Stormy and Warmy?
October 24th, 2009 at 8:53 am by Jeremy Wheeler under Weather
Ok, I know warmy is not a real word…but it could be someday. (Cheesy grin)
Today we will really warm up. We hit 81 degrees yesterday at Norfolk International. Today we’ll be in the low 80s again. We will have a lot of cloud cover, but the sun will peak through. We’ll feel strong southerly winds with gusts up to 30mph. The Storm Prediction Center does have us under a slight risk for severe weather. The clouds should limit instability somewhat, but the wind shear is pretty strong. Remember wind shear is the strong increase in winds with height. This limits hurricane formation, but it aids thunderstorm formation over land. 0-6km wind shear (low-mid level) will be about 50-60 knots. 40 is about the threshold for severe. So we’ll be on the lookout later today. The front won’t move through until later this evening though. So the bulk of the storms are expected more towards the dinner hour and sunset. The 6z raw NAM (model text) doesn’t spit out precipitation until overnight tonight, but our Future Trak computer model shows scattered showers and storms by this mid-afternoon.
Tomorrow we’ll drop the high temperature by about 20 degrees. Look at the temperature trend. The average high is 67 degrees (white horizontal line):
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler
WAVY/Fox 43 Meteorologist
Jeremy I really need to know if and when it is going to rain Monday. If the rain will not get here (Franklin) till after Midnight Monday, I will be good. I’m trying to decide if I should go on one of my three day patrols of the Blackwater River here in Southampton County. Leave Sunday back Tuesday. It’s not that I mind getting wet in the day, but after picking up trash all day on the river I would like to sit beside a fire Monday night and have a peaceful few hours to chill out without getting wet. I know thats asking for precision pin-point weather forecasting and a best educated guess is bout the best that can be had. So what do you think?
I looked at the latest forecast. The models don’t bring in precip until early Tuesday morning. I’d be careful though. Could be a little overrunning which could bring in the rain a little earlier. I think you’re safe before midnight though either way. Have a nice time.