Warm/Cold RouletteDecember 22nd, 2011 at 8:13 am by Jeremy Wheeler under Weather
We put a lot of effort into forecasting the weather. It’s especially tough around here with all of the waterways, and also the influence of the Appalachians to our west. A lot of days we put our stamp of approval on the forecast. Then, some days you pretty much place your bets and hope for the best. Today is one of those days. We have a cold front that will move into Hampton Roads and split the area in half. North of the front highs will be in the upper 50s. South of the front highs will be in the low 70s. The metro area will be the split. So the Peninsula will likely be cooler than the southside by at least a few degrees. Here is the afternoon temperature forecast from our computer model “Future Trak”:
With the front splitting the region there could be a few sprinkles in the forecast, but we will not have a good chance for rain like we had yesterday. There may be a few showers coming in from the southwest late, but probably waiting until the evening.
Tonight the above boundary moves back north as a warm front. Temperatures will hold pretty steady or even rise overnight. Then we’ll start warm tomorrow, but temperatures will drop to the low 50s by the afternoon as the cold front from the west finally makes it through. I know it gets confusing, but that’s what keeps me on my toes.
Behind the front we are looking at a cooler and drier Saturday. So that is good news for travel. We’ll be cool and dry for most of Christmas day. We could catch a few late day showers, but the models have been trending drier and drier. So we may take out the rain chance for late Sunday altogether.
If you are doing some national travel today, then check your flight. There has been a lot of snow over Denver. Plus, there was heavy rain and storms over Houston and Dallas. These storms will push into Nashville and New Orleans today.
Regional travel should be fine other than a few sprinkles here and there. Take care and be safe during the holidays.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler