missed. The showers and storms today though will be farther south. For the past 3 days we talked about a very slow moving cold front to our north. Today that front will slowly drift down from around Washington D.C. into our viewing area. Again this will shift the focus for storms towards us. With the increased focus for storms, there is now a slight risk for severe weather for the viewing area for today:
- Severe Risk Today
The main threat from any storms will be heavy rain and strong gusty winds. The chance for storms yesterday was 40%. Today it is 60%. Tomorrow it is 70-80%. The reason for the higher rain chance tomorrow is due to the cold front stalling out near the VA/NC state border. This will also give us a chance for scattered storms on Sunday:
- Weekend Forecast Map
Tomorrow some of the models have the rain going for pretty much the whole day. Our model (Future Trak) has some breaks, but I think it is going to trend wetter in the later updates. So I won’t show it here.