Wet Weekend
A large upper level low is sitting over us today. There is also a surface low just offshore. The mid level flow off of the ocean will collide with the cool airmass in place. We’ll see cloudy/drizzly conditions continue through tonight. The weather for the NAS airshow today will be cool, damp, drizzly, and breezy with scattered light showers. If the ceilings are too low, then the pilots will not be able to fly. I think if the deck is 1000ft or less, then the aircraft are grounded. Especially during an airshow where safety is vital.
Minor tidal flooding is likely this evening between about 7:30pm and 9:30pm. The Eastern Shore may even see some moderate tidal flooding. So there is a coastal flood warning for there. Tides will be running about 1.5 to 2ft above normal. Here’s a photo from a viewer from Chincoteague at around 9:30 this morning:

The photo was from Monnie Terry. Thanks for sending!
Tomorrow the surface low will slowly drift away from the region. The upper level low will still be here though. I’m thinking that the clouds will stick around all day, but the showers should mostly be in the first half of the day. A few scattered showers will probably linger into the afternoon, but I’m hoping that the cloud deck rises a little. Also, I think the widespread drizzle will shut down tomorrow afternoon. Winds today will be NNW at 10-20mph. Tomorrow they will be NW at 15-20mph with higher gusts. So I am calling for cooler highs (lower 50s) for Sunday.
We’ll improve on Monday. Late day clearing and highs near 60. Tuesday…Full sun and 67 degrees. Nice.
Meteorlogist: Jeremy Wheeler